RSA Monthly Online Fraud Report -- January 2014

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This report examines global phishing and cybercrime trends and offers the latest insight straight from the fraud underground.

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RSA Monthly Online Fraud Report -- January 2014

  1. 1. 2013 A YEAR IN REVIEW January 2014 PHISHING 2013: A LOOK BACK 2013 has proven to be yet another record year in the number of phishing attacks launched globally. With nearly 450,000 attacks and record estimated losses of over USD $5.9 billion (using APWG’s average uptime of 44:39 hours), phishing remains an ominous threat to consumers and businesses around the world. Compared to 2012, we only saw a slight increase – about 1% - in the total number of attacks, but did see an all-time peak in October with over 62,000 unique attacks identified in a single month. 500000 Phishing Increase Year over Year Phishing volumes 2010 through 2013. 445004 448126 2012 2013 400000 279580 300000 203983 200000 100000 0 2010 2011 Noticeable attack methods this year included the Bouncer attack that filtered incoming victims based on a unique URL parameter values. Not having the “right” parameter value would send the unwitting users to a standard 404-page. The laser-precision attack theme repeated several times during the year with variations on the filtering element including basic FRAUD REPORT R S A M O N T H LY F R A U D R E P O R T page 1
  2. 2. geo-IP filtering. The motives behind such kits are mainly commercial: selling credentials has become a commodity in the underground. A commoditized marketplace drives vendors to provide more value for money, and high-quality, precision lists provide just that. Abundant tools and offerings flourished in the underground. For example, email bombers and mass mailers are readily available to make the lives of phishers and would-bephishers easier. And if you are not sure how to go about mass mailing/spamming, a tutorial is not far away. A free tutorial on mass-mailing techniques being offered freely in the underground. A more sinister post we came across offered a tutorial—and a free tool—on how to spearphish individuals working at specific organizations. Jigsaw: a script-based tool to enumerate employee information for spear-phishing attacks. COMPARISONS YEAR OVER YEAR Last year, we witnessed a 160% increase over 2011 signifying a record year in phishing volumes. While we did not expect the 2012 record to be broken, 2013 seems to have done just that, even though just a slight increase of about one percent. 150000 Phishing Growth by Quarter 2012/2013 quarterly phishing volumes. 144334 141254 2012 2013 120000 125212 125342 105183 99699 90000 81961 60000 70145 30000 0 Q1 R S A M O N T H LY F R A U D R E P O R T Q2 Q3 Q4 page 2
  3. 3. Examining phishing trends on a quarterly basis shows that 2013 saw a constant growth in phishing volumes throughout the year as opposed to the expected decline in Q4. a US PHISHING BY GEOGRAPHY Italy S Africa China Canada Netherlands India Brasil Latin America 4% APJ and Oceania 7% Phishing Volume by Global Region 2013 regional breakdown of phishing attack volume. EMEA 28% U.S. and Canada 63% The country most targeted, unsurprisingly, was the U.S., suffering over 60% of worldwide phishing volumes. Throughout the year, the U.S. was most targeted with the most significant volume coming in October when it saw 80% of global phishing attacks that month. The top 10 countries targeted by phishing in 2013 were: 1. United States 2. United Kingdom 3. Germany 4. India 5. South Africa 6. Canada 7. Netherlands 8. Colombia 9. Australia 10. Brazil Regional Breakdown When looking at phishing volumes across the different geo-regions, North America (including the U.S. and Canada) was the most targeted, followed by EMEA (including the UK) with 26% of global phishing volumes. The following regional breakdown (excluding North America) shows the top three countries targeted in each region and their estimated global losses from phishing in 2013: Regional Breakdown: Europe, Middle East and Africa (Emea) The top three countries and their estimated losses for phishing in EMEA are as follows: 1. 2. Germany, 25% of phishing volume, total estimated losses = $386 million 3. R S A M O N T H LY F R A U D R E P O R T United Kingdom, 31% of phishing volume, total estimated losses = $467 million South Africa, 15% of phishing volume, total estimated losses = $222 million page 3
  4. 4. Regional Breakdown: Asia Pacific, Japan and Oceania The top three countries and their estimated losses for phishing in the Asia Pacific region are as follows. 1. India, 54% of phishing volume, total estimated losses = $225 million 2. Australia, 21% of phishing volume, total estimated losses = $87 million 3. China, 14% of phishing volume, total estimated losses = $59 million Regional Breakdown: Latin America The top three countries and their estimated losses for phishing in Latin America are as follows. 1. Colombia, 43% of phishing volume, total estimated losses = $95 million 2. Brazil, 39% of phishing volume, total estimated losses = $86 million 3. Mexico, 8% of phishing volume, total estimated losses = $19 million 2014 PHISHING FORECAST Phishing, the cybercrime equivalent of pickpocketing, is a crime that is easily committed with very little cost to the attacker: cheap (criminal) hosting services—offered mostly on-top of hijacked websites—are abundantly available. If spamming 500,000 email addresses only sets you back a mere $65, it is no surprise that phishing attack volumes are not dropping. Looking forward into 2014, we expect to see: –– hishing volumes will not drop considerably, though we may see a slight decline. The P decline will be mainly due to growing adoption of email authentication, namely DMARC, which together with tighter policy should help in the reduction of phishing emails received by end users. However, wider global adoption (into LATAM and APJ) still plays a major factor in the battle against phishing. –– ig data analytics and broader intelligence collection will lead to faster detection and B quicker mitigation, resulting in lower financial losses. With the millions of spam messages traversing the internet on a daily basis, separating the wheat from the chaff has become far more challenging. Advancements in phishing techniques and methods also serve to add a layer of complexity when it comes to detection. Deploying analytics into the detection process provides a way to see though the noise and get to the phish faster. Coupled with broader intelligence collection, attacks may be prevented before they are launched. –– reater end user awareness will serve to reduce losses. Cyber awareness has become a G mainstream conversation topic—people are becoming more aware of the dangers in the digital world. More awareness translates directly into fewer losses. CONTACT US To learn more about how RSA products, services, and solutions help solve your business and IT challenges contact your local representative or authorized reseller – or visit us at www.emc.com/rsa www.emc.com/rsa ©2014 EMC Corporation. EMC, RSA, the RSA logo, and FraudAction are trademarks or registered trademarks of EMC Corporation in the U.S. and/or other countries. All other trademarks mentioned are the property of their respective holders. JAN RPT 0114

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