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Daily i-forex-report- by epic research 30 jan 2013

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  • 1. DAILY I FOREX REPORT 30TH JANUARY 2013WWW.EPICRESEARCH.CO +91 9752199966
  • 2. HEADLINES  Forex News: Euro Declines Despite Improved German Consumer Confidence  FOREX: New Zealand Unemployment And CPI Could Make Rate Hike Unlikely TRADING TIPS  Forex Analysis: US Dollar  SELL EURUSD BELOW Chart Setup Warns Of A Turn Lower 1.3425 tgs Forex: EURUSD - Trading 1.3410/1.3395 sl the Advance 4Q U.S. GDP 1.3445 Report The advanced GDP report is expected to show the  SELL GBPUSD BELOW world’s largest economy expanding at an annual rate of 1.5690 tgt 1.1% in the fourth-quarter, and the slower rate of growth may dampen the appeal of the U.S. dollar as it 1.5675/1.5660 SL fuels bets for additional monetary support. However, 1.5710 as a growing number of Fed officials highlight a more broad-based recovery, a positive development may spark a short-term rally in the reserve currency, and we  SELL EURGBP BELOW may see the central bank scale back its willingness to expand the balance sheet further as the outlook for .8545 tgt growth and inflation picks up. .8530/.8515 SL .8565WWW.EPICRESEARCH.CO +91 9752199966
  • 3.  HOURLYEURUSD CHART HOURLY EURUSD CHART ANALYSISOPEN: 1.3447HIGH: 1.3461LOW: 1.3428CLOSE: 1.3445  EURUSD LOOKS DOWNWARD  TREND: BEARISH  STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE  MACD =>. -0005(BEARISH SIGNAL)  RSI => 45.06(BEARISH SIGNAL)
  • 4. HOURLY USDJPY CHART  HOURLY USDJPY CHARTANALYSISOPEN: 90.44HIGH: 91.02LOW: 90.43CLOSE: 90.66  USDJPY LOOKS DOWNWARD  TREND: BEARISH  STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE  MACD => 0000( BEARISH SIGNAL)  RSI =>46(BEARISH SIGNAL)
  • 5.  HOURLY GBPUSD CHART HOURLY GBPUSD CHARTANALYSISOPEN: 1.5697HIGH: 1.5715LOW: 1.5692CLOSE: 1.5716  GBPUSD LOOKS DOWNWARD  TREND: BEARISH  STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE  MACD => -.0005( BEARISH SIGNAL)  RSI => 50(BEARISH SIGNAL)
  • 6. HOURLY EURGBP CHART HOURLY EURGBP CHARTANALYSISOPEN: 0.8567HIGH: 0.8570LOW: 0.8547CLOSE: 0.8561  EURGBP LOOKS DOWNWARDS  TREND: BEARISH  STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE  MACD =>.-0022(BEARISH SIGNAL)  RSI =>49(BEARISH SIGNAL)www.epicresearch.co + 91 9752199966
  • 7. HOURLY USDINDEX CHARTANALYSISOPEN: 79.7860HIGH: 80.8490LOW: 79.7500CLOSE: 79.8000  USDINDEX LOOKS UPWARD  TREND: BULLISH  STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS  MACD =>-0.0125(BULLISH SIGNAL)  RSI =>54(BULLISH SIGNAL) ECONOMIC CALENDER
  • 8. Date Time Currency Event Importance Actual Forecast Previous Notes Sun CNY Industrial ProfitsJan 27 01:30 Medium 5.3% 3.0% YTD (YoY) (DEC) NZD Performance 21:30 Low 51.5 54.2 Services Index (DEC) JPY Corporate Service 23:50 Low -0.4% -0.5% -0.5% Price (YoY) (DEC) Mon CNY Leading IndexJan 28 Medium 100.21 (DEC) GBP Hometrack 00:01 Housing Survey (MoM) Low 0.0% -0.1% (JAN) GBP Hometrack 00:01 Housing Survey (YoY) Low -0.3% -0.3% (JAN) EUR Euro-Zone M3 09:00 Low 3.7% 3.8% 3.4% s.a. (3M) (DEC) EUR Euro-Zone M3 09:00 Low 3.3% 3.9% 3.8% s.a. (YoY) (DEC) USD Durable Goods 13:30 High 2.0% 0.8% Orders (DEC) USD Durables Ex 13:30 Medium 0.8% 1.6% Transportation (DEC) USD Cap Goods 13:30 Orders Nondef Ex Air Low -1.0% 2.6% (DEC) USD Cap Goods Ship 13:30 Low 0.5% 