Horizion Report

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  • Horizion Report

    1. 1. The Horizon Report Malcolm B. Brown, Dartmouth College Julie K. Little, EDUCAUSE Learning Initiative 5 June 2008, E-Live!
    2. 2. Today’s Session <ul><li>History and Purpose </li></ul><ul><li>The Process </li></ul><ul><li>Inside the Horizon Report </li></ul><ul><li>Putting the Horizon Report to Work for You </li></ul>
    3. 3. 1 History and Purpose of the Horizon Report
    4. 4. History 5 Annual Reports (2004-2008) Intended for Institutional Leadership (brief format) Released under Language translations introduced ‘07 (Spanish & Catalan) <ul><li>Evolution of Structure </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Key Trends & Critical Challenges (‘06) </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Metatrends (‘08) </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Horizon Project Community (wiki & tags) </li></ul></ul>
    5. 5. 5 Years of the Horizon Report   Chris Lott: http://www.flickr.com/photos/fncll/2233514275/
    6. 6. Purpose     <ul><li>It’s a forecast targeting six emerging technologies considered on three different adoption &quot;horizons.&quot; </li></ul>In the next year In 2-3 years In 4-5 years
    7. 7. 2 Preparing the Horizon Report
    8. 8. Core Focus <ul><li>Teaching </li></ul><ul><li>Learning </li></ul><ul><li>Creative Expression </li></ul>
    9. 9. Core question <ul><li>What six emerging technologies or practices will likely enter into mainstream use in the next one to five years? </li></ul>What   six emerging technologies or practices will likely enter into mainstream use in the next one to five years?
    10. 10. Step 1 <ul><li>Assemble Advisory Board </li></ul><ul><li>Set up collaboratory </li></ul>
    11. 11. Variety of perspectives <ul><li>Adobe Systems </li></ul><ul><li>Apple, Inc </li></ul><ul><li>California State Monterey Bay </li></ul><ul><li>Case Western </li></ul><ul><li>CNI </li></ul><ul><li>Cornell University </li></ul><ul><li>Dartmouth College </li></ul><ul><li>Educause Learning Initiative </li></ul><ul><li>Forbes, Inc. </li></ul><ul><li>Hong Kong U of Science and Tech </li></ul><ul><li>IBM Almaden Research Center </li></ul><ul><li>Information Week </li></ul><ul><li>JISC (UK) </li></ul><ul><li>MIT </li></ul><ul><li>UC Berkeley </li></ul><ul><li>Nagoya University (Japan) </li></ul><ul><li>New Media Consortium </li></ul><ul><li>New York University </li></ul><ul><li>NITLE </li></ul><ul><li>Ohio State </li></ul><ul><li>Qatar Academy (Qatar) </li></ul><ul><li>Stanford </li></ul><ul><li>Texas State University </li></ul><ul><li>U Maryland </li></ul><ul><li>Universitat Oberta de Catalunya (Spain) </li></ul><ul><li>U of British Columbia (Canada) </li></ul><ul><li>U of Mary Washington </li></ul><ul><li>U of Missouri-Kansas City </li></ul><ul><li>U of Queensland (Australia) </li></ul><ul><li>U of Wollongong (Australia) </li></ul><ul><li>Westwood Schools Camilla </li></ul>
    12. 12. Step 2 Systematic review of emerging technologies and practices
    13. 13. Step 3 Research questions: placing emerging technology into the T/L/CE context
    14. 14. <ul><ul><li>What established technologies should be in use today? </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>What established consumer technologies should be candidates for deployment? </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>What are the key emerging technologies for the 3-5 year horizon? </li></ul></ul>What are our key challenges over the next five years? <ul><ul><li>What are the key trends that will shape us? </li></ul></ul>
    15. 15. Step 4 <ul><li>Reponses and research results sorted into adoption horizons </li></ul>Near-term horizon (1 year or less) Medium-term horizon (2-3 years) Long-term horizon (4-5 years)
    16. 16. Step 5 Near-term horizon (1 year or less) Medium-term horizon (2-3 years) Long-term horizon (4-5 years) Short list of 12 Final 6 80 candidates
    17. 17. 3 Inside the 2008 Horizon Report
