Wcrs 2009 Eesley

Loading...

Flash Player 9 (or above) is needed to view presentations.
We have detected that you do not have it on your computer. To install it, go here.

0 comments

Post a comment

    Post a comment
    Embed Video
    Edit your comment Cancel

    Favorites, Groups & Events

    Wcrs 2009 Eesley - Presentation Transcript

    1. Cutting Your Teeth: Building on the Micro- Foundations for Dynamic Capabilities (with Edward B. Roberts) Charles E. Eesley cee@stanford.edu Stanford University Department of Management Science & Engineering Sept. 10-12th, 2009 West Coast Research Symposium Univ. of Washington
    2. Where Do Firm Differences Come From? Resource-based view (RBV)  heterogeneity in firm performance Superior information / luck  Resources (Barney 1991; Peteraf 1993; Wernerfelt 1984) When organizations are putting together new bundles of routines and capabilities, what determines who puts together the more valuable and difficult to imitate bundles? Charles Eesley – Cutting Your Teeth
    3. Bounded Rationality Psychological Bias •Impossibly large set of information bounded rationality (Simon, 1955) • Varied career experiences more (or less) biased •Specialization via (Daniels et al., experiential route of discovery (Herriott, representationslocal search,1994; Hodgkinson& Johnson, 1994; Reger, 1990)Levinthal and March, 1985) • Availability heuristic •Imperfect cognitive representations (Gavetti and Levinthal 2000, Levinthal& March, 1993) • Instances easily recalled (Tversky and Kahneman, 1973; Fischhoff, Slovic and Lichtenstein, • “universal” decision biases (Camerer, 1995, Nisbett and Ross, 1980, Tversky and 1978, Russo and Kolzow, 1994) • Kahneman, knowledge  and of recollecting instances Less domain1992, Kahneman easeLovallo, 1993, Kahneman and Tversky, 1979) • Experts  number of cases that come to mind (Ofir, 2000) •Representations = mental models – beliefs • Partition dependence(Fox and Clemen, 2005)about action-outcome linkages (Gavetti&Levinthal, 2000; Simon, 1955; Porac, Thomas and Baden-Fuller, 1989) • Framing of issues and Career •Diversity of partitions Experiences information • Partition Dependence • Strategic search for •Feedback Cognitive Capability (span of clusters of signals from Representations • Availability Development decision competitive capabilities/resources heuristic • Decision making rights) environment Charles Eesley – Cutting Your Teeth
    4. Partition dependence Car will not Business failed start Engine Engineering Out of gas Marketing Battery Finance (?%) Alternator Sales (?%) Other (?%) (?%) (?%) Other (7%) (15%) (20%) (50%) (8%) Technical reason 1 (%) Car will not Technical Carstart not will reason 2 (%) start Engine Out of gas Battery Other (15%) Technical Engine (20%) Out of gas (50%) Battery (15%) reason 3 (%) Other (9%) (17%) (22%) (52%) Charles Eesley – Cutting Your Teeth
    5. Existing picture Strategic groups • Cognitive inertia (Porac& Thomas, 1990; Hodgkinson, 1997, 2005; Haleblian& Finkelstein 1999) • Success hubris <switch industries or fail> Successful  stay in functional role Why? Talking to similar people about the same things. Charles Eesley – Cutting Your Teeth
    6. New view • Left out of the picture  Cross-functional role • Avoid pitfalls of cog. inertia and success hubris • Less optimized for particular role • More likely to deviate Bunderson& Sutcliffe, (2002) Geletkanycz and Black (2001) Talk to new people about different things F.E. cross-func. exper. Charles Eesley – Cutting Your Teeth
