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Work Package 3

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Work Package 3 as presented for the CONVERGE project's kick-off meeting in Budapest, 2009

Work Package 3 as presented for the CONVERGE project's kick-off meeting in Budapest, 2009

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  • 1. CONVERGE – Rethinking Globalisation in the light of Contraction & CONVERGEnce
    WORK PACKAGE 3, led by APPLIED SYSTEMS ANALYSIS AND SYSTEM DYNAMICS (ASASD) GROUP, LUND UNIVERSITY, SWEDEN
    By Harald Sverdrup & Deniz Koca
  • 2. DESCRIPTION OF WORK
    WP3 is responsible for the development of a holistic indicator framework for convergence based on;
    the principles and baseline information provided by WP2; and
    the analysis of existing sustainability indicator frameworks i.e. the Human Development Index, The Genuine Progress Indicator, the New Economics Foundations Happy Planet index, Yale’s sustainability index, GDP and Green GDP etc.
    ULUND will develop the multifunctional domain use function, i.e. the synthesis of the socio, economic, and environmental indicators, through CONVERGE requirement analysis. This analysis will be based mainly upon collaboration between ULUND and UOB (WP2) on the understanding of convergence and divergence processes, and the analysis of sustainability frameworks.
    PART 1. Development of the CONVERGE indicator framework
  • 3. DESCRIPTION OF WORK
    Expected outcome is a hierarchal list of impact issues and a related key indicator framework, which will include multi-dimensional domain influence of human activity onto the anthroposphere (or the Sustainable Domain Functions, SDF). This will be performed by ULUND through a combination of reviewing existing methodologies and inventing a new one.
    The CONVERGE indicator framework will be adapted to measure success through so-called sustainable choice space (SCS).
    Results from community-action research (HI, WP7) will be used to refine indicator framework as well as field testing.
    PART 1. Development of the CONVERGE indicator framework … CONTINUED
  • 4. COMMUNITY ACTION RESEARCH & GROUP MODELLING WORKSHOPS
  • 5. DESCRIPTION OF WORK
    This is related to the indicator framework but adds the possibility of adaptability and operationality of the indicator framework. This adaptability will enable the adaptive management approach taken in part three. This part will rely mainly on cooperation between UOB (WP2), TNS (WP5) and HI (WP7).
    PART 2. Development of the CONVERGE methodological tool
  • 6. DESCRIPTION OF WORK
    This part will be undertaken by
    including the backcasting from principle methodology from the Natural Step Framework (TNS) and,
    integrating the system dynamic modelling in the DPSIR process, making the indicator framework part of a dynamic adaptable management process.
    The work will be performed with input from UOB (WP8), SZIU (WP4), TNS (WP5) and WP9 and WP7.
    CONVERGE will enhance the robustness of the DPSIR model so it can describe and analyse several environmental dimensions simultaneously and in a dynamical fashion. The end results will be a new decision support process, aimed at decision makers that need to understand consequences of their policies before implementing them.
    A modelling case study will be carried out in a selected community (nation/region?) in order to apply the decision support process and test the framework, which will be developed in WP7.
    PART 3. Enhancing the decision support framework of the DPSIR process
  • 7. Systems analysisis used to map the systems as causal loop diagrams as the linksbetween the indicators and intermediate parameters
  • 8. Dynamically enhanced DPSIR
  • 9. Dynamicmodel
    Integrativemodelframe
    Simulationengines
    Userinterface
    Basic back-up database
  • 10. DELIVERABLES BY WP3
  • 11. PROJECTS RUN BY ASASD GROUP THAT COULD SUPPORT WP3
    REAL CHANGE (VINNOVA)
    Back-casting methodologies
    Operational definitions of sustainability for social, economic and natural aspects, resources, structures, properties
    ASSESSING SWEDISH ENVIRONMENTAL GOALS (NVV)
    Sustainability analysis; implementation of policy
    Group modelling with stakeholders
    Connections to social and economic issues
    DELPHI PROJECT (proposal in evaluation) (MFA)
    Computergame-based sustainability assessment models
    multi-agent interactive scenario modelling
    Large scale case studies
  • 12. Coming soon from ULUND
    A draft operational definition of sustainability, based on Real Change work
    A literature study on social trust and social sustainability, based on Real Change work
    A systems analysis pocket course, we should set 2-3 dates
    A draft report on global resource use – sustainable population assessment

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