0
MAKING (OR NOT MAKING) OUR
WORLD DISASTER RESILIENT
IS OUR LEGACY
History Will Decide Which Legacy We
Actually Leave
Part 2
BOOK
OF
BOOK
OF
KNOWLEDGE
KNOWLEDGE
- Perspectives
- Perspectives
On Science, Policy,
On Science, Policy,
And EM
HI-ED
And...
PRESENT UNDERSTANDING OF
ENVIRONMENTAL EXTREMES
• During 2007-2008, the
world began to
consider seriously the
environmenta...
PRESENT UNDERSTANDING OF
ENVIRONMENTAL EXTREMES
• Earthquakes,
tsunamis, and
volcanoes have
tectonic ori-
gins, but some
o...
PRESENT UNDERSTANDING OF
THE JET STREAM AND FLOODING
• A number of
flooding
disasters
occurred almost
simultaneously
aroun...
RELIABLE TEMPERATURE
MEASUREMENTS FROM AROUND
THE WORLD DURING THE PAST
150 YEARS SUPPORT GLOBAL
CLIMATE CHANGE.
1. THE AVERAGE GLOBAL
TEMPERATURE HAS INCREASED
BY 1.73 DEGREES F DURING
THE PAST 100 YEARS TO 57.9
DEGREES F
2. THE NORTH...
3. SATELLITE MEASURE-
MENTS INDICATE THAT THE
TROPOSPHERE IS
WARMING FASTER THAN
THE EARTH’S SURFACE.
NOTE: THIS IS CONSIS...
4. THE EARTH’S OCEANS
ABSORB 20 TIMES AS MUCH
HEAT AS THE EARTH’S
ATMOSPHERE.
5. THE PH LEVEL OF THE EARTH’S
OCEANS HAS IN...
6. AVERAGE GLOBAL SEA LEVEL
HAS INCREASED BY 4.7 INCHES
SINCE THE LAST ICE AGE.
7. SEA LEVEL RISES FOR TWO
REASONS: A) WAT...
8. IF THE FLOATING ARCTIC ICE
CAPS MELT, GLOBAL SEA
LEVEL WILL NOT BE AFFECTED.
9. IF ALL THE SNOW AND ICE IN
GREENLAND ME...
10. THE ALBEDO (PERCENT
OF LIGHT REFLECTED)
FOR FRESH SNOW IS 80-90
PERCENT, BUT ONLY
50-60 PERCENT FOR
MELTING ICE.
12. THE SUN PROVIDES AN
AVERAGE OF ABOUT 1370
WATTS OF POWER THROUGH
EM RADIATION TO EVERY
SQUARE METER OF SURFACE IT
STRI...
13. THE SOLAR SPECTRUM
INCLUDES VISIBLE (ROYGBIV),
ULTRAVIOLET (A WAVE LENGTH
TOO SHORT TO SEE), AND
INFRARED LIGHT (A WAV...
14. ABOUT 30 PERCENT OF
THE INCOMING SOLAR
SPECTRUM IS REFLECTED
BACK TO SPACE FROM
CLOUDS, SNOW, AND, TO A
LESSER DEGREE,...
15. THE BALANCE (ABOUT 70
PERCENT) OF THE
INCOMING SOLAR
SPECTRUM IS ABSORBED
BY LAND, AIR, WATER, OR
ICE.
16. THE GREENHOUSE EFFECT
OCCURS WHEN AN EARTH
WARMED BY THE SOLAR
SPECTRUM RADIATES INVISIBLE
INFRARED LIGHT BACK, BUT,
I...
17. THE GREENHOUSE EFFECT
OCCURS NATURALLY.
18. THE ISSUE IS: “HAVE HUMAN
ACTIVITIES ENHANCED THE
GREENHOUSE EFFECT BY
INC...
19. WITHOUT THE NATURAL
GREENHOUSE EFFECT, PLANET
EARTH WOULD BE AT A MUCH
COLDER TEMPERATURE; E.G.,
MINUS 2 DEGREES F.