    7. More Accurate Representations Drive Location of Valuable Resources • Framing of issues and Career •Diversity of partitions Experiences information • Partition Dependence • Strategic search for •Feedback Cognitive Capability (span of clusters of signals from Representations • Availability Development decision competitive capabilities/resources heuristic • Decision making rights) environment H1: More cross-functional experience will lead to higher performance via more accurate industry representations. H2: Cross-functional experience will lead to less cognitive inertia from remaining in similar contexts and higher performance for those remaining in the same industry. H3: Cross-functional experience will lead individuals who have experienced success to continue higher performance. Charles Eesley – Cutting Your Teeth
    8. Ideal Experiment Performance of subsequent Functional work entrepreneurial firm exp. representations t Not founder of entrepreneurial firm Exploit shift Accuracy of representations (performance) Cross-functional work exp. representations t Founder of Performance of subsequent entrepreneurial firm entrepreneurial firm Charles Eesley – Cutting Your Teeth
    9. Experiment Levels of cross- functional work Exploit exp. major shift t Performance of subsequent entrepreneurial firm Charles Eesley – Cutting Your Teeth
    10. MIT Data Long time horizon in the cross section (1930s-2003) Note: not MIT-originated technology • Alumni: 105,000 surveyed; 42,930 records in 2001 – Date of birth, country of citizenship, gender, major at MIT, highest attained degree – 7,798 indicated founding at least one company • Survey of self-identified MIT alumni entrepreneurs in 2003 – 2,067 respondents (r.r. 27%) – More detailed info; new venture founding history (multi-founder r.r. of 30.4%, 1.79 vs. 2.13 reported) • 80% of the company names D&B database (obtain a credit rating) no bias towards larger firms (Aldrich, Kalleberg, Marsden and Cassell, 1989) • VEIC  SIC codes (Dushnitsky& Lenox, 2005) Charles Eesley – Cutting Your Teeth
    11. Methods OLS Y = F(α + 1‟θi + 2‟*(cross-func.) + 3‟*(cross-func.)*(ind. disruption) + ‟Xi + τt+ ηj + φa+εi) Cox Hazard Rate Model (robust to logit) Prob (Y= 1) = F(α + 1‟*(cross-func.) + ‟Xi + τt+ ηj + φa+εi) • Dependent variable: Revenues, employees, acquisition, IPO, survival • # cross-functional experiences, # acquired, # IPO, same/different industry • Xi = Set of controls for firm age, external funding, num. cofounders, functional diversity, initial capital • Include (τ + η + φ) grad. year, region and Bachelor‟s academic dept. fixed effects • Before and after significant industry disruption 11 Proportional Hazards Test
    12. Revenues Independent (N=964) variables Age at founding -0.015* -0.016* -0.001 (0.009) (0.009) (0.005) # of cross-func. 0.296*** 0.195** 0.119*** experiences (0.066) (0.087) (0.033) Bachelor‟s deg. 0.298 0.361 -0.027 (0.254) (0.253) (0.132) Master‟s degree 0.402 0.036 0.054 (0.252) (0.330) (0.132) R-squared 0.353 0.311 0.330 Controls for firm age, num. cofounders, functional diversity, industry, year, initial capital, VC funding are controlled. (more) Charles Eesley – Cutting Your Teeth
    13. Large Industry Disruption VARIABLES Pr(Acquired) Pr(Public) Ln(employees) Ln(revenues) -1.208*** -1.581** -0.896 -0.302 Postxcross-func. (0.524) (0.826) (0.568) (0.840) Cross-functional 0.281 0.277 0.760* 1.333** experience (0.289) (0.387) (0.393) (0.596) Post 1997 0.532 1.089 -3.578 -7.316 internet boom (0.907) (0.945) (2.956) (2.989) Standard errors in parentheses *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1 Software firms only; N=205 Controls: age founded, num. cofounders, Bachelor‟s, Master‟s, initial capital, firm age Charles Eesley – Cutting Your Teeth
