This document outlines a methodology for using Theory of Constraints (TOC) to help government agencies achieve better, faster, and cheaper services. It begins with identifying the system goal of improving service quality and coverage while reducing avoidable costs and investment. Next, it discusses using TOC's five focusing steps to identify the system constraint, decide how to better exploit it, subordinate other parts of the system, and elevate or break the constraint if needed. Three case studies are presented showing how TOC has helped achieve better quality and coverage of solid waste services, faster delivery of affordable housing, and cheaper emergency relief services. Metrics are discussed for measuring improvements. The document argues that applying TOC to critical areas like infrastructure, agriculture, and
Similar to How to Identify and Unlock inherent potential within government to achieve more with less in less time - Alan Barnard @ PSE 2013 Vilnius (20)
12. What to Change to?
CALL for ACTION – What we can and should do to help prevent scarcity crises
There are only really three (complimentary) ways to prevent any looming
resource scarcity crises:
1. Slow down population and urbanization growth rate
(demand) to ensure resources will last longer and more people can
improve their quality of life and life expectancy
2. Find ways to ―do more with less in less time‖ to get more out of
our scarcest and most finite resources (i.e. better exploit what we
have…and not waste it)
3. Accelerate the development of the necessary infrastructure to
meet demand…and secure financial & human capital for funding
these…
Here is how TOC can help do (2) and (3)…
15. What to Change to?
How to achieve MORE with LESS in LESS TIME using TOC…
―In GOD we all trust…the rest must bring DATA!‖
Necessary Cost
or Investment
Dr. Edwards Deming
Unnecessary /Wasted
Cost or Investment
100%
CCR
Total Lead Time
∆LT GAP
―Touch‖ time
60%
∆T GAP
Lost
Throughput
(CCR Time)
Current System
Throughput
Delays / Unproductive time
1. Potential to ↑ Throughput (with same resources): 20 to 100%
Current Reality: System Throughput vs. Avail Constraint Capacity is typically <60%
Unlock Inherent Potential: Get Throughput = Capacity Constraint Potential + Capacity Buffer
2. Potential to ↓ Lead Time & ↑ DDP/Availability: 20 to 80%
Current Reality: “Touch Time vs. Total Lead Time” ratio is <20% and Typical DDP/Avail < 80%
Unlock Inherent Potential: Get Total Lead Time to be equal to Touch Time + Time Buffer
3. Potential to ↓ “Unnecessary” Costs/Investment”: 10 to 25%
Current Reality: Typical “Unnecessary Cost & Invent” / Total Costs & Invent is 10 to 30%
Unlock Inherent Potential: By doing (1) & (2) reduce Unnecessary Cost & Investment
Doing
MORE
BETTER
in
LESS TIME
FASTER
with
LESS
RESOURCE
CHEAPER
If we increase Flow Rate and reduce Flow Time we also see reductions in “expediting
related” costs and capex to ACHIEVE MORE with LESS in LESS TIME
17. How to cause the Change?
Where should we focus on scarcest resource – management time/attention?.
Where do you think improvement is needed most?
• For-Profit Organizations (to ensure economic growth)
• Education System (to reduce critical Skills Shortages)
• Health System (to improve health and quality of life)
• Agriculture (to ensure Food Security)
• Mining (to ensure availability of natural resources)
• Energy (to fuel economic growth)
• Airports / Seaports / Road (to reduce congestion, delays)
• Accelerating time-to-market of new technologies/drugs
• ???
20. TOC 5-Day Constraint & Conflict Analysis Roadmap
Finding and challenging limiting assumptions in inclusive way
Performance
Metric 1
Performance
Metric 2
Performance
Metric 3
STEP 1 (Day 1)
WHY CHANGE?
System Goal, Constraint, Gap & UDEs
DEMAND
UDE 5 (2%)
UDE 4 (3%)
UDE 3 (10%)
UDE 2 (15%)
UDE 1 (20%)
∆Impact on Goal Units?
STEP 4 (Day 4)
HOW TO CAUSE THE
CHANGE?
CURRENT
SUPPLY
STEP 2 (Day 2)
WHAT TO CHANGE?
Conflicts & Current Reality Tree
GAP?
STEP 5 (Day 5)
HOW TO MEASURE &
CREATE POOGI?
UDE 3
Conflicts
Need
Action
Need
Action
Action
Need
UDE 3
Goal
Need
Goal
Action
Need
UDE 5
Action
Action
Implementation Roadmap
Need
New Win/win Solution
in Place
Need
(and new START & STOP rules)
Yes, but…
OBS 5
IO 5
Yes, but…
OBS 3
Yes, but…
Yes, but…
IO 1
DE 3
Where we are now?
