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INDUSTRY ANALYSIS




Group 3
Mayra Garcia
Garrett Matthews
Nick Watkins
Lindsey Pacatte
Cory Logan
David Hayward
Gary Taylor
WENDY’S ORGANIZATION

     Wendy’s founded by Dave Thomas
     Went to work for Hobby House
     Turned the three restaurants
       around became a millionaire
FIRST WENDY’S

   First Wendy’s November 15, 1969
    Columbus Ohio
   Offered a homey place and fast food

   Made to order hamburgers
DAVE’S INNOVATION

        1st to offer never frozen and fresh
         beef
        1st to offer salad bar and baked
         potato
        Creation of modern day pick-up
         window
WENDY’S/ARBY’S
MERGE
 April 2008 Wendy’s and Arby’s parent
  companies Merge
 Create 3rd largest fast-food restaurant chain
  in the United States with 12.5 B sales,
  10,000 units
 Today Wendy’s has more than 6,600
  restaurants in the US and other markets
INDUSTRY OVERVIEW

•   8 million restaurants in the world and some
    300,000 restaurant companies
•   Divided into full service and fast food

•   The fast food industry is exceedingly
    fragmented

•   The top 50 companies hold about 25 percent of
    industry sales.
INDUSTRY OVERVIEW

   Wendy’s is a QSR

   Competitors that we compared to Wendy’s
    are McDonalds, Jack-in-the-Box, and Sonic

   Taken as a whole, restaurant sales have
    been increasing just over 5% annually.
ANNUAL SALES

   The full-service restaurant segment of the
    food industry is anticipated to generate $173
    billion in sales

   Fast food and quick service restaurant
    industry includes about 200,000 restaurants
    with combined annual revenue of $120
    billion.
DIVERSIFYING WORKFORCE

   Made up of 12.2 million employees and is
    highly labor intensive.

   Restaurant industry workers make up 9
    percent of the nation’s workforce.

   By 2015, the restaurant industry is predicted
    to add another 1.8 million positions.
DIVERSIFYING WORKFORCE
•   Increasing number of foreign-born workers in the
    United States
•   According to the U.S. Census Bureau there are 33.5
    million foreign-born individuals in the United States
    who make up 11.7 percent of the total population.
•   Presence of foreign-born workers in the restaurant
    workforce is anticipated to swell in the coming years.
•   The supply of workers age 16 to 24 has been
    declining
PORTER’S FIVE FORCES MODEL
•   Rivalry Among Existing Firms
•   Threats of New Entrants
•   Threat of Substitutes
•   Bargaining Power of the Customer
•   Bargaining Power of Suppliers
RIVALRY AMONG EXISTING FIRMS

 Help measure the level of profitability
 QSR has intense competition for growth in
  the market
 Customers face low switching costs

 QSR is labor intensive with low knowledge
  required
 Low level of growth increases the rivalry
RIVALS CONTINUED
   QSR does not face many exit barriers

   The industry is risky to enter

   All firms offer same basic items

   Differentiate through design, variety,
    quality, and speed
THREAT OF NEW ENTRANTS

 Economies of Scale
 Capital Investment Requirements

 Access to Distribution Channels

 Reaction of Other Industry Players
THREATS OF NEW ENTRANTS

   Economies of Scale
     In mass production, as production efficiency
      increases; cost decreases
     Total assets: cash, inventories, property and
      equipment, and trademarks
THREATS OF NEW ENTRANTS

  TOTAL ASSET                 Data (in millions) obtained from companies 10k

                    2003      2004                  2005                   2006      2007

  Wendy's           $1,333    $3,198                $6,440                 $2,060    $1,455

  McDonalds         $25,838   $27,838               $29,989                $29,024   $29,392

  Jack in the Box   $1,142    $1,325                $1,338                 $1,520    $1,375

  Sonic             $486      $518                  $563                   $638      $759



  AVERAGE           $7,200    $8,220                $9,583                 $8,311    $8,245
THREAT OF NEW ENTRANTS
   Capital Investment Requirement/Legal Barriers
       Stay up with location of units, quality and speed of service, attractiveness of
        facilities, effectiveness of marketing and new product development
       High overhead cost: rent, labor, rates and bank interest charge

       Franchise ($250,000 to $1M)
            High start-up and ongoing capital requirements

       State/Federal regulation
            Federal Trade Commission
            Americans Disabilities Act

       Trademarks and patents
            Brand awareness
THREATS OF NEW ENTRANTS

   Access of Distribution Channels
     Acquiring    subsidiaries
        Wendy’s   Bakery Co.


