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Practical Cloud Economics


         Ed Byrne, October 2012
About Me
Cloud and Enterprise IT Entrepreneur

CEO, CloudVertical - “Reducing IT Waste”

Previously GM, Hosting365 (now SunGard)

@edbyrne
www.edbyrne.me
blog.cloudvertical.com
Agenda
What is Cloud Economics

The Myths of Cloud Computing

Variables and Cost Models

Resources
Principles of Cloud Economics


 IT as a Utility - Available and Scalable

 IT is Paid for using a Consumption based model

 Theoretically 100% capital efficient
IT Cost Model




Capacity is CapEx and Cyclically Driven

Usage follows predictable patterns

Cost increases with time and complexity
Cloud Cost Model (Theory)




 Capacity scales up and down in line with demand

 Usage follows predictable patterns (no change)

 Cost matches capacity - pay as you consume
IT Cloud Cost Model                           (Actual)




  Capacity is provisioned based on expected load

  Usage follows predictable patterns

  Cost goes up and to the right, with an **** moment
Cloud Economics Reality
The Cloud is not analogous to the Electricity model.

The Cloud is not Pay as You Go. It’s Pay as You Provision.

Utilisation is the problem -> the traditional capacity planning
model has migrated to the Cloud.

  • Physical Hardware - 20% Utilisation Average
  • Virtualised Infrastructure - 30% Utilisation Average
  • Cloud Deployments - 30% Utilisation Average
IT / the Cloud isn’t inefficient


           You are
Traditional Culture


IT has never been responsible for Cost metering

Budgets are aspirational targets

Existing tools focus on Uptime, Usage and Performance Monitoring
Efficient Computing
You can’t manage what you don’t measure

Create Accountability, Visibility, Reporting

Meter Cost, Capacity and Usage

Show-back reports for each use type

1. Inform      2. Improve       3. Maintain
Myths
Myth # 1
Cloud is Cheap
Truth
Like for Like - More Expensive

But it’s not Like-for-Like

  • Scalability & Flexibility
  • Resilience & Redundancy
  • OpEx not CapEx
More Cost Effective for a lot of workloads
Myth # 2
 The Cloud is
Cheaper than DIY
Truth
Versus Fully Loaded Server Cost - True 90% of time

Do you know the true costs of your IT infrastructure?

Cloud often ‘looks’ more expensive but is not.

Netflix vs Zynga models -> both right
Myth # 3
Pay for What You Use
Truth

Pay for What you
    Provision
Myth # 4
“I can migrate easily”
Truth
Data IN is FREE

Data OUT is NOT. For a reason.

Data Gravity : Data attracts more Data

More Data = More Costly to Move
Myth # 5
The Cloud is Managed
Truth

Cloud Providers manage their Cloud

            Not Yours

      Ops is going Nowhere
Myth # 7
Cloud is more Efficient
Truth

Jevon's Paradox : The easier it becomes to consume a
resource, the more of it that will be consumed.

The Cloud has enormous efficiency capabilities.

Waste is not a technology problem, it’s a people one.
AWS Costs Cheat Sheet


Know the Units             Instance Storage
                           EBS Standard
                           EBS PIOPS
                           EBS Requests
                                                        Storage
                                                             N/A
                                                             10c /gb-month (provisioned)
                                                             12.5c /gb-month (provisioned)
                                                             10c per million
                                                                                                                Regional Cost Differences
                                                                                                                       Region
                                                                                                          US East (Virginia)
                                                                                                          US West (Oregon)
                                                                                                          US West (California)
                                                                                                                                              Variation
                                                                                                                                               BASE
                                                                                                                                                 0%
                                                                                                                                               12.5%
                           EBS Provisioned IOPS              10c /month (2.628m requests)                 EU (Ireland)                           8%


Compute - CPU/hour         EBS Snapshot
                           S3 Standard
                           S3 Reduced Redundancy
                                                             12.5c /gb-month (stored)
                                                             12.5c /gb-month (stored)
                                                             9.3c /gb-month (stored)
                                                                                                          Asia (Singapore)
                                                                                                          Asia (Toyko)
                                                                                                          South America (Sao Paulo)
                                                                                                                                                 8%
                                                                                                                                                15%
                                                                                                                                                45%



