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Fit for the Future - The Natural Step Sustainability Conference New Zealand
 

Fit for the Future - The Natural Step Sustainability Conference New Zealand

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Fit for the Future - The Natural Step Sustainability Conference New Zealand - Keynote Speaker Craig Rispin

Fit for the Future - The Natural Step Sustainability Conference New Zealand - Keynote Speaker Craig Rispin

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    Fit for the Future - The Natural Step Sustainability Conference New Zealand Fit for the Future - The Natural Step Sustainability Conference New Zealand Presentation Transcript

    • Know First • Be First • Profit First Craig RispinBusiness Futurist & Innovation Expert www.FutureTrendsGroup.com craig@futuretrendsgroup.com Up
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    • www.VaclavSmil.com Up
    • Question:There are two durable camps outthere, those who warn that humanityhas overshot and is destined to crash,like Wile E. Coyote over the cliff, andthose who insist that the human traitsof innovation and adaptation will getus through. Who’s right? Up
    • Answer:People want to have it not so messy,but both are true…We keep redefining resources all thetime…On the other hand, we have newslike GM is unloading Hummer ontowho, the Chinese… Up
    • The Case for Foresight: things might be moving faster than you think... Up
    • Craig Venter Invents the Future...Again Up
    • Data Storage of the Future: Bacteria? Chinese researchers have developed a way to use E.coli to store data One gram of the bacteria could store 90 Gigabytes of Data Up
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    • THE FUTURE OF PEOPLE Ultimate Upgrades 24 Will we be able to regrow body parts, organs in the near future? Scientists are making major breakthroughs right now. Up
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    • Questions:Do you think foresight and innovation is important- or just a bunch of hooey?What happens to organisations that don’t trulyinnovate?Can you think of any books, talks or videos have youenjoyed about the above subjects?What is your opinion of the developments in thearea of synthetic life forms - opportunity or threat? Up
    • TED.com - Started by Futurists! Sign In Register Sign In Register Themes TED Conferences TED Conversations About TED Themes TED Conferences TED Conversations About TED Speakers TEDx Events TED Community TED Blog Speakers TEDx Events TED Community TED Blog Talks TED Prize TED Initiatives Talks TED Prize TED Initiatives Translations TED Fellows Translations TED Fellows Search SearchTalks Tag > Future Talks Tag > InnovationShowing 1 - 12 of 36 Showing 1 - 12 of 29Sort by: Sort by: Alphabet Sort by: Sort by: Alphabet Amber Case: We are all cyborgs now Aimee Mullins and her 12 pairs of legs 07:53 Posted: Jan 2011 09:58 Posted: Mar 2009 Anil Gupta: Indias hidden hotbeds of Anupam Mishra: The ancient ingenuity of Comments 181 Emailed 583 Comments 142 Emailed 2129 invention water harvesting 22:55 Posted: May 2010 17:14 Posted: Dec 2009 Comments 92 Emailed 333 Comments 110 Emailed 511 Alex Tabarrok on how ideas trump crises Aubrey de Grey says we can avoid aging 14:33 Posted: Apr 2009 22:45 Posted: Oct 2006 Brian Cox: Why we need the explorers Carne Ross: An independent diplomat Comments 166 Emailed 313 Comments 342 Emailed 1214 16:29 Posted: Jun 2010 20:38 Posted: Sep 2010 Comments 1216 Emailed 224 Comments 96 Emailed 220 Bill Joy: What Im worried about, what Im Bjorn Lomborg sets global priorities excited about 16:41 Posted: Jan 2007 Cat Laine: Engineering a better life for all Charles Leadbeater on innovation 19:02 Posted: Nov 2008 Comments 300 Emailed 559 14:49 Posted: Dec 2009 19:01 Posted: Jan 2007 Comments 29 Emailed 131 Comments 94 Emailed 222 Comments 51 Emailed 657 David Byrne sings "(Nothing But) Flowers" David Byrne: How architecture helped 03:15 Posted: Oct 2010 music evolve Charles Leadbeater: Education innovation Chris Anderson: How web video powers Comments 63 Emailed 163 17:47 Posted: Jun 2010 in the slums global innovation Comments 125 Emailed 910 18:58 Posted: Jun 2010 18:53 Posted: Sep 2010 Comments 113 Emailed 711 Comments 530 Emailed 1384 Eric Giler demos wireless electricity George Dyson on Project Orion 10:09 Posted: Aug 2009 08:38 Posted: Feb 2008 Comments 297 Emailed 2295 Comments 31 Emailed 239 Dale Dougherty: We are makers Dean Kamen on inventing and giving 11:47 Posted: Feb 2011 20:07 Posted: Apr 2007 Comments 74 Emailed 228 Comments 47 Emailed 192 Ian Goldin: Navigating our global future Jamais Cascio on tools for a better world 07:06 Posted: Oct 2009 16:15 Posted: Jan 2009 Comments 75 Emailed 236 Comments 23 Emailed 106 Eric Lewis rocks the jazz world Gever Tulley teaches life lessons through 10:36 Posted: Mar 2009 tinkering Comments 181 Emailed 568 04:05 Posted: Jun 2009 Comments 148 Emailed 875 Up
