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Jack Goldstone on Demographic Change and Global Futures

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Eminent scholar Jack Goldstone presented to DCFR September 27th, 2011.

Eminent scholar Jack Goldstone presented to DCFR September 27th, 2011.


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  • 1.  
    The New Population Boom:
    Demographic Change and Global Futures
     
    Jack A. Goldstone
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
    September 27
    Dallas Committee on Foreign Relations
     
  • 2.  
    POPULATION MEGATRENDS
    Big emerging markets and the world economy
    Aging and shrinking workforces in the developed countries
    Youth and Islam: The New face of the developing world
    An Urban, not rural, world
  • 3. Where will the People Be?
  • 4. Global Labor Force Growth
  • 5.
  • 6. Worker Growth vs. Elderly Growth
  • 7. Increase in Older Folks in the US
    Population in Millions
  • 8.
  • 9. Percentage of Population under 15 years old, 2005
    Red: 40+ Pink: 30-39 Light Blue: 20-29 Dark Blue: <20
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12. The Youth Surge in the Middle East(Ages 15-29)
    Millions
    Youth 0.43 0.37 0.40 0.53
    Bulge
  • 13. Global Labor Force and State Fragility
    Population age 15-59 in millions
  • 14. Muslim Growth in the World
  • 15. Growth in Pop 15-44 age group
  • 16.
  • 17. An Urban World
  • 18. What are the Solutions?
    FLEXIBILITY
    Retirement /Work/Education
    Immigration and Emigration
    Business start-up and innovation to find Market-based solutions
    MORE GLOBALIZATION
    Open Trade and Human Exchange, New Urbanism
    Have faith in European/Liberal Values
    Globalization of Education!
  • 19. What are We Doing About it?
    Investing in Education? No.
    Investing in Basic Research? No.
    Improving Energy Grid/Efficiency? No.
    Improving attraction to top migrants? No.
    Pulling together, sharing sacrifice? NO, NO, NO.
    Complaining about taxes, government, regulation? YES, YES, YES.