Opportunities for value chain finance in Africa’s intra-regional food trade
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Opportunities for value chain finance in Africa’s intra-regional food trade

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Nairobi, 15th July, 2014. Presentation by Joseph Lamon Rutten (CTA) on Day 1 of the Fin4Ag conference.

Nairobi, 15th July, 2014. Presentation by Joseph Lamon Rutten (CTA) on Day 1 of the Fin4Ag conference.

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Opportunities for value chain finance in Africa’s intra-regional food trade Opportunities for value chain finance in Africa’s intra-regional food trade Presentation Transcript

  • Opportunities for value chain finance in Africa’s intra-regional food trade Lamon Rutten CTA Revolutionising finance for agri-value chains Nairobi, 14-18 July 2014
  • Overview • Overview of Africa’s food production, consumption & trade flows • Value chain financing in Africa’s agricultural & food sector • Recommendations to boost financing of Africa’s food value chain Based on a report done for AFRACA and CTA by
  • Overview of Africa’s food production, consumption & trade flows Sub-Saharan Africa is a major food producer Leading producers of grains, roots & tubers, 000s MT, 2012
  • 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 Sugar Nuts Cocoa Palm oil Coffee & tea Cotton Côte d'Ivoire South Africa Nigeria Kenya Ghana Cameroon Ethiopia Mozambique Zimbabwe Zambia Uganda Tanzania Leading producers of cash crops, 000s MT, 2012
  • But there has been under-investment in African agriculture Source: Deutsche Bank, Agricultural value chains in Sub-Saharan Africa, 14 April 2014
  • The potential of African agriculture is huge
  • Food dominates rural and urban household budgets 71% 0% 5% 12% 5% 1%2%1%3% Food & non-alcoholic beverages Alcoholic beverages & tobacco Clothing & footwear Utilities Furnishing & household equipment Health Transport Recreation & education Miscellaneous (incl. telecoms) Rural versus urban food consumption in Nigeria, 2012 54% 0%5% 22% 4% 1% 5% 1% 8% Rural households buy on average 30% of what they consume.
  • Africa is heavily dependent on food imports • In 2011, SSA imported US$ 43 bn worth of agricultural commodities while exporting US$D 34 bn worth • The value of agricultural exports from Thailand is greater than that of the whole of SSA • Imports of key staples – rice, fish, wheat, sugar, flour, palm oil, dairy products & maize – was US$ 25.2bn in 2012 (60% of SSA wheat & flour consumption & 40% of its rice consumption) • Fish imports: US$ 3.9 bn, as Africa allows others to empty its seas.
  • There is a thriving intra-regional food trade, but most of it is off the radar • Vast quantities of rice, sugar, flour and cooking oil are imported and then re-exported into neighbouring markets, many of these flows passing through illicit smuggling networks • Informal flows are critical to Africa’s food security, and they are likely to be at least as large as official flows, and in the case of East Africa could be several times larger • Numerous policy obstacles prevent this trade from becoming legal – import duties out of synch, physical trade blockages.
  • Urban food markets are set to quadruple and the food and beverage markets to reach US$ 1 trillion by 2030. The region’s biofuel market is also growing. Surging urban markets drive food demand In countries like Côte d’Ivoire or Mali, the size of the local food market is already more than double the size of agricultural exports.
  • Per capita food consumption levels are bound to rise Consumption of sugar & palm oil, kg per capita, 2012 Sources: World Bank, ISO, FAOSTAT, Ecobank Research.
  • • McKinsey: Africa’s middle class (US$1,000-5,000 per year) will surge from 39% of the population in 2005 to 55% in 2015 • BAML: expenditure on food in Accra, Lagos and Nairobi will rise from US$ 2bn in 2012 to US$ 6.7bn in 2022 • Demand is shifting towards meat, dairy, and fruit and vegetables, most of which are now imported into Africa; as well as fast foods, increasing dependence on imports of wheat and sugar. Rice demand will remain high.
  • Value chain financing in Africa’s agricultural & food sector Finance is least available at the beginning of the chain
  • Most banks start financing once commodities are in a warehouse So a network of warehouses would be the logical entry point for regional food trade financing… Unfortunately, warehouse systems, regulatory regimes for the issuance of warehouse receipts and collateral management services are poorly developed. Pre-production finance requires good records of production in past years. Trading houses are becoming shadow banks.
  • The benefits of an ectronically-linked warehousing network • links the financial and commodity sectors, at all levels (from farmer to enduser/exporter) • permits large efficiency gains • strengthens the bargaining position towards further-up parts of the value chain.
  • Recommendations to boost financing of Africa’s food value chain • Build value chain financing; • Facilitate mobile payments; • Promote new trade corridors; and, • Create commodity exchanges (which include warehousing infrastructure) • Warehouse receipt finance and collateral management
  • Source: KPMG, based on Calvin Miller, FAO. Business models for inclusive agricultural value chain financing
  • Developing mobile money • Greatly reduces theft and embezzlement. • Reduces transaction costs • Permits new and innovative food financing structures along the value chain
  • Develop new trade corridors    • The flow of agricultural goods from surplus to deficit  regions has to be facilitated • Improve infrastructure, and remove obstacles to the  movement of goods. Proposed regional & coastal trade corridors
  • Commodity exchanges   The creation of commodity exchanges could bring huge  benefits to Africa’s agricultural value chain and facilitate  intra-regional food flows: •catalyst for engaging smallholders and integrating them  into the value chain  •Improve agricultural prices and reduce wastage (ie,  reduce food prices for consumers) •By building a warehouse receipt system, links farming to  finance •Trusted backbone for long-distance trade.
  • Warehouse receipt finance and collateral  management •  Warehouse receipt finance and collateral management: • Help reduces losses of agricultural produce • Allow farmers and traders to secure financing, including  for inputs • Facilitate food trade. But warehouse receipt and collateral management  systems are weak in Africa.  Is the creation of a pan- African collateral management companies, owned by  African banks (as per Latin American model) a solution? 
  • Questions? www.fin4ag.org Thank you for joining us in Nairobi!