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Larry Downes - Presentation at Emerging Communications Conference & Awards (eComm 2011)
Larry Downes - Presentation at Emerging Communications Conference & Awards (eComm 2011)
Larry Downes - Presentation at Emerging Communications Conference & Awards (eComm 2011)
Larry Downes - Presentation at Emerging Communications Conference & Awards (eComm 2011)
Larry Downes - Presentation at Emerging Communications Conference & Awards (eComm 2011)
Larry Downes - Presentation at Emerging Communications Conference & Awards (eComm 2011)
Larry Downes - Presentation at Emerging Communications Conference & Awards (eComm 2011)
Larry Downes - Presentation at Emerging Communications Conference & Awards (eComm 2011)
Larry Downes - Presentation at Emerging Communications Conference & Awards (eComm 2011)
Larry Downes - Presentation at Emerging Communications Conference & Awards (eComm 2011)
Larry Downes - Presentation at Emerging Communications Conference & Awards (eComm 2011)
Larry Downes - Presentation at Emerging Communications Conference & Awards (eComm 2011)
Larry Downes - Presentation at Emerging Communications Conference & Awards (eComm 2011)
Larry Downes - Presentation at Emerging Communications Conference & Awards (eComm 2011)
Larry Downes - Presentation at Emerging Communications Conference & Awards (eComm 2011)
Larry Downes - Presentation at Emerging Communications Conference & Awards (eComm 2011)
Larry Downes - Presentation at Emerging Communications Conference & Awards (eComm 2011)
Larry Downes - Presentation at Emerging Communications Conference & Awards (eComm 2011)
Larry Downes - Presentation at Emerging Communications Conference & Awards (eComm 2011)
Larry Downes - Presentation at Emerging Communications Conference & Awards (eComm 2011)
Larry Downes - Presentation at Emerging Communications Conference & Awards (eComm 2011)
Larry Downes - Presentation at Emerging Communications Conference & Awards (eComm 2011)
Larry Downes - Presentation at Emerging Communications Conference & Awards (eComm 2011)
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Larry Downes - Presentation at Emerging Communications Conference & Awards (eComm 2011)

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Please see blog http://blog.eComm.ec

Please see blog http://blog.eComm.ec

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Transcript

  • 1.
  • 2. The Future of Communications:Surviving the push toward public utility regulation
    Larry Downeswww.larrydownes.com
    © 2011 by Larry Downes. All rights reserved.
  • 3. The Law of Disruption: technology changes exponentially, but social, economic, and legal systems change incrementally.
  • 4. Moore’s Law
    Metcalfe’s Law
  • 5. c. 1955
  • 6. c. 2000
    22 Million UNIVACs
  • 7. 2000
    2005
    PlayStation 2
    22 million Univacs
    PlayStation 3
    660 million Univacs
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
    • Quality is carefully controlled, monitored
    • 17. Prices are set by utility commissions
    • 18. No wasteful competition
    • 19. No duplication of infrastructure
    • 20. Service is universal
    • 21. Rarely fails
    • Innovation is counter-incentivized
    • 22. Prices never decline
    • 23. Technologies are mature
    • 24. New services are rare
    • 25. Accidents are catastrophic
  • 26.
  • 27.
  • 28.
  • 29. Which would you prefer?

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