    18. 18. 2008 HR: Grassroots Video      <ul><li>Time to adoption: Within a year </li></ul><ul><li>Tools for creating video are easer (and cheaper) to use </li></ul><ul><li>Implications for HiEd </li></ul><ul><li>Examples:  </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Faculty-created video: Mobius Transformations Revealed Arnold & Rogness, University of Minnesota  </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Student-created video: &quot;What would your ideal education look like?&quot; ELI 2008 Annual Meeting Student Content Showcase </li></ul></ul>
    19. 19. 2008 HR: Social Operating Systems      <ul><li>Time to adoption: 4-5 years </li></ul><ul><li>Applications that bring together information and services based on a single contact </li></ul><ul><li>Implications for HiEd </li></ul><ul><li>Examples: </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Team ORCA at Carnegie Mellon </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Yahoo Prototype </li></ul></ul>
    20. 20. 4 Putting the Horizon Report to Work for You
    21. 21. The HR is about innovation <ul><li>Describes new and emerging practices and technology </li></ul><ul><li>Describes “change forces” </li></ul>
    22. 22. You can participate; it’s 2.0 <ul><li>Comment on the 2008 Report: </li></ul><ul><ul><li>http://wp.nmc.org/horizon2008/ </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Contribute to the ongoing research agenda: </li></ul><ul><ul><li>http://horizon.nmc.org/wiki/Research_Agenda </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Contribute to the del.icio.us tagging: </li></ul><ul><ul><li>http://del.icio.us/tag/hz08+video </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>http://del.icio.us/tag/hz08+virtualcollab </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>http://del.icio.us/tag/hz08+mobile etc . </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Nominate someone for the Advisory Board </li></ul><ul><ul><li>http://horizon.nmc.org/wiki/Nominees_for_the_2009_Horizon_Project_Advisory_Board </li></ul></ul>
    23. 23. Can jump start the innovation process <ul><li>Offers likely targets for innovation </li></ul>
    24. 24. Jump starting Analyze any of the highlighted technologies for its adoption potential at your institution
    25. 25. Jump starting <ul><li>Take any one of the technologies and ask: </li></ul><ul><ul><li>what is missing for this technology or practice to be implemented at your institution? </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>what kind of additional research needs to be done concerning this technology? </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>what would be the ramifications and opportunities for learning if this technology were adopted? </li></ul></ul>
    26. 26. Spawn local HR-like processes <ul><li>Local study groups </li></ul><ul><li>Virtual study groups </li></ul><ul><ul><li>K-12 student annotations </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Flat classroom </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Follow up on the leads in the HR </li></ul><ul><li>Participate in the del.icio.us tagging cloud </li></ul>
    27. 27. 2008 Horizon Report for Museums 2008 Horizon Report for Australia and Australasia
    28. 28. Use to support proposals <ul><li>Local funding requests </li></ul><ul><li>Foundations and funding agencies </li></ul>
    29. 29. Strategic planning <ul><li>Medium and longer term horizons </li></ul><ul><li>Trends and challenges </li></ul><ul><li>Example sites </li></ul>
    30. 30. Distribute locally <ul><li>Senior administrators </li></ul><ul><li>Key partners </li></ul><ul><li>Key planners </li></ul>
    31. 31. URLs and resources <ul><li>Download the Report </li></ul><ul><ul><li>EDUCAUSE </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>New Media Consortium </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Web version </li></ul><ul><li>Horizon Project wiki </li></ul><ul><li>Horizon Report methodology </li></ul><ul><li>Short list for 2008 Report </li></ul><ul><li>Localizations </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Australia and Australasia </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Museums </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>K-12 annotation project </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Flat Classroom </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Horizon Project call to scholarship </li></ul>
    32. 32. Thank you! Questions? Comments?

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