    14. Industry Technology Shift VARIABLES Ln(Revenues) Pre-Internet Post-Internet Prior IPO -0.456 1.288 (1.217) (1.043) Prior Acquired 1.470** 0.396 (0.713) (0.527) Cross-func. experience 1.301* 0.690 (0.731) (0.532) R-squared 0.639 0.647 0.391 0.398 Standard errors in parentheses *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1 Software firms only. N=80; Pre-internet is 1985-1996. Post-internet is 1997-2003 Controls: age founded, num. cofounders, Bachelor‟s, Master‟s, initial capital, firm age Charles Eesley – Cutting Your Teeth
    15. Alternative stories/Robustness checks 1. Unique to particular measures of “performance” 2. More talented or persistent individuals select into cross-functional roles (individual fixed effects) 3. Learning about the start-up process (evidence on industries) 4. Increased social network size (evidence on location) - most communication is with those in closer physical proximity 5. Wealth
    16. Conclusion and Implications Hypothesis: Supported? Cross-functional experience leads to greater performance via more H1 YES accurate cognitive representations Cross-functional experience reduces the negative impact of remaining H2 YES in similar industry contexts. Cross-functional experience reduces the negative impact of prior H3 YES success. Individual Level • Cross-func. experience overcome impediments to learning • Variation in work experience may lead to variation in cog. representations • All psychological biases may not be universal Strategy • Micro-foundations of competitive advantage, dynamic capabilities • Active view on identification of valuable resources • Level playing field after disruptions • Large firm new business/new ventures • Challenge of sectors with more serial entrepreneurs Institutions • Fostering this type of experience 16
    17. Index of Backup Slides • Panel Data • Individual Fixed Effects • Learning about start-up process • Descriptive statistics • Response Bias Charles Eesley – Cutting Your Teeth
    18. Alternative stories/Robustness checks 1. Unique to particular measures of “performance” 2. More talented or persistent individuals select into cross-functional roles or attempt 2nd start-ups (individual fixed effects) 3. Learning about the start-up process (evidence on industries) More difficult to rule out 1. Increased social network size (evidence on location, could be mechanism) 2. Wealth
    19. Probability of Acquisition Dep. Variable = Acquisition year (subjects start being at risk at year of founding) Note: reported coefficients are hazard ratios Independent variables Model 7-1 Model 7-2 Model 7-3 Model 7-4 Age at founding 0.989 0.955** 0.969 0.965 (0.034) (0.021) (0.020) (0.029) # of start-ups 2.224** -- -- -- founded (1.444) Number of 1.551 1.563 1.489 1.578 Cofounders (0.492) (0.527) (0.470) (0.928) Prior acquisitions -- 2.011*** -- -- (0.370) Prior IPOs -- 1.777 -- -- (0.759) # Same State -- -- 1.255** -- (0.171) # Different State -- -- 1.333** -- (0.234) Same Industry -- -- -- 37.621** (56.90) Different Industry -- -- -- 3.675 (3.015) Firm age, indiv. degree, Industry, year, initial capital, VC funding are controlled. Charles Eesley – Cutting Your Teeth
