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Prelude – “Das Rad”A chat amongst stones can take a while...
We are vulnerable to extinction            Think Critically               Discover               Discuss             ctgarry
Scope Check
Scope                  Irrelevant   • When was the earth hatched?   “a long time ago”
Scope                 Not Interested   • When will it all go poof?   “not for a while”
Scope                       Yawn   • Evolution        “That which adapts survives”
Scope        Things to make you go “Brrrr”   • Divine punishment        “dinosaurs        weren’t        allowed        on...
Scope                    Providence   • The favored species        “He made the         Earth for us”
Scope        Which Earth?
Toolsto use in discussion of extinction
Tools                   Scientific Method    • Disposing Pre-conceived notions and filters in      favor of…        “facts?”
Tools                  Terms and Analysis    • Describing Time Spans        – Human History versus Facebook History    • M...
It’s hard out here for a chimp
Tools: Inferences                               Sparkly Words                                 Geologic Features • Layering...
Tools: Time spans                                       Sparkly Words                             Describing Geologic Time...
Tools: Classifications                               Sparkly Words                           Taxonomic Classifications    ...
Tools: Classifications                                         Sparkly Words                                 Taxonomic Cla...
Tools: Classifications                                  Sparkly Words                               Taxonomic Classificati...
Tools                               Sparkly Words                                   Fossils    • No bones…only stones    •...
Tools                   Sparkly Words                Extinction Level Event (ELE)        “major mass extinctions far excee...
Terminology, Classification, Inferences    are tools used in discussion of extinction andcan be reused to think critically...
Tools                    Which is it?    • WE are vulnerable to extinction        – NO!    • We are vulnerable to extincti...
Frame it up
Frame             Earth as a Project              First 88 % of earth’s history        • Requirements Hell           – mol...
Frame                 Earth as a Project   •    Requirements   •    Alpha   •    Dogfood   •    Early Adopters   •    Powe...
Frame                 Earth as a Project   •    Requirements     RC1: Early Adopters crashed a lot                        ...
Frame                  Earth as a Project   •    Requirements   •    Alpha   •    Dogfood   •    Early adopters   •    Pow...
Frame                  Earth as a Project   •    Requirements                         • RC 2 “Great Dying”   •    Alpha   ...
Frame                  Earth as a Project                         Most recent 1.5 % of earth’s history:   •    Requirement...
Frame                  Earth as a Project   •    Requirements                          • RC4 Mass Extinctions   •    Alpha...
Analysis                        Putting it Together                           Precambrian SuperEon (First 88%)           •...
Analysis                            Putting it Together                             Phanerozoic Eon (Most recent 12%)     ...
Analysis                              Putting it Together                                     Cenozoic Era (Most recent 1....
Analysis                                    Putting it TogetherPrecambrian SuperEon (First 88%)             •Requirements ...
End of RC3
The Story So Far
ELE                     The Story So Far      • Species go extinct      …which is advantageous for other species
ELE                     The Story So Far      • Extinction takes a while      …or does it?
ELE                     The Story So Far      • Mass Extinctions are not 100% across species         • Mark the transition...
ELE                     The Story So Far      • We care about extinctions because we are        only one species      …We ...
ELE                      The Story So Far      • Extinctions don’t destroy the environment      …the Earth persisted throu...
Let’s Get Down to It
ELE                            Questions      • Do you personally know how much and in        what way we depend on other ...
ELE                        Questions      • How many species here?      …Human Biome Project      shows 10,000 +
ELE
ELE                           Questions      • How much control do you think we (as a species)        have over:         •...
ELE                         Questions      • Will we adapt fast enough to react to a        sudden event?         • What d...
ELE                 Adaptation                 The Ron White Factor      • “There was a guy down in Florida who        sai...
vs
vs
What Then Must We Do?                  ReuseConserve                        Recycle                 RechargeableVegetarian...
But…• Not too far, please    Isabel Taylor 1996-2012
Do Something
thank you
AppendVisualization 1   •     http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/7/77/Geologic_Clock_with_events_and_peri...
Append                     Homina Homina?   (Human ) (Chimp) (Gorilla)   (Orangutan) (Gibbon)
Append           About “Das Rad” (The Rocks)   •     Eight minute German film by Chris Stenner   •     An Academy Awards n...
Append         About Kakapos (Strigops habroptila)   • Critically Endangered, giant, nocturnal parrot   • It is a classic ...
Append                                  Embeds   •     http://www.wikihow.com   •     http://www.metacafe.com (Das Rad)   ...
Append                       Making a Difference   One day an old man was walking along the      Soon afterward, the man c...
