International Republican Institute
Public Opinion Survey
Residents of Ukraine
April 3-12, 2014
Detailed Methodology
2
• The survey was conducted by the public opinion and market research company Baltic Surveys/The Gal...
International Republican Institute
Opposition to Russian Military
Intervention Strong in all Regions
Do you support the decision of the Russian Federation
to send its army into Ukraine under the pretext of protecting Russia...
5
2%
5%
8%
1%
1%
8%
11%
5%
10%
14%
17%
92%
84%
61%
52%
2%
2%
12%
12%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
West
Cent...
Do you support the decision of the Russian Federation
to send its army into Ukraine under the pretext of protecting Russia...
Do you support the decision of the Russian Federation
to send its army into Ukraine under the pretext of protecting Russia...
Is it necessary for the Russian military to come into eastern and/or southern
Ukraine to protect the Russian speakers and ...
Is it necessary for the Russian military to come into eastern and/or southern
Ukraine to protect the Russian speakers and ...
Is it necessary for the Russian military to come into eastern and/or southern
Ukraine to protect the Russian speakers and ...
How do you evaluate Russia’s actions in Crimea?
In your opinion, are they aimed at…
11
54%
17%
13%
5%
4%
1%
6%
55%
15%
9%
...
International Republican Institute
Ukraine Should Remain
a United Country
In you opinion, should Ukraine… ?
13
64%
66%
10%
7%
14%
17%
1%
2%
1%
1%
10%
7%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
March 2014
April 20...
In you opinion, should Ukraine… ?
14
89%
77%
58%
40%
4%
11%
3%
9%
4%
5%
26%
35%
2%
3%
2%
7%
9%
8%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 6...
Do you support the idea of replacing oblast and rayon
state administration with executive committees
which would be appoin...
In your opinion, what should be the status of Crimea?
16
50%
42%
13%
20%
13%
13%
8%
8%
5%
4%
1%
1%
2%
9%
10%
0% 10% 20% 30...
International Republican Institute
Voter Enthusiasm
for Election High
Are you going to vote in the presidential
election to be held on May 25, 2014?
18
48%
55%
31%
29%
4%
2%
12%
10%
5%
4%
0% 1...
Are you going to vote in the presidential
election to be held on May 25, 2014?
19
74%
58%
29%
47%
17%
34%
33%
32%
1%
3%
4%...
Who are you going to vote for in the presidential
election to be held on May 25, 2014?
20
29%
13%
6%
5%
4%
4%
3%
3%
3%
1%
...
Who are you going to vote for in the presidential
election to be held on May 25, 2014?
21
34%
15%
7%
6%
5%
5%
3%
3%
3%
2%
...
Who are you going to vote for in the presidential
election to be held on May 25, 2014?
22
15%
7%
7%
5%
4%
4%
3%
2%
1%
1%
1...
If the following candidates are in the second round of the
presidential election, for whom would you vote?
23
41% 15% 21% ...
If the following candidates are in the second round of the
presidential election, for whom would you vote?
24
51% 12% 14% ...
If the following candidates are in the second round of the
presidential election, for whom would you vote?
25
50% 13% 14% ...
If the following candidates are in the second round of the
presidential election, for whom would you vote?
26
31% 17% 26% ...
If the following candidates are in the second round of the
presidential election, for whom would you vote?
27
33% 12% 28% ...
In your opinion, will Russia attempt to disrupt or discredit the
upcoming presidential election in Ukraine?
28
37%
27%
13%...
In your opinion, will the next presidential election be…?
29
2%
4%
7%
11%
17%
20%
34%
38%
39%
35%
27%
22%
26%
22%
15%
16%
...
International Republican Institute
Confidence in the
Government Holds
Do you approve or disapprove of the job acting
President Oleksandr Turchynov is doing?
31
9%
11%
33%
35%
20%
19%
27%
24%
1...
