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Divyanshu Singh, Yalin Wang
                                                                MBA, NGO-Management
                                                                       Business Statistics


Hand Out:                                                           Date: 16/17 December 2011




                               Correlation Analysis
Introduction to Correlation Analysis

Why is correlation analysis done?

Methods and Tools

SPSS

Application of Correlation Analysis in Business Management



                                  Correlation Analysis
Introduction to Correlation Analysis:
Correlation analysis is a statistical technique to quantify the dependence of two or more
variables. This dependence or degree of correlation is given by correlation coefficient ‘r’ or
‘ρ’. Dependence of 2 variables states that values of both the variables increase
simultaneously. The correlation coefficient value lies between +1 and -1. Any value close
to1.0 or more than 0.5 shows positive correlation which means values of both the variables
increase simultaneously showing linear dependence. A value less that 0.5 and close to -1.0
shows negative correlation which means increase in the value of 1 variable shows decrease in
the value of another. There are several techniques for calculating correlation coefficient.
Many Types of Correlation coefficient exist and choice of these depends in the type of data to
be analysed.

Methods and Tools:
Different types of correlation functions exist for different types of data analysis namely,

   1) Pearson’s coefficient (r)
   2) Spearman’s coefficient (ρ)
   3) Point biserial coefficient etc…

Degree of linear relationship between the 2 variables (r) is calculated by the ratio of the
covariance of 2 variables to the product of their standard deviations.
Divyanshu Singh, Yalin Wang
                                                                MBA, NGO-Management
                                                                       Business Statistics


                                                                    Date: 16/17 December 2011




An r value of zero indicates that there is no relationship between the two variables. Note that
the correlation coefficient is only intended to detect linear relationships between variables
that are normally distributed.



How are the results of Correlation Analysis interpreted?
       How to interpret the results from SPSS?




   (a) is a perfect linear correlation with r = 1 and (d) has a positive linear correlation with 0
       <r< 1. Example (b) is a perfect linear correlation with r = -1 and (e) has a negative
       linear correlation with -1 <r< 0. Example (c) is not correlated with r= 0 and (f) has a
       non-linear correlation which causes r to be close to zero.
Divyanshu Singh, Yalin Wang
                                                                MBA, NGO-Management
                                                                       Business Statistics


                                                                    Date: 16/17 December 2011



Interpretation of results of Correlation Analysis:
Linear correlation is measured by calculating the Pearson correlation coefficient. This
coefficient is symbolized by r for a sample of data values and by the Greek letter ρ for a
population. It is common practice to simply refer to this as the correlation coefficient.

The correlation coefficient varies between -1.00 and +1.00. An r value of 1 indicates a perfect
positive linear correlation. This happens when the values of both variables increase together
and their coordinates on a scatter plot form a straight line. An r value of -1 indicates a perfect
negative linear correlation. This happens when the values of one variable increases while the
other variable decreases and their coordinates on a scatter plot form a straight line. Values of
r that are not zero show decreasing significance as they approach zero. The scatter plot of
variables with r values not equal to 1 or -1 does not form a straight line.



What is the purpose of Correlation Analysis?
Correlation analysis shows the extent to which two quantitative variables vary together,
including the strength and direction of their relationship. The strength of the relationship
refers to the extent to which one variable predicts the other. For example, in a study of
consumers, you might find that the amount of money spent weekly on groceries varies
directly with the size of the household; you'd expect it to be a strong positive relationship.
However, you'd expect to find a weak correlation (or none at all) between amount spent
weekly on groceries and scores on a customer satisfaction survey. The direction of the
relationship shows whether the two variables vary together directly or inversely. In a direct
relationship, the two variables increase together. In an inverse relationship, one variable tends
to decrease as the other increases.