     Established    relationships with suppliers
THREATS OF NEW ENTRANTS
   Reaction of other industry players
     Starbuck coffee vs. McDonalds premium coffee
     Dollar Menu
        Who   was the first to use the dollar menu?

     Healthy     fast food
        Baked    potatoes
        salads
        Yogurt
        Bananas
THREAT OF SUBSTITUTES AND THE QUICK
SERVICE RESTAURANT INDUSTRY
   The threat of substitutes in the industry is
    very high
     Many  store locations and companies
     A choice in the type of quick-service restaurant

   One industry competitor of the QSR is the
    Full-Service Restaurant Industry
     Offershigher levels of service at higher prices
     More focus on food quality
THREAT OF SUBSTITUTES BASED ON
ENVIRONMENTAL FACTORS
•   The general state of the economy
    –   When consumers have more disposable income
        they will often choose higher quality food

•   Societal views and perceptions
    –   Consumers are becoming more health
        conscious; this leads them to avoid many firms
        within the QSR industry
SUBSTITUTES BASED ON ENVIRONMENTAL
FACTORS CONTINUED…
   The age of the consumer
     Older  customers prefer higher service and food
      quality



   Mood of the customer
     Families   or couples who desire to eat and relax
      will see firms in the FSR industry as the obvious
      choice
BARGAINING POWER OF SUPPLIERS

                    “Definition”
 Their ability to set their prices for their
  customers

   Truly competitive market

   Best Deals = Long working relationships
BARGAINING POWER OF SUPPLIERS

                     “Factors”
 Differentiation of Inputs

 Switching Cost

 Substitute of Products

 Importance of Volume to the Supplier

 Cost Relative to the Total Purchase of
  Industry
BARGAINING POWER OF SUPPLIERS
      Bargaining Power is Highest When:
 Sellers product has few substitutes and is
  important to buyer
 When differentiation makes it costly to switch
  suppliers
 When suppliers can vertically integrate and
  compete with buyer
 When buyers can’t vertically integrate
  backward and supply their own needs
BARGAINING POWER OF CUSTOMERS
   The QSR products are undifferentiated
   Companies must compete on price to attract
    customers
   This gives the customers a high amount of
    bargaining power
   Customers determine what products are offered
   Customers determine what the price the products
ECONOMIC FACTORS IN THE ENVIRONMENT

Even though the economy is in a downturn
   QSR companies sell a product that is ideal for the
    current economic environment
   QSR companies are still posting growths in sales
    and revenues
   QSR companies are still expanding their operations
ECONOMIC FACTORS IN THE ENVIRONMENT

Economic factor implications for the QSR
   The current recession gives QSR companies the
    ability to weather the storm
   Could use the opportunity to take market share
    away from full-service restaurants
   Low borrowing costs can allow them to expand into
    new markets
COMPETITIVE FACTORS IN THE ENVIRONMENT

The firms in the QSR compete on
   Low price so they must continuously strive to cut
    costs
   Competing on price forces QSR companies to take
    small margins on products
   Successful competition depends selling a large
    volume of products
COMPETITIVE FACTORS IN THE ENVIRONMENT

The competitive implications for the QSR
 To survive in the QSR a company must have a
  large number of restaurants
 Only a few companies are able to compete on a
  global scale
 However regional and hometown offerings can
  compete on a small scale
 To compete with the smaller firms QSR
  companies must improve customer service
TECHNOLOGICAL
 Technology within the QSR has helped firms
  gain market share from other suppliers
 Point of Sale (POS)
     Order   taking

     Speed   of service

     Computer    capabilities
LEAN ACT

 The Labeling Education and Nutrition Act
  (LEAN Act) legislation is the first of its kind
  affecting prepared foods which would require
  chains with more than 20 units to post calorie
  counts for all menu items
 Requires packaged foods to include nutrition
  information.
GEOGRAPHICAL FEATURES