Do you approve or disapprove of the job the Cabinet of Ministers
of Ukraine under Prime Minister Yatsenyuk is doing?
32
12...
Do you approve or disapprove of the job the Parliament of Ukraine is doing?
33
2%
6%
6%
10%
11%
33%
33%
35%
30%
24%
24%
45...
How would you evaluate the efforts of the new authorities
in Ukraine to secure the territorial integrity of Ukraine?
34
14...
What is your opinion about each of these
members of the Ukrainian government?
35
53%
47%
38%
30%
26%
26%
23%
19%
19%
18%
1...
What is your opinion about each of these
Ukrainian politicians and civic activists?
36
63%
60%
50%
50%
40%
34%
32%
30%
25%...
International Republican Institute
Majority Want Closer
Ties to Europe
If Ukraine was able to enter only one
international economic union, should it be with…?
38
42%
36%
37%
32%
40%
42%
41%
52%...
If Ukraine was able to enter only one
international economic union, should it be with…?
39
82%
69%
28%
27%
2%
10%
32%
53%
...
If a referendum was held today on Ukraine joining
the European Union, how would you vote?
40
53%
54%
28%
31%
8%
7%
11%
8%
...
41
83%
70%
28%
27%
10%
17%
37%
59%
2%
4%
20%
8%
5%
9%
15%
6%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
West
Center
South...
If a referendum was held today on Ukraine joining the Customs Union with
Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan, how would you vot...
If a referendum was held today on Ukraine joining the Customs Union with
Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan, how would you vot...
International Republican Institute
Parliamentary Elections
Do you think that early parliamentary elections
should be carried out in the near future?
45
2%
27%
37%
10%
11%
35%
31%
35...
If early parliamentary elections were announced today, would you vote?
46
33%
34%
41%
42%
49%
36%
34%
35%
33%
32%
8%
7%
8%...
If parliamentary elections were held today,
which political party would you vote for?
47
16%
15%
9%
8%
5%
5%
4%
1%
1%
4%
1...
In your opinion, will the next parliamentary elections be…?
48
4%
7%
10%
20%
33%
37%
36%
26%
22%
22%
16%
16%
18%
18%
15%
0...
International Republican Institute
Mood of Ukraine
Generally speaking, do you think that things in Ukraine are going in the right
direction or wrong direction?
50
13% 13% 14...
Over the last 12 months, the financial situation of your household has…
51
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
6%
6%
9%
14%
8%
9%
8%
3...
In the next 12 months, do you expect the economic situation in Ukraine will…
52
1%
1%
1%
2%
2%
1%
1%
1%
7%
8%
13%
17%
8%
1...
International Republican Institute
Views on Foreign Countries
How do you perceive the level of support for Ukraine from the
following countries during the Crimea crisis?
54
51%
49%
45%...
International Republican Institute
Demographics
Demographics
45%
55%
22%
35%
44%
69%
30%
1%
32%
36%
32%
24%
1%
20%
1%
31%
4%
9%
7%
3%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
M...
Demographics
57
78%
7%
3%
1%
11%
41%
57%
1%
1%
13%
8%
18%
8%
22%
31%
22%
30%
19%
29%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90...
Demographics
58
Due to Russia’s occupation of the peninsula,
resident’s of Crimea were unable to be included in this poll.