20...
21. CARBON DIOXIDE ENTERS THE
ATMOSPHERE NATURALLY.
22 NATURAL PHYSICAL
PROCESSES REMOVE CARBON
DIOXIDE FROM THE ATMO-
SPH...
23. AS THE GREENHOUSE
EFFECT CAUSES HIGHER
TEMPERATURES IN THE
ATMOSPHERE, THE
REMOVAL RATE OF CARBON
DIOXIDE IS DECREASED.
•"Heat waves and
heavy downpours are
very likely to increase
in frequency and
intensity.”
• "Substantial areas of
North America are
likely to have more
frequent droughts of
greater severity.”
• “Hurricane wind
speeds, rainfall
intensity, and storm
surge levels are likely
to increase.”
• The strongest winter storms
are likely to become more
frequent, with stronger winds
and more extreme wave
heights."
• Soil amplification of
earthquake ground
shaking is likely to be
more pervasive.
• Landslides triggered
in earthquakes are
likely to be more
extensive.
• The impacts of
tsunami wave run up
will be more
extensive.
“By the end of this century
rainfall amounts expected to
occur every 20 years now
could be taking place every
five years.”
• “An increase in frequency
can lead to more frequent
occurrences of flooding
events such as those that
occurred worldwide...
FLOODS IN NORTH KOREA:
AUGUST 7-14, 2007
FLOODING IN CHINA: JULY 2007
FLOODING IN CHINA: JUNE –
JULY 2007
FLOODING IN CHINA: JULY 2007
(50,000 kg of dead fish)
FLOODING IN HENLEY ON THAMES,
ENGLAND: JULY 2007
FLOODING: TEWKESBURY,
ENGLAND: JULY 2007
FLOODING IN GLOUCESTERSHIRE,
ENGLAND: JULY 2007
FLOODING AND OIL SPILL IN
COFFEYVILLE, KANSAS: JULY 2007
FLOODING IN THE SUDAN: JULY
2007
FLOODING IN IRAN: JUNE 2007
FLOODING IN MARBLE FALLS,
TEXAS: JUNE 2007
FLOODING IN LAGOS, NIGERIA:
JUNE 2007
FLOODING IN PAKISTAN: JUNE
2007
FLOODING IN KANSAS, USA:
MAY 2007
FLOODING IN SALINAS,
KANSAS: MAY 2007
FLOODING IN BOLIVIA: FEBRUARY
2007
BOOK
OF
BOOK
OF
KNOWLEDGE
KNOWLEDGE
- Perspectives
- Perspectives
On Science, Policy,
On Science, Policy,
And EM
HI-ED
And...
A continental assessment of global climate change
A continental assessment of global climate change
A continental assessment of global climate change
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A continental assessment of global climate change

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The greenhouse effect occurs when an earth warmed by the solar spectrum radiates invisible infrared light back, but, instead of going back to space, it is partly absorbed by greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, making the atmosphere warmer. Substantial areas of North America are likely to have more frequent droughts of greater severity. Hurricane wind speeds, rainfall intensity, and storm surge levels are likely to increase. The strongest winter storms are likely to become more frequent, with stronger winds and more extreme wave heights. Presentation courtesy of Dr. Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction

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Transcript of "A continental assessment of global climate change"

  1. 1. MAKING (OR NOT MAKING) OUR WORLD DISASTER RESILIENT IS OUR LEGACY History Will Decide Which Legacy We Actually Leave Part 2
  2. 2. BOOK OF BOOK OF KNOWLEDGE KNOWLEDGE - Perspectives - Perspectives On Science, Policy, On Science, Policy, And EM HI-ED And EM HI-ED
  3. 3. PRESENT UNDERSTANDING OF ENVIRONMENTAL EXTREMES • During 2007-2008, the world began to consider seriously the environmental impacts of global climate change and the possibility of exacerbated impacts from floods, landslides, droughts, and wildfires. • Warmer air and warmer water are a Rx for enhancing severe windstorms. • Warmer air can hold more water and unleash more energy, making wind fields stronger, storm surges higher, rainfall heavier, and floods and landslides more frequent.
