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Radio shows revenue gains again in q1 2012

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Radio shows revenue gains again in q1 2012 Radio shows revenue gains again in q1 2012 Document Transcript

  • Radio Shows Revenue Gains Again in Q1 2012 Digital, Off-Air, Political Spending ShineCLICK HERE FOR FULL REPORTNew York, New York – May 18, 2012 – Radio posted its third consecutive Q1 increase in 2012 with a 1% rise to$3.814B. Surges in Digital (+10%) and Network (+8%) and a significant increase in Off-Air (+3%) combinedwith a stable Spot sector, led to the positive results. Q1 Revenue Growth Trend (in Billions) Source: Miller, Kaplan, Arase & Co.“Q1 2012 results confirm that Radio commands a solid position in brands’ total marketing plans,” stated EricaFarber, RAB President and CEO. “While advertisers continue to capitalize on Radio’s Spot and Networkefficiencies, they’re increasingly utilizing local digital capabilities and audience engagement that this mediumaffords.” Revenue Comparisons – Q1 2012 vs. Q1 2011 (in Millions) Revenue $Q1 12 % Chg Spot 3,047 Flat Network 282 8% Digital 165 10% Off-Air 320 3% Grand Total 3,814 1% Source: Miller, Kaplan, Arase & Co.*Growth from a diverse group of categories and advertisers contributed to the Q1 increases. “Radio continues tobenefit from new advertisers beyond the traditional top tier,” stated Farber. “Advertisers using Radio to sell If you have any questions, please email revenuereport@rab.com or call 212-681-7200. 1
  • products and promote program tune-in have consistently enhanced their Radio presence. These increasesconfirm Radio’s ability to drive sales and brand awareness.”The top ten Spot Radio advertisers for Q1 2012 in order:  Comcast Xfinity Cable - $89.7M  McDonald’s - $87.6M  Safeway - $59.3M  Verizon Wireless - $48.5M  GEICO - $46M  AT&T - $45.5M  T-Mobile - $42.2M  Toyota Dealer Association - $41.7M  Fox TV Network - $39.6M  Honda Dealer Association - $32MPolitical advertising is playing an important role in Radio’s 2012 revenue growth. The RAB has partnered withPQ Media to provide the industry with a deep-dive view of the political sector and its impact on Radio.*Spot Radio, Digital and Off-Air revenues are based on a pool of more than 100 markets as reported by the accounting firm of Miller, Kaplan, Arase & Co.and extrapolated to the entire U.S. Digital Revenue is comprised from activity generated by websites, Internet/web streaming and HD Radio includingHD2 and HD3 stations. Network Revenue includes the top five Radio network companies. Revenue data has been randomly verified since 2002.The lineup of markets/stations/networks may vary from year to year. Percent change is calculated on revenue adjusted to current year reporting.The Radio Advertising Bureau serves more than 6,000 member Radio stations in the U.S. and over 1,000 member networks, representative firms,broadcast vendors, and international organizations. RAB leads and participates in educational, research, sales, and advocacy programs that promote andadvance Radio as a primary advertising medium.CLICK HERE FOR FULL REPORT 2012 Growth Leaders AnalysisAdvertisers in the rebounding automotive, supermarket, home furnishings, and retail categories - aided by thegaming industry selling promises and dreams - provided boosts to Radio’s Q1 ‘12 Spot comps: First Quarter 2012 Leading Growth Categories Spot Radio (in Millions) Category $Q1 12 % Chg Automotive Dealers/Dealer Groups/Manufacturers $352.9M 1% Grocery/Convenience Stores $192.5M 11% Casinos/Lottery $122.5M 7% Home Furnishings/Floor Coverings $113.6M 30% Department/Discount Stores & Shopping Centers $75.0M 1% Source: Miller, Kaplan, Arase & Co.: X-Ray Markets (Extrapolated dollar amounts based on the 40 market X-Ray pool may not be fully indicative of industry results as a whole.)Auto Dealers/Dealer Groups/ManufacturersAutomobile sales are tracking toward a very good year in 2012 and manufacturers and dealers are employingRadio to help make this happen. Radio’s automotive Spot revenue grew 1% in Q1 2012, building on the huge If you have any questions, please email revenuereport@rab.com or call 212-681-7200. 2