Memory - GB/hour
                           Glacier                           1c /gb-month (stored)

                                                   Instance Sizes                                                            Network
                                  API name         Compute         Memory            Hourly Cost            Data IN                         FREE



Storage - GB/stored
                           t1.mirco                       <2           0.613                  0.02          Data OUT                        12c /gb
                           m1.small                         1             1.7                 0.08          Data within AZ                  FREE
                           m1.medium                        2           3.75                  0.16          Data within Region              1c /gb
                           m1.large                         4             7.5                 0.32          Managed Data (EIP/ELB)          1c /gb


Network - GB/managed
                           m1.xlarge                        8              15                 0.64          Load Balancer                   2.5c /hour
                           m2.xlarge                      6.5           17.1                  0.45          Load Balanced Traffic           .8c /gb
                           m2.2xlarge                      13           34.2                    0.9         IP Address Per Instance         FREE
                           m2.4xlarge                      26           68.4                    1.8         Extra or Unused IP Address      .5c /hour
                           c1.medium                        5             1.7                0.165
                           c1.xlarge                       20               7                 0.66
                                                                                                                            Time Key
                           cc1.4xlarge                   33.5              23                   1.3         Day = 24 Hours



24 hours /day
                           cc2.8xlarge                     88           60.5                    2.4         Week = 168 Hours
                           cg1.4xlarge                   33.5              22                   2.1         Month = 730 Hours
                           hi1.4xlarge                     35           60.5                    3.1         Year = 8,760 Hours
                                                                                                            Month = 2,628,000 Seconds



168 hours /week            Micro
                                            Instance
                                                                    On-Demand Instance Costs
                                                                         Hour
                                                                                 0.02
                                                                                           Day
                                                                                                  0.48
                                                                                                            Week
                                                                                                                   3.36
                                                                                                                             Month
                                                                                                                                       15
                                                                                                                                                Year
                                                                                                                                                      175



730 hours /month
                           Small                                                 0.08             1.92            13.44                58             701
                           Medium                                                0.16             3.84            26.88               117            1402
                           Large                                                 0.32             7.68            53.76               234            2803
                           Extra Large                                           0.64            15.36           107.52               467            5606


8,760 hours /year          Extra Large High Memory
                           Double Extra Large High Memory
                           Quadruple Extra Large High Memory
                           Medium High CPU
                                                                                 0.45
                                                                                   0.9
                                                                                   1.8
                                                                                0.165
                                                                                                  10.8
                                                                                                  21.6
                                                                                                  43.2
                                                                                                  3.96
                                                                                                                   75.6
                                                                                                                  151.2
                                                                                                                  302.4
                                                                                                                  27.72
                                                                                                                                      329
                                                                                                                                      657
                                                                                                                                     1314
                                                                                                                                      120
                                                                                                                                                     3942
                                                                                                                                                     7884
                                                                                                                                                    15768
                                                                                                                                                     1445
                           Extra Large High CPU                                  0.66            15.84           110.88               482            5782
                           Quadruple Extra Large Cluster Compute                   1.3            31.2            218.4               949           11388
                           Eight Extra Large Cluster Compute                       2.4            57.6            403.2              1752           21024

40 hours working week      Quadruple Extra Large Cluster GPU
                           Quadruple Extra Large High I/O SSD
                                                                                   2.1
                                                                                   3.1
                                                                                                  50.4
                                                                                                  74.4
                                                                                                                  352.8
                                                                                                                  520.8
                                                                                                                                     1533
                                                                                                                                     2263
                                                                                                                                                    18396
                                                                                                                                                    27156



173 hours working month    Light
                                  Average Reserved Instance Savings
                                      Type               % Saving Yr 1
                                                              40
                                                                          % Saving Yr 3
                                                                               56                 All Prices in Dollars, from US East Virginia as published

2,076 hours working year   Medium
                           Heavy
                                                              48
                                                              53
                                                                               65
                                                                               70
                                                                                                  11 October 2012. Tiered Discounts and Free Tier Amounts
                                                                                                  Not Applied. For more info go to www.cloudvertical.com
Optimise - Rightsize


Development Environment : 40 hours per week (24% available time)

