0
VALLEY
     What‘s next in an
     on demand world?
A PRESENTATION BY BERTRAM GUGEL




                                  2
Let‘s take a closer look at the

TURBULEN       T


market of online videos.



                                  3
ONCE UPON A TIME...




                      August 1998, 15.000 Views/Day




                                          ...
THE NEW   STAR    PARADIGM.




              > 25 Mio users/month




 A 13 year old YOUTUBE star...

          ...is gen...
NewTeeVee Live ...

   Google / YouTube


              Cisco


           Comcast


            Adobe


            Netfli...
May I introduce?   XBox Live

               The XBox is an
            entertainment device.
             We see nothing ...
A big bite into telco‘s BUSINESS




                                   8
9
WHAT‘S MORE


              10
XBox turns audiences
             Technische
             Hilfestellung
                                 Optimierung


   ...
WHY DOES IT MATTER?




    Actually there are   118 Million   reasons!



                                            12
The fight for the       living room!


     Internet Links             Portables                 TV
     Roku, TV, Vudu, ...
Internet enabled   TV-Sets!




In   2010 most sold TVs will be internet enabled!
                                        ...
BOXES ARE
A DEADEND
            15
Meet the new paradigm




                        16
TV as a Service:         TV Everywhere




     Pay once watch everywhere           17
A NEW   E N G A G E M E N T PARADIGM.
   Video entertainment moves closer to the consumer.


                             ...
Netflix‘s four steps to world domination



      Wi-fi is a < $10 component.


      Wi-fi will be in any consumer electroni...
JUST SOME   BACKGROUND ON Wi Fi.




                                   ‣319m chipsets sold
                              ...
Enable consumers to engage
with rich Internet
experiences seamlessly
across any device, anywhere.



                     ...
ADOBE is pushing its platform!


        Open Screen Project


        Open Source Media Framework


        Open Video Pl...
...VIDEO IS




BIG           23
...VIDEO IS BIG.


BUT: YOUTUBE IS BIGGER.
                     • #2 site in global Minutes

                     • 40 % o...
JUST three more words on YouTube.
          personalized
           Channels
                +
              1080p
=   TV 2.0
Who‘s the TV Station here?

    1 *                  3,7                               = 3,7
    Billion Views/Day    minu...
=                                          2.0
     8,7bn Views                               6,8bn Views                 ...
Traffic is becoming a              commodity!




      „ With YouTube’s help, Google is now responsible for at least 6 pe...
WHAT ABOUT
CONTENT?
             30
Best practice:   DEMAND MEDIA
   421,255,914 Video views    55 million unique users
   261,179 Rating             3 Bi...
P2P ...


                          32




          ... is dying.
THE USER get‘s it anyway!
                    ✘
                    ✓
                    ✓
                    ✓
        ...
IN CASE I
FORGOT ...
             34
LIVE
LIVE
        U2 10m live viewers
        Obama
          8,6m simultaneous viewers on
           election
          5,...
THANK YOU.
Contact
Bertram Gugel

gugelproductions.de/blog/

M: +49 179 22 1 77 63

info@gugelproductions.de
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What's Next In An On Demand World

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My Presentation @videocamp in Essen (Germany). Presented some random video trends and insights on the video industry.

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Transcript of "What's Next In An On Demand World"