    • Audible.com/twit2 Up
    • Free Download: is.gd/think Up
    • Education Re-Engineering Global Free Mobility Agency Age Gap People End of Retirement Un-Bell Curve W Speed & Size or Sh k/L - n ift ife ter tio In nec Marketing Co n Unbreakable Megatrend Tech Acceleration GlobalisedOutrageous Business Technology CloudOutsourcing ComputingCrowdsourcing eMemory Virtual Innovation Robots Mobile Business Imperative Rise Madness Up
    • Education Re-Engineering Global Free Mobility Agency Age Gap People End of Retirement Un-Bell Curve W Speed & Size or Sh k/L - n ift ife ter tio In nec Marketing Co n Unbreakable Megatrend Tech Acceleration GlobalisedOutrageous Business Technology CloudOutsourcing ComputingCrowdsourcing eMemory Virtual Innovation Robots Mobile Business Imperative Rise Madness Up
    • Cray-1 US$8 million 80 MegaFLOPS Speed & Size Up
    • SonyPlayStation 3 US$400218 GigaFLOPS Up
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    • The $100 PC - nComputing.com Share this login blog languages enterprise powerful computing for powerful companies small & medium business whatever the size of your business we have a solution education invest in solutions that give more tools to your students government get things running smoothly with our computing power Looking for an all-inclusive, pre-tested and easy to deploy solution that will give you the ability to virtualize your budget? With NComputing’s new In aNComputing is the fastest growing desktop virtualization company in the Box solutions you are getting just that. Find out how you can reduceworld with over 20 million daily users in 140 countries. The companys maintenance and support costs by 75%, reduce power and coolingaward-winning, patented technology lowers desktop computing costs, requirements by 90% and be a leader in your community with Greenimproves manageability, and reduces both energy consumption and e-waste. computing.It is the perfect solution for leveraging the power and potential of PCs andcloud computing. Up
    • Millimetre-Scale Computer Up
    • Education Re-Engineering Global Free Mobility Agency Age Gap People End of Retirement Un-Bell Curve W Speed & Size or Sh k/L - n ift ife ter tio In nec Marketing Co n Unbreakable Megatrend Tech Acceleration GlobalisedOutrageous Business Technology CloudOutsourcing ComputingCrowdsourcing eMemory Virtual Innovation Robots Mobile Business Imperative Rise Madness Up
    • Apple iPhone + iTouch + iPad Ramp – The Likes of Which We Haven’t Seen Before iPhone + iTouch vs. NTT docomo i-mode vs. AOL vs. Netscape Users First 20 Quarters Since Launch 120 ~120MM+ Mobile Internet 100 iPhone + iTouch + iPad Launched 6/07 Desktop Internet 80Subscribers (MM) Netscape* Launched 12/94 60 Mobile Internet ~32MM NTT docomo i-mode 40 Launched 6/99 Desktop Internet 20 ~27MM AOL* v 2.0 Launched 9/94 ~9MM Q1 Q3 Q5 Q7 Q9 Q11 Q13 Q15 Q17 Q19 Quarters Since Launch iPhone + iTouch NTT docomo i-mode AOL Netscape Note: *AOL subscribers data not available before CQ3:94; Netscape users limited to US only. Morgan Stanley Research estimates ~65MM+ netbooks have shipped in first 11 quarters since launch (10/07). Source: Company Reports , Morgan Stanley Research. 8 Data as of CQ3:10. Up
    • 380MMobile Internet Ramping Faster than Desktop Internet Did – Apple Leading Charge iPhone + iTouch vs. NTT docomo i-mode vs. AOL vs. Netscape Users First 20 Quarters Since Launch 100 ~85MM Mobile Internet Desktop Internet 80 iPhone + iTouch Netscape* Launched 6/07 Launched 12/94Subscribers (MM) 60 Mobile Internet ~31MM NTT docomo i-mode 40 Launched 6/99 ~18MM Desktop Internet 20 AOL* v 2.0 Launched 9/94 ~8MM Q1 Q3 Q5 Q7 Q9 Q11 Q13 Q15 Q17 Q19 Quarters Since Launch iPhone + iTouch NTT docomo i-mode AOL Netscape Note: *AOL subscribers data not available before CQ3:94; Netscape users limited to US only. Morgan Stanley Research estimates ~50MM netbooks have shipped in first 10 quarters since launch (10/07). Source: Company Reports , Morgan Stanley Research. 7 Up