  • 27% rebound posted for the same period last year. Automotive is the top category for the quarter across theSpot Radio markets.With inventories restored following the March 2011 earthquake and tsunami, Japanese automakers are againable to compete for share. Toyota Dealer Association and Honda Dealer Association move up into the toprankings in this category in Q1. GMC Motor Corporation surges into the #3 spot, and Chrysler’s Corporate andDealer expenditures round out the top ranks for the quarter. Q1 2012, Automotive Top 5 Spenders (in Millions) Source: Miller, Kaplan, Arase & Co.Radio also saw impressive Q1 Spot growth from Ford Dealer Association (+54% to $14.4M), Chevrolet DealerAssociation (+12% to $12.2M), Honda Motor Corp (+145% to $10.9M), Scion Motor Corporation (+131% to$9.3M), Mercedes-Benz Dealer Association (+32% to $9.3M), and Acura Dealer Association (+117% to $6.3M).Across Network Radio airwaves, Automotive is ranked #5 with $14.8M. Ford Motor Co. was the top spendingadvertiser for the quarter with $3.9M, followed by Midas Muffler Shops with $2.4M. Advertisers with significantQ1 2012 increases were:  General Motors Corp. – up 69% to $2.4M  Daimler AG – up 74% to $752K  Interstate Battery System of America – up 319% to $491K  Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co. – up 34% to $429KGrocery/Convenience StoresRadio bagged an additional 11% from Spot advertisers in the Grocery category in Q1 and the $192.5Mexpenditure moves them from 7th overall in Q1 2011 to #5 this quarter.Safeway dominates the category at $59.3M and is ranked third in total Radio Spot spending this quarter.Category #2 Kroger Food Stores spent an additional 9% (to $24.6M) while Aldi Food Stores’ move from $0.5M to$11.4M catapulted them into the #3 category slot. Others who boosted their Spot spend are Giant EagleSupermarket (+39%, to $9.6M), Albertson’s (+24%, to $7.0M), and Supervalu (+49%, to $6.2M).Casinos & LotteryContinuing an upward trend from year-end 2011, this category grew 7% in Q1 2012. State Lotteries continuesto be a positive influence within the category (accounting for 59% of the total) and was up over a half-milliondollars (+1%) but Casinos & Hotels is the driving force. If you have any questions, please email revenuereport@rab.com or call 212-681-7200. 3
  • Across the Spot Radio markets, Casinos grew 17% - up $7.2M versus Q1 2011. Lead spender within thissegment, Hard Rock Hotel & Casino grew 7% (+$400K). #2 and #3 Casino advertisers, Harrah’s Hotel & Casinoand Caesar’s Hotel & Casino increased Q1 2012 spending 81% (+$2.8M) and 50% ($1.8M), respectively.Home FurnishingsRanked at #10, Home Furnishings has experienced its fifth consecutive quarter of growth with a 30% increaseover Q1 2011 – up $26.5M.Mattress Firm, year-end 2011 category leader, started 2012 at the same position with $18.5M across the SpotRadio markets – up 60% versus Q1 2011. Mattress Firm has consistently held a top two position within thecategory since Q3 2009.The remaining top four spenders within the category were: Home Furnishings Q1 2012 vs. Q1 2011 Spot Radio (in Millions) Advertiser $FY 12 % Chg Select Comfort 15.6 49% Sleepy’s Mattress Store 11.0 4% Mattress Discounters 10.0 57% Sleep Train Mattress Center 8.0 3% Source: Miller, Kaplan, Arase & Co.: X-Ray Markets (Extrapolated dollar amounts based on the 40 market X-Ray pool may not be fully indicative of industry results as a whole.)Health CareIncreased Spot Radio activity from various health care and service providers injected the quarter with 39%growth over Q1 2011 to $64.5M.With multiple locations in over 25 states, laser hair removal service provider Ideal Image topped Q1 2012 in thecategory at $14.7B – up 86% over Q1 2011. Kaiser Permanente, 2011 year-end category spend leader, placedan additional 9% (to $7.3M) in the first three months of 2012 versus same time period last year. If you have any questions, please email revenuereport@rab.com or call 212-681-7200. 4
