Daily i-forex-report-by epic research 21 feb 2013
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Daily i-forex-report-by epic research 21 feb 2013 Daily i-forex-report-by epic research 21 feb 2013 Document Transcript

  • DAILY I FOREX REPORT 21ST FEBRUARY 2013WWW.EPICRESEARCH.CO +91 9752199966
  • HEADLINES  British Pound Faces Heavy Event Risk After Massive Decline  Forex: Japan All Industry Activity Index Impresses But Yen Unchanged TRADING TIPS  Forex News: USD/JPY Little Changed on Larger Trade  BUY EURUSD ABOVE Deficit 1.3434 tgs 1.3454/1.3474 sl 1.3404 Forex: GBP/JPY a High Risk Pair Between BoJ and UK Data Volatility picked up this past session in  SELL USDJPY BELOW the Forex market, but it wasnt the kind of move that secures a serious trend. 93.14 tgt 93.00/92.85 Looking ahead to the coming session, SL 93.34 there is certainly a high risk for heavier activity levels - with the possibility of a dramatic and market-wide trend always a palpable possibility. Given the  SELL GBPUSD BELOW concentration of stimulus expectations 1.5295 tgt and key event risk for the UK, GBPJPY is at the top of the list for potential market- 1.5275/1.5255 SL movers. However, we should also watch 1.5315 the Kiwi dollar after surprise comments from the RBNZ Governor and EURUSD as it makes its move back above 1.3400. We talk about these and other pairs in todays video.WWW.EPICRESEARCH.CO +91 9752199966
  •  HOURLY EURUSD CHART HOURLY EURUSD CHART ANALYSISOPEN: 1.3395HIGH: 1.3434LOW: 1.3387CLOSE: 1.3397  EURUSD LOOKS UPWARD  TREND : BULLISH  STRATEGY: BUY ON DEEPS  MACD =>. 0000(BULLISH SIGNAL)  RSI => 50(BULLISH SIGNAL)
  • HOURLY USDJPY CHART  HOURLY USDJPY CHARTANALYSISOPEN: 93.71HIGH: 93.77LOW: 93.14CLOSE: 93.58  USDJPY LOOKS DOWNWARD  TREND: BEARISH  STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE  MACD => 0.04( BEARISH SIGNAL)  RSI =>52(BEARISH SIGNAL)
  •  HOURLY GBPUSD CHART HOURLY GBPUSD CHARTANALYSISOPEN: 1.5427HIGH: 1.5451LOW: 1.5295CLOSE: 1.5309  GBPUSD LOOKS DOWNWARD  TREND: BEARISH  STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE  MACD => .-0002( BEARISH SIGNAL)  RSI => 20(BEARISH SIGNAL)
  • HOURLY EURGBP CHART HOURLY EURGBP CHARTANALYSISOPEN: 0.8682HIGH: 0.8765LOW: 0.8682CLOSE: 0.8749  EURGBP LOOKS UPWARDS  TREND: BULLISH  STRATEGY: BUY ON DEEPS  MACD =>.0006(BULLISH SIGNAL)  RSI =>81(BULLISH SIGNAL)www.epicresearch.co + 91 9752199966
  • HOURLY USDINDEX CHARTANALYSISOPEN: 80.4300HIGH: 80.5280LOW: 80.2710CLOSE: 80.5190  USDINDEX LOOKS UPWARD  TREND: BULLISH  STRATEGY: BUY ON DEEPS  MACD =>0.071(BULLISH SIGNAL)  RSI =>53(BULLISH SIGNAL) ECONOMIC CALENDER
