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Nevada State Agency Climate Change Survey

Nevada State Agency Climate Change Survey






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    Nevada State Agency Climate Change Survey Nevada State Agency Climate Change Survey Presentation Transcript

    • Orion Cuffe, Ira Cross, Elaine HirtStatistical Analysis for Business Decisions
    • Interdisciplinary Research ProjectNSHE is AdministratorFunded by $15M GrantSponsors: NSF, EPSCoRInstitutional Partners: UNR, UNLV, DRI
    • Important Role toDevelop Public PolicyImplementationMost Closely Match LocalNeeds for ClimateChange AdaptationOften Lack Resources andTimely & AccurateScientific InformationNecessary to ImplementPolicy Effectively
    • Surveymonkey.com Received 29 CompleteAll Public Agencies Self-Selected ResponsesSent 204 Surveys 14.2% Response Rate
    • Special Business Non-Profit Purpose Association Organization Government 6% 3% Regional(School, Utility, Agency Water 13% District, etc.) 7% State Government Agency Local 23% Government Agency Federal 48% Government Agency 0%
    • Climate Change Priority Level?Organization Planning? Information Sources? Capacity for Planning? Constraints and Obstacles for Implementation? Cooperation Between Local Government & Organizations?
    • Is This Related to… That? Media Confidence in Science Information Source Organization Preparedness Size of Budget Number of Employees Organization Types How Does Nevada Compare with National Trends?
    • Data Cleaning & CodingSuccessful Tests Unsuccessful Tests Test of Two Means ANOVA T-Test of Proportions OLS Multiple Chi-Square Regression
    • Chi-Square Test Results Reveal Yes, There is a Relationship. P = 0.0409 Inverse RelationshipLess News = More ConfidenceMore News = Less ConfidenceConclusion: Watching the News ErodesConfidence in the Science.
    • Yes, Consultants Chi-Square Test Results Show Yes, There is a Relationship.Strengthen Confidence in P = 0.08the Climate ChangeScience When Used MoreOften.
    • No, Budget Size Does Not Play aRole Whether or Not an Agency isPrepared for Climate Change. Two Sample Test of Means gives P-Value: 0.427 at 95% Confidence Interval.
    • Chi-Square Test Results Show NORelationshipP = 0.6226Conclusion: Do Not Rely on the AgencyType Determine How Prepared theAgency is to Deal with Climate ChangeIssues. Applies to State Agencies toNon-Profit Organization.
    • Regardless of the Type of Agency, theConfidence in Climate Change ScienceRemained Unaffected.Chi-Square Test Reveals NORelationship.P-Value = 0.4504
    • Even the Number of Staff of an Organizationhas NO Affect in Preparedness for ClimateChange Issues. Two Sample Test of Means Reveals NO Relationship at 95% Confidence Interval. P-Value = 0.924 T-Test Score = 0.096
    • Is Climate Change a Priority? 18% Nevada Agencies Say Yes, It’s a Top Priority* 3% National Average Says Yes, It’s a Top Priority** Confident in the Science of Climate Change 71% Nevada Agencies Are Confident* 57% National Average Is Confident****Note: NOT statistically significant different due to extremely high error, a consequence of low sample size.**Bloomberg Poll conducted by Seizer & Co., Dec 3-7, 2009. N=1,000 adults nationwide +/- 3.1%***Pew Research Center Poll conducted Sept 30-Oct 4, 2009. N=1,500 adults nationwide +/- 3.1%
    • “This is a waste of time and money. You cannot do anything about climate change.”
    • “It’s hard to getconcerned, when reports are so conflicting, andpolitics play such a role.”
    • “What do we need to better plan? The Truth.”
    • “The national news media cannot be trusted to tell an unbiased truth!”
    • “A climate change clearing house.” “Get truthful, factual, long-term, non-political data!”
    • “Is it reallyreal, or madeup Al Gore BS?!”
    • Long Process to Create & Approve Survey UNR Survey PolicyVery Poor Lack of Response! Not Enough Samples Limited What Tests Could Be Used High Margin of ErrorSurvey Was Long Over 45 Questions
    • Collect More Responses Through PhoneInterviewsPlan for Focus Group ResearchPresentations—February & March 2010 Las Vegas, Nevada San Francisco, CaliforniaCollaboration with UNLV
    • Save the Earth. It’s the only planet with chocolate!