Need
Goal
Action
UDE 4
Need
Action
Action
Need
Stop
Need
Goal
DE 5
STOP
START
Core Conflict
DE 2
Yes, but…
IO 2
UDE 1
Conflicts
Action
Action
UDE 1
Future Reality Tree
IO 4
OBS 2
OBS 1
STEP 3 (Day 3)
TO WHAT TO CHANGE?
OBS 4
IO 3
Action
DE 4
DE 1
PUDE
New Win/win
Need
Yes, but…
START
Goal
Need
STOP
START
Need
UDE 2
Need
Goal
Need
Action
Action
Goal
Goal
UDE 2
Conflicts
21. Case Study 1 – Background
Solid Waste Crisis in African City Councils
• In January 2007, after a TOC Spearhead Conference in Bonn, a partnership
was formed between Goldratt Research Labs and InWEnt (Capacity Building
International, Germany)
• The Objective of the partnership was to test (through a series of selected
pilots) whether a simplified TOC approach can be used to help Cities
―Do more with Less in Less Time―
• The Pilots selected formed part of InWEnt‗s ―Global Cooperation for
Sustainable Urban Development― Program, 2005-09 done in cooperation with
UN-Habitat ―Sustainable Cities Programme― and UNEP ―Localizing Agenda 21―
• The Pilots Sites include cities from Zambia, Kenya, Nigeria and Tanzania and
involved the ―Solid Waste Management― and ―Water Supply Management―
Systems within these cities.
• The pilots were selected as current problems within Waste Management &
Water Supply had major negative consequences for millions of citizens and the
environment since the GAP between DEMAND and SUPPLY in city
infrastructure are not only very large but growing...
22. Case Study 1 – Background
Solid Waste Crisis in African City Councils
• In most countries, Governments are responsible for ensuring
that garbage is collected, transported and disposed of in a
safe and environmentally friendly manner.
• Common practice is for Private Contractors to collect waste
from private businesses and households in formal areas and
Community Based Enterprises to collect waste from informal
areas.
• But often in developing countries these services are not
extended to the very poor because they live in areas that are
difficult to access or they cannot pay for the service.
23. Case Study 1 – Background
Solid Waste Crisis in African City Councils
• As a result huge piles of rubbish can be found throughout
poor settlements, making poverty, persistent ill-health and low
environmental quality part of everyday life.
WARNING GIVEN TO TOC FACILITATORS
• There will be 50-60 participants, high distrust between
them, some will be there only to receive daily allowance and
traditionally there is high drop-out rate throughout workshop
24. Step 1 – Why Change?
Large & Growing GAP between Supply & Demand
Growth in
Waste Created (Demand) vs. Waste Collected (Supply)
2015
Population = 4,000,000
GAP2015
= 1800 t/day
2005
Population = 2,000,000
Independence
Population = 200,000
GAPtoday
= 700- 800
t/day
Waste
Collected
(Very) Ambitious Target = Close the GAP and keep in closed
25. Day 1 Review
Key Insights of Theory of Constraints
1. Organizations need to improve at the same
rate as what the demand for their product /
service is growing (the red curve)
2. Organizations must find ways to achieve this
improvement (Growth) without jeopardizing
Stability (i.e. every Change = System Improvement)
3. In order to achieve this, organizations should:
a.
b.
c.
FOCUS their limited resources on the System
Constraint or Weakest Link (using 5FS).
FOCUS on finding out to better EXPLOIT OR
ELEVATE the System Constraint (using TOC
Thinking Processes)
All stakeholders contribute to resolve conflicts
blocking them to contribute to better EXPLOIT and/or
ELEVATE system constraint, and identify and
overcome possible negatives of these changes
and/or implementation obstacles
26. Step 1 – Why Change?
The constraint and UDE’s that makes closing the GAP difficult
Citizens
Business
Inspectors
WASTE CREATION
CBE
Contractors
WASTE COLLECTION
Constraint?
