Iraq Weekly Update

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Just a weekly status document from the Iraq war circa 2004.

Just a weekly status document from the Iraq war circa 2004.

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  • 1. 4 August 2004 D E PUBLIC VERSION P A R Iraq Status T M E N for T NSC O F S T A T E
  • 2. UNCLASSIFIED 4 August 2004 WORKING PAPERS Highlights National Conference Postponed • The IIG, at the request of the United Nations, postponed for two weeks the D National Conference in an effort to secure broader representation from varying E Iraqi political groups. P A NATO Participation Agreement Reached R • NATO announced an agreement on establishing a Training Implementation T Mission in Iraq. NATO will begin to coordinate training for Iraqi security forces M including selected Iraqi headquarters personnel inside Iraq and help identify E personnel for training outside Iraq. N Powell Visit to Baghdad T • Secretary of State Powell traveled to Baghdad this past week visiting with IIG O leaders and US Mission personnel. F Iraqi National Guard and Police Service • The Iraqi National Guard (ING) and Iraqi Police Service conducted a number of S successful operations last week including the discovery of large insurgent T weapons caches and a sophisticated terrorist safe house. A T E N/P 2 UNCLASSIFIED
  • 3. UNCLASSIFIED 4 August 2004 WORKING PAPERS Governance - Developments National Conference: D • The IIG, at the request of the United Nations, postponed for two weeks the E National Conference in an effort to secure broader representation from varying P Iraqi political groups. A R T International Cooperation: M E • NATO announced an agreement on establishing a Training Implementation N Mission in Iraq. The mission will be working closely with the Iraqi authorities to T help them develop their security structures, in particular in the Ministry of Defense and military headquarters. NATO will also begin training selected Iraqi O headquarters personnel inside Iraq and help identify personnel for training outside F Iraq. • Secretary of State Colin Powell and Saudi leaders discussed the Saudi proposal S for a contribution of Islamic troops to Iraq stabilization efforts. T • Prime Minister Allawi concluded his visit with leaders of several Arab countries this A week. Areas of discussions included security cooperation and assistance. T E UNCLASSIFIED N/P 3
  • 4. UNCLASSIFIED 4 August 2004 WORKING PAPERS Governance - Developments (Cont) Capacity Building: • The State Department is promoting capacity building and democracy through a D US-based program for Iraqis. E − Civil Society and Civic Education (July 24-August 14): Exploring how civic P education provides the the underpinnings for successful participation in a A democratic form of government by developing an informed, effective and R responsible citizenry. Participants include mayors, governors and civil T society leaders. M E • USAID continues capacity building activities for local government: N − Management training seminars for local government officials are improving T the delivery of essential services. O • USAID continues Democracy Dialogue Activities (DDA) across Iraq F – Promotes civic participation and increases Iraqis’ understanding of democratic principles and the political process. S Polling Data: T A • Latest USG poll (mid July) indicates that the IIG is still popular with the Iraqi T people, that security is the number one priority, and that the IIG’s actions get E more positive than negative remarks. UNCLASSIFIED N/P 4
  • 5. UNCLASSIFIED 4 August 2004 WORKING PAPERS Essential Services - Water and Sanitation D E • Rehabilitation of a water treatment plant in a poor area of Baghdad governorate is P complete. A – Nearly 1 million residents are now benefiting from the potable water. R T – Before rehabilitation, the plant was operating at 55-60% of capacity of its 3000 M m3/day, but now operates at full capacity. E N • Japan is funding an $11 million UN project to help restore the marshlands of T southern Iraq, which were deliberately drained by Saddam Hussein. O – Will support sustainable development through environmentally sound F technologies, providing drinking water, sanitation and pilot wetland restoration for the Marsh Arabs. S – $3.68 million of the Japanese aid package will be used to buy 26 water trucks T and 304 water tanks for the al-Muthanna province’s water department. A T E UNCLASSIFIED N/P 5
