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The Irish Banks and Eurozone Stability: Learning from the past, looking to the future

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Gregory Connor's presentation focuses on a number of key themes – what the effect was of Ireland joining the Euro, and how things may have worked out differently if our banking regulatory system had ...

Gregory Connor's presentation focuses on a number of key themes – what the effect was of Ireland joining the Euro, and how things may have worked out differently if our banking regulatory system had been stricter. Following with a look at how we might ‘cure our hangover’ Gregory addressed the housing situation, mortgage arrears and how Ireland might get out of debt.

This talk was part of 'The Irish Economy. What happened? What next?', a lecture series held in Dublin City Public Libraries during March 2012.

http://dublincitypubliclibraries.com/story/irish-economy-what-happened-what-next

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The Irish Banks and Eurozone Stability: Learning from the past, looking  to the future The Irish Banks and Eurozone Stability: Learning from the past, looking to the future Presentation Transcript

  • The Irish banks and Eurozonestability: Learning from the past, looking to the future Gregory Connor Department of Economics, Finance & Accounting National University of Ireland, Maynooth
  • Economics During Interesting Times
  • One Key Objective of the Euro Currency
  • The Brittleness of the Euro Currency Regime
  • Do Not Mention Optimal Currency Areas!
  • One Reason Irish Financial Economists Were Pro-Euro
  • What Ireland Got Instead: Credit Oversupply and Negative Investment Returns
  • Actual Domestic Banking SectorAggregate Balance Sheet, Assets
  • Actual Domestic Banking SectorAggregate Balance Sheet, Liabilities
  • What Might Have Been…
  • Simulated Domestic Banking Sector Aggregate Balance Sheet, Assets
  • Simulated Domestic Banking SectorAggregate Balance Sheet, Liabilities
  • Simulation Constraints
  • Domestic Bank Sector Risk Profile
  • Changes in Net Foreign Borrowing
  • Annual One-Off GDP Impacts
  • Irish House Party, with Invited Guests
  • Cumulative GDP Impact to 2010
  • Curing Our Hangover
  • Extraordinary Liquidity Support from the ECB
  • Shrinking the Asset Side of the Irish Banking Sector Balance Sheet
  • Reality Returns to Property Prices
  • Not Building Houses Does Not Make Them Go Away Quickly
  • Mortgages in Arrears: A Potentially Deadly Risk
  • What Are We Paying For?
  • Will Ireland Make It Out of Debt?Source: D. Cronin and K. Dowd, Central Bank of Ireland Working Paper 15/RT/11 2012
  • Can Irish Pharma and Tech Sectors Save Us?