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MINISTRY OF DEFENCE OF UKRAINE
DEFENCE INTELLIGENCE OF UKRAINE
THE ASSESSMENT OF SITUATION ON TEMPORARILY
OCCUPIED TERRITORIES OF UKRAINE AND AROUND
UKRAINE (as of Aug. 29, 2016)

2
The situation around Ukraine and in the temporarily occupied territories of
Donetsk and Luhansk regions, as well as in the Crimea is characterized by:
increase of Russian military power in Western and South-Western strategic
directions, in immediate proximity to the state border of Ukraine
serious violations of the Minsk Agreement concerning ceasefire regime and withdrawal
of heavy weapons from the line of contact by Russia, as well as overall supply of Russian
occupation troops in the East of Ukraine
large-scale military-demonstrative measures of Russia, which are aimed at
convincing the West and NATO that Moscow is ready to defend its own
interests, e.g. with the use of military power
build-up of the Russian Joint Task Forces in the temporarily occupied Autonomous
Republic of Crimea and deployment of strike weapons to the peninsula

The Situation in the Temporarily Occupied
Territories of the East of Ukraine

Stakhanov
1st AC 2nd AC Total
Personnel 20000 14600 34600
Tanks 279 196 475
Armored combat vehicles 529 419 948
Howitzers/guns 360 402 762
Multiple Launch Rocket
Systems
122 86 208
sep. tank Bn
1st sep. SF Bn
sep. SAM Bn
sep. recon Bn
sep. tank Bn
sep. SAM Bn
sep. recon Bn
Horlivka
Makiivka
Komsomolske
Novoazovsk
3rd sep. SF Bn
4
Sloviansk
direction
Donetsk direction
Mariupol direction
sep. Comdt Regt
Krasnyi Luch
LUHANSK
RUSSIA
UKRAINE
100th sep.MRBde
Sep.arty Bde
2nd sep. MRBde
1st sep. MRBde
sep. Comdt Regt
(Marines)
sep. arty Bde
5th sep. MRBde
11th sep.MRRegt
3rd sep. MRBde
DONETSK
Alchevsk
4 rd sep. MRBde
6th sep.MRRegt
7th sep.MRBde
Debaltseve
9thsep.Asl MR Regt
1st AC
2nd AC
Personnel of 1st AC & 2nd AC:
Russian citizen, among them 70%
Russian organic servicemen 45%
Russian mercenaries 25%
Ukrainian mercenaries 30%
Dislocation of the 1st and 2nd AC of the Center
of Territorial Forces of the Southern MD of Russia

5
1204
1661
1549 1571
633
1371
1935
1199
489 523 521
285
95
339
621
324
640
955
794
922
270
534
826
572
75
183 234
364
268
498 488
303
total Slovians'k Donetsk direction other directions
During July-August 2016, the average intensity of shelling and
assault operations of Russia, including the use of heavy
weaponry, has substantially increased
Minsk Agreements Violations by Russia
(number of shelling)

Verified cases of Russia’s noncompliance
with the Minsk Agreements
Period
Weapons and military equipment withdrawal zones
Overall
15 km for
tanks,
mortars
25 km for
arty sys
more than
100mm
35 km
for
MLRS
70 km for
MLRS and
ATacMS
Number of violations
January 52 43 26 0 121
February 60 49 34 1 144
March 50 62 30 0 142
April 63 73 26 0 162
May 65 66 35 2 168
June 72 82 45 1 200
July 64 143 55 0 262
August 40 79 27 1 147
6

Tanks – 22
Towing vehicles – 7
Armored combat vehicles – 16
Other military vehicles – 59
7
June 23, 2016: Southern part of Donetsk, 14.7 km from the line of contact
Facts of Hiding Heavy Equipment (weapon) Near the Line of Contact
Donetsk
Line of contact
Distance 15 km

Ilovaisk
Taganrog
Rostov-na-Donu
Matveev Kurgan
Uspenka
LUHANSK
Izvaryne
Kamyansk-Shachtynskyi
Marynivka
UKRAINE
RUSSIAN
FEDERATION
Russia’s Supplies of Weapons, Military Equipment, Ammunition
and Other Materials to Ukraine
Dovzhanskyi
Rovenky
Кадіївка
Dyakove
Novoshachtynskyi
Дебальцеве Antratsyt
Makiivka
Кальміуське
Alchevsk
8
Kuibysheve
Novoazovsk
DONETSK
Amount of ammunition and fuel, oil and lubricants
(FOL), supplied from Russia to Ukraine (per month)
Amount of weapons and equipment, supplied from
Russia to Ukraine (per month)