   Wendy’s alone has over 6,600 stores in 20
    countries

   Though Wendy’s has merged with Triarc,
    both entities have decided to continue
    running independently of one another
GEOGRAPHICAL FEATURES CONTINUED…

   In the four highest populated states, Wendy’s
    operates over 1,400 stores



   The majority of Wendy’s locations are in the
    Central and Eastern regions of the United
    States
SOCIAL FACTORS INFLUENCING THE INDUSTRY
 Disposable Income
     Teens in the US have large amounts of
      disposable income
   The United States’ middle class
     Working  adults spend 1/3 of the day working,
      QSR firms rely on these individuals picking up
      food on their commute home
   Religious and Cultural challenges
     McDonalds   and the non-beef patty in India
     Social Hierarchies aren’t present in parent country
CURRENT RATIO
                                        Current Ratio
                         1.80
                         1.60
                         1.40
                         1.20
                         1.00
                         0.80
                         0.60
                         0.40
                         0.20
                         0.00
                                 2003    2004    2005   2006   2007
               Wendy's           0.88     0.67   1.30   1.66   0.82
               McDonald          0.69     0.70   1.51   1.21   0.79
               Jack in the Box   0.63     0.87   1.03   1.19   0.64
               Sonic             0.93     0.70   0.54   0.54   0.69


   Ability to pay back short-term debts with current assets
   Industry as a whole seems normal
   Inventories can be converted to cash quickly
GROSS PROFIT MARGIN
                                 Gross Profit Margin
              60.00%
              50.00%
              40.00%
              30.00%
              20.00%
              10.00%
              0.00%
                         2003         2004     2005     2006     2007
      Wendy's           48.62%       45.27%   44.51%   44.56%   33.21%
      McDonald's        30.32%       31.75%   31.45%   32.36%   31.57%
      Jack in the Box   17.62%       17.55%   16.99%   17.45%   16.52%
      Sonic             34.68%       33.10%   32.29%   32.40%   34.02%


    • Measures the ability to generate earnings
    compared to expenses

    • Ratio gives proportion of money left over for
    revenue after cost of       goods sold
NET PROFIT MARGIN
                                  Net Profit Margin
               20.00%
               18.00%
               16.00%
               14.00%
               12.00%
               10.00%
                8.00%
                6.00%
                4.00%
                2.00%
                0.00%
                          2003       2004      2005     2006     2007
       Wendy's           9.32%       1.77%    10.48%   4.38%    12.57%
       McDonald's        11.95%     12.25%    13.12%   16.42%   18.20%
       Jack in the Box   4.30%       3.22%    3.66%    3.91%    4.02%
       Sonic             11.70%     10.82%    11.31%   11.35%   10.20%


  • Tells   the company if it is effective at controlling
  costs

  • Net Profit Margin is the return on sales
RETURN ON ASSETS
                                Return on Assets
                 2.5
                    2
                 1.5
                    1
                 0.5
                    0
                         2003       2004    2005   2006   2007
       Wendy's           0.95       0.94    0.67   0.63   0.85
       McDonald's        0.72       0.72    0.71   0.72   0.73
       Jack in the Box   1.94       2.03    1.95   2.07   2.01
       Sonic             1.1        1.1     1.2    1.23   1.22




 • Return on investment from stockholders and creditors

 • Helps company see how efficient the company is at
 generating revenues compared to use of assets
RETURN ON EQUITY
                                Return on Equity
             25.00%

             20.00%

             15.00%

             10.00%

             5.00%

             0.00%
                        2003       2004     2005     2006     2007
     Wendy's           16.29%     2.95%    13.06%   4.58%    3.47%
     McDonald's        14.31%     19.02%   18.32%   23.40%   18.95%
     Jack in the Box   15.10%     16.58%   16.54%   19.11%   18.25%
     Sonic             22.66%     21.87%   21.04%   20.29%   22.04%


  • Rate of return on stockholders’ investment in the
  company

  • How much profit the company is generating with
  the stockholders’ money
DEBT-TO-ASSET RATIO
                                   Debt/Asset
                    1.2

