Emerging Trends, Best Practices and Lessons Learned in ICT-Enabled Disaster Risk Management Session 1 Discussant Charles Scawthorn, S.E. Professor (ret.), Kyoto University, Japan Disaster Risk Management in the Information Age October 8-9, 2008

Loss Estimation – foundation for all mitigation Existing NH Loss Estimation Software: may well have good technical foundations, but are not open source users can’t ‘get under the hood’, don’t trust results inflexible – can’t quickly adapt to new needs, data slow uptake  are not being used  not doing the job EXTREMUM

Existing NH Loss Estimation Software:

may well have good technical foundations, but

are not open source

users can’t ‘get under the hood’, don’t trust results

inflexible – can’t quickly adapt to new needs, data

slow uptake  are not being used  not doing the job

Open Source software movement Natural hazards mitigation Earthquake Wind Flood… Cost justification  loss estimation

Natural hazards mitigation

Earthquake

Wind

Flood…

Cost justification  loss estimation

Open Risk-related Software Risk Engine E  p(D  H) p(H  E ) HAZARD p(H  E ) VULNERABILITY p(D  H)

OpenRisk www.risk-agora.org

Data-related seismic risk management tasks Pre-disaster Inventory of buildings at risk Screen for potential seismic risk Prioritize risk-mitigation efforts Emergency planning Response Prioritize inspections Safety inspection, rough cost est. Recovery Manage repairs—permitting, etc. ROVER ShakeCast HAZUS ATC-20i

Pre-disaster

Inventory of buildings at risk

Screen for potential seismic risk

Prioritize risk-mitigation efforts

Emergency planning

Response

Prioritize inspections

Safety inspection, rough cost est.

Recovery

Manage repairs—permitting, etc.

Windows Mobile smartphones OS similar to Windows XP Phone, camera, PIM, browser, other Windows apps Keyboard, stylus, touchscreen, bluetooth Cost ~$500; ~$200 with phone plan 4+ GB storage

OS similar to Windows XP

Phone, camera, PIM, browser, other Windows apps

Keyboard, stylus, touchscreen, bluetooth

Cost ~$500; ~$200 with phone plan

4+ GB storage

ROVER ROVER (Rapid Observation of Vulnerability and Estimation of Risk)

Photo tab Use built-in smartphone camera 2 MPix+ Server adds a watermark

Photo tab

Use built-in smartphone camera 2 MPix+

Server adds a watermark

Soil tab A-F scale, like IBC Soft soil tends to amplify motion Server can add soil from built-in global USGS map

Soil tab

A-F scale, like IBC

Soft soil tends to amplify motion

Server can add soil from built-in global USGS map

Scoring tab Choose possible building type Click on relevant features “ Risk score” calculated below S ≥ 2 is good S < 2 implies need for detailed evaluation

Scoring tab

Choose possible building type

Click on relevant features

“ Risk score” calculated below

S ≥ 2 is good

S < 2 implies need for detailed evaluation

Real Time

usgs

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