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enterpriseSeattle Forecast 2011 - Ken Goldstein

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39th Annual Economic Forecast Conference, Thursday, January 13, 2011 (Seattle, WA). …

39th Annual Economic Forecast Conference, Thursday, January 13, 2011 (Seattle, WA).

2011 Forecast - Ken Goldstein, The Conference Board

Published in: Business, Health & Medicine

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  • 1. 39th Annual Economic Forecast Conference
  • 2. 2011 FORECAST: A LOOK AHEAD
    Moderator:
    Emory Thomas Jr., Puget Sound Business Journal
    Panelists:
    • Ken Goldstein, The Conference Board
    • 3. Mike Dueker, Russell Investments
    • 4. Dick Conway, Puget Sound Economic Forecaster
    www.enterpriseSeattle.org
  • 5. PROGRESS, FOR NOW
    Ken Goldstein
    WWW.CONFERENCE-BOARD.ORG
  • 6. Overview:
    Recovery Has Some Momentum
    Ditto Global Economy - Even In Euro-Zone
    (4.2% in 2011, 4.5% in 2012)
    Food + Energy + Commodity Prices: Rising
    Housing Still A Drag
    Currency Speculation
  • 7. Global Economy Coming Back
    Source: IMF, The Conference Board
  • 8. The Changing Make Up Of The Work Force
    Note: younger = from 16 to 24, older = 55 and over
    Source: BLS, Statistics Bureau (Japan), The Conference Board
  • 9. In All Regions – Even The Euro-Zone
    Note: Shaded areas represent recessions
    Source: The Conference Board
  • 10. Iffy Prospects For Service Sector Jobs
    Note: Shaded areas represent recessions
    Source: TNS, NFO, The Conference Board
  • 11. Dimmer Prospects For Incomes
    Note: Shaded areas represent recessions
    Source: TNS, The Conference Board
  • 12. Housing Still a Drag
    West
    Source: Freddie Mac, The Conference Board
  • 13. Progress, For Now
  • 14. Price Split
    Source: Department of Energy, The Conference Board
  • 15. Wealth destruction phase Cresting
    Note: Shaded areas represent recessions
    Source: The Conference Board
  • 16. Euro Premium Drowning In Greece
    Note: Shaded areas represent recessions
    Source: FRB, The Conference Board
  • 17. In A Panicky World – Flight To Safety
    Note: Shaded areas represent recessions
    Source: FRB, The Conference Board
  • 18. Investment Constrained
    Source: SBA, The Conference Board