Correlation analysis can be used to make inferences about one variable which cannot be
easily measured based on on which can be. For example, we cannot measure sales of a
product which hasn't yet been produced or marketed. Correlation analysis of similar products
may show us the variables which affect sales. The snack food industry might do a correlation
analysis of sales of snack foods with salt content, discovering that the more salt in potato
chips, the higher the sales. This might lead to a business decision to produce snack foods with
increasing amounts of salt, with the goal of driving sales.
Divyanshu Singh, Yalin Wang
                                                                MBA, NGO-Management
                                                                       Business Statistics


                                                                    Date: 16/17 December 2011



SPSS software enables such statistical calculations and analysis. Detail on this
follows:


SPSS
Steps involved:

   1) Create data for analysis or upload an existing data file.
   2) Select the data required to analyse.
   3) Correlate the data using Bivariate option.




Using SPSS:
          The Bivariate Correlations procedure computes the pairwise associations for a set
           of variables and displays the results in a matrix. It is useful for determining the
           strength and direction of the association between two scale or ordinal variables.

          For quantitative, normally distributed variables, choose the Pearson correlation
           coefficient. If your data are not normally distributed or have ordered categories,
           choose Kendall's tau-b or Spearman, which measure the association between rank
           orders.

          To check if the result is not by chance. When your research hypothesis states the
           direction of the difference or relationship, then you use a one-tailed probability.
           While it is generally safest to use a two-tailed test, there are situations where a
           one-tailed test seems more appropriate.

          Flag significant correlations. Correlation coefficients significant at the 0.05 level
           are identified with a single asterisk, and those significant at the 0.01 level are
           identified with two asterisks.
Divyanshu Singh, Yalin Wang
                                                                 MBA, NGO-Management
                                                                        Business Statistics

                                                                   Date: 16/17 December 2011



    How to interpret the results from SPSS?
Pearson's correlation coefficient (0.891) is significant at the 0.000 level which means that
they are positively correlated.

    How to interpret the results from SPSS?
The plot shows that efficiency increases with automation and the number of working hours
decreases due to less intake of human resources.



Interpretation of Case Study
      Increase in the use of Technology and Efficient service by the bank increase
       simultaneously
      Computerized techniques and ATMs made banking easier and faster.

       Automated procedures reduced errors caused manually.

       The same applies to other variables as well.

       But there is no causation between these variables.

