Larry Downes - Presentation at Emerging Communications Conference & Awards (eComm 2011)
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Larry Downes - Presentation at Emerging Communications Conference & Awards (eComm 2011)

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Please see blog http://blog.eComm.ec

Please see blog http://blog.eComm.ec

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Larry Downes - Presentation at Emerging Communications Conference & Awards (eComm 2011) Larry Downes - Presentation at Emerging Communications Conference & Awards (eComm 2011) Presentation Transcript

  • The Future of Communications:Surviving the push toward public utility regulation
    Larry Downeswww.larrydownes.com
    © 2011 by Larry Downes. All rights reserved.
  • The Law of Disruption: technology changes exponentially, but social, economic, and legal systems change incrementally.
  • Moore’s Law
    Metcalfe’s Law
  • c. 1955
  • c. 2000
    22 Million UNIVACs
  • 2000
    2005
    PlayStation 2
    22 million Univacs
    PlayStation 3
    660 million Univacs
    • Quality is carefully controlled, monitored
    • Prices are set by utility commissions
    • No wasteful competition
    • No duplication of infrastructure
    • Service is universal
    • Rarely fails
    • Innovation is counter-incentivized
    • Prices never decline
    • Technologies are mature
    • New services are rare
    • Accidents are catastrophic
  • Which would you prefer?