Poul Nyrup Rasmussenin alustus SDP:n EU-seminaarissa

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Euroopan sosialidemokraattisen puolueen puheenjohtaja, Tanskan entinen pääministeri Poul Nyrup Rasmussen alusti SDP:n Ihmisten Eurooppa -seminaarissa lauantaina 16. toukokuuta 2009 aiheesta EU ja …

Euroopan sosialidemokraattisen puolueen puheenjohtaja, Tanskan entinen pääministeri Poul Nyrup Rasmussen alusti SDP:n Ihmisten Eurooppa -seminaarissa lauantaina 16. toukokuuta 2009 aiheesta EU ja kestävä talous.

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  • 1. EU and sustainable economy “People’s Europe” seminar Helsinki Poul Nyrup Rasmussen
  • 2. Financial bubble vs. real economy Financial Market Greed Greenspan Real people Real jobs Real economy Real life People first
  • 3.
    • EU-Council (Dec. 08): 2008 growth scenario and fiscal stimulus
    • 0.2% decline expected for 2009 -> Necessary stimulus 1.2 % GDP ( 170/30 bn. €)
    • February 2009: Economic reality in the EU
    Facts – real economy 2009: It’s getting worse… Germany -5.4 % Spain -3.2 % UK -3.8 %
      • Sweden -4.0 %
      • Finland -4.7 %
      • Denmark -3.3 %
    It’s not enough !
      • Estonia -10.3 %
      • Latvia -13.1 %
      • Lituania -11.0 %
      • EU Total - 4.0 % GDP
      • Baltic + Hungary + Ireland -> Deep crisis
  • 4. Facts – Risk EU: 27 million unemployed
    • The European Council 19th Mar. 09 ► it’s not enough = What now?
    • New stimulus packages ? Eurobonds?
    • Stimulus from the US, China, Norway?
      • EU 1,0 % GDP
      • US 5.9 % GDP
      • Norway 2,3 % GDP
      • China 8,0 % GDP
    EU Prognosis 2009 : - 4 % GDP (all incl.)
  • 5. The Finnish case
    • If Finland does not do more, it will face a dark future
    • 4.7% GDP decline 2009 (compared to 4% for EU)
    • In March 2008 6.5% unemployment – today 8.3% unemployed, which is 222.000 people – in 2010 9.3%, 250.000 people
    • Economic output is 19.5% lower than 12 months before, in forest industry it fell by 35%
    • The government decided to increase taxes, killing off demand even more
    IS THE GOVERNMENT DOING ENOUGH?
  • 6. The Climate Change Threat
  • 7. Climate change will affect growth
  • 8. We need capital markets to finance our investments Investment needs: Green growth: 1 trillion Lisbon: 1 trillion Financial Markets HFs & PEs
    • Cost effective?
    • Transparent and accountable
    • Long-term financing?
    • Companies better off?
    • Respecting company values?
    • Social partners?
    Not subordinated any longer
  • 9. For a New Green Growth Strategy
    • Coordinated investments – more than 1 year.
    • A new progressive and balanced package:
    •  Green Growth  Social justice  Infrastructure
    • Intelligent work sharing (Active Labour Market Policy)
    • Education, education, education! knowledge economy
    • Support to energy saving, wind power, hydro power, bio fuels and geothermals
    • Special help to the Baltic countries + (Eurobonds)
    Joint action means 1+1 = 3
  • 10. 7 steps in 100 days…
    • A new, strong recovery plan for Europe, with coordinated investments in jobs and green growth .
    • A European Employment Pact to safeguard employment, create new and better jobs, fight mass unemployment, and strengthen workers’ rights, working conditions and equal pay.
    • A new Women’s Rights Charter to improve women’s right and opportunities.
    • A Social Progress Pact to tackle the full social consequences of the crisis, preventing a rise in poverty, inequality and exclusion.
    • Effective regulation and supervision of the financial markets , covering all financial actors and instruments, including hedge funds and private equity.
    • New mutual solidarity across European member states – between East and West, North and South – ensuring a common roadmap out of the crisis.
    • An urgent, common European roadmap for a global new deal , to be agreed at the G20 before the end of 2009.
  • 11. Employment Source: Calculation by ECLM based on the international model "HEIMDAL“
  • 12. Unemployment Source: Calculation by ECLM based on the international model "HEIMDAL“
  • 13. Public budgets Source: Calculation by ECLM based on the international model "HEIMDAL“
  • 14. Lets turn the crises to a new direction for Europe
    • Let‘s learn from the faults of Thatcher and Reagan and lauch a Renaissance of the welfare state
    • Neoliberal Globalisation:
    •  Inequality  Instability  Unsustainability
    • Progressive Globalisation
    •  Equality  Stability  Sustainability
    • We must work smarter not harder
    • We must include people and not exclude them
    • We need a strong state, regulating the market, making investments and educating our people for the future
    • Greedy capitalism does not work, it has brought us the crises, it cannot be the solution
  • 15. Is Finland just a copy?
    • What has happened to Finnish originality?
    • The Finnish Government is following traditional conservative policy, pulling Finland deeper into the crises
    • Finland should return to its social democratic roots
    • A modern and innovative welfare society:
    •  Green  Inclusive  Fair
    • Kalevi Sorsa: father of the Finnish welfare state
    • Jutta Urpilainen: mother of a renewed, stronger, innovative welfare state
  • 16. And after all… ” Let’s not give up the hope, that problems created by human beings, can also be solved by human beings” Willy Brandt