                       1

                    0.8

                    0.6

                    0.4

                    0.2

                       0
                            2003     2004   2005   2006   2007
          Wendy's           0.57     0.72   0.86   0.69   0.69
          McDonald's        0.53     0.49   0.49   0.47   0.48
          Sonic             0.45     0.35   0.32   0.39   1.14
          Jack in the Box   0.72     0.57   0.58   0.53   0.7




   •Measures company’s ability to pay debt
   •Measures solvency
   •Little volatility within companies; but all are
   satisfying debt requirements

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Industry analysis

  • 1. INDUSTRY ANALYSIS Group 3 Mayra Garcia Garrett Matthews Nick Watkins Lindsey Pacatte Cory Logan David Hayward Gary Taylor
  • 2. WENDY’S ORGANIZATION  Wendy’s founded by Dave Thomas  Went to work for Hobby House  Turned the three restaurants around became a millionaire
  • 3. FIRST WENDY’S  First Wendy’s November 15, 1969 Columbus Ohio  Offered a homey place and fast food  Made to order hamburgers
  • 4. DAVE’S INNOVATION  1st to offer never frozen and fresh beef  1st to offer salad bar and baked potato  Creation of modern day pick-up window
  • 5. WENDY’S/ARBY’S MERGE  April 2008 Wendy’s and Arby’s parent companies Merge  Create 3rd largest fast-food restaurant chain in the United States with 12.5 B sales, 10,000 units  Today Wendy’s has more than 6,600 restaurants in the US and other markets
  • 6. INDUSTRY OVERVIEW • 8 million restaurants in the world and some 300,000 restaurant companies • Divided into full service and fast food • The fast food industry is exceedingly fragmented • The top 50 companies hold about 25 percent of industry sales.
  • 7. INDUSTRY OVERVIEW  Wendy’s is a QSR  Competitors that we compared to Wendy’s are McDonalds, Jack-in-the-Box, and Sonic  Taken as a whole, restaurant sales have been increasing just over 5% annually.
  • 8. ANNUAL SALES  The full-service restaurant segment of the food industry is anticipated to generate $173 billion in sales  Fast food and quick service restaurant industry includes about 200,000 restaurants with combined annual revenue of $120 billion.
  • 9. DIVERSIFYING WORKFORCE  Made up of 12.2 million employees and is highly labor intensive.  Restaurant industry workers make up 9 percent of the nation’s workforce.  By 2015, the restaurant industry is predicted to add another 1.8 million positions.
  • 10. DIVERSIFYING WORKFORCE • Increasing number of foreign-born workers in the United States • According to the U.S. Census Bureau there are 33.5 million foreign-born individuals in the United States who make up 11.7 percent of the total population. • Presence of foreign-born workers in the restaurant workforce is anticipated to swell in the coming years. • The supply of workers age 16 to 24 has been declining
  • 11. PORTER’S FIVE FORCES MODEL • Rivalry Among Existing Firms • Threats of New Entrants • Threat of Substitutes • Bargaining Power of the Customer • Bargaining Power of Suppliers
  • 12. RIVALRY AMONG EXISTING FIRMS  Help measure the level of profitability  QSR has intense competition for growth in the market  Customers face low switching costs  QSR is labor intensive with low knowledge required  Low level of growth increases the rivalry
  • 13. RIVALS CONTINUED  QSR does not face many exit barriers  The industry is risky to enter  All firms offer same basic items  Differentiate through design, variety, quality, and speed
  • 14. THREAT OF NEW ENTRANTS  Economies of Scale  Capital Investment Requirements  Access to Distribution Channels  Reaction of Other Industry Players
  • 15. THREATS OF NEW ENTRANTS  Economies of Scale  In mass production, as production efficiency increases; cost decreases  Total assets: cash, inventories, property and equipment, and trademarks