The Problem(s)
UDE 8: Govt Depts lack of budget
UDE 7: Resident don’t (want to) pay
UDE 6: Service too expensive
GAP
UDE 5: People dump/burn illegally
700- Waste Bins/Skips avail
UDE 4: No800 ton/day of
“Root Causes”
Lack of awareness
Poor / No Enforcement
Waste not collected
UDE 3: Frequent Eq break down
No Equipment / too old
UDE 2: Cannot access all areas
UDE 1: No service in some areas
Low/No Subscription Rate
Actual Collection
= 200-300t/day
Inspectors
City Councils
WASTE DISPOSAL
Traditional
Solution(s)
Awareness Campaigns
Stricter enforcement of
By-Laws
Get external Funding to
buy/build necessary
infrastructure
More Awareness
Campaigns
i.e. THEY JUST NEED MORE MONEY and
MORE EDUCATION…
27. Day 1 Summary of “Why Change?”
Your Undesirable Effects that make closing GAP difficult…
Complaint
Why it is Bad?
UDE making improvement Difficult
Stakeholder
Impact on rest of System
Some Franchise contractors don’t
meet demand even if residents pay
City looks dirty, becomes unattractive to visitors
and we don‘t get investments we need
Inadequate storage facilities in some
areas
Bins are overloaded / residents start disposing
waste with pits or fires causing pollution
Authorized contractors / CBE‘s do not get enough
income to make their business viable
No service provider in our area or (if
provided) Service provided is
unreliable
Civil
Society
Some people don‘t care – just
continue with indiscriminate dumping
Some residents use unauthorized
contractors / don‘t know authorized
City
Council
Residents get negative attitude, waste piles
up and all good starting efforts go to waste
Forced to use illegal alternatives to dispose
(pits/fires) or to dump
Service too expensive (we must
pay school fees. food etc)
Forced to use illegal alternatives to dispose
(pits/fires) or to dump
We pay but others don‘t
CBE can‘t afford to provide service and waste
piles up causing sick children etc
Even if we don‘t pay, nobody cares
No enforcement, encourages non payment
28. Day 1 Summary of “Why Change?”
Your Undesirable Effects that make closing GAP difficult…
Impact on rest of System
Takes long time to recover debt, Many
residence don’t subscribe and even those
that did stops then waste builds up
Low subscription by residents (cant
afford it , don‘t care or expect it for free)
Compromised economies of scale
Waste dumped in drains or next to roads
must be collected
Nobody pays for this – the more it happens the
more difficult to recover costs / waste piles up
No ―tax holidays‖ / no cheap finance
Cannot maintain or upgrade old equipment
Trucks cant access all the areas
Cant provide service (cant honor contract) &
waste piles up or illegal disposal / dumping
Some people just don‘t pay (think it
should be free or don‘t care)
Community
Based
Enterprise
Why it is Bad?
Lack of effective enforcement of the
law (cant collect debt)
Franchise
Contractor
Complaint
UDE making improvement Difficult
Stakeholder
Waste piles up, resulting in health &
environment risks and CBE not sustainable
Some people want to pay but cant
afford to
Can’t provide service which mean waste
piles up or illegal disposal / dumping at
night
Some people don‘t know they should pay
or don‘t know consequences
Cant provide service which mean waste piles
up or illegal disposal / dumping
Trucks cant access all the areas
Cant provide service which means waste piles
up or illegal disposal / dumping
29. Step 2 – What to Change?
Insights on finding the Core Conflict(s) that explain most UDEs
“Define a problem precisely and you are half way to a solution”
Alan’s Hypothesis: We have not “defined a problem precisely” unless we’ve defined the
pair of unresolved (systemic and symptomatic) conflicts related to the problem…
Example: The Problem: Very high finished Goods Inventory…
Check: Impact on Company as a whole?
Increase Working
Capital / Reduce
Cash Flow
Supply Chain
Manager
Be a Good
SCM
Maintain
Lowest
Cost/unit
Pressure to
Pressure to
Make to
Reduce
Forecast
Systemic Conflict
Reduce
Invent /
Working
Capital
Increase
Warehouse &
Distrib. Costs
Pressure to
Make only
to Order
Very High
Finished
Goods
Inventory
(WH Full)