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Correlation analysis

  • 1. Divyanshu Singh, Yalin Wang MBA, NGO-Management Business Statistics Hand Out: Date: 16/17 December 2011 Correlation Analysis Introduction to Correlation Analysis Why is correlation analysis done? Methods and Tools SPSS Application of Correlation Analysis in Business Management Correlation Analysis Introduction to Correlation Analysis: Correlation analysis is a statistical technique to quantify the dependence of two or more variables. This dependence or degree of correlation is given by correlation coefficient ‘r’ or ‘ρ’. Dependence of 2 variables states that values of both the variables increase simultaneously. The correlation coefficient value lies between +1 and -1. Any value close to1.0 or more than 0.5 shows positive correlation which means values of both the variables increase simultaneously showing linear dependence. A value less that 0.5 and close to -1.0 shows negative correlation which means increase in the value of 1 variable shows decrease in the value of another. There are several techniques for calculating correlation coefficient. Many Types of Correlation coefficient exist and choice of these depends in the type of data to be analysed. Methods and Tools: Different types of correlation functions exist for different types of data analysis namely, 1) Pearson’s coefficient (r) 2) Spearman’s coefficient (ρ) 3) Point biserial coefficient etc… Degree of linear relationship between the 2 variables (r) is calculated by the ratio of the covariance of 2 variables to the product of their standard deviations.
  • 2. Divyanshu Singh, Yalin Wang MBA, NGO-Management Business Statistics Date: 16/17 December 2011 An r value of zero indicates that there is no relationship between the two variables. Note that the correlation coefficient is only intended to detect linear relationships between variables that are normally distributed. How are the results of Correlation Analysis interpreted? How to interpret the results from SPSS? (a) is a perfect linear correlation with r = 1 and (d) has a positive linear correlation with 0 <r< 1. Example (b) is a perfect linear correlation with r = -1 and (e) has a negative linear correlation with -1 <r< 0. Example (c) is not correlated with r= 0 and (f) has a non-linear correlation which causes r to be close to zero.
  • 3. Divyanshu Singh, Yalin Wang MBA, NGO-Management Business Statistics Date: 16/17 December 2011 Interpretation of results of Correlation Analysis: Linear correlation is measured by calculating the Pearson correlation coefficient. This coefficient is symbolized by r for a sample of data values and by the Greek letter ρ for a population. It is common practice to simply refer to this as the correlation coefficient. The correlation coefficient varies between -1.00 and +1.00. An r value of 1 indicates a perfect positive linear correlation. This happens when the values of both variables increase together and their coordinates on a scatter plot form a straight line. An r value of -1 indicates a perfect negative linear correlation. This happens when the values of one variable increases while the other variable decreases and their coordinates on a scatter plot form a straight line. Values of r that are not zero show decreasing significance as they approach zero. The scatter plot of variables with r values not equal to 1 or -1 does not form a straight line. What is the purpose of Correlation Analysis? Correlation analysis shows the extent to which two quantitative variables vary together, including the strength and direction of their relationship. The strength of the relationship refers to the extent to which one variable predicts the other. For example, in a study of consumers, you might find that the amount of money spent weekly on groceries varies directly with the size of the household; you'd expect it to be a strong positive relationship. However, you'd expect to find a weak correlation (or none at all) between amount spent weekly on groceries and scores on a customer satisfaction survey. The direction of the relationship shows whether the two variables vary together directly or inversely. In a direct relationship, the two variables increase together. In an inverse relationship, one variable tends to decrease as the other increases. Correlation analysis can be used to make inferences about one variable which cannot be easily measured based on on which can be. For example, we cannot measure sales of a product which hasn't yet been produced or marketed. Correlation analysis of similar products may show us the variables which affect sales. The snack food industry might do a correlation analysis of sales of snack foods with salt content, discovering that the more salt in potato chips, the higher the sales. This might lead to a business decision to produce snack foods with increasing amounts of salt, with the goal of driving sales.
  • 4. Divyanshu Singh, Yalin Wang MBA, NGO-Management Business Statistics Date: 16/17 December 2011 SPSS software enables such statistical calculations and analysis. Detail on this follows: SPSS Steps involved: 1) Create data for analysis or upload an existing data file. 2) Select the data required to analyse. 3) Correlate the data using Bivariate option. Using SPSS:  The Bivariate Correlations procedure computes the pairwise associations for a set of variables and displays the results in a matrix. It is useful for determining the strength and direction of the association between two scale or ordinal variables.  For quantitative, normally distributed variables, choose the Pearson correlation coefficient. If your data are not normally distributed or have ordered categories, choose Kendall's tau-b or Spearman, which measure the association between rank orders.  To check if the result is not by chance. When your research hypothesis states the direction of the difference or relationship, then you use a one-tailed probability. While it is generally safest to use a two-tailed test, there are situations where a one-tailed test seems more appropriate.  Flag significant correlations. Correlation coefficients significant at the 0.05 level are identified with a single asterisk, and those significant at the 0.01 level are identified with two asterisks.
  • 5. Divyanshu Singh, Yalin Wang MBA, NGO-Management Business Statistics Date: 16/17 December 2011  How to interpret the results from SPSS? Pearson's correlation coefficient (0.891) is significant at the 0.000 level which means that they are positively correlated.  How to interpret the results from SPSS? The plot shows that efficiency increases with automation and the number of working hours decreases due to less intake of human resources. Interpretation of Case Study  Increase in the use of Technology and Efficient service by the bank increase simultaneously  Computerized techniques and ATMs made banking easier and faster.  Automated procedures reduced errors caused manually.  The same applies to other variables as well.  But there is no causation between these variables.