Semiconductor Fab Trends and Forecast - January 2012
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Semiconductor Fab Trends and Forecast - January 2012

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The presentation contains Information and data on frontend semiconductor and LED fabs. The charts and tables are from an article published on January 10, 2012. Visit ...

The presentation contains Information and data on frontend semiconductor and LED fabs. The charts and tables are from an article published on January 10, 2012. Visit http://www.semi.org/en/node/40341 to read the entire article.

Other resources:
www.semi.org/fabs
www.semi.org/marketinfo

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Semiconductor Fab Trends and Forecast - January 2012 Semiconductor Fab Trends and Forecast - January 2012 Presentation Transcript

  • Industry Research and StatisticsFrontend Semiconductor Fabs Trends & Forecast January 2012
  • About UsThe SEMI Industry Research and Statistics group provides market data and marketresearch reports covering semiconductor capital equipment, photovoltaicequipment, semiconductor materials, packaging materials, semiconductor,optoelectronics, and high brightness LED fabs.For our major reports, we collect actual data from suppliers around the worldfollowing strict professional standards of confidentiality. Our reports provide trends,forecast, and outlook to help the industry make important investment, strategic,and business planning decisions.For additional information regarding our products and our data collection program,please visit us at www.semi.org/marketinfo or contact us at mktstats@semi.org.
  • Highlights• The growth rate for equipment spending (including discretes) for 2011 declined to about 18% to $39.2B (was 23% or $41B in the August edition), which is still the highest on record.• Expect a decline of almost 12% in equipment spending in 2012. Samsung is expected to increase their investment in 2012, which is the main reason for the "slower" decline in equipment spending.• Expected growth in worldwide installed capacity is about 7% in 2011 to 15.2M wafers/month (in 200mm equivalent) (was also 7% in the August report)• In 2012, worldwide installed capacity is expected to slow a bit and will increase by about 6% (was 7% in the August 2011 edition).• Spending for fab construction projects (including discretes) is expected to increase in 2011 by about 16% to $6B (was 7% as reported in the August 2011 edition).• Seven new facilities are currently expected to begin construction in 2012 with 3 for Memory, 3 for Discrete, and 1 for Analog. Source: SEMI World Fab Forecast (November 2011 edition)
  • Fab Equipment SpendingRegion 2010 2011 2012 Change 2011 Change 2012Americas $ 5,543 $ 8,944 $ 6,158 61.4% -31.1%China $ 2,481 $ 3,126 $ 2,934 26.0% -6.1%Europe & Mideast $ 2,304 $ 3,767 $ 3,041 63.5% -19.3%Japan $ 3,780 $ 5,525 $ 3,825 46.2% -30.8%Korea $ 7,592 $ 7,400 $ 10,255 -2.5% 38.6%SE Asia $ 2,035 $ 2,471 $ 1,792 21.4% -27.5%Taiwan $ 9,555 $ 7,997 $ 7,048 -16.3% -11.9%SUM $ 33,290 $ 39,230 $ 35,053 17.8% -10.6%Source: SEMI World Fab Forecast (November 2011 edition)
  • Fab Equipment Spending Comparing Fab equipment spending by quarter Change rate 2007-2009 with 2010-2012 80% 60% 2007 to 2009 40% 2011 to 2012 20% 0% 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q -20% 2007 2008 2009 -40% 2010 2011 2012 Source: SEMI World Fab Forecast preliminary Jan 2012 Source: SEMI World Fab Forecast (November 2011 edition)
  • Fab Equipment Spending Comparing Fab equipment spending by quarter US$ million 2007-2009 with 2012-2012 $12 2011 to 2012 $10 $8 $6 2007 to 2009 $4 $2 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 $- 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q Source: SEMI World Fab Forecast preliminary Jan 2012 Source: SEMI World Fab Forecast (November 2011 edition)
  • Fab Equipment Spending Fab equipment spending over time % change US$ billion 160% 140% $41 120% $31 100% 80% $21 60% $11 40% 20% $1 0% 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 ($9) -20% -40% ($19) -60% Source: SEMI World Fab Forecast November 2011 edition Source: SEMI World Fab Forecast (November 2011 edition)
  • Fab Spending by Product Type Foundry/Dedicated Largest fab spending by product type Memory Flash US$ billion System LSI $3.5 MPU Memory DRAM $3.0 $2.5 $2.0 $1.5 $1.0 $0.5 $0.0 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 Source: SEMI World Fab Forecast preliminary Jan 2012 Source: SEMI World Fab Forecast (November 2011 edition)
