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Predictive intelligence; Using Game Theory to Predict Disease Spread

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A presentation for Latin American physicians (National Health Board of the Bahamans, Peruvian College of Medicine) detailing the use of Big Data connected to a small/Smart device to drive predictive …

A presentation for Latin American physicians (National Health Board of the Bahamans, Peruvian College of Medicine) detailing the use of Big Data connected to a small/Smart device to drive predictive intelligence crowd behaviors for determining outbreaks and disease spread

Published in: Technology, Economy & Finance

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  • 1. Predictive Intelligenceusing Game Theory to predict disease spread
  • 2. Introduction• About Me– 20+ Years in technology– Multi-Patented inventor– Transhumanist (H+)– Adult learning expert• B2i Ventures– Kansas City– Work+Life+Play– Online universities– Technology strategy– Startup product evangelists– Gamification (Human performance improvement)Play for the future
  • 3. Game Theory: The birth ofpredictive intelligence• game theory analyzes what should happengiven what players desire. Spaniel, William (2011-07-18). Game Theory 101: TheBasics (Kindle Location 82). . Kindle Edition.• Game theory informs us of the most likelyoutcome of an individual or collectives actionsthrough the measured analysis of variance• The Payoff? Systematic intelligence enginesthat can predict likeliest outcomes of anyscenario
  • 4. Game Design: The implementationof the system• Game Designtypically beginswith themodification ofa typical system• Example:modify theCdc/whoprocess
  • 5. What is gamification? The tippingpoint• Broad term• marketing• Game design• Game theory• Game mechanics• Technology• Communication• Crowds• participatory• Intrinsicpic: map of the Internet 2012
  • 6. SIMILIA SIMILIBUSCURANTURBuilding the network
  • 7. ‘likes are cured by likes’Disease is:– Viral– Intelligent– Networked– Localized– PredictableInformation is:– Viral– Intelligent– Networked– Global– Predictable’pic: Non-cell-autonomous proteins that form the cancer, immunological disease, hematological disease network.Technology; properly deployed – is the nextline of defense in the war of disease.
  • 8. How disparateinformation saveslives• Social sharingis now aglobal pursuit• Data ischeaper tostore• Smart isgetting smarter• Citizenjournalism isprogressive
  • 9. Predictive Intelligence: The socialgenome• Primitive systems of predictive intelligencesurround us– Lottery– Sports– Gambling– Future crime• Advance systems will need to learn ‘criticalthinking’ skills to eliminate false positivesignals corrupting the equation• Cold tech, qbit (quantum) and the ‘internet of
  • 10. conclusions• Requiste Technology is pervasive but stillelusive• Computers must be trained to mimic thephysicians process• Electronic records must be anonymous• Information must be free
  • 11. Doug Richardsdoug@b2iventures.comhttp://b2iventures.com@b2Iventures