“Buhayivka training area”
“Mospyne training area”
9
“Karlo-Marksove training area”
“Shymshynivka training area”
“Buhayivka training area”
“Uspenka training area”
“Mospyne training area”
Operational training of the
4th SepMRBde, 6th SepMRRgt, 2nd АC
“Karlo-Marksove training area”
Operational training
of the 3rd SepMRBde, 1st АC
“Torez training area”
“Torez training range”
“Uspenka training area”
“Markine training area”
1st & 5th SepMRBdes, units SF, 1st AC
Tactical exercises were conducted
by the 5th SepMRBdes, Sep. tank Bn,
Sep. recon Bn, 1st АC
“Solntsevo training area”
“Solntsevo training area”
of the 1st SepMRBde, 1st AC
Operational training of 4th SepMRBde,
6th SepMRRgt, 2nd АC
“Shymshynivka training area”
of the 9th Sep. Asl MR (M) Regt, 1st AC
“Markine training area”
“Amvrosiyivka training area”
of the battalion and company tactical
groups of the regular combat units AF RF
“Amvrosiyivka training area”
Tactical exercises were conducted
by the 2nd SepMRBde, 2nd АC
“Kruglyk training range”
“Kruglyk training area”
Sep. tank Bn, 2nd АC
RUSSIA
UKRAINE
LUHANSK
DONETSK
“Krasnyi Luch training range”
Operational training of the Sep.Arty
Bde, 1st АC & Sep.Arty Bde, 2nd АC
“Krasnyi Luch training area”
Combat Trainings of Russian Occupation Forces in the East of Ukraine
2nd AC
1st AC

Combat Training of the Tank Company
of the 5th Separate Motorized Brigade, 1st Army Corps
“Pokrovka” Military Range, south-western outskirts of Pokrovka, Donetsk region, July 8, 2016,
14.2 km from the line of contact
Tanks – 11
Armored combat vehicles – 6
Other military vehicles – 1
Tents – 2
10
Khartsyzk
Distance 15 km
Pokrovka

New Appointments of Top Military Commanders
of the Southern and Western Military Districts, Russian Federation
11
Lt.Gen.
Gurulev A.V.
Deputy Commander,
Southern Military District
Maj.Gen.
Kuzovlev S.U.
58th Army Commander,
Southern Military District
Maj.Gen.
Nikiforov E.V.
20th Army Commander,
Western Military District
In 2014-2015 – Commander
of the 12th Reserve Command,
Southern Military District (as
of today – Center of
Territorial Forces)
of the Russian Occupation
troops in Ukraine
of the 2nd Army Corps,
Center of Territorial Forces,
Southern Military district

Situation in the Temporary Occupied
Territories of the Autonomous Republic of
Crimea and Sevastopol

NB
The Structure of Russian Joint Forces in the Autonomous Republic of Crimea
Air Force
Fixed Wing Bombers Fixed Wing Attackers Fixed Wing Fighters Army aviation BSF Naval aviation
Land Forces
BSF Marines BSF Coastal Defense
Airborne unit
Air Defense
Assault forces
(large & small ships)
Navy
Strike forces
(missile & artillery ships)
Maritime security forces
(antisubmarine &
minesweepers)
BSF Subsurface combatants BSF Surface combatants
68 engregt
43 avregt
318 avregt
27 av div
38 avregt F
39 hel regt
18 AD regt
37 avregt
127 recbde
126 CDbde
8 avregt
3 EWregt
4 NBCregt
1229 SIGINT Center
744 signal center
224 C2bat
475 EW center
758 log center
205 sp ship squad
519 rec ships div
Yevpatoriya
Perevalne
Belbek
Kacha
Saky
Feodosia
Dzhankoi
Sevastopol
Gvardiyske
Simferopol
КВМБ
CD
NBC
BSF
BSF Av
388
SIGINTregt
12 ADregt
1096 ADregt
810 marbde
4 submbde
15 CDbde
68 MSSbde
41 MSbde
197 AsS div
30 sur div
31 AD div
11 ASbde
133 maintbde
13

