Daily i-forex-report-1 by epic research 13 may 2013

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Daily i-forex-report-1 by epic research 13 may 2013

  1. 1. DAILY I FOREX REPORT13thMAY 2013WWW.EPICRESEARCH.CO +91 7316642300
  2. 2. WWW.EPICRESEARCH.CO +91 7316642300 Dollar Charges Higher - WillEUR/USD Break 1.3000,AUD/USD 1.0000? Dollar Surge is Only theBeginning Forex Trading WeeklyForecast 05.10.2013US Dollar Forecast - Dollar Surge is Only theBeginningThe US Dollar finally showed signs of life and surgedagainst major forex counterparts even as the S&P 500finished at record-peaks. The safe-haven USD mayrally further as a sharp gains in FX volatility pricessuggest the Dollar breakdout is the “real deal”.Euro Forecast - Euro Crisis Complacency MayCollapse with 1Q GDP DataThough EURUSD took a tumble this past week –largely on the incredible strength of the US dollar – theEuro individually performed well through the period.That vigor may not hold next week though ...TRADING TIPS BUY EURUSD ABOVE1.2995 TGT 1.3015/1.3035SL 1.2965 BUY USDJPY ABOVE 101.75TGT 101.95/102.15 SL101.45 BUY GBPUSD ABOVE1.5370 TGT 1.5390/1.5410SL 1.5340HEADLINES
  3. 3.  HOURLY EURUSD CHARTHOURLY EURUSD CHARTANALYSISOPEN: 1.2984 EURUSD LOOKS UPWARDHIGH: 1.2994 TREND: BULLISHLOW: 1.2981 STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPSCLOSE: 1.2988 MACD =>-.0025(BULLISH SIGNAL)RSI => 39.6638(BULLISH SIGNAL)
  4. 4. HOURLY USDJPY CHARTANALYSISOPEN: 101.59 USDJPY LOOKS UPWARDSHIGH: 101.71 TREND: BULLISHLOW: 101.54 STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPSCLOSE: 101.63 MACD =>.40(BULLISH SIGNAL)RSI => 63(BULLISH SIGNAL)www.epicresearch.co + 91 7316642300
  5. 5. HOURLY GBPUSD CHARTANALYSISOPEN: 1.5359 GBPUSD LOOKS UPWARDHIGH: 1.5368 TREND: BULLISHLOW: 1.5358 STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPSCLOSE: 1.5358 MACD =>-.0032(BULLISH SIGNAL)RSI => 32(BULLISH SIGNAL)
  6. 6. HOURLY EURGBP CHARTANALYSISOPEN: 00.8454 EURGBP LOOKS UPWARDSHIGH: 00.8456 TREND: BULLISHLOW: 00.8449 STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPSCLOSE: 00.8454 MACD =>.0002(BULLISH SIGNAL)RSI => 57(BULLISH SIGNAL)www.epicresearch.co + 91 7316642300
  7. 7. HOURLY USD INDEX CHARTANALYSISOPEN: 83.1420 USDINDEX LOOKS DOWNWARDHIGH: 83.1660 TREND: BEARISHLOW: 83.0940 STRATEGY: SELL ON RISECLOSE: 83.1060 MACD =>.1756(BEARISH SIGNAL)RSI => 52(BEARISH SIGNAL)
  8. 8. Date Time Currency Event Importance Actual Forecast Previous NotesSunMay 513:30USD Feds PianaltoGives CommencementSpeech in OhioLowMonMay 600:23CNY Leading Index(MAR)Medium 99.38 99.9800:30AUD TD SecuritiesInflation (YoY) (APR)Medium 2.1% 2.1%00:30AUD TD SecuritiesInflation (MoM) (APR)Low 0.3% 0.2%01:30AUD Retail Sales ExInflation(QoQ) (1Q)Medium 2.2% 1.7% 0.1%01:30AUD Retail Sales s.a.