  4. 4. PRESENT UNDERSTANDING OF ENVIRONMENTAL EXTREMES • Earthquakes, tsunamis, and volcanoes have tectonic ori- gins, but some of their physical effects can be exacerbated by global climate change.  Warmer air and warmer water may explain the increase of flooding in Europe Asia, South America, and the USA during 2007 and 2008..
  5. 5. PRESENT UNDERSTANDING OF THE JET STREAM AND FLOODING • A number of flooding disasters occurred almost simultaneously around the World in 2007 and 2008. • Experts now know that certain configurations of the jet stream can produce flooding nearly simultane- ously in different parts of the World..
  6. 6. RELIABLE TEMPERATURE MEASUREMENTS FROM AROUND THE WORLD DURING THE PAST 150 YEARS SUPPORT GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE.
  7. 7. 1. THE AVERAGE GLOBAL TEMPERATURE HAS INCREASED BY 1.73 DEGREES F DURING THE PAST 100 YEARS TO 57.9 DEGREES F 2. THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERE IS WARMING FASTER THAN THE SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
  8. 8. 3. SATELLITE MEASURE- MENTS INDICATE THAT THE TROPOSPHERE IS WARMING FASTER THAN THE EARTH’S SURFACE. NOTE: THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH THE PHYSICS OF GREENHOUSE GASES ABSORBING HEAT.
  9. 9. 4. THE EARTH’S OCEANS ABSORB 20 TIMES AS MUCH HEAT AS THE EARTH’S ATMOSPHERE. 5. THE PH LEVEL OF THE EARTH’S OCEANS HAS INCREASED. NOTE: THIS INDICATES AN INCREASED ABSORPTION OF CARBON DIOXIDE.
  10. 10. 6. AVERAGE GLOBAL SEA LEVEL HAS INCREASED BY 4.7 INCHES SINCE THE LAST ICE AGE. 7. SEA LEVEL RISES FOR TWO REASONS: A) WATER EXPANDS WHEN IT IS WARMER, AND B) WATER VOLUME INCREASES FROM MELT WATER.
  11. 11. 8. IF THE FLOATING ARCTIC ICE CAPS MELT, GLOBAL SEA LEVEL WILL NOT BE AFFECTED. 9. IF ALL THE SNOW AND ICE IN GREENLAND MELTED, GLOBAL SEA LEVEL WILL RISE 24 FEET.
  12. 12. 10. THE ALBEDO (PERCENT OF LIGHT REFLECTED) FOR FRESH SNOW IS 80-90 PERCENT, BUT ONLY 50-60 PERCENT FOR MELTING ICE.
  13. 13. 12. THE SUN PROVIDES AN AVERAGE OF ABOUT 1370 WATTS OF POWER THROUGH EM RADIATION TO EVERY SQUARE METER OF SURFACE IT STRIKES. NOTE: THIS IS CALLED THE SOLAR CONSTANT.
  14. 14. 13. THE SOLAR SPECTRUM INCLUDES VISIBLE (ROYGBIV), ULTRAVIOLET (A WAVE LENGTH TOO SHORT TO SEE), AND INFRARED LIGHT (A WAVE LENGTH TOO LONG TO SEE).
  15. 15. 14. ABOUT 30 PERCENT OF THE INCOMING SOLAR SPECTRUM IS REFLECTED BACK TO SPACE FROM CLOUDS, SNOW, AND, TO A LESSER DEGREE, BY OTHER SURFACES.
  16. 16. 15. THE BALANCE (ABOUT 70 PERCENT) OF THE INCOMING SOLAR SPECTRUM IS ABSORBED BY LAND, AIR, WATER, OR ICE.