  1. 1. VALLEY What‘s next in an on demand world?
  2. 2. A PRESENTATION BY BERTRAM GUGEL 2
  3. 3. Let‘s take a closer look at the TURBULEN T market of online videos. 3
  4. 4. ONCE UPON A TIME... August 1998, 15.000 Views/Day 4
  5. 5. THE NEW STAR PARADIGM. > 25 Mio users/month A 13 year old YOUTUBE star... ...is generating more clicks than the BILD.de video content.
  6. 6. NewTeeVee Live ... Google / YouTube Cisco Comcast Adobe Netflix CBS ... meet the incrumbents. 6
  7. 7. May I introduce? XBox Live The XBox is an entertainment device. We see nothing but opportunity there.
  8. 8. A big bite into telco‘s BUSINESS 8
  9. 9. 9
  10. 10. WHAT‘S MORE 10
  11. 11. XBox turns audiences Technische Hilfestellung Optimierung Frontend Ausspielen Transcoding Thumbnail into a community. Batch- Upload Metadaten- CDN- Übergabe INNOVATIONS Playlist Server IT Export Player Seeding CMS Plattform Anbindung DISTRIBUTION CONSULTING SEO Archiv Traffic Shaping Format- User entwicklung Tracking CONTENT Peak Management Rechte Produktion Indizierung 11
  12. 12. WHY DOES IT MATTER? Actually there are 118 Million reasons! 12
  13. 13. The fight for the living room! Internet Links Portables TV Roku, TV, Vudu, ... iPod, Zune HD, A Sony, LG, Panasonic PC Player Hardware Corps. Startups Apple, Microsoft, Asus WD, LaCie, ... Boxee, Plex, XMBC, ... DVRs 3rd Gen Consoles Blu-Ray Player TiVo, CE-Manufaturer 110m Units sold Sony, LG, Panasonic
  14. 14. Internet enabled TV-Sets! In 2010 most sold TVs will be internet enabled! 14
  15. 15. BOXES ARE A DEADEND 15
  16. 16. Meet the new paradigm 16
  17. 17. TV as a Service: TV Everywhere Pay once watch everywhere 17
  18. 18. A NEW E N G A G E M E N T PARADIGM. Video entertainment moves closer to the consumer. 3m 50 cm 10 cm 18
  19. 19. Netflix‘s four steps to world domination Wi-fi is a < $10 component. Wi-fi will be in any consumer electronic device shortly Netflix is the killer app for broadband. Netflix will be on any wi-fi device. Reach
  20. 20. JUST SOME BACKGROUND ON Wi Fi. ‣319m chipsets sold in 2008 +42% Y/Y ‣862m installed base 20
  21. 21. Enable consumers to engage with rich Internet experiences seamlessly across any device, anywhere. 21
  22. 22. ADOBE is pushing its platform! Open Screen Project Open Source Media Framework Open Video Player The who is who of the mobile, video and IT industry are on board. 22
  23. 23. ...VIDEO IS BIG 23
  24. 24. ...VIDEO IS BIG. BUT: YOUTUBE IS BIGGER. • #2 site in global Minutes • 40 % of all US Video Streams in Dec 2008 • 20h of video content are being uploaded every minute! • 17 billion search queries/month (2nd largest search engine WW) • 1 billion viewed videos/day VIDEO • 445 million unique viewers in Sep 2009 (WW) 3 Minuten 1 Video 1 Ad Impression 24
  25. 25. JUST three more words on YouTube. personalized Channels + 1080p
  26. 26. = TV 2.0
  27. 27. Who‘s the TV Station here? 1 * 3,7 = 3,7 Billion Views/Day minutes per view Billion min watched per Day 72 * 200 * 24% = 3,5 million German TV minutes a day market share Billion min Viewer watched per Day
  28. 28. = 2.0 8,7bn Views 6,8bn Views 1,3bn Views 1bn Views The top five labels control 65% of all of the views of the YouTube’s top 50. http://www.tubemogul.com/blog/2009/09/on-youtube-its-the-music-labels-and-then-everyone-else/
  29. 29. Traffic is becoming a commodity! „ With YouTube’s help, Google is now responsible for at least 6 percent of the internet’s traffic, and likely more — and may not be paying an ISP at all to serve up all that content and attached ads. “ http://www.wired.com/epicenter/2009/10/youtube-bandwidth/
  30. 30. WHAT ABOUT CONTENT? 30
  31. 31. Best practice: DEMAND MEDIA  421,255,914 Video views  55 million unique users  261,179 Rating  3 Billion social media  300,854 Comments interactions  138,951 Videos  1 Billion cummulative video streams  442,014 Subscribers $17 million a year to writers, editors, and video producers
  32. 32. P2P ... 32 ... is dying.
  33. 33. THE USER get‘s it anyway! ✘ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✘ ✓ ✓ ✓ Kino.de Charts Kino.to Movies KW 43 KW 43
  34. 34. IN CASE I FORGOT ... 34
  35. 35. LIVE
  36. 36. LIVE  U2 10m live viewers  Obama  8,6m simultaneous viewers on election  5,6m watched the inauguration  Michael Jackson 2m simultaneous viewers  Oprah 0,5m simultaneous viewers
  37. 37. THANK YOU. Contact Bertram Gugel gugelproductions.de/blog/ M: +49 179 22 1 77 63 info@gugelproductions.de
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