Append         Year of Living DangerouslyBilly Kwan, seasoned freelance photo-journalist based in Jakarta, IndonesiaGuy Ha...
Postlude – “Das Himmel”Sounds of Peace
We Are Vulnerable to Extinction
We Are Vulnerable to Extinction
We Are Vulnerable to Extinction
We Are Vulnerable to Extinction
We Are Vulnerable to Extinction
We Are Vulnerable to Extinction
We Are Vulnerable to Extinction
We Are Vulnerable to Extinction
We Are Vulnerable to Extinction
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We Are Vulnerable to Extinction

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Transcript of "We Are Vulnerable to Extinction"

  1. 1. Prelude – “Das Rad”A chat amongst stones can take a while...
  2. 2. We are vulnerable to extinction Think Critically Discover Discuss ctgarry
  3. 3. Scope Check
  4. 4. Scope Irrelevant • When was the earth hatched? “a long time ago”
  5. 5. Scope Not Interested • When will it all go poof? “not for a while”
  6. 6. Scope Yawn • Evolution “That which adapts survives”
  7. 7. Scope Things to make you go “Brrrr” • Divine punishment “dinosaurs weren’t allowed on the ark”
  8. 8. Scope Providence • The favored species “He made the Earth for us”
  9. 9. Scope Which Earth?
  10. 10. Toolsto use in discussion of extinction
  11. 11. Tools Scientific Method • Disposing Pre-conceived notions and filters in favor of… “facts?”
  12. 12. Tools Terms and Analysis • Describing Time Spans – Human History versus Facebook History • Making Inferences – Things at the bottom are older • Classifications – Things that are similar can be grouped together
  13. 13. It’s hard out here for a chimp
  14. 14. Tools: Inferences Sparkly Words Geologic Features • Layering • Group layers into 11 “periods” – No dinosaurs in last 2 periods • Chemical Decay Rates
  15. 15. Tools: Time spans Sparkly Words Describing Geologic Time spans• Looking at early “records” of Earth, we label increasingly refined segments• SuperEon > Eon (4) > Era (10) > Period (22) – Epoch (7 in the last two periods)
  16. 16. Tools: Classifications Sparkly Words Taxonomic Classifications • Species – All humans alive today are one species because they constitute a group of individuals that could breed with themselves but not with any other group.
  17. 17. Tools: Classifications Sparkly Words Taxonomic Classifications PRIMATE Old World Monkey Hominid Hab • It can go like this then: Sapi ilis ens Au Homo • Species • Groups of Similar Species = GENUS • Groups of Groups of Similar Species = FAMILY • Groups of Groups of Groups of Similar Species = ORDER • etc
  18. 18. Tools: Classifications Sparkly Words Taxonomic Classifications • One sign of life versus another – How does it relate? What’s similar? – What’s different? Phylum Spinal cords Chordate Class Live birth; nurse Mammal Order Looks “monkey-like” Primate Family Looks “great ape” Hominid Genus Looks “human” Homo Species Humans Sapiens
  19. 19. Tools Sparkly Words Fossils • No bones…only stones • Locations – Siberia – BC – Australia – Texas – Utah – Scotland – Etc What do they have in common?
  20. 20. Tools Sparkly Words Extinction Level Event (ELE) “major mass extinctions far exceeding background extinction rate”
  21. 21. Terminology, Classification, Inferences are tools used in discussion of extinction andcan be reused to think critically, discover and discuss our vulnerability to it
  22. 22. Tools Which is it? • WE are vulnerable to extinction – NO! • We are vulnerable to extinction – NO! • We are vulnerable to extinction – YES!
