US Corporate Profits Plunge in Q1 2014 as GDP Falls 1 Percent
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US Corporate Profits Plunge in Q1 2014 as GDP Falls 1 Percent

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US real GDP fell at an annual rate of 1 percent in Q1 2014, according to the second estimate from the BEA. Corporate profits plunged, but remained high by historical levels

US real GDP fell at an annual rate of 1 percent in Q1 2014, according to the second estimate from the BEA. Corporate profits plunged, but remained high by historical levels

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    US Corporate Profits Plunge in Q1 2014 as GDP Falls 1 Percent US Corporate Profits Plunge in Q1 2014 as GDP Falls 1 Percent Presentation Transcript

    • Economics for your Classroom from Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog US Corporate Profits Take Big Hit as Q1 GDP Falls a Full Percentage Point Posted May 29, 2014 Terms of Use: These slides are provided under Creative Commons License Attribution—Share Alike 3.0 . You are free to use these slides as a resource for your economics classes together with whatever textbook you are using. If you like the slides, you may also want to take a look at my textbook, Introduction to Economics, from BVT Publishing.
    • May 29, 2014 Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog US GDP Falls in Q1 2014  The second estimate from the Bureau of Economic Analysis released on May 29 showed that US real GDP fell at an annual rate of 1.0 percent in Q1 2014  The advance estimate released in April had shown positive growth of 0.1 percent  Harsh winter weather undoubtedly contributed to the downturn
    • Phases of the Business Cycle  According to standard business cycle terminology, the recession phase of the business cycle is the downward movement of GDP from its previous peak  The recovery phase is the upward movement from the trough (low point) of the recession and continues until GDP again reaches its previous peak.  Once GDP moves above its previous peak, the expansion phase begins.  The latest data show that the expansion has stalled, although growth is expected to resume in the second quarter May 29, 2014 Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog
    • Sources of Growth by Sector  Most of the fall in GDP was due to a decrease in investment, especially a sharp decrease in inventories  The contribution from consumption was positive but lower than the 2.22 percentage points in Q3  A decrease in expenditures of state and local government was only partly offset by an increase in Federal expenditures  Exports, which had been a strong point of the recovery, also turned negative Contribution by sector to the -1% GDP growth in Q1 2014 Note: Imports are recorded in the national accounts with a negative sign, so the -.12 percentage points shown here represent an increase in imports May 29, 2014 Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog
    • Export Growth Plunges  Exports have played a leading role in GDP growth during much of the recovery  Beginning in Q2 2012, the growth of exports slowed, but then recovered again in the last three quarters of 2013  In Q1 2014, exports took a dive, turning in by far their worst performance since the depths of the recession May 29, 2014 Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog
    • State and Local Spending Turns Negative Again  Decreasing government spending, has been a negative influence on GDP growth for most of the past 3 years  In mid-2013, state and local government spending showed the first convincing growth for four years, more than offsetting the continued decrease in federal spending  In Q1 2014, the situation reversed, with S&L spending making a negative contribution that more than offset a tiny increase in federal government spending May 29, 2014 Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog
    • Corporate Profits Take a Dive  For most of the past two years, corporate profits have been running at or near record-high levels  Profits before tax fell 10 percent in Q1 2014 and profits after tax plunged by 14 percent  Despite the sharp drop, corporate profits after tax remained above the peak reached during the boom that preceded the Great Recession May 29, 2014 Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog
    • Click here to learn more about Ed Dolan’s Econ texts or visit www.bvtpublishing.com For more slideshows, follow Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog Follow @DolanEcon on Twitter