Zuckerman U Mass Transport VirtualPresentation Transcript
THE VIRTUAL WORLD AND TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT Will There Be An Impact on Everything from Driving Patterns to Climate Change? Amy Zuckerman Founder, Co-chair Hidden-Tech Principal, A – Z International Associates
THE VIRTUAL WORLD: Global Warming Implications
SUMMARY STATEMENT: As professionals leave organizations and work more and more from homes or small offices close to their residences, they will cease commuting. Although we still need to map the driving habits of the “virtual work place,” we can guess that the rise of this way of work may reduce green house gas emissions caused by auto emissions.
EMERGING BUSINESS TRENDS
BABY BOOMERS “RETIREMENT:”
Continue Working as Entrepreneurs
Relocate to Quality of Life Regions
THE LOOMING ENERGY CRISIS
“ It makes no sense for people to commute an hour on a freeway to get from one computer to another.
By working closer to home, or at home, they get the benefit of energy savings, family time and community involvement.”
-Joel Kotkin, author of The New Geography
YAHOO POLL DATA
76 million baby boomers face retirement over 20 years
70 percent –plus of boomers 45 and older say they may start their own business
Many will work from home or nearby
VIRTUAL WORK IS THE FUTURE
In 10 years how many of you will be running a virtual company?
How will your driving habits change?
Connecting the Dots to Traffic Management
In a 2002 survey backed by WMECO:
70 percent of HT/virtual company owners say they do not commute
30 percent say they drive to small offices within a short drive to their homes
Virtual Workplaces in Amherst
Yes – Virtual Company Owners Drive, But How?
During the day HT/Virtual company owners go to:
Doctors, etc. . .
And They Work at Night . . .
HT/Virtual Company Owners May . . .
Visit their office at night or a subcontractor/client
Meet at local restaurants for business meetings
Go to retail shops to pick up supplies
When Do They Drive the Most?
AZ’s hypothesis (based on anecdotal information and WMECO study data):
HT/virtual company owners are out and about MOST from noon to 3 p.m. or so
They are largely on city/town or arterial roads like Rt. 9 or 116
Client Locales Affect Driving
Hidden-Techies general work nationally and globally
They do a lot of SPORADIC driving to regional clients within 100 miles, or to rail/air access
“ Bizarre Driving Patterns”
Expert Alan Pisarski notes:
A shift from the “classic diurnal flow” of commuters
Traffic spread over longer periods – 5 a.m. to noon
Reverse commutes and “daisy chains” emerging where virtual companies exist
Study Questions for Traffic Managers/Planners
Is this trend reducing commuting? If so, can it reduce emissions?
Is this trend causing more traffic clog ups on arterial roads or commercial sectors of cities/towns?
Study Questions continued . . .
3) Are there specific times of day or night when HT/virtual company owners drive the most?
4) How much do HT/virtual company owners use mass transit?
CONCLUSION: The Challenges
Define the impact of the evolving HT/virtual work place on traffic patterns
Determine if this new virtual world will help retard global warming
Devise solutions to manage the changes this trend is bringing about NOW and will likely increase in the future