  • Political OverviewWhile benefitting from activity in hotly contested markets, Radio saw only the tip of the iceberg in Q1 2012. Within the Miller Kaplan markets political spending from candidates, Issues, PACs, etc., totaled $6.9M for the quarter. Over half (55%, $3.7M) of these dollars were driven by PACs and various coalitions. The pro-Gingrich Super PAC, Winning our Future, topped the charts with $724K, followed by pro-Romney Super PAC, Restore Our Future, with $538K. Spending from various candidates accounted for 32% of the political dollars ($2.2M). Mitt Romney, the presumed Republican presidential candidate, and his committee, Romney for President, placed over $363K in the quarter – accounting for 16% of the subcategory.Political Insights from Leo Kivijarv, Ph.D., VP/Research, PQ MediaWhere was Q1 political spending for Radio? Was it driven by candidates, PACs, Issues, etc.?Political spending in Radio for Q1 showed some uptick but was not as high as some other media. Some Radiobroadcasters experienced lifts in revenue but that was predominantly driven by the Republican Party PACswithin the battleground states. With their incumbent running for re-election, the Democratic Party wasn’tactive in a primary race in Q1, but spending will increase through the November general election date.What factors will influence increases in Radio spending?There will always be advertising for voter turnout in states where there are controversial issues. For example,education is always a big race driver in California. In many states, both sides of the issues will be putting moneyon Radio’s airwaves in states where voters will be deciding on one or two key issues, which in turn could impactthe close candidate races in some DMAs.Which markets have or will see the greatest influx of political ads?Senate and House Races will have the greatest impact in political spending this year, with only 12 gubernatorialraces, half of which are not contentious. Smaller DMAs, with only a few TV station competitors in the market,will see the strongest increase when contentious races merit a surge in spending by various PACs making TVinventory tight and candidates want to target key demos Radio offers. In larger DMAs, the increase won’t be aspronounced because of competition from the local cable MSOs when TV station inventory becomes tight. Post-Labor Day campaign activity will be on the rise as the battleground states for candidates and issues becomemore focused, generating a huge influx of spending for Radio stations, particularly those in DMAs with two ormore hotly-contested races and/or issues.Where do you see Radio’s projected share at the end of this political year?It is still early to tell where total political spending will net out. However, we do anticipate that Radio will seedouble digit growth.Dr. Leo Kivijarv is a respected source of analysis for more than 100 news and trade sources including Bloomberg TV, NPRRadio, MSNBC, Fortune, Kiplinger’s, and Broadcasting & Cable. If you have any questions, please email revenuereport@rab.com or call 212-681-7200. 5
  • Advertiser Category Analysis Q1 2012Retail – Including Department & Discount Stores, Home ImprovementPost-holiday spending within the retail category has traditionally curtailed during the first quarter of the year.Spot Radio spending within the Department & Discount Stores subcategory grew 1% to $75M. Walmartsubstantially increased Q1 2012 spending – up 36% to $17.8M – propelling it to the #1 slot. Sears increasedspending as well – nearly three-fold over Q1 2011 to $9.3M.Top five spenders for the subcategory are: Q1 2012 Spending, Top 5 Department and Discount Stores (in Millions) Source: Miller, Kaplan, Arase & Co.Within the Home Improvement subcategory, Home