Russia’s military capacity in Crimea
as of August 2016
70,000
258
742
229
170
115
6
105
4
12,500
–
92
24
22
37
–
26
2
43,000
100
1,150
400
150
95
33
7
50
29,300
40
583
162
101
56
30
5
16
14
At the moment of
separation of the
USSR Black Sea fleet
(May 1997)
Before the Russia’s
annexation of
Crimea
(January 2014)
After illegal
annexation
(August 2016)
Future plans of
Russia
till 2020-2025
DEFENCE INTELLIGENCE
UKRAINE MINISTRY OF DEFENCE

15
Bucharest
Kyiv
Istambul
Varna
Donetsk
Odesa
Sinop
Kishinev
Constanca
Sevastopol
120 km
280 km
320 km
420 km
15 SepCorbr
battalion of CMS “Bastion”
battalion of CMS “Utyos”
BSF
Ukraine
Russia
battalion of CMS “Bal”
Zaporizhzhya
15
Legend
Striking distance for land targets
by “Bastion” system
Striking distance for sea targets
by “Bastion” system
Striking distance for “Utes” system
Striking distance for “Bal”
Striking Range of
15th Separate Coastal Defence Missile Bde of Russian Black Sea Fleet

Military trainings
NB
NB
NB
Ukraine
Romania
Bulgaria
Airborne assault operation in the Black Sea region
Date Air C4ISR S&R aircrafts Strike aircrafts
04/14/2016 А-50U Su-24МR
Su-24МR ,
Tu-160
04/26/2016 Il-20М Tu-22М3
06/08/2016 А-50U Tu-22М3
06/23/2016 Tu-22М3
The aim is to demonstrate Russian capabilities to block Black
Sea straits and destroying of NATO battle ship groups
16
Blocking straits by missile
strikes
Blocking NATO naval forces in
bases
Turkey
52 aRegt
127 aRegt
43rd sepnav
atk avn
regt
US Navy
USS “Porter”
А-50U
4 Tu-22М3
А-50U
2 Tu-22М3
2 Ту-160
4 Su-27
4 Su-24
Missile strikes
Russia
Sinop
Zolundak
Samsun
Eregli NB
Ordu
Trabzon
4 Tu-22М3
Shaykovka
Engels
Saky
Constanca
Burgas
Varna

Тактико-технические характеристики
ОТРК 9К720 “Искандер-М”
Sevastopol
Simferopol
Dzhankoi
Situation in the Northern Regions of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea
Armyansk
Chongar
Solone Ozero
Units of the 810th separate marines
brigade (Sevastopol) and the 126th
separate costal defence brigade
(Perevalne) have been relocated to
the Northern parts of Crimea (since
August 10, 2016)
The personnel of battalion tactical group of the
247th air-assault regiment (Stavropol)
changed personnel of battalion tactical group of
the 11th separate air-assault brigade (Ulan-
Ude) (on August 11, 2016)
RTC 247th airborne regt
RTC 31st airborne
assault Bde
17
112 обрОп
Helicopters Мі-8 and UAVs provide air
patrol, regularly violating the
administrative border with Crimea.
Units of the 112th separate operative
purpose brigade (Simferopol) were
deployed near Dzhankoi and Armyansk
cities (on August 7, 2016)
Perevalne

Su-30СМ
Su-30М2
Su-34
Strengthening the Russian Joint Task Force in Crimea
№ Name To be put in service
1 «Admiral Grigorovich» transferred in 2016
2 «Admiral Essen» transferredin 2016
3 «Admiral Makarov» 2016
18
Missile ship type 21631
Frigate type 11356
NB
37th comp
avn regt43rdsepnav
atk avn regt
“Triumph” S-400 SAM
Yevpatoria
Saky
Hvardiyske
Simferopol
Feodosia
Sevastopol
Belbek
Kacha
27th comp
avn div
38th ftr avn
regt
30th warship
div
11th ASW
Bde
197th AMHP
Bde
18th SAM
regt
№ Name
To be put in
service
1 «Zeleniy Dol»
transferred
in 2015
2 «Serpukhov»
transferred
in 2015
3 «Vishniy Volocheck» 2017
№ Name
To be put in
service
1 B-261 «Novorosiysk» transferred in 2015
2 B-237«Rostov-na-Donu» transferred in 2015
3 B-262 «Staryi Oskol» transferred in2016
4 B-265 «Krasnodar» 2016-2017
5 B-268 «Velikii Nongorod» 2016-2017
6 B-271 «Kolpino» 2017
Submarine type 636.3

