Nevada State Agency Climate Change Survey


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Nevada State Agency Climate Change Survey

  1. 1. Orion Cuffe, Ira Cross, Elaine HirtStatistical Analysis for Business Decisions
  2. 2. Interdisciplinary Research ProjectNSHE is AdministratorFunded by $15M GrantSponsors: NSF, EPSCoRInstitutional Partners: UNR, UNLV, DRI
  3. 3. Important Role toDevelop Public PolicyImplementationMost Closely Match LocalNeeds for ClimateChange AdaptationOften Lack Resources andTimely & AccurateScientific InformationNecessary to ImplementPolicy Effectively
  4. 4. Received 29 CompleteAll Public Agencies Self-Selected ResponsesSent 204 Surveys 14.2% Response Rate
  5. 5. Special Business Non-Profit Purpose Association Organization Government 6% 3% Regional(School, Utility, Agency Water 13% District, etc.) 7% State Government Agency Local 23% Government Agency Federal 48% Government Agency 0%
  6. 6. Climate Change Priority Level?Organization Planning? Information Sources? Capacity for Planning? Constraints and Obstacles for Implementation? Cooperation Between Local Government & Organizations?
  7. 7. Is This Related to… That? Media Confidence in Science Information Source Organization Preparedness Size of Budget Number of Employees Organization Types How Does Nevada Compare with National Trends?
  8. 8. Data Cleaning & CodingSuccessful Tests Unsuccessful Tests Test of Two Means ANOVA T-Test of Proportions OLS Multiple Chi-Square Regression
  9. 9. Chi-Square Test Results Reveal Yes, There is a Relationship. P = 0.0409 Inverse RelationshipLess News = More ConfidenceMore News = Less ConfidenceConclusion: Watching the News ErodesConfidence in the Science.
  10. 10. Yes, Consultants Chi-Square Test Results Show Yes, There is a Relationship.Strengthen Confidence in P = 0.08the Climate ChangeScience When Used MoreOften.
  11. 11. No, Budget Size Does Not Play aRole Whether or Not an Agency isPrepared for Climate Change. Two Sample Test of Means gives P-Value: 0.427 at 95% Confidence Interval.
  12. 12. Chi-Square Test Results Show NORelationshipP = 0.6226Conclusion: Do Not Rely on the AgencyType Determine How Prepared theAgency is to Deal with Climate ChangeIssues. Applies to State Agencies toNon-Profit Organization.
  13. 13. Regardless of the Type of Agency, theConfidence in Climate Change ScienceRemained Unaffected.Chi-Square Test Reveals NORelationship.P-Value = 0.4504
  14. 14. Even the Number of Staff of an Organizationhas NO Affect in Preparedness for ClimateChange Issues. Two Sample Test of Means Reveals NO Relationship at 95% Confidence Interval. P-Value = 0.924 T-Test Score = 0.096
  15. 15. Is Climate Change a Priority? 18% Nevada Agencies Say Yes, It’s a Top Priority* 3% National Average Says Yes, It’s a Top Priority** Confident in the Science of Climate Change 71% Nevada Agencies Are Confident* 57% National Average Is Confident****Note: NOT statistically significant different due to extremely high error, a consequence of low sample size.**Bloomberg Poll conducted by Seizer & Co., Dec 3-7, 2009. N=1,000 adults nationwide +/- 3.1%***Pew Research Center Poll conducted Sept 30-Oct 4, 2009. N=1,500 adults nationwide +/- 3.1%
  16. 16. “This is a waste of time and money. You cannot do anything about climate change.”
  17. 17. “It’s hard to getconcerned, when reports are so conflicting, andpolitics play such a role.”
  18. 18. “What do we need to better plan? The Truth.”
  19. 19. “The national news media cannot be trusted to tell an unbiased truth!”
  20. 20. “A climate change clearing house.” “Get truthful, factual, long-term, non-political data!”
  21. 21. “Is it reallyreal, or madeup Al Gore BS?!”
  22. 22. Long Process to Create & Approve Survey UNR Survey PolicyVery Poor Lack of Response! Not Enough Samples Limited What Tests Could Be Used High Margin of ErrorSurvey Was Long Over 45 Questions
  23. 23. Collect More Responses Through PhoneInterviewsPlan for Focus Group ResearchPresentations—February & March 2010 Las Vegas, Nevada San Francisco, CaliforniaCollaboration with UNLV
  24. 24. Save the Earth. It’s the only planet with chocolate!