0
A history of the future of newsWhat 1767 Tells Us About 2100          Eric Newton                    -- Nov. 14, 2011, Ari...
Evolution of human communication, new categoriesAge          Human capacity   Date (c.)    Concept of timeVisual       Cur...
Global to                                      billionsCommunication’sExponential Rise                                    ...
We predict the future based on what we know                          Joseph Pulitzer’s New York World, Dec. 31, 1899, look...
Multi-TimeMulti-Time combines  Natural, Cyclical,Linear, Exponential     and Multi- Dimensional Time -- graphic by William...
Science fiction writers go with their imaginations   Moon travel   Jules Verne,     From theEarth to the Moon,       1865
Geostationary satellites,Arthur C. Clarke, Wireless World, Oct. 1945Geostationary satellite, Arthur C. Clarke,Wireless Wor...
Skype, The Jetsons, 1962
Cell phone, Star Trek, 1964
Flat Screens – Jetsons (1962)     I-pad, 2001, a Space Odyssey, 1968
Each American generation comes of age                 as a different news medium is rising  Generation         Birth      ...
More cycles in time: Awakenings and crises every 80 yearsGeneration    Birth             Rising media                     ...
The cycles persist even as information explodesGeneration     Birth                          Rising media                 ...
‘Personal, portable, participatory’ ads, 2002, Minority ReportWearable media,Dick Tracy, two-waywrist radio,Jan. 13, 1946;...
Remember Multi-Time!Like a cyclone,  turning butmoving ahead
If patterns hold, our Multi-time future will feature    accelerating new media forms, awakenings and crisesGeneration     ...
Robotics, bionics,     artificial intelligence,The Terminator, 1984; Star Trek, The Next Generation, various
Accelerating media, awakenings and crisesGeneration    Birth           Rising media                                     Cy...
Machine awareness, iRobot, 2004
Ray Kurzweil: Machines evolve beyond humans
Science Fiction predicts life after the SingularityGeneration     Birth            Rising media                           ...
Cranial downloads, The Matrix, 1999
Sentient environment, Avatar, 2009
A final crisis or another chance to emerge stronger?Generation   Birth            Rising media                            ...
Thought projection, telekinesis, the Matrix, 1999
World War 4.0, the Matrix, 1999
‘So what does all this have to do with me?’                  YOUand your children … and their children             … and t...
Steve Jobs at Apple: iMac, iPod, iPhone, iPad
News pioneers often are young: We just don’t hear those stories
What’s a journalism/mass com major to do?1. Learn truthful storytelling in all media                                      ...
Thank You!Eric Newton, Arizona State University          November 2011
A history of the future of news: What 1767 tells us about 2100
Upcoming SlideShare
Loading in...5
×

A history of the future of news: What 1767 tells us about 2100

4,088

Published on

Eric Newton at the University of Arizona

Published in: Technology, Business
0 Comments
2 Likes
Statistics
Notes
  • Be the first to comment

No Downloads
Views
Total Views
4,088
On Slideshare
0
From Embeds
0
Number of Embeds
7
Actions
Shares
0
Downloads
22
Comments
0
Likes
2
Embeds 0
No embeds

No notes for slide
  • Cell phone, Star Trek, 1964
  • Transcript of "A history of the future of news: What 1767 tells us about 2100"

