FUTURE LEADERS NOW!
 Why the world needs a whole lot of talent,
     and why ASTD must help train it




       Conflict r...
FORESIGHT 101

STRUCTURAL +  ACTOR    + WILDCARD EVENTS
  FACTORS    DECISIONS
1. We need talent in general




2. We need leaders in particular



                             All of 'em?

 3. You nee...
Four strategic trends in the talent crisis

                  AGING

         INTERNATIONAL COMPETITION


          KNOWLE...
WE MUST DO
WHAT HAS NEVER BEEN DONE
LEADERSHIP CHALLENGE:
Replace a workforce of 70 million with one of 30 million
LEADERSHIP CHALLENGE:
Prepare for constant immigration from an additional three
  billion human beings who want hot shower...
LEADERSHIP CHALLENGE:

Get clean water to the 50% of humans who still don’t have
       the sanitary conditions of the Rom...
LEADERSHIP CHALLENGE:

Get clean water to the 50% of humans who still don’t have
       the sanitary conditions of the Rom...
LEADERSHIP CHALLENGE:
Make people healthy in a system forecast to cost from
        two trillion to FOUR trillion per year...
LEADERSHIP CHALLENGE:
Manage a “knowledge economy”
LEADERSHIP CHALLENGE:
Manage unprecedented urbanization




1800: 3%    1900: 6%      2007: 51%   2030: 60%
LEADERSHIP CHALLENGE:
Manage unprecedented urbanization




1800: 3%    1900: 6%      2007: 51%   2030: 60%
LEADERSHIP CHALLENGE:
                                      Move ecological business from
                                ...
FOUR THINGS TO DO TODAY:
• View training and employee retention as part of the profit column
• Offer secession planning and...
THANK YOU!
         Eric Garland
  Competitive Futures, Inc.
1317 F St. NW Wash, DC 20004
 www.competitivefutures.com
    ...
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Future Leaders Now

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Unprecedented social trends on the horizon will make the profession of training and development more important than ever. Our institutions are faced with challenges with no parallel in history: shrinking water tables, global immigration, climate change, skyrocketing healthcare costs. The world needs leaders now, to do that which has never been done.

These leaders won’t just appear - the must be trained and developed. The need for education of new skills and mindsets is staggering. Even the needs are changing every day as the global economic system shifts before our very eyes. Eric Garland, a futurist and consultant to leaders around the globe, presents a dialogue about how the training industry has the opportunity to shape our common future - and what you can do today!

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Future Leaders Now

  1. 1. FUTURE LEADERS NOW! Why the world needs a whole lot of talent, and why ASTD must help train it Conflict resolution classes, please! t I need to learn abou g! forensic accountin
  2. 2. FORESIGHT 101 STRUCTURAL + ACTOR + WILDCARD EVENTS FACTORS DECISIONS
  3. 3. 1. We need talent in general 2. We need leaders in particular All of 'em? 3. You need to train them
  4. 4. Four strategic trends in the talent crisis AGING INTERNATIONAL COMPETITION KNOWLEDGE ECONOMY GENERATION X & Y
  5. 5. WE MUST DO WHAT HAS NEVER BEEN DONE
  6. 6. LEADERSHIP CHALLENGE: Replace a workforce of 70 million with one of 30 million
  7. 7. LEADERSHIP CHALLENGE: Prepare for constant immigration from an additional three billion human beings who want hot showers, jobs, etc.
  8. 8. LEADERSHIP CHALLENGE: Get clean water to the 50% of humans who still don’t have the sanitary conditions of the Roman Empire
  9. 9. LEADERSHIP CHALLENGE: Get clean water to the 50% of humans who still don’t have the sanitary conditions of the Roman Empire
  10. 10. LEADERSHIP CHALLENGE: Make people healthy in a system forecast to cost from two trillion to FOUR trillion per year That stings a little... Well, I’m sucking $400,000 out of your blood.
  11. 11. LEADERSHIP CHALLENGE: Manage a “knowledge economy”
  12. 12. LEADERSHIP CHALLENGE: Manage unprecedented urbanization 1800: 3% 1900: 6% 2007: 51% 2030: 60%
  13. 13. LEADERSHIP CHALLENGE: Manage unprecedented urbanization 1800: 3% 1900: 6% 2007: 51% 2030: 60%
  14. 14. LEADERSHIP CHALLENGE: Move ecological business from feel-good to functional GreenWashing Cleantech Ocean wave energy Organic baby Carbon neutral wine clothes “All natural” Cheetos Ford’s River Rouge FutureGen clean coal production facility electrical plant
  15. 15. FOUR THINGS TO DO TODAY: • View training and employee retention as part of the profit column • Offer secession planning and mentoring so power can be handed off smoothly • Spread the word about these global challenges • Work with Human Resources to prepare for a diverse workforce - half-time, retiree, immigrant, full-time, working mother
  16. 16. THANK YOU! Eric Garland Competitive Futures, Inc. 1317 F St. NW Wash, DC 20004 www.competitivefutures.com (202) 508-1496
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