Analyzing the western states projected demographics through 2020
Analyzing the Western States Projected Demographics through 2020
Salem State University
Instructor: Dr. Lee A. Brossoit
Demographics is the quantifiable study of population based on various factors such as
age, race, sex, economic status, and possibly level of income. It is the statistical gathering of
information based on any particular group of people. In regard to society, demographics play a
key role in the population, as it provides an accurate tracking system of our nations various
ethnic groups and their progress. As the world continuous to evolve and change, so does the
demographics of our planet in terms of ethnicity, race, and cultures.
Currently, in the United Sates, Caucasian people are considered the majority race in
terms of numbers, but according to the 2011 census, White people will lose their majority status
to Hispanics by the year 2043. The reason for this is simple, more Hispanic women are expected
to become impregnated at a faster clip than that of White women. As a result of this, there will
be more Hispanic children born nationwide than any other population therefore, causing a shift
in the countries demographic status. With an expected change in the countries demographics,
this will affect the United States and its many different cultures. The change will impact the US
across the board in areas of education, politics, and economics.
The area of education will definitely change. The demographics and landscapes as we
know them today will change. Each states educational elementary, secondary, and institutions of
higher education will be impacted. The ethnic groups currently enjoying the larger number
percentage will be over thrown by the Hispanic and Asian cultures.
The state of California with its massive number in terms of size, various cultures and
population has always been a state of interest for me. I have many times wondered what it
would be like to reside in California. I imagine what the educational system infrastructure is
like, and is it really as dangerous as people say in certain neighborhoods?
I chose to analyze the state of California’s high school information relating to
demographics. I figured in doing this, it would give me a better visual in terms of the
educational system and population. Currently in California, 38% of the young adults have an
Associate’s Degree between the ages of 25-54. Asians, Whites, and Hispanics attainment rates
are up, but are the opposite for Blacks. The numbers for these cultures are predicted to grow,
because historically, Asians, Hispanics, and the White younger generations do better than the
elders in their culture. In terms of high school graduates, California reached its peak in the year
of 2010-2011 adding an increase of 84% of their student population graduating from secondary
schools. In the next three years, the state suffered a huge decline in graduates dropping 9%.
The state is projected to face a consistent decline through 2020 in terms of graduates. In fact,
California is predicted to lose the most number of graduates, than any other state in the country.
In regard to ethnicity, there will be significant drops in the number of graduates among Whites
and Blacks. Asians will remain the same, and Hispanics because of the increase in population
will grow in numbers by (19%).
Since 1992, high school graduates in the public school sector have been minorities.
According to future projections, this trend is predicted to accelerate. With the growing numbers
in the Hispanic population, this change took place in the year 2008, and by 2019-2020, Hispanics
will be the majority race in California. Overall the high school demographics in the state of
California by the year 2020 will change. Hispanic population will be the majority numbering
around 50% while the other cultures will suffer a decline in numbers. The education system will
see a constant decline for the number of students who graduate, and the annual incomes for
minority groups will continue to drop. Even though minority groups are increasing in terms of
numbers and need of resources, it still seems as though White privileged people are still reaping
most of the benefits within society. The only change I see is the number of people being born.
In terms of education, and economics for minority people, there is not much change occurring.
With the projected trends and changes in California among high school graduates,
colleges and universities will definitely be impacted in terms of enrollment. If less and less
students are graduating from secondary schools, than that means less students will be accepted
into a college. The minimum requirement to enter college is a high school diploma. If students
are not receiving their diplomas, they will be denied access to institutions of higher education. A
community college would have difficulty justifying acceptance of these students. The only way
a student would be able to enter a particular university after their secondary school experience,
would be too receive a GED Certificate or enroll in some developmental courses at a potential
junior college, which would ultimately drive the cost of attendance up.
In terms of the types of students that would be attending institutions of higher education,
would be predominately white students. White students would be attending most of your
colleges and universities because a larger percentage of them will have their high school
The results were a little surprising to me, but not startling. I was already privy to the
theory of demographics of the population in terms of minorities. As different races mix, and bi-
racial cultures emerge, it is almost inevitable within our society of a change not to occur.
In terms of taking action, I think a practitioner should continue to educate themselves on
related issues with student affairs, and continue to raise awareness where ever within higher
education administration. The journey of becoming an expert working in the field of Student
Affairs is a lifelong developmental process that requires a certain level of support from our
personal, educational and work environments. If you are a person with certain biased opinions,
and preconceived notions, you will struggle in this field. In my opinion, there is no room for
individuals with hidden agendas. I feel I will definitely be prepared to work with students in the
year 2020. I will continue to educate myself in the field, and I know I have the personality,
patience, knowledge and understanding to excel in this discipline of multicultural competence..