www.IRI.org | @IRIGlobal
International Republican Institute
(202) 408-9450 | info@iri.org
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2014 april 24 survey of residents of ukraine, april 3 12, 2014

  1. 1. International Republican Institute Public Opinion Survey Residents of Ukraine April 3-12, 2014
  2. 2. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was conducted by the public opinion and market research company Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization on behalf of the International Republican Institute. The field work was carried out by Rating Group Ukraine. • Data was collected throughout Ukraine April 3–12, 2014, through face-to-face interviews at respondents’ home. Due to Russia’s occupation of the peninsula, resident’s of Crimea were unable to be included in this poll. • The sample consisted of 1,200 permanent residents of Ukraine aged 18 and older and eligible to vote. It is representative for the general population by age, gender, education, region and size of the settlement. • Multistage probability sampling method was used with the random route and next birthday respondent’s selection procedures. • Stage one: 25 official administrative regions of Ukraine were defined (24 regions of Ukraine and Kyiv). All regions of Ukraine were surveyed except Crimea. • Stage two: selection of the settlements - towns and villages. Towns were grouped into subtypes according to the size: • City more than one million residents • City 500,000-999,000 residents • City 100,000-499,000 residents • City 50,000-99,000 residents • City to 50,000 residents • Village • Settlements were selected at random. The number of selected settlements in each region was proportional to the share of population living in a particular type of the settlement in each region. • Stage three: primary sampling units were described. • • The margin of error does not exceed plus or minus 2.8 percent. • Response rate was 65 percent. • Charts and graphs may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding. • The survey was funded by the U.S. Agency for International Development.
  3. 3. International Republican Institute Opposition to Russian Military Intervention Strong in all Regions
  4. 4. Do you support the decision of the Russian Federation to send its army into Ukraine under the pretext of protecting Russian- speaking citizens? 4 7% 4% 6% 5% 9% 12% 72% 73% 6% 6% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% March 2014 April 2014 Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer
  5. 5. 5 2% 5% 8% 1% 1% 8% 11% 5% 10% 14% 17% 92% 84% 61% 52% 2% 2% 12% 12% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% West Center South East Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer Do you support the decision of the Russian Federation to send its army into Ukraine under the pretext of protecting Russian- speaking citizens?
  6. 6. Do you support the decision of the Russian Federation to send its army into Ukraine under the pretext of protecting Russian- speaking citizens? 6 By age and gender 4% 3% 4% 4% 4% 5% 6% 6% 4% 14% 11% 12% 11% 13% 71% 74% 73% 73% 73% 4% 7% 7% 6% 7% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 18-29 30-49 50+ Male Female Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer 6%
  7. 7. Do you support the decision of the Russian Federation to send its army into Ukraine under the pretext of protecting Russian- speaking citizens? 7 2% 9% 3% 10% 10% 16% 82% 52% 3% 13% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Ukrainian- speaking citizens Russian-speaking citizens Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer
  8. 8. Is it necessary for the Russian military to come into eastern and/or southern Ukraine to protect the Russian speakers and ethnic Russians? 8 3% 4% 12% 76% 5% Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer
  9. 9. Is it necessary for the Russian military to come into eastern and/or southern Ukraine to protect the Russian speakers and ethnic Russians? 9 1% 2% 7% 1% 3% 10% 7% 7% 13% 21% 91% 88% 73% 52% 1% 3% 9% 10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% West Center South East Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer
  10. 10. Is it necessary for the Russian military to come into eastern and/or southern Ukraine to protect the Russian speakers and ethnic Russians? 10 1% 8% 2% 8% 9% 19% 85% 54% 3% 11% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Ukrainian-speaking citizens Russian-speaking citizens Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer
  11. 11. How do you evaluate Russia’s actions in Crimea? In your opinion, are they aimed at… 11 54% 17% 13% 5% 4% 1% 6% 55% 15% 9% 7% 4% 3% 7% Invasion and occupation of independent Ukraine Threat to new Ukrainian political leaders Protection of Russian-speaking citizens of Ukraine Response to the new Crimea leaders asking for help Protection of Russian military base in Sevastopol Other Don't know/Refused to answer 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% March 2014 April 2014
  12. 12. International Republican Institute Ukraine Should Remain a United Country
  13. 13. In you opinion, should Ukraine… ? 13 64% 66% 10% 7% 14% 17% 1% 2% 1% 1% 10% 7% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% March 2014 April 2014 Remain a unitary country Remain a unitary country, but without Crimea Become a federal country Be divided into several countries Other Difficult to answer/No answer
  14. 14. In you opinion, should Ukraine… ? 14 89% 77% 58% 40% 4% 11% 3% 9% 4% 5% 26% 35% 2% 3% 2% 7% 9% 8% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% West Center South East Remain a unitary country Remain a unitary country, but without Crimea Become a federal country Be divided into several countries Other Difficult to answer/No answer 2% 5%
  15. 15. Do you support the idea of replacing oblast and rayon state administration with executive committees which would be appointed by the oblast and rayon councils? 15 23% 25% 9% 14% 29% Fully support Rather support Rather don't support Totally don't support Don't know/Refused to answer
  16. 16. In your opinion, what should be the status of Crimea? 16 50% 42% 13% 20% 13% 13% 8% 8% 5% 4% 1% 1% 2% 9% 10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% March 2014 April 2014 Autonomous republic within Ukraine Crimean-Tatar autonomous republic within Ukraine Should become part of Russia Become an oblast of Ukraine Should become an independent state Should become part of Turkey Other Don't know/Refused to answer
  17. 17. International Republican Institute Voter Enthusiasm for Election High
  18. 18. Are you going to vote in the presidential election to be held on May 25, 2014? 18 48% 55% 31% 29% 4% 2% 12% 10% 5% 4% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% March 2014 April 2014 Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer
  19. 19. Are you going to vote in the presidential election to be held on May 25, 2014? 19 74% 58% 29% 47% 17% 34% 33% 32% 1% 3% 4% 5% 5% 25% 13% 4% 2% 10% 4% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% West Center South East Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer
  20. 20. Who are you going to vote for in the presidential election to be held on May 25, 2014? 20 29% 13% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 1% 1% 3% 3% 11% 12% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% Petro Poroshenko Yuliya Tymoshenko Serhiy Tihipko Mykhaylo Dobkin Oleh Lyashko Petro Symonenko Anatoliy Hrytsenko Olha Bohomolets Oleh Tyahnybok Dmytro Yarosh Nataliya Korolevska Other Against all I would not vote Difficult to answer/Don’t know All respondents; First choice
  21. 21. Who are you going to vote for in the presidential election to be held on May 25, 2014? 21 34% 15% 7% 6% 5% 5% 3% 3% 3% 2% 1% 3% 3% 11% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% Petro Poroshenko Yuliya Tymoshenko Serhiy Tihipko Mykhaylo Dobkin Oleh Lyashko Petro Symonenko Anatoliy Hrytsenko Olha Bohomolets Oleh Tyahnybok Dmytro Yarosh Nataliya Korolevska Other Against all Difficult to answer/Don’t know Likely voters, n=1,005; First choice
  22. 22. Who are you going to vote for in the presidential election to be held on May 25, 2014? 22 15% 7% 7% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 3% 8% 13% 26% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% Petro Poroshenko Yuliya Tymoshenko Anatoliy Hrytsenko Serhiy Tihipko Oleh Lyashko Olha Bohomolets Mykhaylo Dobkin Oleh Tyahnybok Petro Symonenko Dmytro Yarosh Nataliya Korolevska Yuriy Boyko Other Against all I would not vote Difficult to answer/Don’t know All respondents, Second choice