    • 468MMobile Internet Ramping Faster than Desktop Internet Did – Apple Leading Charge iPhone + iTouch vs. NTT docomo i-mode vs. AOL vs. Netscape Users First 20 Quarters Since Launch 100 ~85MM Mobile Internet Desktop Internet 80 iPhone + iTouch Netscape* Launched 6/07 Launched 12/94Subscribers (MM) 60 Mobile Internet ~31MM NTT docomo i-mode 40 Launched 6/99 ~18MM Desktop Internet 20 AOL* v 2.0 Launched 9/94 ~8MM Q1 Q3 Q5 Q7 Q9 Q11 Q13 Q15 Q17 Q19 Quarters Since Launch iPhone + iTouch NTT docomo i-mode AOL Netscape Note: *AOL subscribers data not available before CQ3:94; Netscape users limited to US only. Morgan Stanley Research estimates Up ~50MM netbooks have shipped in first 10 quarters since launch (10/07). Source: Company Reports , Morgan Stanley Research. 7
    • New Computing Cycle Characteristics B-Billions not M-Millions Reduce Usage Friction Via Better Processing Power + Improved User Interface + Smaller Form Factor + Lower Prices + Expanded Services = 10x More Devices Computing Growth Drivers Over Time, 1960-2020E More than Just Phones 1,000,000 Mobile iPad Internet Smartphone 100,000 Kindle Devices/Users (MM in Log Scale) Desktop Tablet 10,000 Internet MP3 Cell phone/ PDA 1000 10B+ Car Electronics PC GPS, ABS, A/V Units??? 100 Mobile 1B+ Units/ Video Minicomputer Users 100MM+ Home 10 Entertainment Units Mainframe Games 10MM+ Units 1 Wireless Home Appliances 1MM+ Units 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020Note: PC installed base reached 100MM in 1993, cellphone/Internet users reached 1B in 2002/2005 respectively;Source: ITU, Mark Lipacis, Morgan Stanley Research. 49 Up
    • Security Metering AccessControl Money Body Engines Up
    • Forecast:1 Trillion Connected Devices by 2015 Source: IBM Up
    • Your mobile phone hasmore computing power than all of NASA in 1969. http://www.flickr.com/photos/43533334@N07/5153726732
    • NASA put a man on the moon. http://history.nasa.gov/ap11ann/kippsphotos/apollo.html
    • ...We put a bird into pigs. – @moskovich http://www.flickr.com/photos/denisdervisevic/4568726847
    • over 100 million iPhones sold* h p://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/iPhoneOn March 2, 2011, at the iPad 2 event, Apple announced that they have sold 100 million iPhones. http://www.flickr.com/photos/36340796@N05/4862291108
    • but...
    • 6.8 billion number of people on the planet... *2010 estimates put the population over 6.8 billion inhabitants...
    • 77% number of people with a mobile deviceor 5.3 billion at the end of 2010 – U.N. Telecommunications Agency, http://www.itu.int
    • smartphonesGlobal smartphone penetration is only 23%... http://www.visionmobile.com/blog/2011/04/100-million-club-2h10/
    • Education Re-Engineering Global Free Mobility Agency Age Gap People End of Retirement Un-Bell Curve W Speed & Size or Sh k/L - n ift ife ter tio In nec Marketing Co n Unbreakable Megatrend Tech Acceleration GlobalisedOutrageous Business Technology CloudOutsourcing ComputingCrowdsourcing eMemory Virtual Innovation Robots Mobile Business Imperative Rise Madness Up
    • What is Cloud Computing? Up
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    • “Cloud Computing isn’t really about technology - it’s really aboutthinking of IT in a whole new way.” Up
    • Cloud Computing - The Buzz Sign in to see and export additional Trends data. cloud computing Search Trends Tip: Use commas to compare multiple search terms.Searches Websites All regions All years cloud computing Google looks to be cloud-computing rainmaker for other online business services Winnipeg Free Press - Mar 10 2010 Cloud computing and the economy CNET - Apr 13 2010 Microsofts Top Software Architect, a Cloud Computing Advocate, Quits New York Times - Oct 19 2010 Cloud computing could give EU 763bn-euro boost BBC News - Dec 7 2010 Technology expo in Germany harnesses cloud computing BusinessWorld Online - Feb 28 2011Rank by cloud computing Local IT firm unveils cloud computing services Inquirer.net - May 10 2011 Up
    • Google’s Green Data Centers Up
    • Amazon’s Cloud Powers Innovative Startups Amazon Web Services Growth - Source: www.JackofAllClouds.com Up
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    • Cloud Computing Top Apps1. Google Apps (Worldclass Mail, Calendar, Docs, Sites)2. Google Apps Market Place (100’s of click-to-install apps)3. MailChimp.com (Best Email Marketing Service)4. BatchBook.com (Social-Aware Customer DB System)5. ShoeBoxed.com.au (Fantastic Card & Receipt Scanning)6. Setster.com (Online Appointement System)7. SquareSpace.com (Killer Website Builder Including Hosting)8. Evernote.com (Capture/Find Any Digital Files Instantly)9. AwayFind.com (Email Alerting System)10. Aviary.com (Free Alternative To Photoshop) Up
    • Know First • Be First • Profit First Craig RispinBusiness Futurist & Innovation Expert www.FutureTrendsGroup.com craig@futuretrendsgroup.com Up