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P owe rpoint Inform a tion:
                Dr. B a rry Noc ks
              C le m s on Unive rs ity
C e nte r for C om m...
Mobile Home, Walhalla, SC




                                                                                            ...
• Today:
  – 1.22 Million People
     • 62.2% Urban
  – 527,274 Housing Units
     • 67.3% Single Family


• 2025:
  – 1.5...
dditional Needs
for 2025:
   6.75 m illion
    s q ua re fe e t (o r
    155 a c re s )
      67 (1 0 0,0 00 s .f.)
    ...
Additional Needs for 2025 (continued)
  6 .1 m illion s q ua re fe e t (o r 1 4 0 a c re s )
      6 (40 -s to ry) o ffi...
dditional Needs
     for 2025:
  2 7.1 m illion s q ua re
   fe e t (or 622 a c re s )              BMW Manufacturing Pla...
dditional Needs for 2025:
   7,111 Hote l R o o m s =
    71 ne w h ote ls
    (a s s um ing a ve ra g e o f
    100 room...
 E c o no m ic d ive rs ific a tion
 J o b s – g ro wth in n um b e rs a n d q u a lity
 Ta x b a s e – s u p po rt of ...
G re e nville -

                                   Sprawl Rankings
    S p a rta n b u rg is 5 th
                      ...
Growth by Decade
             4,500,000
                                                                                  ...
Population Density Along the I-85 Corridor




                                                                           ...
evelopment Impacts
     La nd Us e
     Tra ns porta tio n
     Infra s truc tu re
     P a rks a nd Ope n S p a c e
 ...
h e Ups ta te is proje c te d to g row b y a lm os t 30% b y 2025 a nd b y a noth e r 30% b y
2050

h is will h a ve a s i...
ota l S ta te wide Tra ns porta tion ne e ds th roug h 2022
ide ntifie d a t $56.87 billion

oa d re la te d ne e ds : $47...
Parks &
Recreation
• Parks provide refuge from the
  chaos of daily life
   – Passive and active recreation
   – Trails, athletic facilities,...
roje c te d c os ts a re roug h e s tim a te s –
   Ac tua l c os ts de pe nd on topog ra ph y, a me nitie s , s ite
    ...
Impacts on Selected Counties

b b e ville C ounty- $1.8 Million (18 a c re s )
     2 Mini P a rks -$213,000 (2 a c re s ...
Current Facilities
                                         Middle                      Career &
             Primary     ...
Estimated Additional Needs Through 2025
                       Additional                Additional Square                ...
omparisons
  Additiona l E le m e nta ry S c h ool re q uire m e nts e q uiva le nt to th e c ons truc tion
   of:
    3...
omparisons
  Additiona l Middle S c h ool re q uire m e nts e q uiva le nt to th e c ons truc tion of:
    15 Additiona ...
omparisons
  Additiona l Hig h S c h ool re q uire m e nts e q uiva le nt to th e c ons truc tion of:
    8 Additiona l ...
dditional
Teachers
      F uture g rowth in th e
       Ups ta te b y 2025 is
       e s tima te d to
       g e ne ra te...
onstruction Costs
  F u ture g ro wth in th e Ups ta te is e s tim a te d to g e ne ra te a n e e d fo r
   $ 7 35 – $9 1...
e c a n le a rn from oth e r e xpe rie nc e s , pa rtic ula rly
from a re a s th a t a re s imila r in s c a le a nd polit...
Copy   Community Job Growth Ii
Copy   Community Job Growth Ii
Copy   Community Job Growth Ii
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Copy Community Job Growth Ii

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  • Transcript of "Copy Community Job Growth Ii"