2.0% Nondef Ex Air (DEC) USD Pending Home 15:00 Low 0.1% 1.7% Sales (MoM) (DEC) USD Pending Home 15:00 Medium 12.5% 8.9% Sales (YoY) (DEC) USD Dallas Fed 15:30 Manufacturing Activity Low 3.0 6.8 (JAN) NZD Trade Balance 21:45 (New Zealand dollars) Medium -105M -700M (DEC) NZD Balance (YTD) 21:45 (New Zealand dollars) Medium -1870B -1457B (DEC) NZD Exports (New 21:45 Low 3.98B 3.81B Zealand dollars) (DEC) NZD Imports (New 21:45 Low 4.13B 4.51B Zealand dollars) (DEC) AUD Conference Board 23:00 Medium 0.2% Leading Index (NOV) Tue AUD NAB BusinessJan 29 00:30 Low -5 Conditions (DEC) AUD NAB Business 00:30 Medium -9 Confidence (DEC)
  • 9. JPY Small Business 05:00 Medium 43.8 Confidence (JAN) EUR German Import 07:00 Price Index (MoM) Low -0.1% 0.0% (DEC) EUR German GfK 07:00 Consumer Confidence Medium 5.7 5.6 Survey (FEB) EUR German Import 07:00 Price Index (YoY) Low 0.9% 1.1% (DEC) USD S&P/CS 20 City 14:00 Low 0.7% 0.7% (MoM) s.a. (NOV) USD S&P/Case-Shiller 14:00 Composite-20 (YoY) Low 5.6% 4.3% (NOV) USD S&P/Case-Shiller 14:00 Home Price Index Low 146.08 (NOV) USD Consumer 15:00 High 64 65.1 Confidence (JAN) NZD Building Permits 21:45 Low 6.0% -5.4% (MoM) (DEC) JPY Retail Trade s.a. 23:50 Low 0.4% 0.0% (MoM) (DEC) JPY Retail Trade (YoY) 23:50 Medium 0.3% 1.3% (DEC) JPY Large Retailers 23:50 Medium -1.0% 0.9% Sales (DEC) AUD DEWR Internet WedJan 30 00:00 Skilled Vacancies Low -3.5% (MoM) (DEC) CHF UBS Consumption 07:00 Medium 1.23 Indicator (DEC) CHF KOF Swiss 08:00 Medium 1.2 1.28 Leading Indicator (JAN) GBP Net Consumer 09:30 Medium 0.2B 0.1B Credit (DEC) GBP Net Lending Sec. 09:30 Medium 0.6B -0.2B on Dwellings (DEC) GBP Mortgage 09:30 Medium 54.5K 54.0K Approvals (DEC) GBP M4 Money Supply 09:30 Low -0.2% (MoM) (DEC) GBP M4 Money Supply 09:30 Low -2.8% (YoY) (DEC) GBP M4 Ex IOFCs 3M 09:30 Low 4.3% Annualised (DEC) EUR Euro-Zone 10:00 Economic Confidence Low 88.2 87 (JAN) EUR Euro-Zone 10:00 Low -1 -1.12 Business Climate
  • 10. Indicator (JAN) EUR Euro-Zone10:00 Industrial Confidence Low -13.5 -14.4 (JAN) EUR Euro-Zone10:00 Consumer Confidence Medium -23.9 -23.9 (JAN F) EUR Euro-Zone10:00 Services Confidence Low -9 -9.8 (JAN) USD MBA Mortgage12:00 Low 7.0% Applications (JAN 25) USD ADP Employment13:15 Medium 163K 215K Change (JAN) USD Gross Domestic13:30 Product (Annualized) High 1.2% 3.1% (4Q A) USD Gross Domestic13:30 Product Price Index High 1.5% 2.7% (4Q A) USD Core Personal Consumption13:30 Medium 1.0% 1.1% Expenditure (QoQ) (4Q A) USD Personal13:30 Medium 1.8% 1.6% Consumption (4Q A) USD DOE U.S. Crude15:30 Oil Inventories (JAN Low 2813K 25) USD DOE Cushing OK15:30 Crude Inventory (JAN Low -471K 25) USD DOE U.S.15:30 Gasoline Inventories Low -1738K (JAN 25) USD DOE U.S.15:30 Distillate Inventory Low 508K (JAN 25) USD Federal Open19:15 Market Committee Rate High 0.25% Decision (JAN 30) NZD Reserve Bank of20:00 New Zealand Rate High 2.50% 2.50% Decision (JAN 31) JPY Japan Buying23:50 Foreign Bonds (Yen) Low -¥35.2B (JAN 25) JPY Japan Buying23:50 Foreign Stocks (Yen) Low -¥235.3B (JAN 25) JPY Foreign Buying23:50 Japan Bonds (Yen) Low ¥485.7B (JAN 25) JPY Foreign Buying23:50 Japan Stocks (Yen) Low ¥196.2B (JAN 25) JPY Loans & Discounts23:50 Low 0.4% Corp (YoY) (DEC)