  17. 17. 16. THE GREENHOUSE EFFECT OCCURS WHEN AN EARTH WARMED BY THE SOLAR SPECTRUM RADIATES INVISIBLE INFRARED LIGHT BACK, BUT, INSTEAD OF GOING BACK TO SPACE, IT IS PARTLY ABSORBED BY GREENHOUSE GASES IN THE ATMOSPHERE, MAKING THE ATMOSPHERE WARMER.
  18. 18. 17. THE GREENHOUSE EFFECT OCCURS NATURALLY. 18. THE ISSUE IS: “HAVE HUMAN ACTIVITIES ENHANCED THE GREENHOUSE EFFECT BY INCREASING GREENHOUSE GASES ABOVE HISTORIC LEVELS?”
  19. 19. 19. WITHOUT THE NATURAL GREENHOUSE EFFECT, PLANET EARTH WOULD BE AT A MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURE; E.G., MINUS 2 DEGREES F. 20. WITH AN ENHANCED GREENHOUSE EFFECT, PLANET EARTH WOULD BE WARMER THAN THE AVERAGE SURFACE TEMPERATURE OF 57.9 DEGREES IT NOW ENJOYS.
  20. 20. 21. CARBON DIOXIDE ENTERS THE ATMOSPHERE NATURALLY. 22 NATURAL PHYSICAL PROCESSES REMOVE CARBON DIOXIDE FROM THE ATMO- SPHERE.
  21. 21. 23. AS THE GREENHOUSE EFFECT CAUSES HIGHER TEMPERATURES IN THE ATMOSPHERE, THE REMOVAL RATE OF CARBON DIOXIDE IS DECREASED.
  22. 22. •"Heat waves and heavy downpours are very likely to increase in frequency and intensity.”
  23. 23. • "Substantial areas of North America are likely to have more frequent droughts of greater severity.”
  24. 24. • “Hurricane wind speeds, rainfall intensity, and storm surge levels are likely to increase.”
  25. 25. • The strongest winter storms are likely to become more frequent, with stronger winds and more extreme wave heights."
  26. 26. • Soil amplification of earthquake ground shaking is likely to be more pervasive.
  27. 27. • Landslides triggered in earthquakes are likely to be more extensive.
  28. 28. • The impacts of tsunami wave run up will be more extensive.
  29. 29. “By the end of this century rainfall amounts expected to occur every 20 years now could be taking place every five years.”
  30. 30. • “An increase in frequency can lead to more frequent occurrences of flooding events such as those that occurred worldwide during 2007.“
  31. 31. FLOODS IN NORTH KOREA: AUGUST 7-14, 2007
  32. 32. FLOODING IN CHINA: JULY 2007
  33. 33. FLOODING IN CHINA: JUNE – JULY 2007
  34. 34. FLOODING IN CHINA: JULY 2007 (50,000 kg of dead fish)
  35. 35. FLOODING IN HENLEY ON THAMES, ENGLAND: JULY 2007
  36. 36. FLOODING: TEWKESBURY, ENGLAND: JULY 2007
  37. 37. FLOODING IN GLOUCESTERSHIRE, ENGLAND: JULY 2007
  38. 38. FLOODING AND OIL SPILL IN COFFEYVILLE, KANSAS: JULY 2007
  39. 39. FLOODING IN THE SUDAN: JULY 2007
  40. 40. FLOODING IN IRAN: JUNE 2007
  41. 41. FLOODING IN MARBLE FALLS, TEXAS: JUNE 2007
  42. 42. FLOODING IN LAGOS, NIGERIA: JUNE 2007
  43. 43. FLOODING IN PAKISTAN: JUNE 2007
  44. 44. FLOODING IN KANSAS, USA: MAY 2007
  45. 45. FLOODING IN SALINAS, KANSAS: MAY 2007
  46. 46. FLOODING IN BOLIVIA: FEBRUARY 2007
  47. 47. BOOK OF BOOK OF KNOWLEDGE KNOWLEDGE - Perspectives - Perspectives On Science, Policy, On Science, Policy, And EM HI-ED And EM HI-ED
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