  • 16. THREATS OF NEW ENTRANTS TOTAL ASSET Data (in millions) obtained from companies 10k 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Wendy's $1,333 $3,198 $6,440 $2,060 $1,455 McDonalds $25,838 $27,838 $29,989 $29,024 $29,392 Jack in the Box $1,142 $1,325 $1,338 $1,520 $1,375 Sonic $486 $518 $563 $638 $759 AVERAGE $7,200 $8,220 $9,583 $8,311 $8,245
  • 17. THREAT OF NEW ENTRANTS  Capital Investment Requirement/Legal Barriers  Stay up with location of units, quality and speed of service, attractiveness of facilities, effectiveness of marketing and new product development  High overhead cost: rent, labor, rates and bank interest charge  Franchise ($250,000 to $1M)  High start-up and ongoing capital requirements  State/Federal regulation  Federal Trade Commission  Americans Disabilities Act  Trademarks and patents  Brand awareness
  • 18. THREATS OF NEW ENTRANTS  Access of Distribution Channels  Acquiring subsidiaries  Wendy’s Bakery Co.  Established relationships with suppliers
  • 19. THREATS OF NEW ENTRANTS  Reaction of other industry players  Starbuck coffee vs. McDonalds premium coffee  Dollar Menu  Who was the first to use the dollar menu?  Healthy fast food  Baked potatoes  salads  Yogurt  Bananas
  • 20. THREAT OF SUBSTITUTES AND THE QUICK SERVICE RESTAURANT INDUSTRY  The threat of substitutes in the industry is very high  Many store locations and companies  A choice in the type of quick-service restaurant  One industry competitor of the QSR is the Full-Service Restaurant Industry  Offershigher levels of service at higher prices  More focus on food quality
  • 21. THREAT OF SUBSTITUTES BASED ON ENVIRONMENTAL FACTORS • The general state of the economy – When consumers have more disposable income they will often choose higher quality food • Societal views and perceptions – Consumers are becoming more health conscious; this leads them to avoid many firms within the QSR industry
  • 22. SUBSTITUTES BASED ON ENVIRONMENTAL FACTORS CONTINUED…  The age of the consumer  Older customers prefer higher service and food quality  Mood of the customer  Families or couples who desire to eat and relax will see firms in the FSR industry as the obvious choice
  • 23. BARGAINING POWER OF SUPPLIERS “Definition”  Their ability to set their prices for their customers  Truly competitive market  Best Deals = Long working relationships
  • 24. BARGAINING POWER OF SUPPLIERS “Factors”  Differentiation of Inputs  Switching Cost  Substitute of Products  Importance of Volume to the Supplier  Cost Relative to the Total Purchase of Industry
  • 25. BARGAINING POWER OF SUPPLIERS Bargaining Power is Highest When:  Sellers product has few substitutes and is important to buyer  When differentiation makes it costly to switch suppliers  When suppliers can vertically integrate and compete with buyer  When buyers can’t vertically integrate backward and supply their own needs
  • 26. BARGAINING POWER OF CUSTOMERS  The QSR products are undifferentiated  Companies must compete on price to attract customers  This gives the customers a high amount of bargaining power  Customers determine what products are offered  Customers determine what the price the products
  • 27. ECONOMIC FACTORS IN THE ENVIRONMENT Even though the economy is in a downturn  QSR companies sell a product that is ideal for the current economic environment  QSR companies are still posting growths in sales and revenues  QSR companies are still expanding their operations
  • 28. ECONOMIC FACTORS IN THE ENVIRONMENT Economic factor implications for the QSR  The current recession gives QSR companies the ability to weather the storm  Could use the opportunity to take market share away from full-service restaurants  Low borrowing costs can allow them to expand into new markets
  • 29. COMPETITIVE FACTORS IN THE ENVIRONMENT The firms in the QSR compete on  Low price so they must continuously strive to cut costs  Competing on price forces QSR companies to take small margins on products  Successful competition depends selling a large volume of products