  • Date Time Currency Event Importance Actual Forecast Previous Notes Sun NZD PerformanceFeb 17 21:30 Low 52.6 51.5 Services Index (JAN) Mon CNY Actual FDI (YoY) Medium -4.2% -4.5%Feb 18 (JAN) GBP Rightmove House 00:01 Medium 1.1% 2.4% Prices (YoY) (FEB) GBP Rightmove House 00:01 Low 2.8% 0.2% Prices (MoM) (FEB) AUD New Motor 00:30 Vehicle Sales (YoY) Low 10.8% 17.9% (JAN) AUD New Motor 00:30 Vehicle Sales (MoM) Low -2.4% 2.2% (JAN) JPY Machine Tool 06:00 Medium -26.4% -26.1% Orders (YoY) (JAN F) EUR Bank of Spain 09:00 Publishes Bad Loans Medium 10.44% 11.38% Data (Dec) EUR Euro-Zone 09:00 Current Account s.a. Low 13.9B 15.9B (euros) (DEC) EUR Euro-Zone 09:00 Current Account n.s.a. Low 27.0B 20.8B (euros) (DEC) EUR EU President Van Rompuy Speaks to 13:00 High Parliament on Proposed Budget EUR ECBs Draghi 14:30 Speaks at EU High Parliament JPY BOJ Minutes for 23:50 High Meeting on Jan. 21-22 AUD RBA Policy TueFeb 19 00:30 Meeting - February High Minutes JPY Leading Index 05:00 Medium 93.4 (DEC F) JPY Coincident Index 05:00 Low 92.7 (DEC F) JPY Tokyo Department 05:30 Store Sales (YoY) Low -1.1% (JAN) JPY Nationwide 05:30 Department Store Low -1.3% Sales (YoY) (JAN) EUR EU 25 New Car 07:00 Low -16.3% Registrations (JAN) EUR German ZEW 10:00 Survey (Economic High 35 31.5 Sentiment) (FEB) EUR German ZEW 10:00 Survey (Current Medium 9 7.1 Situation) (FEB)
  • EUR Euro-Zone ZEW 10:00 Survey (Economic Medium 31.2 Sentiment) (FEB) EUR Euro-Zone 10:00 Construction Output Low -4.7% w.d.a. (YoY) (DEC) EUR Euro-Zone 10:00 Construction Output Low -0.4% s.a. (MoM) (DEC) CAD Wholesale Sales 13:30 Low -0.4% 0.7% (MoM) (DEC) CAD International Securities Transactions 13:30 Low 6.75B 5.62B (Canadian dollar) (DEC) USD NAHB Housing 15:00 Low 48 47 Market Index (FEB) NZD Producer Prices- 21:45 Low -0.9% Outputs (QoQ) (4Q) NZD Producer Prices- 21:45 Low -1.0% Inputs (QoQ) (4Q) AUD Conference Board 23:00 Medium -0.2% Leading Index (DEC) AUD Westpac Leading 23:30 Low 0.6% Index (MoM) (DEC) JPY Merchandise 23:50 Trade Balance Total Medium -¥1384.0B -¥641.5B (Yen) (JAN) JPY Merchandise 23:50 Trade Imports (YoY) Low 2.1 1.9 (JAN) JPY Merchandise 23:50 Trade Exports (YoY) Low 5.6 -5.8 (JAN) JPY Adjusted 23:50 Merchandise Trade Low -¥586.7B -¥800.7B Balance (Yen) (JAN) Wed USD Mortgage Low 7.4%Feb 20 Delinquencies (4Q) USD MBA Mortgage Low 4.1% Foreclosures (4Q) AUD Wage Cost Index 00:30 Low 0.8% 0.7% (QoQ) (4Q) AUD Wage Cost Index 00:30 Low 3.4% 3.7% (YoY) (4Q) JPY Bank Of Japan Board Member 01:30 Low Morimoto Speaks in Kochi JPY All Industry Activity 04:30 Medium 1.6% -0.3% Index (MoM) (DEC) EUR German 07:00 Consumer Price Index High 1.7% 1.7% (YoY) (JAN F)
  • EUR German Consumer Price Index -07:00 High 1.9% 1.9% EU Harmonised (YoY) (JAN F) EUR German Producer07:00 Medium 1.2% 1.5% Prices (YoY) (JAN) EUR German07:00 Consumer Price Index Medium -0.5% -0.5% (MoM) (JAN F) EUR German Consumer Price Index -07:00 Medium -0.7% -0.7% EU Harmonised (MoM) (JAN F) JPY Convenience07:00 Store Sales (YoY) Low -2.0% (JAN) EUR German Producer07:00 Low 0.3% -0.3% Prices (MoM) (JAN) GBP Jobless Claims09:30 High -5.5K -12.1K Change (JAN) GBP Bank of England Releases Monetary09:30 High Policy Committee Minutes GBP ILO09:30 