Depot maintains its position as the top spender in Q1 2012with $17.5M. Home Depot has maintained the top spot every quarter since Q1 2011. Lowe’s Cos., ranked at#2, remained relatively flat for the quarter.Retail was the top spending category across Network Radio’s airwaves in Q1 2012 – up 62% to $80.4M. Top fiveDepartment and Discount Store retailers collectively increased spending 88% - an additional $7.8M placed onNetwork Radio:  Macy’s – up 55% to $4.3M  Sears Holdings Corp. – up 142% to $4.3M  Walmart – up 85% to $3.3M  Kohl’s – up 49% to $2.5M  JC Penney Co., Inc. – up 168% to $2.2MHome Depot ranked #1 in Network Radio for the quarter in the Home Improvement sub-category at $11M (up26%) followed by Lowes Cos. at $5.7M (up 81%). If you have any questions, please email revenuereport@rab.com or call 212-681-7200. 6
  • Television/Networks/Cable ProvidersWith total spot volume flat against last year, Television/Networks/Cable enjoys the #2 rank for Spot Radio in Q1,up from #3 same period 2011.Category top spender Comcast Xfinity Cable is also Radio’s leading Spot advertiser at $89.7M (+2% over Q1 ’11)while category #2 Fox TV Network ($39.6M) is ranked #9 across all categories this quarter.NBC-TV Network nearly doubled its Spot Radio commitment to $31.5M (+87%) to move into the #3 categoryrank this quarter. Also up significantly are Charter Communications Cable, +67%, to $18M and CBS-TVNetwork, +30% to $11.5M.RestaurantsLeading Spot spenders in this category increased their Q1 Radio presence for the most part as they competed toattract consumers who are increasing their dining out events as the economy improves.Restaurant-category topper McDonald’s is Radio’s second-largest Spot advertiser this quarter at $87.6M. Thisexpenditure is greater than the next four combined: Subway, $29.4M (+12% over Q1 2011); Taco Bell, $22.1M(-7%); Dunkin Donuts, $21.5M (+35%); and Wendy’s, $12.9M (+15%).Other spenders upping Q1 Spot Radio dollars are Buffalo Wild Wings, $10.8M (+14%); Bonefish Grill, $8M(+7%); and Firehouse Subs, $7.0M (+119%). Firehouse Subs, not on the air in Q1 2010 – cracked the top 25 at#24 in Q1 ’11 and moves into the #10 slot in category spending for Q1 ’12.Total Q1 Restaurant Spot spending was virtually flat, mainly reflecting cutbacks on the part of a number ofthird-tier advertisers compared to last year’s Q1.Many of these advertisers also increased their presence on Network Radio for the quarter. Subway, at #1 withinthe sector, increased spending 2% to $2.5M. The remaining top three advertisers were: Little Caesars PizzaRestaurant, $1.2M (versus no activity in Q1 2011); Buffalo Wild Wings Grill, $582K (+59%); and McDonald’s,$338K (+150%).Financial ServicesSpot spending among the Financial sector dipped approximately one-fifth versus Q1 2011, reflectingfluctuating signals in the U.S. economy.Bright spots in the Spot picture are Capital One (+61%, to $17M), Wells Fargo Bank (+21%, to $13.7M), andTD Bank Financial Group (from $0.4M to $11.9M).Services aimed at ”The 99%” also increased their Spot spending: Cash Call (+26%, to $6.9M), ConsolidatedCredit Counseling (+30%, to $4.8M), Ace Cash Express (+11%, to $3.0M), and Quicken Loans (up seven-fold,to $2.1M).Within the Network Radio sector, Wells Fargo increased Q1 2012 spending 168% over Q1 2011 to $2.3M.Capital One placed $264K compared to no activity in Q1 2011.Communications/CellularThree of Radio’s top ten Spot spenders in Q1 2012 are Communications advertisers: Verizon Wireless (#4),AT&T (#6), and T-Mobile (#7). If you have any questions, please email revenuereport@rab.com or call 212-681-7200. 7