Prices
Reduce
Inventory /
Working Capital
Symptomatic Conflict
Pressure to
NOT Reduce
Prices
Maintain fair
Margins
Sales
Manager
Be a Good
Sales
Manager
30. Step 2 – What to Change?
The Unresolved Conflicts associated with UDEs
Systemic Conflicts
UDE(s)
City Council
Not Enforce
By-Laws / Not
Educate more
Ensure
Resident pay /
Viable SWM
System
Be a Good
City Council
Not cause
Civil Unrest /
Not exceed
Budget
UDE 7:
Resident don’t
(want to) pay
Community
Based Enterprise
Be a Good
Citizen &
Parent
Dispose of
waste using
illegal means
(Food, Educ etc)
Be a Good
Citizen (help
make CBE
viable)
Only dispose
of waste with
legal means
UDE 5:
People dump
/burn illegally
Stop
providing
Service to
non-payers
Ensure
Viability of
WMU /
Contractors
Continue to
provide
service
Enforce Bylaws /
Educate more
Use Money
on only
Priorities
Symptomatic Conflicts
Ensure Health
for all
Increase Price
/ Stop
providing
service
Make CBE
Viable
Business
Not increase
Price /
Continue
service
Ensure
residents pay
Be a Good
City Council
Be a Good
Community
Based
Enterprise
31. Step 2 – What to Change?
The Unresolved Conflicts associated with UDEs
Systemic Conflicts
UDE(s)
Symptomatic Conflicts
Contractors
Not invest in
new/more
Trucks
Satisfy
Service
Agreement
with CC
Be a
Good
Contractor
Maintain
positive
cash-flow
Satisfy
Service
agreement
with CC
Not invest in
new / more
trucks
Invest in
new/more
trucks
UDE 3:
Frequent Truck
break downs
Invest in
new /more
Trucks
Maintain
positive
cash-flow
Use illegal
methods to
dispose of waste
Not allow
waste Buildup
Be a
Good
Contractor
Residents
Stay within
Budget
Be a good
City
Council
Provide
service to all
areas
Not add
more Infrastructure
Add
sufficient
infrastructure
UDE 1:
No service in
some/ most
areas
Use only
legal ways
Resident
don’t (want
to) pay
Be a Good
Citizen and
Parent
32. Day 3 Summary of “What to Change to?”
Breaking the Core Conflicts in Solid Waste Management System
Enforcement Conflict
Service Provider Conflict
Manage City Council
SWMU well
Manage Service
Provider /CBE well
now and in the future
now and in the future
Must not
Waste money or
Resources
Must have
Ensure
Compliance
Pressure to
Must
Must
Reduce Cost /
Risk
Meet Service
Demand/SLA
Pressure to
Pressure to
Pressure to
Don‘t Enforce
We have FAIR and (Self)
Enforce (Don‘t
(Tolerate/give more
tolerate nonENFORCEABLE By-Laws
time/educ)
compliance)
Not invest We know when & where to
/ spend
Invest / Spend more
moreinvest and when not to…
Pricing Conflict
Payment Conflict
Manage Pricing Authority
well
Be a Good Citizen
now and in the future
now and in the future
Must
Recover full cost
+ margin
Must
Increase income &
compliance
Must
Must
Not Waste money
Comply & get full
Service Benefit
Pressure to
on Pressure to
Price onWe Price basedPrice on Customer
Customer Perception of
Provider PoV
PoV
Value
Pressure to
Those
Pressure to
Citizen that can
Not to Pay (use and those that can’t, Pay
To
pay, pay
alternatives)
pay in kind.
(use legal method)
33. Day 4 - How to Cause the Change?
Overcoming Implementation “Yes, buts…”
YES BUT 2 - OBSTACLES? WIN:WIN SOLUTION
OBS1.1
New Fair &
Enforceable
By-laws not yet
drawn up
IO1.1
City Council
SWMU prepare
draft by-laws by
Enforcement Agency
INJ 1
We have FAIR and (Self)
ENFORCEABLE By-Laws
Jan08
YES BUT 1 - NEGATIVES?
INJ 1.1
Community
Leaders
appointed to
SWMU
committee
PUDE 1.1
Community
unrest due to
enforcement
Service Providers
OBS 2.1
OBS 2.2
IO 2.1
INJ 2
We know when & where to
invest and when not to…
IO 2.2
Pricing Authority
OBS 3.1
OBS 4.1
OBS 4.2
INJ 2.1
IO 3.1
IO 4.1
IO 4.2
INJ 3
We Price based on
Customer Perception of
Value
Good Citizens
INJ 4
Those Citizen that can
pay, pay and those that
can’t, pay in kind.
INJ 3.1
PUDE 2.1
PUDE 3.1
INJ 3.2
PUDE 3.2
INJ 4.1
PUDE 4.1
INJ 4.2
PUDE 4.2
34. Testing within the Public Sector
How do we apply the process in the Public Sector?
Participants representing all
stakeholders at the beginning…
The (nervously excited) facilitator
…
Active (and fun) participation in
the African Sun…
System Process Map, Conflicts & solutions developed by proud participants…
35. Testing within the Public Sector
What has been the Stakeholder feedback?