  23. 23. Frame it up
  24. 24. Frame Earth as a Project First 88 % of earth’s history • Requirements Hell – molten requirements swirled • Alpha – continental mockups formed • Dogfood – the earliest friendly users were introduced – atmosphere provided, etc Ends: microscopic hard-shelled users arrive
  25. 25. Frame Earth as a Project • Requirements • Alpha • Dogfood • Early Adopters • Power Users RC1: Early Adopters Fish, • Noobs Arthropods Amphibians Reptiles
  26. 26. Frame Earth as a Project • Requirements RC1: Early Adopters crashed a lot • O-S extinction event: • Alpha • • 27% of all families 57% of all genera • Dogfood • D-C extinction event: • Top spots were all traded throughout the • Early Adopters last half: Fish, arthropods (things with shells), amphibians and reptiles • Power Users • 19% of all families • 50% of all genera • Noobs • 70% of all species
  27. 27. Frame Earth as a Project • Requirements • Alpha • Dogfood • Early adopters • Power Users • Noobs RC2: Power Users archosaurs dominate RC3: Power Users Redux dinosaurs rule
  28. 28. Frame Earth as a Project • Requirements • RC 2 “Great Dying” • Alpha • Out: Mammal-like reptiles • 57% of all families; 83% of all genera • Dogfood • In: Archosaurs, Therapsids Large Amphibians • Early adopters • Power Users • RC 3 “Dawn of Jurassic” • Out: Archosaurs; Therapsids; Amphibians • Noobs • 23% of all families; 48% of all genera • In: Dinosaurs
  29. 29. Frame Earth as a Project Most recent 1.5 % of earth’s history: • Requirements RC4 becomes v1.0 • Alpha Tropical period heading for cooling • Dogfood Small users prosper, fauna diversify • Early adopters v1.1: Mammals and birds revised • Power Users Introduction of “Hominids” • Noobs v1.2: Introduction of “Homo” (Humans)
  30. 30. Frame Earth as a Project • Requirements • RC4 Mass Extinctions • Alpha – Dinosaurs out – Mammals in • Dogfood • 17% of all families • Early adopters • 50% of all genera • 75% of species • Power Users • Noobs
  31. 31. Analysis Putting it Together Precambrian SuperEon (First 88%) •Requirements Hell (Hadean Eon) molten requirements •Alpha (Archean Eon) continental mockups •Internal Beta (Proterozoic Eon) friendly users; atmosphere
  32. 32. Analysis Putting it Together Phanerozoic Eon (Most recent 12%) 12% •Requirements •Alpha •Internal Beta •RC1: Early Adopters (Paleozoic Era) Fish, arthropods, amphibians and reptiles •RC2: Power Users (Mesozoic Era > Triassic) archosaurs •RC3: Power Users Redux (Mesozoic Era > Jurassic & Cretaceous) dinosaurs •RC4 (1.0): Newbs (Cenozoic Era) mammals
  33. 33. Analysis Putting it Together Cenozoic Era (Most recent 1.5%) 12% •Requirements •Alpha •Internal Beta 1.5% •RC1: Early Adopters •RC2: Power Users •RC3: Power Users Redux •RC4 (1.0): Newbs •1.0: (Paleogene Period) tropical period, where small scale users prosper, fauna diversify •1.1: (Neogene Period) Mammals and Birds drive changes. Intro of “Hominids” (half-way) •1.2: (Quaternary Period) Introduction of “Homo” (Humans)
  34. 34. Analysis Putting it TogetherPrecambrian SuperEon (First 88%) •Requirements Hell (Hadean Eon) molten requirements •Alpha (Archean Eon) continental mockups •Internal Beta (Proterozoic Eon) friendly users; atmospherePhanerozoic Eon (Most recent 12%) •RC1: Early Adopters (Paleozoic Era) Fish, arthropods, amphibians and reptiles •RC2: Power Users (Mesozoic Era > Triassic) archosaurs •RC3: Power Users Redux (Mesozoic Era > Jurassic&Cretaceous) dinosaurs •RC4 (1.0): Newbs (Cenozoic Era) mammalsCenozoic Era (Most recent 1.5%) •1.0: (Paleogene Period) tropical period, where small scale users prosper, fauna diversify •1.1: (Neogene Period) Mammals and Birds drive changes. Intro of “Hominids” about half-way through •1.2: (Quaternary Period) Introduction of “Homo” (Humans)
  35. 35. End of RC3
  36. 36. The Story So Far
  37. 37. ELE The Story So Far • Species go extinct …which is advantageous for other species
  38. 38. ELE The Story So Far • Extinction takes a while …or does it?
  39. 39. ELE The Story So Far • Mass Extinctions are not 100% across species • Mark the transitions from span to span • Data incomplete …is that supposed to make me feel better? if “me” = “humans” maybe not….
  40. 40. ELE The Story So Far • We care about extinctions because we are only one species …We may just go in a background extinction
  41. 41. ELE The Story So Far • Extinctions don’t destroy the environment …the Earth persisted through all ELE we can detect
  42. 42. Let’s Get Down to It
  43. 43. ELE Questions • Do you personally know how much and in what way we depend on other species? …direct use of a dozen varieties of plants and one or two meats …but what does it take to support those?
  44. 44. ELE Questions • How many species here? …Human Biome Project shows 10,000 +
  45. 45. ELE
  46. 46. ELE Questions • How much control do you think we (as a species) have over: • favored terrain • atmosphere • food supply • our own bodies? …40% of humans poop outside not even a bucket…
  47. 47. ELE Questions • Will we adapt fast enough to react to a sudden event? • What does “sudden” even mean? 0.00000004 % …will it matter?