    1. 1. P owe rpoint Inform a tion: Dr. B a rry Noc ks C le m s on Unive rs ity C e nte r for C om m unity G rowth & C h a ng e
    2. 2. Mobile Home, Walhalla, SC Development Entry, Clemson, SC Ram Cat Alley, Seneca, SC Oconee County Courthouse, Walhalla, SC
    3. 3. • Today: – 1.22 Million People • 62.2% Urban – 527,274 Housing Units • 67.3% Single Family • 2025: – 1.56 Million People* • 340,000 more people, or 28% growth rate • 54.8% of growth in Greenville and Spartanburg Counties – 659,412 Housing Units *according to SC Budget & Control Board
    4. 4. dditional Needs for 2025:  6.75 m illion s q ua re fe e t (o r 155 a c re s )  67 (1 0 0,0 00 s .f.) ne ig h b o rh oo d s trip c e n te rs , o r  5.5 Ha ywo od Ma lls Haywood Mall Vicinity - Greenville Source: Clemson University Center for Real Estate Development
    5. 5. Additional Needs for 2025 (continued)  6 .1 m illion s q ua re fe e t (o r 1 4 0 a c re s )  6 (40 -s to ry) o ffic e b uild in g s a t 1 m illion s q u a re fe e t e a c h , o r  2x th e a m o un t of offic e s p a c e c u rre ntly in d own to wn G re e n ville Downtown Greenville
    6. 6. dditional Needs for 2025:  2 7.1 m illion s q ua re fe e t (or 622 a c re s ) BMW Manufacturing Plant – Greer  1 1-12 ne w B MW p la nts  E q uiva le nt in s iz e to 1 35 Wa l-Ma rt S upe rc e n te rs (a ve ra g ing 2 00,000 Oconee County Commerce Center s f)
    7. 7. dditional Needs for 2025:  7,111 Hote l R o o m s = 71 ne w h ote ls (a s s um ing a ve ra g e o f 100 room s pe r h o te l) Poinsett Hotel - Greenville Holiday Inn Express - Anderson
    8. 8.  E c o no m ic d ive rs ific a tion  J o b s – g ro wth in n um b e rs a n d q u a lity  Ta x b a s e – s u p po rt of q u a lity s e rvic e s  C u ltura l g ro wth & d ive rs ity  We s e e k to m a in ta in q u a lity o f life wh ile e n c o ura g ing g ro wth
    9. 9. G re e nville -  Sprawl Rankings S p a rta n b u rg is 5 th  Riverside-San Bernardino m o s t s p ra wling (LA), CA a re a  Greensboro-Winston- (Cons ide ring fa c tors Salem-High Point, NC s uc h a s : mile s drive n, tra ffic de la ys , a ir  Raleigh-Durham, NC pollution, proximity of  Atlanta, GA h ome s to jobs /  Greenville-Spartanburg, s c h ools , popula tion SC de ns ity)
    10. 10. Growth by Decade 4,500,000 4,112,198 4,000,000 3,500,000 2,959,950 3,000,000 2,233,324 Population 2,500,000 1,763,626 2,000,000 1,499,293 1,312,474 1,500,000 1,162,093 997,666 971,391 840,347 1,000,000 702,383 588,170 962,441 830,563 500,000 743,284 615,491 546,319 484,215 0 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 Decade Atlanta, GA MSA Charlotte--Gastonia--Rock Hill, NC--SC MSA Greenville--Spartanburg--Anderson, SC MSA
    11. 11. Population Density Along the I-85 Corridor > 800 400 - 800 200 - 400 100 - 200 0 - 100 # people per square mile *1999 population estimates by CACI International, Inc. based on 1990 US Census Virginia Study (D. Ware, et al., USDA Forest Service,1998)
    12. 12. evelopment Impacts  La nd Us e  Tra ns porta tio n  Infra s truc tu re  P a rks a nd Ope n S p a c e  E du c a tio n  P ub lic S a fe ty ire c t c os ts of s e rving ne w re s ide nts a s e d on popula tion proje c tions from th e S C Offic e of R e s e a rc h a nd S ta tis tic s
    13. 13. h e Ups ta te is proje c te d to g row b y a lm os t 30% b y 2025 a nd b y a noth e r 30% b y 2050 h is will h a ve a s ig nific a nt im pa c t on th e tra ns porta tion infra s truc ture in th e Ups ta te , with unknown e ffe c t of g a s s upply a nd m a s s tra ns it ons truc tion of ne w infra s truc ture a s we ll a s im proving e xis ting h ig h wa ys will b e a c h a lle ng e e e ting E P A pollution s ta nda rds will b e a c h a lle ng e with g rowth
    14. 14. ota l S ta te wide Tra ns porta tion ne e ds th roug h 2022 ide ntifie d a t $56.87 billion oa d re la te d ne e ds : $47.57 billion ps ta te ne e ds a t 30% of tota l: $1 4.27 b illion S ource: S C D O T M ultimodal T ransportation P lan, 2002
    15. 15. Parks & Recreation
    16. 16. • Parks provide refuge from the chaos of daily life – Passive and active recreation – Trails, athletic facilities, play structures, pools, sport courts, and wildlife areas – Reduction of urban heat islands – Public gathering space – Leisure and community facilities • With the projected increase of 338,538 people by 2025, demand for parks and recreational space is sure to increase • Only active parks included here Recreation Center- Anderson, SC