  • 11. JPY Industrial 23:50 Production (MoM) Low 4.1% -1.4% (DEC P) JPY Industrial 23:50 Production (YoY) (DEC Medium -5.6% -5.5% P) Thu AUD HIA New HomeJan 31 00:00 Medium 4.7% Sales (MoM) (DEC) JPY Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Medium Yamaguchi Speaks GBP GfK Consumer 00:01 Confidence Survey Medium -28 -29 (JAN) AUD Private Sector 00:30 Low 0.2% 0.0% Credit (MoM) (DEC) AUD Private Sector 00:30 Medium 3.4% 3.5% Credit (YoY) (DEC) AUD Export Price Index 00:30 Low -1.5% -6.4% (QoQ) (4Q) AUD Import Price Index 00:30 Low 0.4% -2.4% (QoQ) (4Q) JPY Labor Cash 01:30 Medium -1.1% Earnings (YoY) (DEC) NZD Money Supply M3 02:00 Low 5.0% (YoY) (DEC) JPY Vehicle Production 04:00 Low -8.4% (YoY) (DEC) JPY Housing Starts 05:00 Medium 13.5% 10.3% (YoY) (DEC) JPY Annualized 05:00 Medium 0.895M 0.907M Housing Starts (DEC) JPY Construction 05:00 Low -2.1% Orders (YoY) (DEC) GBP Nationwide House 07:00 Prices s.a. (MoM) Low 0.2% -0.1% (JAN) GBP Nationwide House 07:00 Prices n.s.a. (YoY) Medium -0.5% -1.0% (JAN) EUR German Retail 07:00 Low -0.1% 1.2% Sales (MoM) (DEC) EUR German Retail 07:00 Medium -1.3% -0.9% Sales (YoY) (DEC) EUR German 08:55 Unemployment Change High 8K 3K (JAN) EUR German 08:55 Unemployment Rate Medium 6.9% 6.9% s.a. (JAN) EUR Euro-Zone 10:00 Consumer Price Index Medium 2.2% Estimate (YoY) (JAN)
  • 12. USD Challenger Job12:30 Low -22.1% Cuts (YoY) (JAN) EUR German13:00 Consumer Price Index Medium -0.5% 0.9% (MoM) (JAN P) EUR German13:00 Consumer Price Index High 2.0% 2.1% (YoY) (JAN P) EUR German Consumer Price Index -13:00 Medium -0.5% 0.9% EU Harmonised (MoM) (JAN P) EUR German Consumer Price Index -13:00 High 2.0% 2.0% EU Harmonised (YoY) (JAN P) CAD Gross Domestic13:30 Medium 0.2% 0.1% Product (MoM) (NOV) CAD Gross Domestic13:30 High 1.1% Product (YoY) (NOV) USD Employment Cost13:30 Low 0.5% 0.4% Index (4Q) USD Personal Income13:30 Medium 0.8% 0.6% (DEC) USD Personal13:30 Medium 0.3% 0.4% Spending (DEC) USD Personal Consumption13:30 Low 0.0% -0.2% Expenditure Deflator (MoM) (DEC) USD Personal Consumption13:30 Low 1.4% 1.4% Expenditure Deflator (YoY) (DEC) USD Personal Consumption13:30 Low 0.1% 0.0% Expenditure Core (MoM) (DEC) USD Personal Consumption13:30 Low 1.5% 1.5% Expenditure Core (YoY) (DEC) USD Initial Jobless13:30 Medium 355K 330K Claims (JAN 27) USD Continuing Claims13:30 Low 3157K (JAN 20) CAD Industrial Product13:30 Low 0.0% -0.3% Price (MoM) (DEC) CAD Raw Materials13:30 Price Index (MoM) Low 0.8% -1.9% (DEC) USD NAPM-Milwaukee14:00 Low (JAN) USD Chicago14:45 Purchasing Manager Low 51 51.6 (JAN)
  • 13. USD EIA Natural Gas 15:30 Storage Change (JAN Low -172 25) NZD Net Migration s.a. 21:45 Low 590 (DEC) AUD AiG Performance 22:30 of Manufacturing Index Medium 44.3 (JAN) AUD RPData-Rismark 23:00 Low -0.30% House PX Actual (JAN) JPY Jobless Rate 23:30 Medium 4.10% 4.1% (DEC) JPY Job-To-Applicant 23:30 Low 0.8 0.8 Ratio (DEC) JPY Household 23:30 Medium -0.2% 0.2% Spending (YoY) (DEC) Fri JPY Official ReserveFeb 1 Low $1268.1B Assets (JAN) AUD Producer Price 00:30 Medium 0.3% 0.6% Index (QoQ) (4Q) AUD Producer Price 00:30 Medium 1.2% 1.1% Index (YoY) (4Q) CNY Manufacturing 01:00 Medium 51 50.6 PMI (JAN) CNY HSBC 01:45 Manufacturing PMI Medium 52 51.5 (JAN) JPY Vehicle Sales 05:00 Low -3.4% (YoY) (JAN) AUD RBA Commodity 05:30 Low 89.2 Price Index (JAN) AUD RBA Commodity 05:30 Low -8.0% Index SDR (YoY) (JAN) CHF SVME-Purchasing 08:30 Medium 50.4 49.5 Managers Index (JAN) EUR Italian Purchasing 08:45 Manager Index Low 47.6 46.7 Manufacturing (JAN) EUR French Purchasing Manager 08:50 Low 42.9 42.9 Index Manufacturing (JAN F) EUR German Purchasing Manager 08:55 Medium 48.8 48.8 Index Manufacturing (JAN F) EUR Euro-Zone Purchasing Manager 09:00 Medium 47.5 47.5 Index Manufacturing (JAN F) EUR Italian 09:00 Unemployment Rate Low 11.3% 11.1% s.a. (DEC P) GBP Purchasing 09:30 Medium 51 51.4 Manager Index