(MoM) (MAR)Medium -0.4% 0.1% 1.3%01:30AUD ANZ JobAdvertisements (MoM)(APR)Low -1.3% -0.4%01:45CNY HSBC ServicesPMI (APR)Medium 51.1 54.307:45EUR Italian PurchasingManager IndexServices (APR)Low 47.0 45.9 45.507:50EUR FrenchPurchasing ManagerIndex Services (APR F)Low 44.3 44.1 44.107:55EUR GermanPurchasing ManagerIndex Services (APR F)Medium 49.6 49.2 49.208:00EUR Euro-ZonePurchasing ManagerIndex Composite (APRF)Medium 46.9 46.6 46.508:00EUR Euro-ZonePurchasing ManagerIndex Services (APR F)Medium 47.0 46.6 46.608:30EUR Euro-Zone SentixInvestor Confidence(MAY)Medium -15.6 -15.2 -17.309:00EUR Euro-Zone RetailSales (YoY) (MAR)Medium -2.4% -2.2% -1.7%09:00EUR Euro-Zone RetailSales (MoM) (MAR)Low -0.1% -0.1% -0.2%09:00EUR German FinMinSchaeuble Speaks onEuropean IntegrationLow12:30CAD Building Permits(MoM) (MAR)Medium 1.0% 1.7%14:00CAD Ivey PurchasingManagers Index s.a.(APR)Medium 58.0 61.622:45NZD Average HourlyEarnings (QoQ) (1Q)Medium 1.0% -0.4%22:45NZD Labor CostPrivate Sector (QoQ)(1Q)Low 0.5% 0.6%ECONOMIC CALLENDER
  9. 9. 22:45NZD Private Wages exOvertime (QoQ) (1Q)Low 0.5% 0.5%23:01GBP BRC Shop PriceIndex (YoY) (APR)Low 1.4%23:01GBP LloydsEmploymentConfidence (APR)Low -4523:30AUD AiG Performanceof Construction Index(APR)Medium 39TueMay 701:30AUD House Price Index(QoQ) (1Q)Medium 1.8% 1.6%01:30AUD House Price Index(YoY) (1Q)Medium 4.0% 2.1%01:30AUD Trade Balance(Australian dollar)(MAR)Medium 0M -178M04:30LIVEAUD Reserve Bank ofAustralia Rate Decision(MAY 7)High 3.00% 3.00%05:45CHF SECO ConsumerConfidence (APR)Medium -2 -605:45CHF UnemploymentRate (APR)Medium 3.1% 3.2%05:45CHF UnemploymentRate s.a. (APR)Medium 3.1% 3.1%06:30AUD Foreign Reserves(Australian dollar)(APR)Low A$48.7B07:00CHF Foreign CurrencyReserves (APR)Low 435.0B 438.3B10:00EUR German FactoryOrders n.s.a. (YoY)(MAR)Medium -2.9% 0.0%10:00EUR German FactoryOrders s.a. (MoM)(MAR)Low -0.5% 2.3%14:00USD IBD/TIPPEconomic Optimism(MAY)Low 47.3 46.214:00USD JOLTs JobOpenings (MAR)Low 392519:00USD Consumer Credit(MAR)Medium $16.000B $18.139B23:01GBP BRC Sales Like-For-Like (YoY) (APR)Low 1.9% 1.9%WedMay 804:00CNY Trade Balance(USD) (APR)Medium $15.50B -$0.88B04:00CNY Exports (YoY)(APR)Low 10.0% 10.0%04:00CNY Imports (YoY)(APR)Low 13.0% 14.1%
  10. 10. 04:00GBP Halifax HousePrice (3MoY) (APR)Low 1.6% 1.1%04:00GBP Halifax Plc HousePrices s.a. (MoM)(APR)Low 0.2% 0.2%04:00GBP New CarRegistrations (YoY)(APR)Low 5.9%07:15CHF CPI - EUHarmonised (YoY)(APR)Medium -0.3%07:15CHF Consumer PriceIndex (YoY) (APR)Medium -0.5% -0.6%07:15CHF CPI - EUHarmonised (MoM)(APR)Low 0.5%07:15CHF Consumer PriceIndex (MoM) (APR)Low 0.1% 0.2%10:00EUR German IndustrialProduction n.s.a. andw.d.a. (YoY) (MAR)Medium -3.8% -1.8%10:00EUR German IndustrialProduction s.a. (MoM)(MAR)Low -0.1% 0.5%11:00USD MBA MortgageApplications (MAY 3)Low 1.8%12:15CAD Housing Starts(APR)Medium 175.0K 184.0K12:30USD Feds SteinSpeaks at Chicago FedConferenceLow14:30USD DOE Cushing OKCrude Inventory (MAY3)Low -1382K14:30USD DOE U.S. CrudeOil Inventories (MAY 3)Low 6696K14:30USD DOE U.S.Distillate Inventory(MAY 3)Low 474K14:30USD DOE U.S.Gasoline Inventories(MAY 3)Low -1818K22:45NZD UnemploymentRate (1Q)High 6.8% 6.9%22:45NZD EmploymentChange (QoQ) (1Q)Medium 1.0% -1.0%22:45NZD EmploymentChange (YoY) (1Q)Medium -0.7% -1.4%22:45NZD Participation Rate(QoQ) (1Q)Low 67.9% 67.2%23:50JPY Official ReserveAssets (APR)Low $1254.4BThuMay 900:00NZD QV House Prices(YoY) (APR)Low 6.5%