    1. 1. A history of the future of newsWhat 1767 Tells Us About 2100 Eric Newton -- Nov. 14, 2011, Arizona State University, Eric Newton, Senior Adviser to the President, John S. and James L. Knight Foundation
    2. 2. Evolution of human communication, new categoriesAge Human capacity Date (c.) Concept of timeVisual Curiosity 1-2m BC NaturalLanguage Orality 100,000 BC CyclicalMass Media Literacy 1450 AD LinearDigital Fluency 1991 AD Multi Sources: Various
    3. 3. Global to billionsCommunication’sExponential Rise MESSAGE REACH Nearby to a crowd Visual Language Mass Media HISTORIC AGE Digital
    4. 4. We predict the future based on what we know Joseph Pulitzer’s New York World, Dec. 31, 1899, looking a century ahead
    5. 5. Multi-TimeMulti-Time combines Natural, Cyclical,Linear, Exponential and Multi- Dimensional Time -- graphic by William Newton
    6. 6. Science fiction writers go with their imaginations Moon travel Jules Verne, From theEarth to the Moon, 1865
    7. 7. Geostationary satellites,Arthur C. Clarke, Wireless World, Oct. 1945Geostationary satellite, Arthur C. Clarke,Wireless World, Oct. 1945
    8. 8. Skype, The Jetsons, 1962
    9. 9. Cell phone, Star Trek, 1964
    10. 10. Flat Screens – Jetsons (1962) I-pad, 2001, a Space Odyssey, 1968
    11. 11. Each American generation comes of age as a different news medium is rising Generation Birth Rising media Cycle Compromise 1767- Pamphlets American 1791 RevolutionTranscendental 1792- Partisan weekly 1821 newspapers (Agricultural era help from U.S. mail, postal roads) Transcendental Populist daily Awakening Gilded 1822- newspapers 1842 The Associated Press Progressive 1843- (the telegraph) Civil War looms 1859 Generations and cycles from “The Fourth Turning”; media trends from the Newseum, web research
    12. 12. More cycles in time: Awakenings and crises every 80 yearsGeneration Birth Rising media CycleMissionary 1860- Illustrated magazines, Civil War 1882 niche publications Lost 1883- Major metropolitan 1900 daily newspapers (Industrial era inventions: Third Great Light bulb, telephone, Awakening linotype, film, etc.) G.I. 1901- Photography in print, 1924 tabloids Silent 1925- Radio newscasts, Depression, 1942 movies and newsreels World War Two Generations and cycles from “The Fourth Turning”; media trends from the Newseum News History Content Book; web research
    13. 13. The cycles persist even as information explodesGeneration Birth Rising media Cycle Boom 1943- Glossy color magazines 1960 (TV, color TV, home telephones) Gen X 1961- TV newscasts The 1960s 1981 (Satellites, cable, video tape) awakeningMillennial 1982- World Wide Web 2000 (Digital era inventions: personal computers, the Internet, domestic email, chat, video games, multimedia) Cyber 2001- Mobile and Social Media 2026 (Cell phones, search, blogs, citizen media, 9-11, social media, blogosphere, smart phones, recession, tablets, global World Wide Web, universal e- commerce, remote sensing, wearable media WWar 3.0 …) Generations and cycles from “The Fourth Turning”; media trends from the Newseum , web research
    14. 14. ‘Personal, portable, participatory’ ads, 2002, Minority ReportWearable media,Dick Tracy, two-waywrist radio,Jan. 13, 1946;upgraded to two-way TV in 1964
    15. 15. Remember Multi-Time!Like a cyclone, turning butmoving ahead
    16. 16. If patterns hold, our Multi-time future will feature accelerating new media forms, awakenings and crisesGeneration Birth Rising media CycleVisionary 2027-2047 Intelligent Media (The cloud, smart grids, robotics, artificial intelligence) Mash-up of linear time and cyclical time; generational archetypes from “The Fourth Turning,” tech from “The Singularity is Near,” web research
    17. 17. Robotics, bionics, artificial intelligence,The Terminator, 1984; Star Trek, The Next Generation, various
    18. 18. Accelerating media, awakenings and crisesGeneration Birth Rising media CycleVisionary 2027- Intelligent Media 2047 (The cloud, smart grids, robotics, artificial intelligence) Hybrid 2048- Bio Media Machine awakening: 2068 (Augmented reality; The Singularity nanotechnology; media implants; enhanced human capacity) Mash-up of linear time and cyclical time; generational archetypes from “The Fourth Turning,” tech from“The Singularity is Near,” web research
    19. 19. Machine awareness, iRobot, 2004
    20. 20. Ray Kurzweil: Machines evolve beyond humans
    21. 21. Science Fiction predicts life after the SingularityGeneration Birth Rising media CycleVisionary 2027- Intelligent Media 2047 (The cloud, smart grids, robotics, artificial intelligence) Hybrid 2048- Bio Media Machine awakening: 2068 (Augmented reality; The Singularity nanotechnology; media implants; enhanced human capacity)Courageo 2069- Hyper Media us 2089 (Cranial downloads; thought aggregators; sentient environment) Mash-up of linear time and cyclical time; generational archetypes from “The Fourth Turning,” tech from“The Singularity is Near,” web research
    22. 22. Cranial downloads, The Matrix, 1999
    23. 23. Sentient environment, Avatar, 2009
    24. 24. A final crisis or another chance to emerge stronger?Generation Birth Rising media CycleVisionary 2027- Intelligent Media 2047 (The cloud, smart grids, robotics, artificial intelligence) Hybrid 2048- Bio Media Machine 2068 (Augmented reality; awakening: nanotechnology; media implants; The Singularity enhanced human capacity)Courageo 2069- Hyper Media us 2089 (Cranial downloads; thought aggregators; sentient environment)Enlighten 2090- Omni Media World War 4.0: ed 2110 (Thought projection; telepathy; Humans vs. telekinesis; teleportation) environment Mash-up of linear time and cyclical time; generational archetypes from “The Fourth Turning,” tech from “The Singularity is Near,” web research
    25. 25. Thought projection, telekinesis, the Matrix, 1999
    26. 26. World War 4.0, the Matrix, 1999
    27. 27. ‘So what does all this have to do with me?’ YOUand your children … and their children … and theirs … will invent this future of news (or another) through your innovations and consumption
    28. 28. Steve Jobs at Apple: iMac, iPod, iPhone, iPad
    29. 29. News pioneers often are young: We just don’t hear those stories
    30. 30. What’s a journalism/mass com major to do?1. Learn truthful storytelling in all media 2. Master computer assisted reporting/design3. Watch a lot more science fiction! 4. Fool around with a new digital tool every day5. Rewrite the codes of ethics: New tools make new rules. 6. Follow new technology closely and create news adaptations7. Practice working in open, collaborative groups 8. Learn about media law (being rewritten for thedigital age) business models (ditto), new engagement techniques (ditto).9. Teach digital media fluency to everyone 10. Develop sources for covering World War 3.0, just in case
    31. 31. Thank You!Eric Newton, Arizona State University November 2011
    1. A particular slide catching your eye?

      Clipping is a handy way to collect important slides you want to go back to later.

    ×