    20. Panel Data PR(ACQUIRED) PR(IPO) LN(EMPL) LN(SURVIVAL) Num. of start- ups founded 0.040 (0.051) 0.002 (0.069) 0.066 (0.057) -0.028* (0.016) Num. prior acquired 0.396*** (0.087) 0.084 (0.116) 0.160 (0.103) 0.058 (0.024) Num. same 2 digit SIC -0.239* (0.125) -0.014 (0.161) 0.442*** (0.143) 0.014 (0.034) Age at founding year -0.012*** (0.004) 0.001 (0.005) -0.012*** (0.004) 0.006 (0.001) Gender (1=male) 0.404** (0.202) 0.372 (0.289) 0.582*** (0.153) 0.059 (0.052) Masters -0.016 (0.076) 0.170* (0.103) 0.305*** (0.086) 0.040 (0.028) Doctorate -0.192* (0.102) 0.117 (0.130) 0.181 (0.121) 0.111 (0.036) ln(emp) 0.055*** (0.019) 0.188*** (0.025) ln(firm age) 0.173*** (0.057) 0.358*** (0.097) 0.532*** (0.074) MA 0.330*** (0.081) 0.260*** (0.104) 0.214** (0.098) -0.021 (0.030) CA 0.389*** (0.092) 0.440*** (0.123) -0.030 (0.102) 0.010 (0.033) Constant -1.422 (1.347) -2.543*** (0.994) -3.290*** (0.626) 1.412*** (0.198) Year F.E. YES YES YES YES SIC F.E. YES YES YES YES Individual F.E. NO NO NO NO R-squared 0.160 0.228 0.150 0.622 Num. of obs. 1997 1760 2092 2217 ***, **, and * indicate statistical significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively. Robust standard errors in parentheses. Charles Eesley – Cutting Your Teeth
    21. Alternative stories/Robustness checks 1. Unique to particular measures of “performance” 2. More talented or persistent individuals select into cross-functional roles or attempt 2nd start-ups (individual fixed effects) 3. Learning about the start-up process (evidence on industries) More difficult to rule out 1. Increased social network size (evidence on location , could be mechanism) 2. Wealth
    22. Controls for individual characteristics PR(ACQUIRED) PR(IPO) LN(EMPLOYEES) LN(SURVIVAL) Num. of start- ups founded 2.326*** (0.181) -0.099 (0.074) 0.029 (0.129) 0.161*** (0.043) Num. prior acquired -5.105*** (0.221) 0.331*** (0.114) 0.078 (0.186) -0.119** (0.060) Num. same 2 digit SIC -0.298 (0.248) 0.090 (0.154) -0.034 (0.208) 0.010 (0.064) Age at founding year -0.103*** (0.010) 0.000 (0.005) -0.016 (0.011) 0.013 (0.013) ln(emp) -0.099** (0.045) 0.158*** (0.025) ln(firm age) 0.359** (0.157) 0.394*** (0.093) 0.322** (0.145) Year F.E. YES YES YES YES SIC F.E. YES YES YES YES Individual F.E. YES YES YES YES R-squared 0.750 0.206 0.750 0.884 Num. of obs. 463 1771 2135 2231 ***, **, and * indicate statistical significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively. Robust standard errors in parentheses. Charles Eesley – Cutting Your Teeth
    23. Alternative stories/Robustness checks 1. Unique to particular measures of “performance” 2. More talented or persistent individuals select into cross-functional roles or attempt 2nd start-ups (individual fixed effects) 3. Learning about the start-up process (evidence on industries) More difficult to rule out 1. Increased social network size (evidence on location , could be mechanism) 2. Wealth (no strong effects of prior IPO)
    24. Industry Context / Network Independent Model 6-2 Model 6-3 Model 6-4 Model 7-3 variables Revenues Acq. (N=964) (N=648) (N=964) 0.969 Founder char. Age at founding -0.013 -0.019 -0.012 (0.020) (0.009) (0.012) (0.009) -- Bachelor’s deg. 0.298 0.586+ 0.346 (0.256 (0.335) (0.255) 1.489 Master’s degree 0.402 0.508 0.434+ (0.470) (0.255) (0.334) (0.254) # Same State 0.238* 1.255** (0.096) (0.171) # Different State 0.125 1.333** (0.104) (0.234) Same 2 digit SIC 1.675** -- (0.614) Different 2 digit SIC 0.153 -- (0.623) Prior acquisitions 0.445** (0.189) Prior IPOs 0.408 (0.341) R-squared 0.291 0.362 0.346 Firm age, functional diversity, Industry, year, initial capital, VC funding are controlled. Charles Eesley – Cutting Your Teeth