1. I’m Very grateful on my being able to fully participate. We have seen that with TOC, Goals are
possible (even if they look impossible) and that the key is to find win-win solutions and focus
on weakest link – City Councilor
2. I did not expect much but now have seen it is possible to work with all the stakeholders as our
real goal (to improve the lives of everyone in our community) is the same – Private Contractor
3. Discovered that we had a very big gap in our system. Previously thought we can only close it
by getting more / new equipment. Now Leant that I get more with the same equipment using
TOC approach - Private Contractor
4. I learned about that “cost of doing nothing” can be very high. In the health sector the “cost of
doing nothing” is a matter of life and death. TOC showed that optimizing our capacity can be
achieved even with less resources by improving the efficiency of available resources – Doctor
5. I learned the need for planning and that the impossible can be possible - Chairman of a
community settlement
6. TOC can even help to address the political issues – Councilor
7. My expectation was low at start of workshop, but have learned the need and benefit for
everybody’s (all stakeholders) participation using this TOC process- Council officer
8. learned that TOC is a window that gives a chance to look at the challenges we face in a
different perspective - University lecturer
36. Testing within the Public Sector
What has been the Stakeholder feedback?
9. Learned I should avoid multitasking and do one thing at a time - Hospital manager
10. Learned the importance of defining the problem precisely before dealing with it - Deputy mayor
11. Learned that the best solution comes by asking the right question – Councilor
12. Learned that the solution to our constraints is within ourselves – Contractor
13. Learned I should not wait for more/new resources but (using TOC) can start with what we have
to do more with the same resources – Habitat for Humanity officer
14. Revisited the pricing conflict and realized that there is a way of agreeing on the right price with
customers – Contractor
15. A long time since I have been to school – but learned to accept my limitations and focus on
exploiting what we have first before asking for more - Small contractor
16. The bottleneck is always on the top – so I could be the weakest link – Owner
17. I will go and find out the weakest link in the process I lead - Operations manager
18. I learned that if you can or you can‘t, you are right. – The coin has two sides and each is
necessary- Lecturer
19. I‘m now inspired to take a new direction in our company and (using TOC) think I can now find
out why we are not able to provide the service to the satisfaction of the client - Small operator
38. Lessons Learned & Next Steps
Moving from Analysis & Planning to Execution…
1. It is possible to “Do MORE with LESS in LESS TIME” using TOC’s 5FS
within Public Sector with all stakeholders…
by finding ways to close SUPPLY-DEMAND GAP from both sides quickly…
GAP
800 ton /day
Collected
200 ton/day
TODAY
GAP
400 ton /day
Waste
Collected
400 ton/day
AFTER “EXPLOIT”
100 ton /day
Waste
Collected
700 ton/day
AFTER “ELEVATE”
2. Three Important steps in analysis (which should not be skipped):
a)
b)
c)
Make sure ALL stakeholders are present/represented in workshops
Recognizing past achievements (but show current & future GAP)
Getting agreement which current/planned Projects can be stopped to release the capacity
/ budget needed to fully resource constraint focused projects
3. “Vision without Execution is a Hallucination”
Capacity Building (without follow-up and follow-through) will not deliver any significant
and sustainable results (to close GAP and keep it closed)
46. What is the impact of BETTER + FASTER on
CHEAPER?
CHEAPER
The Total Cost per
Quality Service Unit
(should) go down
(even more)
Governments increase
QUALITY THROUGHPUT
with the same Resources
Governments are able to
increase the SERVICE
QUALITY & COVERAGE
with same resources
BETTER
Are there any other
ways TOC can help to
better exploit limited
Budgets?
Governments reduce
AVOIDABLE COSTS
due to reducing
rework, expediting, overti
me etc.
Governments are able to
increase SERVICE
SPEED with same
resources
FASTER
47. CASE 3: EMERGENCY RELIEF AGENCY
Reducing budget losses due to “use-it-or-lose-it” policy
Cash not used should be returned
Hungry People
Cash
Constraint
Central
Bank
Account
Region 1
Bank
Account
Suppliers
Region 1
Distr Center
Region 1
Emergency
Relief
Region 2
Bank
Account
Suppliers
Region 2
Distr Center
Region 2
Emergency
Relief
Region N
Bank
Account
Central
Cash Buffer
Suppliers
Region N
Distr Center
Region N
Emergency
Relief
Food
Donors
Cash / Food allocated based on Regional
Central
Food Buffer Forecast in $ and/or Tons of aid needed
Central
Distr
Center
Food Aid not used should be returned
IF there there is 1) a real fear of under-forecasting aid required (people could die) AND
2) an unwritten rule of ―Use-it-or-lose-it‖ THEN
How much of the excess CASH and FOOD will ever be returned to the Central buffers?