Unemployment Rate Medium 7.7% 7.7% (3M) (DEC) GBP Employment09:30 Medium 117K 90K Change (3M/3M) (DEC) GBP Claimant Count09:30 Medium 4.8% 4.8% Rate (JAN) GBP Average Weekly09:30 Earnings (3M/YoY) Medium 1.4% 1.5% (DEC) GBP Weekly Earnings09:30 exBonus (3M/YoY) Low 1.3% 1.4% (DEC) CHF ZEW Survey10:00 Medium -6.9 (Expectations) (FEB) USD MBA Mortgage12:00 Low -6.4% Applications (FEB 15) USD Producer Price13:30 Medium 1.5% 1.3% Index (YoY) (JAN) USD Producer Price13:30 Medium 0.4% -0.3% Index (MoM) (JAN) USD Producer Price13:30 Index Ex Food & Medium 1.7% 2.0% Energy (YoY) (JAN) USD Housing Starts13:30 Medium -3.6% 12.1% (MoM) (JAN) USD Producer Price13:30 Index Ex Food & Low 0.2% 0.1% Energy (MoM) (JAN) USD Housing Starts13:30 Low 920K 954K (JAN)
  • USD Building Permits 13:30 Low 1.2% 1.0% (MoM) (JAN) USD Building Permits 13:30 Low 920K 909K (JAN) CAD Teranet/National 14:00 Low 153.45 Bank HP Index (JAN) CAD Teranet/National 14:00 Low 3.1% Bank HPI (YoY) (JAN) CAD Teranet/National 14:00 Low -0.2% -0.4% Bank HPI (MoM) (JAN) EUR Euro-Zone 15:00 Consumer Confidence Medium -23.2 -23.9 (FEB A) USD Fed Releases 19:00 Minutes from Jan 29-30 High FOMC Meeting NZD ANZ NZ Job Ads 21:00 Low 0.4% (MoM) (JAN) JPY Japan Buying 23:50 Foreign Stocks (Yen) Low -¥228.6B (FEB 15) JPY Japan Buying 23:50 Foreign Bonds (Yen) Low -¥645.0B (FEB 15) JPY Foreign Buying 23:50 Japan Stocks (Yen) Low ¥212.9B (FEB 15) JPY Foreign Buying 23:50 Japan Bonds (Yen) Low -¥261.6B (FEB 15) AUD RBA Foreign Thu Exchange TransactionFeb 21 00:30 Low 752M (Australian dollar) (JAN) CNY MNI February 01:35 Flash Business Low Sentiment Indicator CNY Conference Board 02:00 China January Leading Low Economic Index JPY Supermarket 05:00 Low -1.5% Sales (YoY) (JAN) CHF Trade Balance 07:00 Medium 1.70B 1.00B (Swiss franc) (JAN) CHF Imports (MoM) 07:00 Low 5.5% (JAN) CHF Exports (MoM) 07:00 Low 0.3% -1.5% (JAN) EUR French 08:00 Purchasing Manager Low 44.4 43.6 Index Services (FEB P) EUR French Purchasing Manager 08:00 Low 43.8 42.9 Index Manufacturing (FEB P)
  • CHF Real Estate Index08:00 Low 413.1 Family Homes (4Q) CHF Money Supply M308:00 Low 9.8% (YoY) (JAN) EUR German08:30 Purchasing Manager Medium 55.5 55.7 Index Services (FEB A) EUR German Purchasing Manager08:30 Medium 50.5 49.8 Index Manufacturing (FEB A) EUR Euro-Zone09:00 Purchasing Manager Medium 49 48.6 Index Services (FEB A) EUR Euro-Zone Purchasing Manager09:00 Medium 48.5 47.9 Index Manufacturing (FEB A) EUR Euro-Zone Purchasing Manager09:00 Medium 49 48.6 Index Composite (FEB A) GBP Public Sector Net09:30 Borrowing (Pounds) Medium -9.5B 13.2B (JAN) GBP Public Finances09:30 (PSNCR) (Pounds) Medium -35.0B 1.3B (JAN) GBP PSNB ex09:30 Medium -8.7B 15.4B Interventions (JAN) GBP CBI Trends11:00 Low 15 21 Selling Prices (FEB) GBP CBI Trends Total11:00 Low -15 -20 Orders (FEB) USD Consumer Price13:30 High 1.6% 1.7% Index (YoY) (JAN) USD Consumer Price13:30 Index Ex Food & High 1.8% 1.9% Energy (YoY) (JAN) USD Initial Jobless13:30 Medium 355K 341K Claims (FEB 16) USD Consumer Price13:30 Medium 0.1% 0.0% Index (MoM) (JAN) USD Consumer Price13:30 Index Ex Food & Medium 0.2% 0.1% Energy (MoM) (JAN) USD Continuing Claims13:30 Low 3150K 3114K (FEB 9) USD Consumer Price13:30 Low 230.304 229.601 Index n.s.a. (JAN) USD Consumer Price13:30 Index Core Index s.a. Low 231.938 231.475 (JAN) USD Markit US PMI13:58 Medium 55.5 Preliminary (FEB)
  • USD Philadelphia Fed. 15:00 Medium 1 -5.8 (FEB) USD Leading Indicators 15:00 Medium 0.2% 0.5% (JAN) USD Existing Home 15:00 Medium -0.8% -1.0% Sales (MoM) (JAN) USD Existing Home 15:00 Low 4.90M 4.94M Sales (JAN) USD API Monthly 15:00 Low Statistical Report USD EIA Natural Gas 15:30 Storage Change (FEB Low -157 15) USD DOE U.S. 16:00 Distillate Inventory Low -3677K (FEB 15) USD DOE U.S. Crude 16:00 Oil Inventories (FEB Low 560K 15) USD DOE Cushing OK 16:00 Crude Inventory (FEB Low -1118K 15) USD DOE U.S. 16:00 Gasoline Inventories Low -803K (FEB 15) USD Feds Bullard Speaks About 17:30 Low Monetary Policy in New York USD Feds Williams 18:00 Speaks on Monetary Low Policy in New York Fri CNY China JanuaryFeb 22 01:30 Medium Property Prices NZD Credit Card 02:00 Spending s.a. (MoM) Medium 1.0% (JAN) NZD Credit Card 02:00 Medium 4.6% Spending (YoY) (JAN) USD Feds Fisher 02:15 Speaks on Economy in Low Dallas () EUR German Gross 07:00 Domestic Product High 0.4% 0.4% w.d.a. (YoY) (4Q F) EUR German Gross 07:00 Domestic Product s.a. High -0.6% -0.6% (QoQ) (4Q F) EUR German Gross 07:00 Domestic Product High 0.1% 0.1% n.s.a. (YoY) (4Q F) EUR German Private 07:00 Low 0.1% 0.3% Consumption (4Q) EUR German Imports 07:00 Low -1.0% 1.0% (4Q)
  • EUR German07:00 Government Spending Low 0.2% 0.4% (4Q) EUR German Exports07:00 Low -2.0% 1.4% (4Q) EUR German Domestic07:00 Low -0.1% 0.0% Demand (4Q) EUR German07:00 Construction Low -0.8% 1.5% Investment (4Q) EUR German Capital07:00 Low -1.3% 0.2% Investment (4Q) EUR German IFO -09:00 Current Assessment Medium 108.5 108 (FEB) EUR German IFO -09:00 Business Climate Medium 104.9 104.2 (FEB) EUR German IFO -09:00 Medium 101.4 100.5 Expectations (FEB) EUR EU Issues Winter10:00 Economic Forecasts in Medium Brussels CAD Consumer Price13:30 High 0.7% 0.8% Index (YoY) (JAN) CAD Bank Canada13:30 Consumer Price Index High 1.1% 1.1% Core (YoY) (JAN) CAD Retail Sales13:30 Medium -0.4% 0.2% (MoM) (DEC) CAD Consumer Price13:30 Medium 0.2% -0.6% Index (MoM) (JAN) CAD Bank Canada13:30 Consumer Price Index Medium 0.2% -0.6% Core (MoM) (JAN) CAD Retail Sales Less13:30 Low 0.1% -0.3% Autos (MoM) (DEC) CAD Core CPI s.a.13:30 Low 0.1% (MoM) (JAN) CAD Consumer Price13:30 Low -0.1% Index s.a. (MoM) (JAN) CAD Consumer Price13:30 Low 121.2 Index (JAN) USD Feds Powell,15:15 Rosengren Speak in Low New York USD Feds Tarullo23:30 Speaks on Regulation Low in New York
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