  • Installed Capacity Installed capacity by wafer size % change Change rate 300mm 30% 200mm 25% rest 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% -5% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 -10% -15% Source: SEMI World Fab Forecast preliminary Jan 2012 Source: SEMI World Fab Forecast (November 2011 edition)
  • Installed Capacity Installed capacity by product type in millions (in 200mm equivalents) 4,500 4,000 Foundry 3,500 Flash 3,000 DRAM 2,500 2,000 Discrete/Power 1,500 Analog 1,000 System LSI 500 MPU 0 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 Source: SEMI World Fab Forecast preliminary Jan 2012 Source: SEMI World Fab Forecast (November 2011 edition)
  • ResourcesVisit http://www.semi.org/en/node/40341 to read the complete articleregarding the data in this presentation.Website www.semi.org/marketinfo www.semi.org/fabsFollow us on www.twitter.com/SEMI_mktstats www.slideshare.net/ehallSEMI www.youtube.com/user/SEMImktstats
  • www.semi.org/marketinfo
  • Appendix www.semi.org/fabs
  • Market Research Reports Semiconductor Semiconductor Fabs / Semiconductor Equipment Materials Foundries Packaging• Equipment Market • Material Market Data • World Fab Forecast • Global Data Subscription Subscription (MMDS) Semiconductor (EMDS) • FabFutures Packaging Materials • Photomask Report * Outlook 2011 NEW• Book-to-Bill Report • World Fab Watch • Silicon Reclaim Wafer• WWSEMS Report * • European • China (1991-2010) Microelectronic Fab Semiconductor Database and Packaging• Book-to-Bill Report 2012 NEW Outlook (1991-2010)• Secondary Equipment Report** Notes: * These reports are included FREE with the purchase of the MMDS report, but also available as separate reports. ** Third-party report
  • World Fab Databases SEMI® Fab Databases • Data on fab equipment spending • Data on fab construction/projects • Data on fab capacity • Forecast information on frontend fab activities
  • World Fab Databases Includes Tables and Graphs
  • World Fab DatabasesDetail Fab Information Other Columns LocationCompany Fab Type Name Product Type Products Technology Current Geometry Current wafer size Install Equip (date) First Silicon (date) Production (date) Construction costOwnership Equipping cost Total cost Wafer capacity* Wafer size* Geometry*Joint Construction spending*Venture Equipment spending*Partners …. …. more… * On a quarterly basis. Source: SEMI® World Fab Forecast
  • World Fab Databases Pivot tables allow customize views Select to include various types Select company or chose all
  • World Fab Databases Summary Company Detail Capacity by Country & Region Graphs (12) & Tables (16) Spending by Region Capacity by Company Spending by Company Capacity by Foundries Capacity by Wafers size and Year Capacity by Product Type and Year Capacity by Geometry and Year
  • World Fab DatabasesCustomize your own graph and chart Cut and Paste In separate spreadsheet Create customized graph 200,000 180,000 160,000 140,000 120,000 100,000 Series1 Series2 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 Hynix Hynix Hynix-ST Hynix-ST Semiconductor Semiconductor Semiconductor Semiconductor Ltd Ltd
  • World Fab Databases: Availability Single copy (single-user, 1 edition) Subscription (single-user, 4 editions, 1 year) Multi-user Global License (x number of users, 4 editions, 1 year)  Based on x number of users  Need to keep track of (record) each user Unlimited Users Global License (unlimited users, 4 editions, 1 year)  Can be posted on the companies intranet  Fab database can be access by all employees  No need to track each user
  • World Fab DatabasesDatabases are published at the end of the following months February May August November Availability may be 2 to 3 days after publication date if for example the date falls on a weekend Data updated on a daily basis – Published 4x per year
  • Need Customized Reports?Custom reports generated• Fab Transitional Report (fabs to be sold, sold, for sale, may-be-closed, etc)• Historical Fab Report – # of fabs operational/year (1988-2008) – Total spending on fabs per year (1988-2008) – wafer capacity by geometry (1994 – 2008)• Historical Fab Report – Fab Construction spending (1996 – 2007) – Fab Equipping spending (1996 – 2007)• Regional Fab Capacity Report (2000 - 2008) Contact us to discuss your market research needs.
  • Contact Us Today!Contact Edwin Hall: ehall@semi.orgWebsite www.semi.org/marketinfo www.semi.org/fabsFollow us on www.twitter.com/SEMI_mktstatsJoin our circle on Google+ https://plus.google.com/113399827238426377456/posts Data on the Semiconductor Equipment, Materials, and Fab Market