  • 30. COMPETITIVE FACTORS IN THE ENVIRONMENT The competitive implications for the QSR  To survive in the QSR a company must have a large number of restaurants  Only a few companies are able to compete on a global scale  However regional and hometown offerings can compete on a small scale  To compete with the smaller firms QSR companies must improve customer service
  • 31. TECHNOLOGICAL  Technology within the QSR has helped firms gain market share from other suppliers  Point of Sale (POS)  Order taking  Speed of service  Computer capabilities
  • 32. LEAN ACT  The Labeling Education and Nutrition Act (LEAN Act) legislation is the first of its kind affecting prepared foods which would require chains with more than 20 units to post calorie counts for all menu items  Requires packaged foods to include nutrition information.
  • 33. GEOGRAPHICAL FEATURES  Wendy’s alone has over 6,600 stores in 20 countries  Though Wendy’s has merged with Triarc, both entities have decided to continue running independently of one another
  • 34. GEOGRAPHICAL FEATURES CONTINUED…  In the four highest populated states, Wendy’s operates over 1,400 stores  The majority of Wendy’s locations are in the Central and Eastern regions of the United States
  • 35. SOCIAL FACTORS INFLUENCING THE INDUSTRY  Disposable Income  Teens in the US have large amounts of disposable income  The United States’ middle class  Working adults spend 1/3 of the day working, QSR firms rely on these individuals picking up food on their commute home  Religious and Cultural challenges  McDonalds and the non-beef patty in India  Social Hierarchies aren’t present in parent country
  • 36. CURRENT RATIO Current Ratio 1.80 1.60 1.40 1.20 1.00 0.80 0.60 0.40 0.20 0.00 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Wendy's 0.88 0.67 1.30 1.66 0.82 McDonald 0.69 0.70 1.51 1.21 0.79 Jack in the Box 0.63 0.87 1.03 1.19 0.64 Sonic 0.93 0.70 0.54 0.54 0.69  Ability to pay back short-term debts with current assets  Industry as a whole seems normal  Inventories can be converted to cash quickly
  • 37. GROSS PROFIT MARGIN Gross Profit Margin 60.00% 50.00% 40.00% 30.00% 20.00% 10.00% 0.00% 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Wendy's 48.62% 45.27% 44.51% 44.56% 33.21% McDonald's 30.32% 31.75% 31.45% 32.36% 31.57% Jack in the Box 17.62% 17.55% 16.99% 17.45% 16.52% Sonic 34.68% 33.10% 32.29% 32.40% 34.02% • Measures the ability to generate earnings compared to expenses • Ratio gives proportion of money left over for revenue after cost of goods sold
  • 38. NET PROFIT MARGIN Net Profit Margin 20.00% 18.00% 16.00% 14.00% 12.00% 10.00% 8.00% 6.00% 4.00% 2.00% 0.00% 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Wendy's 9.32% 1.77% 10.48% 4.38% 12.57% McDonald's 11.95% 12.25% 13.12% 16.42% 18.20% Jack in the Box 4.30% 3.22% 3.66% 3.91% 4.02% Sonic 11.70% 10.82% 11.31% 11.35% 10.20% • Tells the company if it is effective at controlling costs • Net Profit Margin is the return on sales
  • 39. RETURN ON ASSETS Return on Assets 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Wendy's 0.95 0.94 0.67 0.63 0.85 McDonald's 0.72 0.72 0.71 0.72 0.73 Jack in the Box 1.94 2.03 1.95 2.07 2.01 Sonic 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.23 1.22 • Return on investment from stockholders and creditors • Helps company see how efficient the company is at generating revenues compared to use of assets
  • 40. RETURN ON EQUITY Return on Equity 25.00% 20.00% 15.00% 10.00% 5.00% 0.00% 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Wendy's 16.29% 2.95% 13.06% 4.58% 3.47% McDonald's 14.31% 19.02% 18.32% 23.40% 18.95% Jack in the Box 15.10% 16.58% 16.54% 19.11% 18.25% Sonic 22.66% 21.87% 21.04% 20.29% 22.04% • Rate of return on stockholders’ investment in the company • How much profit the company is generating with the stockholders’ money
  • 41. DEBT-TO-ASSET RATIO Debt/Asset 1.2 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Wendy's 0.57 0.72 0.86 0.69 0.69 McDonald's 0.53 0.49 0.49 0.47 0.48 Sonic 0.45 0.35 0.32 0.39 1.14 Jack in the Box 0.72 0.57 0.58 0.53 0.7 •Measures company’s ability to pay debt •Measures solvency •Little volatility within companies; but all are satisfying debt requirements