  11. 11. 01:30LIVEAUD EmploymentChange (APR)High 11.0K -36.1K01:30LIVEAUD UnemploymentRate (APR)High 5.6% 5.6%01:30CNY Consumer PriceIndex (YoY) (APR)High 2.3% 2.1%01:30AUD Full TimeEmployment Change(APR)Medium -7.4K01:30CNY Producer PriceIndex (YoY) (APR)Medium -2.3% -1.9%01:30AUD Part TimeEmployment Change(APR)Low -28.7K01:30AUD Participation Rate(APR)Low 65.1% 65.1%02:00JPY Tokyo Avg OfficeVacancies (APR)Low 8.56%05:00JPY Leading Index(MAR P)Medium 97.7 97.605:00JPY Coincident Index(MAR P)Low 93.2 92.408:00EUR ECB PublishesMonthly ReportHigh08:30GBP IndustrialProduction (YoY)(MAR)Medium -1.6% -2.2%08:30GBP ManufacturingProduction (YoY)(MAR)Medium -2.0% -1.4%08:30GBP IndustrialProduction (MoM)(MAR)Low 0.2% 1.0%08:30GBP ManufacturingProduction (MoM)(MAR)Low 0.3% 0.8%11:00GBP BOE AssetPurchase Target (MAY)High 375B 375B11:00GBP Bank of EnglandRate Decision (MAY 9)High 0.50% 0.50%12:00USD Feds LackerSpeaks on FinancialStability in New YorkLow12:30CAD New HousingPrice Index (YoY)(MAR)Medium 2.1% 2.1%12:30USD Initial JoblessClaims (MAY 4)Medium 335K 324K12:30CAD New HousingPrice Index (MoM)(MAR)Low 0.1% 0.2%12:30USD Continuing Claims(APR 27)Low 3018K 3019K
  12. 12. 14:00GBP NIESR GrossDomestic ProductEstimate (APR)High 0.10%14:00USD WholesaleInventories (MAR)Medium 0.4% -0.3%14:00USD Wholesale Sales(MoM) (MAR)Low 0.1% 1.7%14:30USD EIA Natural GasStorage Change (MAY3)Low 4317:15USD Feds PlosserSpeaks on MonetaryPolicy in New YorkLow22:45NZD NZ CardSpending - Retail(MoM) (APR)Medium 0.5% -0.5%22:45NZD NZ CardSpending (MoM) (APR)Medium -1.2%23:50JPY Bank Lending inclTrusts (YoY) (APR)Medium23:50JPY Trade Balance -BOP Basis (Yen)(MAR)Medium -¥274.0B -¥677.0B23:50JPY Adjusted CurrentAccount Total (Yen)(MAR)Low ¥480.4B -¥0.1B23:50JPY Bank LendingBanks ex-Trust (APR)Low 1.9%23:50JPY Current AccountBalance (YoY) (MAR)Low -5.7% -47.0%23:50JPY Current AccountTotal (Yen) (MAR)Low ¥1216.3B ¥637.4B23:50JPY Foreign BuyingJapan Bonds (Yen)(MAY 3)Low23:50JPY Foreign BuyingJapan Stocks (Yen)(MAY 3)Low23:50JPY Japan BuyingForeign Bonds (Yen)(MAY 3)Low23:50JPY Japan BuyingForeign Stocks (Yen)(MAY 3)LowFriMay 10GBP G7 FinanceMinisters, Central BankChiefs, Meet in UKHigh04:00CNY New Yuan Loans(APR)High 767.5B 1060.0B04:00CNY AggregateFinancing (APR)Low 1480.0B 2544.3B04:00CNY Money Supply -M0 (YoY) (APR)Low 12.0% 12.4%04:00CNY Money Supply -M1 (YoY) (APR)Low 11.3% 11.9%