Share Success Stories
to secure more
donations / donors
49. Good Early Warning Measurements
What is the best way to measure if we are achieving BETTER, FASTER, CHEAPER?
Cumulative Flow Diagrams
Higher
WIP
WIP
Longer
Supply LT
Supply
Lead Time
Time
Longer
Supply LT
Time
Time
QUALITY THROUGHPUT
PRODUCTIVITY
25% Late /
Not served
20%
15%
Operational Productivity = $T/$OE or QT/OE
Productivity
75% of On-time / Coverage
Higher
WIP
15%
10%
10%
5%
0-5d
5-10d
10-15d
15-20d 20-25d
25-30d
30-35d
35-40d
> 40d
Time in Days
Productivity = Rate at which system is generating goal units (Output or Quality Throughput)
Rate at which system is spend or investing money (Input or Operating Expenses)
50. SUMMARY OF KEY INSIGHTS
DOING IT BETTER
• What is the constraint to achieving better quality and coverage ? The Capacity Constraint or
Bottleneck … find it by looking for the backlog due to demand / supply gap…
• How to better exploit this constraint? Reduce capacity losses on bottleneck due to
starvation, blockage, downtime, rework etc. (capitalize on law of the weakest link)
DOING IT FASTER
• What is the constraint to increasing speed? Time to complete tasks on longest chain of
dependent tasks (Critical Chain)…
• How to better exploit constraint?: Reduce delays on critical chain due to multi-tasking,
waiting for decisions, unsynchronized priorities etc. (capitalize on law of improving flow)
DOING IT CHEAPER
• Where is the constraint? Available Budget
• How to better exploit constraint? Stop initiatives that wont contribute to the highest priority
objectives and remove any forms of “Use it or lose it” (capitalize on law of aggregation).
51. ABOUT THE PRESENTERS
Dr. Alan Barnard (PhD)
Dr. Alan Barnard is one of the leading experts in the world in Theory
of Constraints (TOC) frequently worked with Dr. Eli Goldratt, creator
of Theory of Constraints on large and complex projects around the
world. He is the CEO of Goldratt Research Labs (USA), Chairman of
Realization Africa (RSA), African Phosphates (RSA) and The
Odyssey Institute (USA). Alan is also a board member of TOCICO
and the Dr. Eliyahu M. Goldratt Foundation.
In 2009, Alan was awarded a PhD in Management of Technology &
Innovation, from the Da Vinci Institute in 2009 with a thesis titled
“How to identify and unlock inherent potential within organizations
(private & public) and individuals?”. Alan is also the author of 2
chapters in the McGraw Hill published Theory of Constraints
Handbook.
Alan is a past-President of SAPICS (2000 to 2002) and past-President of TOCICO (2003 to
2005) and serve on the judging panels of the Logistics Achiever Awards and Technology
Top 100.
He has worked with global companies such as ABB, BHP, Cisco, SAP, Random House
Publishing, Tata in the Private sector and also with UN DP, UN WFP and InWent in the
public sector on applying for example Theory of Constraints to City Councils in
Developing Countries in the Public Sector to help them identify and unlock inherent
potential to achieve more with the same resources in less time.
Average World GDP Growth been 3.5% = Doubling Time of 20 yearsAverage World GDP per Capita = $10,900 per person, South African = $10,500 (77), China = $35,000 (20), USA = $47,000 (7), Quatar =$88,000 (1)
Is the Average Demand MORE than the Available Supply Capacity or Simply more than the Productive Supply Capacity (less waste)?
Thomas Malthus: An Essay on the Principle of Population 1798. Predicted a pessimistic view on the dangers of overpopulation & claimed that food supply was the main limit to population growthMalthus believed the population increases exponentiallywhereas food supply will after some period only grow linearly (2,4,6,8etc) being limited by availability of productive land and water.
Many of the emerging markets and even the developed markets are facing a large and growing affordable housing shortage problem.Even the UK, they are estimating a shortage of 750,000 homes by 2025
When I did this project, Cash donations were around $2b and Food Aid around 3.5million tons/annum, feeding over 80 million people
When I did this project, Cash donations were around $2b and Food Aid around 3.5million tons/annum, feeding over 80 million people