  48. 48. ELE Adaptation The Ron White Factor • “There was a guy down in Florida who said that, at the age of 53 years old, he was in good enough physical condition to withstand the wind, rain and hail of a force-3 hurricane. • “Now, let me explain somethin’ to ya: it isnt that the wind is blowin’, its what the wind is blowin’. • “If you get hit by a Volvo, it doesnt matter how many sit-ups you did that morning.”
  49. 49. vs
  50. 50. vs
  51. 51. What Then Must We Do? ReuseConserve Recycle RechargeableVegetarian Work outGive, not toss Multi-use devices Solar-powered car Values Garden Prejudices Buy locally Paperless Sustainability Telecommute Go natural ZPG Challenge your beliefs Think Critically. Discover & Discuss.
  52. 52. But…• Not too far, please Isabel Taylor 1996-2012
  53. 53. Do Something
  54. 54. thank you
  55. 55. AppendVisualization 1 • http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/7/77/Geologic_Clock_with_events_and_periods.svg/625px-Geologic_Clock_with_events_and_periods.svg.png
  56. 56. Append Homina Homina? (Human ) (Chimp) (Gorilla) (Orangutan) (Gibbon)
  57. 57. Append About “Das Rad” (The Rocks) • Eight minute German film by Chris Stenner • An Academy Awards nominee for animation 2003 • Animation, puppets, stop-motion and CGI • Human development from nature’s point of view • For more information, visit dasrad.com • For more German-made shorts german-films.de • © “Georg Gruber Filmproduktion / Magnetfilm” We interfere with nature but can’t outlast it
  58. 58. Append About Kakapos (Strigops habroptila) • Critically Endangered, giant, nocturnal parrot • It is a classic example of evolution on an isolated island • The only flightless parrot in the world • It is also the largest parrot known • It is possibly the longest-lived • Mossy green plumage mottled with brown and yellow • The face is owl-like and framed with modified whisker- like feathers • The scientific name habroptila means ‘soft feathers’ • Has no indigenous predators and so “doesn’t worry”
  59. 59. Append Embeds • http://www.wikihow.com • http://www.metacafe.com (Das Rad) • http://youtu.be/QU8PU6iw0BY (Das Rad) • http://youtu.be/Opv8vZ6RvB0 (Kakapo - Mark) • http://youtu.be/K4QFZfyEUZ4 (Kakapo - night vision shots) • http://youtu.be/_ZG8HBuDjgc (Douglas Adams) • http://rosegeorge.com/site/books/the-big-necessity (pooping outside) • http://youtu.be/_QqfifH3-rk (Yosemite Night Visions) • http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nature11234 (Human Biome Project) • http://bible.cc/luke/3-10.htm (Sharing)
  60. 60. Append Making a Difference One day an old man was walking along the Soon afterward, the man came upon a beach. It was low tide, and the sand small child on the beach who was was littered with thousands of stranded frantically throwing one starfish after starfish by a rare minus tide. another back into the sea. The old man The man began walking very carefully so as stopped and asked the child, "What are not to step on any of the beautiful you doing?“ creatures. Since the animals still "Im saving the starfish," the child replied. seemed to be alive, he considered "Why waste your time?... There are so picking some of them up and putting many you cant save them all so why them back in the water, where they does it matter?", asked the man. could resume their lives. Without hesitation, the child picked up The man knew the starfish would die if left another starfish and tossed the starfish on the beachs dry sand but he back into the water... "It matters to this reasoned that he could not possibly one," the child said. help them all, so he chose to do nothing and continued walking.
  61. 61. Append Year of Living DangerouslyBilly Kwan, seasoned freelance photo-journalist based in Jakarta, IndonesiaGuy Hamilton, Journalist, neophyte, foreign correspondent from AustraliaBILLY: And the people asked him, saying, what shall we do then?GUY: Whats that?BILLY: Its from Luke, chapter three, verse ten. What then must we do? Tolstoy asked the same question. He wrote a book with that title. He got so upset about the poverty in Moscow that he went one night into the poorest section and just gave away all his money. You could do that now. Five American dollars would be a fortune to one of these people.GUY: Wouldnt do any good, just be a drop in the ocean.BILLY: Ahh, thats the same conclusion Tolstoy came to. I disagree.GUY: Oh, whats your solution?BILLY: Well, I support the view that you just dont think about the major issues. You do whatever you can about the misery thats in front of you. Add your light to the sum of light. You think thats naive, dont you?GUY: Yep.BILLY: Its alright, most journalists do.GUY: We cant afford to get involved.
  62. 62. Postlude – “Das Himmel”Sounds of Peace
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