  13. 13. 04:00CNY Money Supply -M2 (YoY) (APR)Low 15.5% 15.7%04:30JPY Bankruptcies(YoY) (APR)Medium -20.0%05:00JPY Eco WatchersSurvey: Outlook (APR)Medium 57.505:00JPY Eco WatchersSurvey: Current (APR)Low 57.306:00EUR German TradeBalance (euros) (MAR)Medium 17.5B 16.8B06:00EUR German CurrentAccount (euros) (MAR)Low 19.5B 16.0B06:00EUR German Exportss.a. (MoM) (MAR)Low 0.5% -1.5%06:00EUR German Importss.a. (MoM) (MAR)Low 1.5% -3.9%08:30GBP ConstructionOutput (YoY) (MAR)Medium -6.6% -7.0%08:30GBP Visible TradeBalance (Pounds)(MAR)Medium -£9000 -£941608:30GBP ConstructionOutput (MoM) (MAR)Low 15.0% 5.5%08:30GBP Total TradeBalance (Pounds)(MAR)Low -£3100 -£364208:30GBP Trade BalanceNon EU (Pounds)(MAR)Low -£4000 -£427612:25USD Feds EvansSpeaks at Chicago FedConferenceLow12:30LIVECAD Net Change inEmployment (APR)High 15.0K -54.5K12:30LIVECAD UnemploymentRate (APR)High 7.20% 7.20%12:30Full Time EmploymentChange (APR)Medium -54.0K12:30Part Time EmploymentChange (APR)Low -0.4K12:30Participation Rate(APR)Low 66.7 66.613:30Feds Bernanke Speaksat Chicago FedConferenceMedium18:00USD Monthly BudgetStatement (APR)Medium $106.0B18:00Feds George Speakson the Economy inWyomingLow
  14. 14. DisclaimerThe information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but wedo not accept any responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/sthat suits them the most.Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein isbased on analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable.This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibilityThe information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does notprovide individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluateparticular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic researchshall not be responsible for any transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is inviolation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE.The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein,together with all estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic researchmight be holding positions in the stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who is browsing through the sitehas done so at his free will and does not read any views expressed as a recommendation for which either the siteor its owners or anyone can be held responsible for . Any surfing and reading of the information is the acceptanceof this disclaimer.All Rights Reserved.Investment in equity & bullion market has its own risks.We, however, do not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof. we are not responsible for any lossincurred whatsoever for any financial profits or loss which may arise from the recommendations above epicresearch does not purport to be an invitation or an offer to buy or sell any financial instrument. Our Clients (Paid OrUnpaid), Any third party or anyone else have no rights to forward or share our calls or SMS or Report or AnyInformation Provided by us to/with anyone which is received directly or indirectly by them. If found so then SeriousLegal Actions can be taken.www.epicresearch.co + 91 7316642300

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