  23. 23. If the following candidates are in the second round of the presidential election, for whom would you vote? 23 41% 15% 21% 12% 11% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Petro Poroshenko Yuliya Tymoshenko Against both I would not vote Difficult to answer/Don’t know
  24. 24. If the following candidates are in the second round of the presidential election, for whom would you vote? 24 51% 12% 14% 12% 10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Petro Poroshenko Mykhaylo Dobkin Against both I would not vote Difficult to answer/Don’t know
  25. 25. If the following candidates are in the second round of the presidential election, for whom would you vote? 25 50% 13% 14% 12% 11% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Petro Poroshenko Serhiy Tihipko Against both I would not vote Difficult to answer/Don’t know
  26. 26. If the following candidates are in the second round of the presidential election, for whom would you vote? 26 31% 17% 26% 13% 13% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Yuliya Tymoshenko Serhiy Tihipko Against both I would not vote Difficult to answer/Don’t know
  27. 27. If the following candidates are in the second round of the presidential election, for whom would you vote? 27 33% 12% 28% 14% 13% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Yuliya Tymoshenko Mykhaylo Dobkin Against both I would not vote Difficult to answer/Don’t know
  28. 28. In your opinion, will Russia attempt to disrupt or discredit the upcoming presidential election in Ukraine? 28 37% 27% 13% 12% 11% Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer
  29. 29. In your opinion, will the next presidential election be…? 29 2% 4% 7% 11% 17% 20% 34% 38% 39% 35% 27% 22% 26% 22% 15% 16% 16% 19% 17% 13% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% September 2013 February 2014 March 2014 April 2014 Absolutely free and fair Rather free and fair Rather not free and fair Absolutely not free and fair Don't know/Refused to answer
  30. 30. International Republican Institute Confidence in the Government Holds
  31. 31. Do you approve or disapprove of the job acting President Oleksandr Turchynov is doing? 31 9% 11% 33% 35% 20% 19% 27% 24% 11% 11% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% March 2014 April 2014 Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Don't know/Refused to answer
  32. 32. Do you approve or disapprove of the job the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine under Prime Minister Yatsenyuk is doing? 32 12% 16% 34% 36% 17% 16% 27% 24% 9% 8% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% March 2014 April 2014 Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Don't know/Refused to answer
  33. 33. Do you approve or disapprove of the job the Parliament of Ukraine is doing? 33 2% 6% 6% 10% 11% 33% 33% 35% 30% 24% 24% 45% 50% 26% 26% 9% 7% 11% 11% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% September 2013 February 2014 March 2014 April 2014 Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Don't know/Refused to answer
  34. 34. How would you evaluate the efforts of the new authorities in Ukraine to secure the territorial integrity of Ukraine? 34 14% 29% 27% 23% 7% They do everything that can be done They do part of what can be done They do very little of what can be done Total inactivity Difficult to answer/No answer
  35. 35. What is your opinion about each of these members of the Ukrainian government? 35 53% 47% 38% 30% 26% 26% 23% 19% 19% 18% 16% 13% 40% 43% 41% 51% 23% 30% 23% 20% 21% 22% 18% 18% 1% 1% 8% 5% 36% 27% 37% 44% 45% 44% 51% 56% 6% 9% 13% 14% 15% 17% 17% 17% 15% 16% 14% 13% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk Acting President Oleksandr Turchynov Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council Andriy Parubiy Minister of Internal Affairs Arsen Avakov Acting Minister of Foreign Affairs Andriy Deshchytsia First Deputy Prime Minister Vitaliy Yarema Acting Minister of Defense Mykhaylo Koval Minister of Healthcare Oleh Musiy Deputy Prime Minister Volodymyr Hroisman Minister of Economic Development Pavlo Sheremeta Minister of Education and Science Serhiy Kvit Deputy Prime Minister Oleksandr Sych Favorable Unfavorable Have not heard the name Don't know/No answer