Load Test / System Patch / Software Upgrade: 8 hours / 1 day - once-off

Back-office Applications : 40 hours per week ‘heavy’; outside hours 25% capacity

Travel / E-Commerce Site : Busy Consumer Hours. Seasonal. Marketing Driven.
Resources                                                                     www.cloudvertical.com

Deck: blog.cloudvertical.com

AWS Economics Centre : http://aws.amazon.com/economics/


Cloudonomics Book: http://www.amazon.com/Cloudonomics-Website-Business-Value-Computing/dp/1118229967


Microsoft Cloud Economics: http://www.microsoft.com/en-us/news/presskits/cloud/docs/the-economics-of-the-cloud.pdf


AWS Costs Cheat Sheet: https://blog.cloudvertical.com/2012/10/aws-cost-cheat-sheet-2/


On-Premise vs. Cloud Cost Model: http://andrewmcafee.org/2012/10/mcafee-cloud-costs-google-model


Data Gravity: http://datagravity.org/

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Practical Cloud Economics

  • 1. Practical Cloud Economics Ed Byrne, October 2012
  • 2. About Me Cloud and Enterprise IT Entrepreneur CEO, CloudVertical - “Reducing IT Waste” Previously GM, Hosting365 (now SunGard) @edbyrne www.edbyrne.me blog.cloudvertical.com
  • 3. Agenda What is Cloud Economics The Myths of Cloud Computing Variables and Cost Models Resources
  • 4. Principles of Cloud Economics IT as a Utility - Available and Scalable IT is Paid for using a Consumption based model Theoretically 100% capital efficient
  • 5. IT Cost Model Capacity is CapEx and Cyclically Driven Usage follows predictable patterns Cost increases with time and complexity
  • 6. Cloud Cost Model (Theory) Capacity scales up and down in line with demand Usage follows predictable patterns (no change) Cost matches capacity - pay as you consume
  • 7. IT Cloud Cost Model (Actual) Capacity is provisioned based on expected load Usage follows predictable patterns Cost goes up and to the right, with an **** moment
  • 8. Cloud Economics Reality The Cloud is not analogous to the Electricity model. The Cloud is not Pay as You Go. It’s Pay as You Provision. Utilisation is the problem -> the traditional capacity planning model has migrated to the Cloud. • Physical Hardware - 20% Utilisation Average • Virtualised Infrastructure - 30% Utilisation Average • Cloud Deployments - 30% Utilisation Average
  • 9. IT / the Cloud isn’t inefficient You are
  • 10. Traditional Culture IT has never been responsible for Cost metering Budgets are aspirational targets Existing tools focus on Uptime, Usage and Performance Monitoring
  • 11. Efficient Computing You can’t manage what you don’t measure Create Accountability, Visibility, Reporting Meter Cost, Capacity and Usage Show-back reports for each use type 1. Inform 2. Improve 3. Maintain
  • 12. Myths
  • 13. Myth # 1 Cloud is Cheap
  • 14. Truth Like for Like - More Expensive But it’s not Like-for-Like • Scalability & Flexibility • Resilience & Redundancy • OpEx not CapEx More Cost Effective for a lot of workloads
  • 15. Myth # 2 The Cloud is Cheaper than DIY
  • 16. Truth Versus Fully Loaded Server Cost - True 90% of time Do you know the true costs of your IT infrastructure? Cloud often ‘looks’ more expensive but is not. Netflix vs Zynga models -> both right
  • 17. Myth # 3 Pay for What You Use
  • 18. Truth Pay for What you Provision
  • 19. Myth # 4 “I can migrate easily”
  • 20. Truth Data IN is FREE Data OUT is NOT. For a reason. Data Gravity : Data attracts more Data More Data = More Costly to Move
  • 21. Myth # 5 The Cloud is Managed
  • 22. Truth Cloud Providers manage their Cloud Not Yours Ops is going Nowhere