Increasing Russia’s Military Presence
in Western and South-Western Directions

Boguchar
Novocherkask
Voronizh
Moscow
RUSSIA
UKRAINE
2 MRDiv
147th SP art regt
1117th AAM regt
1st TRegt
15th TRegt
283rd MR regt
1st TRegt 12th TRegt
13th TRegt
275th SP art regt
538th AAM regt
4th TDiv
14th TRegt
423rd MR Regt
Russian leadership forms new units and renews disembodied ones
in the Western and South-Western Strategic Directions
Kalininets
Naro-Fominsk
In Western Military District:
reorganized – 20th Army
formed – 1st Tank Army
renewed – 11th Army Corps
planned to renew – 22nd Army
144th MCDiv
150th MRD
Nizhniy Novgorod
22nd Army
9th MRBde
1st TA
20th Army
CTF
Valuyki
23d MRBde
In Southern Military District:
is forming – 150th Motorized Rifle Div 1st АC
2nd AC
Donetsk
Lugansk
3 MRDiv
BELARUS
Units:
existing in a formation
Kaliningrad
11th AC
28th MRBde
Smolensk
Klintsi
20
20th Army
144th MRDiv; 9th, 23rd
SepMRBde, 448th GMBde;
53rd AAMBde;
1st Tank Army
4th TDiv; 2nd MRDiv; 6th
SepTBde; 112th GMBde; 288th
ArtyBde; 49th AAMBde
22nd Army
(estimated structure)
TDiv – 2; Arty Bde – 1;
RocketArtyReg - 1;
Anti-aircraft Bde - 1

Preparation to the “Caucasus-2016”
Strategic Command-and-Staff Exercise

Sevastopol
Astrakan
Vladikavkaz
Tshinvali
Stavropol
Novorosiysk
Gyumry
Gauda
SMD
4 AD Army
TFC
Rostov-On-Don
NNB
7 AB div
BSF
58 Army
49 Army
CSF
102 MB
7 MB
4 MB
Russia
ТУРЕЧЧИНА
Ukraine
Date: September 5-10, 2016.
Aim: the joint forces preparation to a combat in order to guarantee Russia’s military security in
South-Western strategic direction.
Participants: Southern Military District (SMD) units, airborne assault forces, long-distance and
transportation aviation units.
Area of operation: SMD training ranges, Black and Caspian Seas.
“Opuk” range
“Raevskiy” range “Tarskoe” range
“Dalniy” range
“Adanak” range
“Sernovodskiy”
range
“Prudbiy” range
22
“Caucasus-2016” Strategic Command-and-Staff Exercise

Sevastopol
Simferopol
Preparation to “Caucasus-2016” Strategic Command-and-Staff Exercise
Yevpatoriya
Deployment of Russian military units to “Opuk” range
“Stariy Krim” range
August 8, units from 15th sep coastal defence
missile Bde (Sevastopol) came with 5 cruise missile
launchers “Bastion”
Feodosia
CD
BSF
NBC
August 10, Task Group came on airfield
Belbek to control the preparation to
“Caucasus-2016”
Belbek
23
№ Unit Dislocation
1 810th separated marine Bde Sevastopol
2 126th separated coastal defence Bde Perevalne
3 127th separated reconnaissance Bde Sevastopol
4 133d sep logistic and maintenance Bde Bahchisaray
5 8th artillery Regt Simferopol
6 68th separated maritime engineer Regt Yevpatoriya
7 4th NBC Regt Sevastopol
From the Black Sea Fleet
1 175th command Bde Askay
2 78th logistic and maintenance Bde Budyonovsk
3 99th logistic and maintenance Bde Maykop
From the Southern Military District
1 1st separated engineer Bde Murom
From the Western Military District
“Opuk” range

Conclusions
During “Caucasus-2016” Strategic Command-and-Staff Exercise
Russia is going to demonstrate to the West and NATO its capabilities
to defend Russian national interests in the Black Sea and Caucasus
regions
Russian Federation does not abandon its strategic aim with regard
to Ukraine and continues preparation to possible military
conflict with Western countries and NATO
Russia does not stop armed provocations in the temporary occupied
territories of the Donetsk and Luhansk regions, along with strengthening
its Joint Forces in temporarily occupied Crimea and increasing its military
capabilities along Ukraine’s border

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