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21st Century Threat Appraisal Part1

by Futurist/scientist/author on Sep 05, 2008

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Scenarios about potential threat sources, done for the Defense Threat Reduction Agency.

Scenarios about potential threat sources, done for the Defense Threat Reduction Agency.

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  • truerater Richard Anthony, IT Specialist, retired, consultant at na Arson seems more difficult and less effective than simply taking out sections of the grid. Long distance transmission lines are basically unprotected and unguarded against physical threat. A section of could be taken out by a simple IED duct-taped to a leg of a supporting tower. A single person doing this would irritate, pain, and delay lots of people even if only one span of line went down. A co-ordinated group would do it simultaneously at a number of locations. Imaginably, a well-informed group could take the entire grid down for weeks, maybe longer. Considering the lack of access-restriction the damage would be repeatable too often. Back-up power suppies last a limited time. After that computer conducted business grinds to a halt. Even back-up generators must be fueled, and fuel delivery scheduling depends on computers nowadays. Presume all the back-ups work perfectly and for long enough the harm and pain caused is still huge. And each item of imperfect back-up or response aggravates the result. A 'co-ordinated effort' is the weakness -- for the criminals we are familiar with -- but it would probably not be the weakness if religiously motivated. 1 year ago
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21st Century Threat Appraisal  Part1 21st Century Threat Appraisal Part1 Presentation Transcript