0
The Future of Communications:Surviving the push toward public utility regulation<br />Larry Downeswww.larrydownes.com<br /...
The Law of Disruption:  technology changes exponentially, but social, economic, and legal systems change incrementally.<br />
Moore’s Law<br />Metcalfe’s Law<br />
c. 1955<br />
c. 2000<br />22 Million UNIVACs<br />
2000<br />2005<br />PlayStation 2<br />22 million Univacs<br />PlayStation 3<br />660 million Univacs<br />
<ul><li>Quality is carefully controlled, monitored
Prices are set by utility commissions
No wasteful competition
No duplication of infrastructure
Service is universal
Rarely fails</li></li></ul><li><ul><li>Innovation is counter-incentivized
Prices never decline
Technologies are mature
Upcoming SlideShare
Loading in...5
×

Larry Downes - Presentation at Emerging Communications Conference & Awards (eComm 2011)

441

Published on

Please see blog http://blog.eComm.ec

Published in: Technology
0 Comments
0 Likes
Statistics
Notes
  • Be the first to comment

  • Be the first to like this

No Downloads
Views
Total Views
441
On Slideshare
0
From Embeds
0
Number of Embeds
0
Actions
Shares
0
Downloads
13
Comments
0
Likes
0
Embeds 0
No embeds

No notes for slide

Transcript of "Larry Downes - Presentation at Emerging Communications Conference & Awards (eComm 2011)"

  1. 1.
  2. 2. The Future of Communications:Surviving the push toward public utility regulation<br />Larry Downeswww.larrydownes.com<br />© 2011 by Larry Downes. All rights reserved.<br />
  3. 3. The Law of Disruption: technology changes exponentially, but social, economic, and legal systems change incrementally.<br />
  4. 4. Moore’s Law<br />Metcalfe’s Law<br />
  5. 5. c. 1955<br />
  6. 6. c. 2000<br />22 Million UNIVACs<br />
  7. 7. 2000<br />2005<br />PlayStation 2<br />22 million Univacs<br />PlayStation 3<br />660 million Univacs<br />
  8. 8.
  9. 9.
  10. 10.
  11. 11.
  12. 12.
  13. 13.
  14. 14.
  15. 15.
  16. 16. <ul><li>Quality is carefully controlled, monitored
  17. 17. Prices are set by utility commissions
  18. 18. No wasteful competition
  19. 19. No duplication of infrastructure
  20. 20. Service is universal
  21. 21. Rarely fails</li></li></ul><li><ul><li>Innovation is counter-incentivized
  22. 22. Prices never decline
  23. 23. Technologies are mature
  24. 24. New services are rare
  25. 25. Accidents are catastrophic</li></li></ul><li>
  26. 26.
  27. 27.
  28. 28.
  29. 29. Which would you prefer?<br />
  1. A particular slide catching your eye?

    Clipping is a handy way to collect important slides you want to go back to later.

×