Best Practices in Budgeting
and Forecasting
Oracle Thought Leaders Series September 2008
Background
The planning process is regarded by many finance and operational
executives as not delivering value. Typical concerns include:
• Time consuming and resource intensive.
• The annual budget is out of date before it is complete.
• The relevance of fixed single value budgets.
• Fragmented processes with a heavy reliance on spreadsheets, manual
intervention and e-mail .
• Insufficient time to analyse and understand the results.
Oracle Thought Leaders Series September 2008
Planning lags ERP in process improvements.
ERP
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Time
Oracle Thought Leaders Series September 2008
What are the contributing factors?
ERP Planning
Re-engineered business processes
Board/executive sponsorship.
Business driven
Substantial investment
IT supported and enabled
Single vendor not best of breed
Enterprise and scalable
Continuous improvement
Oracle Thought Leaders Series September 2008
The planning landscape is fragmented.
Reporting
Import / Export Planning
Consolidation
ERP
Oracle Thought Leaders Series September 2008
Drivers for improvement.
• Finance executives expect forecasts:
• To have greater accuracy and be more evidenced based.
• Be more timely.
• The need for agility in responding to change in markets and the economic
environment.
• Headcount, talent and cost pressures
• Technology improvements
Oracle Thought Leaders Series September 2008
Practices which will improve the planning process.
• Develop rolling forecasts extending beyond the current financial year.
• Develop driver based planning methodologies which will allow line
managers to plan around their key metrics and activities.
• Allow for different scenarios to be modeled, stored and reported.
• De-emphasise the annual budget as the main vehicle for planning and
control.
• Drive collaboration and linkage between functional areas:
• Sales & operations planning
• Projects and new initiatives
• Avoid false precision and too much detail.
Oracle Thought Leaders Series September 2008
Technology which works with users is a key enabler.
Business users need technology with is…..
• Owned and managed by them with little IT dependence.
• Familiar and easy to use interface using MS Office and WEB browsers.
• Workflow during plan preparation, submission and review processes.
• Tracking status during the planning cycle.
• Flexible and intuitive reporting.
• Integrates with wider performance management initiatives.
But the enterprise and IT needs…
• A stable and scalable platform which complies with the overall technology
strategy.
• Solutions to be well though out, architected and implemented.
• Proper development and change controls in place.
• Governance across stakeholders.
Oracle Thought Leaders Series September 2008
Example of planning framework using BI tools
Transactions Analysis Business
Process
Scorecards
Dashboards
ERP
Financial Management
•Forecast Browser
•Consolidate
•Report
Excel
•Analyse
CRM
MES EDW
Oracle Thought Leaders Series September 2008
Actual implementation planning using BI tools
SBU Plan
Currency JV Balance
Tax Profit
Conversion Cutback Sheet
Site Plan
Inventory Plan
Operating Costs
Allocations
Capital Plan
Depreciation
Sales &
Revenue Plan Overheads Manpower
Materials Plan
Labour
EDW
Maintenance Plan Operations Plan Marketing Plan
Oracle Thought Leaders Series September 2008
Planning across budget and forecast
Long Term Plan
2006 2007 2008 - 200nn
2006 2007 2008 December Forecast
2006 2007 2008 February Forecast
2006 2007 2008 April Forecast
2007 2008 Initial Budget
Term Plan
2007 2008 2009 - 20nn
.
Oracle Thought Leaders Series September 2008
Driver based planning can be flexible and powerful.
Driver X Usage Rate
Variable Consumption Fixed Consumption
+
Quantity Quantity
Total Quantity X Unit Price X Inflation
Result
Input or stored values Calculated results
Oracle Thought Leaders Series September 2008
Increase focus and commitment to improved the planning
process.
ERP Planning
Re-engineered business processes
Board/executive sponsorship.
Business driven
Substantial investment
IT supported and enabled
Single vendor not best of breed
Enterprise and scalable
Continuous improvement
Stepped incremental approach
Oracle Thought Leaders Series September 2008
Significant impovements should be realised.
ERP
Planning
I
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p
r
o
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m Time
e
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t
Oracle Thought Leaders Series September 2008
References
• Gartner Research – Extend budgeting and planning projects beyond
finance to maximize benefits.
• Gartner Research – Best practices in implementing CPM budgeting,
planning and forecasting.
• The Hackett Group – Aligning forecasting practices with market dynamics
• The Sonax Group – Best practices in planning and performance
management: from data to decisions.
• CFO Research Services – Rolling forecasts begin to emerge as a new
standard.
• CFO Research Service – When do companies outgrow their
spreadsheets.
Oracle Thought Leaders Series September 2008
Oracle ran a CFO Luncheon around ANZ with ACCA Indu more
Oracle ran a CFO Luncheon around ANZ with ACCA Industry Accounting body. This Planning best practices lunch with guest speaker, Malcolm Ferguson, Committee member of ACCA Australia & New Zealand and guest Oracle customer presentations. Malcolm is an expert in business intelligence, specialising in planning systems for large organisations, mainly in the areas of budget forecasting and long term planning. Malcolm has occupied a number of financial management positions in the UK and Australia and is currently Practice Lead for BI and Analytics. As part of this role, he has spent the past few years working in-house at BHP Billiton. Malcolm’s presentation will focus on case studies from his experience, from a Financial Manager’s perspective. This was an opportunity to learn from Industry experts ACCA Australia & New Zealand, and Oracle customers; how performance management will help reduce your planning, forecasting, budgeting time, and improve the predictability of your future results. less
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