  36. 36. What is your opinion about each of these Ukrainian politicians and civic activists? 36 63% 60% 50% 50% 40% 34% 32% 30% 25% 19% 15% 12% 9% 7% 4% 30% 21% 32% 45% 51% 59% 26% 65% 59% 73% 75% 82% 16% 14% 92% 1% 6% 6% 1% 30% 3% 3% 66% 71% 6% 13% 12% 5% 8% 7% 12% 5% 13% 8% 7% 6% 9% 8% 4% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Petro Poroshenko Olha Bohomolets Anatoliy Hrytsenko Vitaliy Klychko Yuriy Lutsenko Yuliya Tymoshenko Lesya Orobets Oleh Tyahnybok Dmytro Yarosh Serhiy Tihipko Mykhaylo Dobkin Petro Symonenko Vasyl Hatsko Hanna Hopko Viktor Yanukovych Favorable Unfavorable Have not heard the name Don't know/No answer
  37. 37. International Republican Institute Majority Want Closer Ties to Europe
  38. 38. If Ukraine was able to enter only one international economic union, should it be with…? 38 42% 36% 37% 32% 40% 42% 41% 52% 53% 40% 43% 41% 42% 37% 37% 36% 27% 24% 3% 4% 5% 6% 5% 5% 9% 6% 10% 15% 17% 17% 20% 18% 16% 14% 14% 13% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% November 2011 March 2012 May 2012 August 2012 May 2013 September 2013 February 2014 March 2014 April 2014 European Union Customs Union with Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan Other Don't know/No answer
  39. 39. If Ukraine was able to enter only one international economic union, should it be with…? 39 82% 69% 28% 27% 2% 10% 32% 53% 3% 9% 19% 10% 12% 12% 21% 10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% West Center South East European Union Customs Union with Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan Other Don't know/No answer
  40. 40. If a referendum was held today on Ukraine joining the European Union, how would you vote? 40 53% 54% 28% 31% 8% 7% 11% 8% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% March 2014 April 2014 Would vote for Ukraine to join the European Union Would vote against Ukraine joining the European Union Would not vote Don't know/Refused to answer
  41. 41. 41 83% 70% 28% 27% 10% 17% 37% 59% 2% 4% 20% 8% 5% 9% 15% 6% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% West Center South East Would vote for Ukraine to join the European Union Would vote against Ukraine joining the European Union Would not vote Don't know/Refused to answer If Ukraine was able to enter only one international economic union, should it be with…?
  42. 42. If a referendum was held today on Ukraine joining the Customs Union with Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan, how would you vote? 42 28% 24% 51% 57% 15% 9% 6% 10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% March 2014 April 2014 Would vote for Ukraine to join the Customs Union Would vote against Ukraine joining the Customs Union Would not vote Don't know/Refused to answer
  43. 43. If a referendum was held today on Ukraine joining the Customs Union with Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan, how would you vote? 43 4% 9% 31% 53% 82% 75% 35% 29% 7% 7% 16% 8% 7% 9% 18% 9% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% West Center South East Would vote for Ukraine to join the Customs Union Would vote against Ukraine joining the Customs Union Would not vote Don't know/Refused to answer
  44. 44. International Republican Institute Parliamentary Elections
  45. 45. Do you think that early parliamentary elections should be carried out in the near future? 45 2% 27% 37% 10% 11% 35% 31% 35% 30% 12% 12% 45% 50% 12% 9% 9% 7% 14% 11% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% September 2013 February 2014 March 2014 April 2014 Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer
  46. 46. If early parliamentary elections were announced today, would you vote? 46 33% 34% 41% 42% 49% 36% 34% 35% 33% 32% 8% 7% 8% 5% 4% 19% 20% 10% 12% 11% 4% 5% 6% 8% 4% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% May 2013 September 2013 February 2014 March 2014 April 2014 Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer
  47. 47. If parliamentary elections were held today, which political party would you vote for? 47 16% 15% 9% 8% 5% 5% 4% 1% 1% 4% 13% 20% 0% 10% 20% 30% Solidarnist (P. Poroshenko) Batkivshchyna (Y. Tymoshenko) Ukrainian Democratic Alliance for Reform (UDAR) (V. Klychko) Party of Regions Svoboda (O. Tyahnybok) Radical Party of Oleh Lyashko (O. Lyashko) Communist Party (P. Symonenko) Pravyi Sector (D. Yarosh) Ukraine-Forward! (N. Korolevska) Other I would not vote Don't know/Refused to answer
  48. 48. In your opinion, will the next parliamentary elections be…? 48 4% 7% 10% 20% 33% 37% 36% 26% 22% 22% 16% 16% 18% 18% 15% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% February 2014 March 2014 April 2014 Absolutely free and fair Rather free and fair Rather not free and fair Absolutely not free and fair Don't know/Refused to answer
  49. 49. International Republican Institute Mood of Ukraine
  50. 50. Generally speaking, do you think that things in Ukraine are going in the right direction or wrong direction? 50 13% 13% 14% 24% 15% 15% 18% 30% 34% 71% 73% 66% 58% 69% 67% 64% 52% 48% 16% 14% 20% 18% 16% 18% 17% 18% 18% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% November 2011 March 2012 May 2012 August 2012 May 2013 September 2013 February 2014 March 2014 April 2014 Right direction Wrong direction Don't know, no answer
  51. 51. Over the last 12 months, the financial situation of your household has… 51 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 6% 6% 9% 14% 8% 9% 8% 3% 4% 37% 39% 45% 37% 46% 41% 44% 46% 37% 36% 34% 30% 27% 30% 30% 31% 29% 34% 18% 18% 13% 15% 14% 17% 14% 18% 22% 2% 2% 3% 5% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% November 2011 March 2012 May 2012 August 2012 May 2013 September 2013 February 2014 March 2014 April 2014 Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the same Worsened somewhat Worsened a lot Don't know/No answer
  52. 52. In the next 12 months, do you expect the economic situation in Ukraine will… 52 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 7% 8% 13% 17% 8% 12% 9% 11% 10% 30% 32% 35% 31% 38% 27% 20% 16% 13% 32% 32% 26% 24% 29% 29% 31% 26% 26% 17% 15% 11% 11% 12% 17% 28% 35% 43% 13% 12% 14% 16% 12% 13% 12% 11% 7% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% November 2011 March 2012 May 2012 August 2012 May 2013 September 2013 February 2014 March 2014 April 2014 Improve a lot Improve somewhat Stay the same Worsen somewhat Worsen a lot Don't know/No answer
  53. 53. International Republican Institute Views on Foreign Countries
  54. 54. How do you perceive the level of support for Ukraine from the following countries during the Crimea crisis? 54 51% 49% 45% 44% 42% 37% 29% 30% 34% 35% 33% 37% 12% 13% 14% 13% 14% 13% 8% 8% 8% 8% 11% 13% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Poland European Union United States Germany Lithuania Canada Supportive Neutral Not supportive Don't know/Refused to answer
  55. 55. International Republican Institute Demographics
  56. 56. Demographics 45% 55% 22% 35% 44% 69% 30% 1% 32% 36% 32% 24% 1% 20% 1% 31% 4% 9% 7% 3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Male Female 18-29 years 30-49 years 50 years and older Ukrainian Russian Other Secondary or lower Vocational Higher Blue collar Farmer White collar Higher or medium executive Retired (not working) Student Housewife Unemployed Other GENDERAGE LANGUAGE SPOKENAT HOMEEDUCATIONOCCUPATION 56
  57. 57. Demographics 57 78% 7% 3% 1% 11% 41% 57% 1% 1% 13% 8% 18% 8% 22% 31% 22% 30% 19% 29% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Orthodox Greek Catholic Other Atheist Believe in God but don't belong to any religion Bad Average Good No answer City with more than 1 million City with 500-999 thousand City with 100-499 thousand City with 50-99 thousand Up to 50 thousand Rural area West Center South East RELIGION SITUATIONOF FAMILYSETTLEMENTTYPEREGIONS
  58. 58. Demographics 58 Due to Russia’s occupation of the peninsula, resident’s of Crimea were unable to be included in this poll.
  59. 59. www.IRI.org | @IRIGlobal International Republican Institute (202) 408-9450 | info@iri.org

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