  • 14. Manufacturing (JAN) EUR Euro-Zone10:00 Unemployment Rate Medium 11.9% 11.8% (DEC) USD Change in Non-13:30 High 155K 155K farm Payrolls (JAN) USD Change in Private13:30 Medium 162K 168K Payrolls (JAN) USD Change in13:30 Manufacturing Payrolls Low 10K 25K (JAN) USD Unemployment13:30 High 7.8% 7.8% Rate (JAN) USD Average Hourly13:30 Earning (MoM) All Medium 0.2% 0.3% Employees (JAN) USD Average Hourly13:30 Earning (YoY) All Medium 2.1% 2.1% Employees (JAN) USD Average Weekly13:30 Hours All Employees Low 34.5 34.5 (JAN) USD Change in13:30 Household Medium 28 Employment (JAN) USD Underemployment13:30 Medium 14.4% Rate (U6) (JAN) USD Markit US PMI13:58 Low Final (JAN) USD U. of Michigan14:55 Medium 71.3 71.3 Confidence (JAN F) USD Construction15:00 Medium 0.5% -0.3% Spending (MoM) (DEC) USD ISM15:00 High 50.5 50.7 Manufacturing (JAN) USD ISM Prices Paid15:00 Medium 56 55.5 (JAN) USD Domestic Vehicle22:00 Low 12.00M 11.97M Sales (JAN) USD Total Vehicle22:00 Low 15.20M 15.30M Sales (JAN)
  • 15. DisclaimerThe information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable,but we do not accept any responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choosethe product/s that suits them the most.Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained hereinis based on analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable.This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibilityThe information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The reportdoes not provide individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investorsindependently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of afinancial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any transaction conducted based on the informationgiven in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE.The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The informationherein, together with all estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related toepic research might be holding positions in the stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who isbrowsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any views expressed asa recommendation for which either the site or its owners or anyone can be held responsible for . Anysurfing and reading of the information is the acceptance of this disclaimer.All Rights Reserved.Investment in equity & bullion market has its own risks.We, however, do not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof. we are not responsible for any lossincurred whatsoever for any financial profits or loss which may arise from the recommendations aboveepic research does not purport to be an invitation or an offer to buy or sell any financial instrument. Our Clients(Paid Or Unpaid), Any third party or anyone else have no rights to forward or share our calls or SMS or Report orAny Information Provided by us to/with anyone which is received directly or indirectly by them. If found so thenSerious Legal Actions can be taken.