    25. Alternative stories/Robustness checks 1. Unique to particular measures of “performance” 2. More talented or persistent individuals select into cross-functional roles or attempt 2nd start-ups (individual fixed effects) 3. Learning about the start-up process (evidence on industries) More difficult to rule out 1. Increased social network size (evidence on location , could be mechanism) 2. Wealth
    26. Descriptive Statistics Variable Obs. Mean Std. Dev. Min Max Log revenues 1264 14.05 3.08 0.03 21.66 Acquired 1840 0.19 0.39 0 1 IPO 1790 0.11 0.32 0 1 Lag between 1502 12.11 9.41 0 50 Number of Firms 2058 1.61 1.30 1 11 Prior Acquisitions 2067 0.13 0.42 0 3 Prior IPOs 2067 0.04 0.23 0 3 Prior Same SIC 1473 0.02 0.14 0 2 Prior Different SIC 1473 0.02 0.18 0 3 Prior Foundings in 2067 0.38 0.90 0 8 the Same State Prior Foundings in 2067 0.23 0.79 0 7 a Different State Age Founded 1807 39.65 10.59 18 83 Bachelor's degree 2000 0.43 0.49 0 1 Master's Degree 2000 0.41 0.49 0 1 Operating Years 1837 14.34 11.30 0 74 Industry 1600 9.77 4.34 1 16 Number of 2056 1.05 1.22 0 4 Cofounders VC funded 1691 0.13 0.34 0 1 Log initial capital 1264 11.91 2.72 0.28 21.02 Functional 1964 1.23 0.48 1 3 Diversity of Team Charles Eesley
    27. Initial Evidence Panel A – Likelihood of Exit Events and Revenues (in 2001 dollars) 5th firms and 1st firms 2nd firms 3rd firms 4th firms higher Firm Rank (N=556) (N=182) (N=84) (N=21) (N=36) Median Revenues („000s) 836 1,784 924 1,181 7,274 Standard Dev. („000s) 153,000 117,000 130,000 10,800 21,200 Revenues adjusted to constant 2006 dollars Charles Eesley – Cutting Your Teeth
    28. Characteristics of Non-respondents Variable Responded to 2001 survey Did not respond to 2001 survey t-stat for equal means (N=43,668) (N=62,260) Male 0.83 0.86 10.11 Engineering major 0.48 0.47 -4.49 Management major 0.16 0.15 -5.75 Science major 0.23 0.23 0.37 Social sciences major 0.05 0.06 4.07 Architecture major 0.06 0.08 11.82 Non-US citizen 0.81 0.82 3.77 North American (not US) citizen 0.13 0.11 -4.14 Latin American citizen 0.13 0.12 -1.44 Asian citizen 0.33 0.34 1.45 European citizen 0.30 0.26 -5.08 Middle Eastern citizen 0.05 0.08 6.32 African citizen 0.03 0.05 6.25 Variable Responded to 2003 survey Did not respond to 2003 survey t-stat for equal means (N=2,111) (N=6,131) Male 0.92 0.92 0.12 Engineering major 0.52 0.47 -3.63 Management major 0.17 0.21 4.17 Science major 0.17 0.18 1.09 Social sciences major 0.06 0.05 1.18 Architecture major 0.09 0.09 1.06 Non-US citizen 0.82 0.81 -1.36 North American (not US) citizen 0.17 0.14 -1.34 Latin American citizen 0.19 0.19 0.13 Asian citizen 0.22 0.24 0.73 European citizen 0.31 0.32 0.38 Middle Eastern citizen 0.08 0.07 -0.59 African citizen 0.04 0.04 0.17 Charles Eesley – Cutting Your Teeth
    SlideShare Zeitgeist 2009

    + Chuck EesleyChuck Eesley Nominate

    custom

    96 views, 0 favs, 0 embeds more stats

    Presentation on serial entrepreneurs for the West C more

    More info about this document

    © All Rights Reserved

    Go to text version

    • Total Views 96
      • 96 on SlideShare
      • 0 from embeds
    • Comments 0
    • Favorites 0
    • Downloads 0
    Most viewed embeds

    more

    All embeds

    less

    Flagged as inappropriate Flag as inappropriate
    Flag as inappropriate

    Select your reason for flagging this presentation as inappropriate. If needed, use the feedback form to let us know more details.

    Cancel
    File a copyright complaint
    Having problems? Go to our helpdesk?

    Categories