    17. 17. roje c te d c os ts a re roug h e s tim a te s –  Ac tua l c os ts de pe nd on topog ra ph y, a me nitie s , s ite improve me nts , la nd a c quis ition, c ons truc tion, a nd s e le c te d ma te ria ls s tim a te s a re a n a ve ra g e of c ons truc tion c os ts for re c e ntly c ons truc te d c om pa ra b le pa rks a rk Am e nitie s Are E xpe ns ive !! Source: City of Greenville Park and Recreation Dept.  E xa mple : P la y S truc ture = $35,000
    18. 18. Impacts on Selected Counties b b e ville C ounty- $1.8 Million (18 a c re s )  2 Mini P a rks -$213,000 (2 a c re s )  2 Ne ig h borh ood P a rks -$602,000 (8 a c re s )  0.4 Comm unity P a rks -$984,000 (8 a c re s ) nde rs on C ounty-$17.7 Million (166 a c re s )  18 Mini P a rks -$2.1 Million (18 a c re s )  15 Ne ig h borh ood P a rks -$5.9 Million (74 a c re s )  4 Com munity P a rks -$9.7 Million (74 a c re s ) re e nville C ounty-$57.4 Million (536 a c re s )  60 Mini P a rks -$6.8 Million (60 a c re s )  48 Ne ig h borh ood P a rks - $19.2 Million (238 a c re s )  12 Comm unity P a rks -$31.4 Million (238 a c re s ) Walhalla Soccer Field ic ke ns C ounty- $20.9 Million (195 a c re s )  22 Mini P a rks -$2.5 Million (22 a c re s )  17 Ne ig h borh ood P a rks -$6.9 Million (87 a c re s )  4 Com munity P a rks -$11.5 Million (87 a c re s ) Costs adjusted 3% annually for inflation 1
    19. 19. Current Facilities Middle Career & Primary Elementary High School Private Total School Technical Abbeville 0 5 5 3 1 1 15 Anderson 0 26 10 7 0 13 56 Cherokee 0 11 4 2 1 3 21 Greenville 2 50 18 14 4 43 131 Greenwood 0 12 5 4 0 4 25 Laurens 0 11 6 2 0 4 23 Oconee 0 11 5 4 1 4 25 Pickens 0 15 5 4 1 14 39 Spartanbur g 1 40 16 10 0 13 80 Union 0 6 3 3 0 1 13 Source: SC Department of 3 Education 187 Total 77 53 8 100 428
    20. 20. Estimated Additional Needs Through 2025 Additional Additional Square Additional Additional Students1 Footage1 Classrooms2 Teachers3 K-5 33,446 3,010,140 1,394 1,520 Middle School 13,859 1,663,080 577 693 High School 13,128 1,969,200 547 691 Total 60,433 6,642,420 2,518 2,904 Assumes that the current distribution of population across age groups will remain consistent to 2025. 1 90 ft2/K-5 Student, 120 ft2/Middle Student, 150 ft2/High (Source: Edwards, Mary. 2003. “Community Guide to Development 2 Impact Analysis.” University of Wisconsin) 24 students/K-5 Classroom, 25/Middle, 26/High (Source: Burchell and Listokin. 1994. “Development Impact Assessment 3 Handbook.”) 1 teacher/22 K-5 students, 1/20 Middle, 1/19 High (Source: Burchell and Listokin. 1994. “Development Impact Assessment 4 Handbook.”)
    21. 21. omparisons  Additiona l E le m e nta ry S c h ool re q uire m e nts e q uiva le nt to th e c ons truc tion of:  30 a dditiona l C le m s on E le m e nta ry S c h ools (46 c la s s room s ), or  68 a dditiona l Wa lh a lla E le m e nta ry S c h ools (a pprox. 500 s tude nts ) Clemson Elementary
    22. 22. omparisons  Additiona l Middle S c h ool re q uire m e nts e q uiva le nt to th e c ons truc tion of:  15 Additiona l G re e r Middle S c h ools (921 s tude nts ), or  22 Additiona l B re we r Middle S c h ools (618 s tude nts ) Brewer Middle School, Greenwood
    23. 23. omparisons  Additiona l Hig h S c h ool re q uire m e nts e q uiva le nt to th e c ons truc tion of:  8 Additiona l E a s le y Hig h S c h ools (68 c la s s room s ); or  12 Additiona l G re e nville Hig h S c h ools (46 c la s s room s ) Easley High School
    24. 24. dditional Teachers  F uture g rowth in th e Ups ta te b y 2025 is e s tima te d to g e ne ra te a ne e d for ne a rly 3,000 additional teachers a t e s tima te d a dditiona l a nnua l s a la ry c os ts of ne a rly $199 million 1 Costs adjusted to 2025 dollars 1
    25. 25. onstruction Costs  F u ture g ro wth in th e Ups ta te is e s tim a te d to g e ne ra te a n e e d fo r $ 7 35 – $9 19 Million 1 in ne w o r e xpa nd e d fa c ilitie s c o ns truc tion b y 2 0 25 , n ot including re pla c e m e n ts to e xis tin g fa c ilitie s Walhalla High School and Football Field Costs adjusted 3% annually for inflation 1
    26. 26. e c a n le a rn from oth e r e xpe rie nc e s , pa rtic ula rly from a re a s th a t a re s imila r in s c a le a nd politic a l outlook e do h a ve c h oic e s —not to a c t is a n invita tion to c ontinue d move me nt to Ch a rlotte a nd Atla nta
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