This paper is devoted to the study of transparency of the largest Russian companies. These days Russia is one of the most rapidly developing countries of the world. Doubling Russia’s national product in 10 years is an ambitious but realizable goal, according to Horst Keler, managing director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) as stated at a press conference in Moscow November 2003. However, the IMF Chief stressed that Russian authorities must devote more attention to developing the finance sector and strengthening the banking system [i ] . The world’s largest investment funds closely examine the possibility of investing part of their funds in Russian assets. The number of Russian companies listed at western stock exchanges increases every year, and at the same time, the weight of Russia in the index of developing countries is growing, and first of all in the Emerging Market Bond Index Plus (EMBI+) [ii ] , a product issued by JP Morgan Bank. Strictly speaking, Russia can be called a developing country with great reserve. In October 2003, the international credit rating agency Moody’s awarded Russia with investment grade status for the first time, thus opening the doors for foreign direct investment and fresh capital flows to the country. Russia’s Baa3 rating, the lowest of investment grades, will reduce the cost of borrowing for the Russian government and help Russian companies get cheaper finance in the international capital markets [iii ] . [i] ‘IMF Chief Charts a Path to Doubling Russia’s GDP in a Decade’ - Rosbalt’s News Agency, 16 November 2003, Moscow. [ii] JP Morgan Bank www.morganmarkets.com : EMBI+ [iii] ‘Moody’s Rating Puts Russia on Investment Map’ - Financial Times - 9 October 2003, London.
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Research of Corporate transparency as a factor for capitalization - Presentation Transcript
Transparency and Disclosure as an Element of Corporate Management in Russia Urgency, Problems and Trends
Analysis 2003 Results
Research motivation
Opacity Index of Countries (by PwC)
information vacuum
volatility of the finance markets
clear inadequacy of accounting and audit
Benefits of Better Disclosure
Sberbank … Tatneft … RAO EES … Rostelekom … North - West Telekom … MGTS … Mosenergo … Irkutskenergo … Vimpelcom … MTS /МТС … Wimm - Bill - Dan … Sibnetf … Gazprom … Yukos … Lukoil … Transneft … OMZ … Nornickel … Lenenergo … Baltica … Aeroflot … Severstal … Surgutneftegaz … Average
TP on Acquisitions 1. Big + Big = Disaster. (Statistically.) (There are exceptions; e.g., Citigroup.) 2. Big (GE, Cisco, Omnicon) acquires small/specialist = Good … if you can retain Top Talent. 3. Odds on achieving “projected synergies” among Mixed Big “cultures”: 10%. 4. Max Scale Advantages are achieved at a smaller size than imagined. 5. Attacked by Big, Mediocre Medium marries Mediocre Medium to “bulk up.” Result: Big Mediocrity … or worse. 6. Any size— if Great & Focused—can win, locally or globally. 7. Increasingly, alliances deliver more value than mergers —and clearly abet flexibility.
The System of Information Disclosure in Russi a
The Current State of Research on Transparency
Trends in Corporate Governance
Lack of transparency in company management
Lack of accountability to shareholders on the part of management
Unfair treatment of minority shareholders
Weak coordination and advocacy among shareholders and stakeholders
Weak corporate governance culture
Poor enforcement and oversight of existing laws and regulations
The System of Information Disclosure in Russi a
Use of International Accounting Standards
Russian Regulations and Legislation
The Quarterly Report is drawn up on the basis of quarterly results and is ratified by the board of directors.
‘ Information about the issuer’
‘ Issuer financial and economical activity data’
‘ Information about company’s securities’
‘ Other information about issuer securities’
facts that ‘significantly affect financial and economical activity’ of the company
Election and abdication of the chief executive officer or a member of the board
Changes in the list of shareholders
Transactions accounting for 10% and more of the companies assets
Reorganization of the issuer and /or of its subsidiaries
etc
Previously Performed Research Analyses in Russia
Standard & Poor’s’:
Russia 2003 Transparency and Disclosure Survey
Ernst & Young:
2002 Fund Manager Survey on Russian Investments
PricewaterhouseCoopers:
Investigating the Costs of Opacity – Deterred Foreign Direct Investment
Brunswick UBS Warburg
Rating
Iclg, RID, ISMM and others.
Research Basis of the Research
Preconditions
Stages of the Research
Sample formation
Questionnaire Design
Conduct of Questioning
Data aggregation
Model is based on econometric tools
Research Object and Method of the Study
Object of the Study
Z is the investment decision making value
, and i – are coefficients
T - the transparency criterion
Yi - other I criterions of corporate governance and other possible values.
Method of the Study
Internet-trade and analytical sites
Corporate websites of the researched companies
Research Stages of the Research
Questionnaire Design
Corporate Statement and Policy Disclosure
Financial Transparency & Information Disclosure
Board and Management Structure and Process
Ownership Structure and Investor Relations
The Conduct of Questioning
Data Aggregation
Research Obtained Results
9 out of 23 companies have a transparency criterion higher than 2.00. This accounts for 39% of the sample.
Average value of the transparency criterion is 1.87, which equals to 43% of the possible maximum.
Wimm-Bill-Dan has the highest value of 2.48 (equals to 74%), where Tatneft ranked latest with 1.31 (equals to 16%)
1,09 Information on corporate conflicts. 1,04 The specifics of directors' pay? 1 Top 10 shareholders? 1 Any non-audit fees paid to the auditor? 1 How much it pays in audit fees to the auditor? Average value The minimum disclosed questions are: 2,83 The name of its auditing firm? 2,83 A list of board members? 2,83 The list of the senior managers? 2,91 Details of the kind of business it is in? 2,96 Details of the products or services produced/provided? Average value The most disclosed questions are:
Research Obtained Results
P/E and
Transparency
correlation
P/BV and
Transparency
correlation
Research Model Construction
Two competitive models
1 st
2 nd
Comparing
* better values are marked bold 0,03158 0,03158 0,18387 0,27254 2 nd 0,03128 0,03128 0,19470 0,27335 1 st F-test P-Value of 2nd factor P-Value of 1st factor R2 Model*
Research Results
Model Testing
Discussion of the Results
Research Results
Mosenergo
1,40 1,00 Total 0,27 0,18 1,54 Ownership Structure and Investor Relations 0,28 0,24 1,17 Board and Management Structure and Process 0,61 0,34 1,77 Financial Transparency & Information Disclosure 0,24 0,24 1 Corporate statement and policy disclosure Total Weight Score Category
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