  • 23. Myth # 7 Cloud is more Efficient
  • 24. Truth Jevon's Paradox : The easier it becomes to consume a resource, the more of it that will be consumed. The Cloud has enormous efficiency capabilities. Waste is not a technology problem, it’s a people one.
  • 25. AWS Costs Cheat Sheet Know the Units Instance Storage EBS Standard EBS PIOPS EBS Requests Storage N/A 10c /gb-month (provisioned) 12.5c /gb-month (provisioned) 10c per million Regional Cost Differences Region US East (Virginia) US West (Oregon) US West (California) Variation BASE 0% 12.5% EBS Provisioned IOPS 10c /month (2.628m requests) EU (Ireland) 8% Compute - CPU/hour EBS Snapshot S3 Standard S3 Reduced Redundancy 12.5c /gb-month (stored) 12.5c /gb-month (stored) 9.3c /gb-month (stored) Asia (Singapore) Asia (Toyko) South America (Sao Paulo) 8% 15% 45% Memory - GB/hour Glacier 1c /gb-month (stored) Instance Sizes Network API name Compute Memory Hourly Cost Data IN FREE Storage - GB/stored t1.mirco <2 0.613 0.02 Data OUT 12c /gb m1.small 1 1.7 0.08 Data within AZ FREE m1.medium 2 3.75 0.16 Data within Region 1c /gb m1.large 4 7.5 0.32 Managed Data (EIP/ELB) 1c /gb Network - GB/managed m1.xlarge 8 15 0.64 Load Balancer 2.5c /hour m2.xlarge 6.5 17.1 0.45 Load Balanced Traffic .8c /gb m2.2xlarge 13 34.2 0.9 IP Address Per Instance FREE m2.4xlarge 26 68.4 1.8 Extra or Unused IP Address .5c /hour c1.medium 5 1.7 0.165 c1.xlarge 20 7 0.66 Time Key cc1.4xlarge 33.5 23 1.3 Day = 24 Hours 24 hours /day cc2.8xlarge 88 60.5 2.4 Week = 168 Hours cg1.4xlarge 33.5 22 2.1 Month = 730 Hours hi1.4xlarge 35 60.5 3.1 Year = 8,760 Hours Month = 2,628,000 Seconds 168 hours /week Micro Instance On-Demand Instance Costs Hour 0.02 Day 0.48 Week 3.36 Month 15 Year 175 730 hours /month Small 0.08 1.92 13.44 58 701 Medium 0.16 3.84 26.88 117 1402 Large 0.32 7.68 53.76 234 2803 Extra Large 0.64 15.36 107.52 467 5606 8,760 hours /year Extra Large High Memory Double Extra Large High Memory Quadruple Extra Large High Memory Medium High CPU 0.45 0.9 1.8 0.165 10.8 21.6 43.2 3.96 75.6 151.2 302.4 27.72 329 657 1314 120 3942 7884 15768 1445 Extra Large High CPU 0.66 15.84 110.88 482 5782 Quadruple Extra Large Cluster Compute 1.3 31.2 218.4 949 11388 Eight Extra Large Cluster Compute 2.4 57.6 403.2 1752 21024 40 hours working week Quadruple Extra Large Cluster GPU Quadruple Extra Large High I/O SSD 2.1 3.1 50.4 74.4 352.8 520.8 1533 2263 18396 27156 173 hours working month Light Average Reserved Instance Savings Type % Saving Yr 1 40 % Saving Yr 3 56 All Prices in Dollars, from US East Virginia as published 2,076 hours working year Medium Heavy 48 53 65 70 11 October 2012. Tiered Discounts and Free Tier Amounts Not Applied. For more info go to www.cloudvertical.com
  • 26. Optimise - Rightsize Development Environment : 40 hours per week (24% available time) Load Test / System Patch / Software Upgrade: 8 hours / 1 day - once-off Back-office Applications : 40 hours per week ‘heavy’; outside hours 25% capacity Travel / E-Commerce Site : Busy Consumer Hours. Seasonal. Marketing Driven.
  • 27. Resources www.cloudvertical.com Deck: blog.cloudvertical.com AWS Economics Centre : http://aws.amazon.com/economics/ Cloudonomics Book: http://www.amazon.com/Cloudonomics-Website-Business-Value-Computing/dp/1118229967 Microsoft Cloud Economics: http://www.microsoft.com/en-us/news/presskits/cloud/docs/the-economics-of-the-cloud.pdf AWS Costs Cheat Sheet: https://blog.cloudvertical.com/2012/10/aws-cost-cheat-sheet-2/ On-Premise vs. Cloud Cost Model: http://andrewmcafee.org/2012/10/mcafee-cloud-costs-google-model Data Gravity: http://datagravity.org/