  • Spot for this category is off by nearly one fourth and drops in rank from first to fourth in contrast with Q1 ’11.Recent activity has been affected by complicated merger proposals, as well as a lack of truly innovative newproduct rollouts that had occurred in prior years.Communications category spending has become much more competitive among the top five Spot advertisers,providing more balance and less reliance on revenue from any one account going forward. Q1 2012 Spending, Top 5 Communications/Cellular (in Millions) Source: Miller, Kaplan, Arase & Co.Insurance CompaniesThe Insurance category’s Spot results are relatively flat against Q1 2011 despite heated competition among theauto insurers. The category holds the #6 rank in spot revenue for the quarter, also on par with last year.Radio’s #5 Spot advertiser GEICO leads this category, outspending all others by sizable amounts: Insurance 2012 vs. 2011 Spot Radio (in Millions) Advertiser $Q1 12 % Chg GEICO 46.0 1% State Farm 24.3 217% American Family 23.9 75% Allstate Insurance 14.1 -1% Safe Auto Insurance 9.0 41% Source: Miller, Kaplan, Arase & Co.: X-Ray Markets (Extrapolated dollar amounts based on the 40 market X-Ray pool may not be fully indicative of industry results as a whole.)Within the Network Radio sector, this category experienced a 7% increase for the first three months of 2012compared to the same time period last year. The following top three advertisers within the categorycollectively increased spending $7.9M:  GEICO – up 30% to $8.8M  Allstate Insurance – up 413% to $6.1M  Progressive – up 24% to $4.9M If you have any questions, please email revenuereport@rab.com or call 212-681-7200. 8
  • Professional ServicesWhile the category was flat in Q1 2012, advertisers trying to reach consumers for tax preparation servicescontributed $6.3M to Spot Radio’s bottom line. H&R Block, the top spender within the category, increased firstquarter spending 13% to $28.1M. Jackson Hewitt Tax Service increased spending 50% to $9.8M.Advertisers offering hair services also contributed to the Radio’s growth - by $2.1M collectively.  Great Clips – up 6% to $6.9M  Fantastic Sams – up 44% to $3.1M  Sport Clips – up 50% to $2.3MH&R Block also increased their presence on Network Radio - up 16% to $4.5M. Tax Resolution Services Co.spending also increased in Q1 2012 over Q1 2011 – a 92% spike to $1.5M.Specialty RetailWith a 5% increase over Q1 2011, this category has now experienced its fifth consecutive quarter of growth.This category represents a diverse line-up of retailers targeting specific consumer segments.Significant spending increases by recognized advertisers such as PetSmart (up 94% to $3.1M) and LuxotticaGroup (up 27% to $2.8M) were just part of the reason for the category’s growth. Advertisers placing $12.4M inactivity that were not present in Spot Radio in Q1 2011, and contributing to the categories growth were:  GameStop $3.4M  United Retail Group* $3.3M  Fingerhut $3.3M  Ulta Beauty Supply $2.4M*The Avenue StoresSpot Radio Advertiser Category analysis is based on data from Miller, Kaplan, Arase & Co. X-Ray Market Reports. X-Ray Market Reports are compiled fromadvertiser expenditure data direct from station billing in 35 markets, extrapolated to the entire U.S. Extrapolated dollar amounts may not be fullyindicative of industry results as a whole. X-Ray Markets represent approximately 80% of the dollars from the pool of 100 markets.The lineup of markets/stations/networks may vary from year to year. Percent change is calculated on revenue adjusted to current year reporting.Network Radio Advertiser Category spending analysis is based on data from Kantar Media.PQ Media (www.pqmedia.com) is the leading provider of econometric research and consulting services to the media, entertainment andcommunications industries. PQ Media’s proprietary research methodology delivers actionable strategic intelligence to media companies, financiers,agencies, brands and consultants. PQ Media partners with private equity firm Veronis Suhler Stevenson on the VSS Communications Industry Forecast,the US industry’s benchmark for spending, usage and growth data for 25 years. For more information, contact Gabriella Kallay at gkallay@pqmedia.comor 203-921-0368. If you have any questions, please email revenuereport@rab.com or call 212-681-7200. 9