  • 6. UNCLASSIFIED 4 August 2004 WORKING PAPERS Essential Services - Telecommunications • Total number of telephone subscribers in Iraq is now over 1,345,863 (including 523,966 cell phone subscribers) - 61.6% above pre-war levels. D E P Telephone Subscribers (Fixed and Cell) A R 1,600,000 T 1,400,000 1,200,000 M 1,000,000 Cell Phones 800,000 E 600,000 Fixed Phones 400,000 N 200,000 T 0 (As of 18 Jul) 04 04 03 04 04 04 4 4 O r_0 r_0 n_ n_ y_ c_ ly_ b_ ar) Ap Ma Ma De Ja Ju Fe Ju W F re- (P 3 r_0 S Ma T • As of 18 Jul, there were 75,000 internet subscribers in Baghdad. A T – Pre-war, there was limited service, with 3,000 internet and 8,000 e-mail only E accounts in 2002. N/P 6 UNCLASSIFIED
  • 7. UNCLASSIFIED 4 August 2004 WORKING PAPERS Essential Services - Food Security • Chart below shows percentage of estimated requirements for Public Distribution System (PDS) goods from transition on 28 Jun 04 forward. D E Public Distribution System Status P A 120% • The goal of the R Ministry of Trade T 100% is to provide M 80% E sufficient ration 60% N stocks for the 40% current month T plus a three- 20% O month buffer. 0% F lt a k ap e tal r Mil Sa Te s ga Ric lse So nt To il /O Su ge Pu t S ee ula ea at ter ls he Gh rea Wh orm De al W Ce tF gn T tion an rei ing Inf Fo Na an We A Opening Stocks Scheduled Arrivals Under Existing Contracts (OFF) T New Procurements MOT New Procurements WFP E OFF Unconfirmed Contracts UNCLASSIFIED N/P 7
  • 8. UNCLASSIFIED 4 August 2004 WORKING PAPERS Essential Services - Food Security (Cont) D E • The WFP pipeline indicates possible shortfalls in the following commodities over P the course of the next three months. A R – National wheat (national harvest figures are not yet available), pulses, ghee, T milk, infant formula, soap and detergent. M • MOT has issued tenders for commodities such as infant formula, cheese, and E tomato paste into the food ration basket; cheese and tomato paste have been N introduced to reduce and offset the individual ration of pulses. T • WFP will stop all food shipments to Iraq in August. The pipeline will be reliant on Ministry of Trade procurement thereafter. O F • For the period of Jul through Sep, WFP projects 35,632 metric tons (mt) of Oil for Food commodity arrivals, which could be augmented by 35,000 mt of Indian S wheat. T A T E UNCLASSIFIED N/P 8
  • 9. UNCLASSIFIED 4 August 2004 WORKING PAPERS Essential Services - Health Care D • USAID provided $1 million worth of equipment and supplies for Iraqis to better E detect, treat, and control disease nationwide. P A – 408,000 people will benefit annually. R – Equipment and supplies, which replaced those looted after the recent conflict, T include microscopes, freezers and refrigerators, centrifuges, lab sinks, tissue M processors, slides, petri dishes, specialized testing agents, and an Amino Acid E Analyzer – the first of its kind in Iraq. N T • Over 5 million children between the ages of six and 12 have been immunized for Measles, Mumps, and Rubella. O • Over 3 million children under five years of age have been vaccinated since Jun F 03. S T A T E N/P UNCLASSIFIED 9
  • 10. UNCLASSIFIED 4 August 2004 WORKING PAPERS Essential Services - Education • More than 67,000 Iraqi school children at 90 schools in Ninawa’ Governorate will D now have clean drinking water and functioning toilets when they return to school in E September 04. P – In cooperation with the Ninawa’ Directorate of Education, the project supplied A water tanks, installed water coolers, repainted bathrooms and toilets, installed R new sanitary fittings and wash basins, replaced damaged and broken doors, T M fixed broken windows and tiled floors. E • Over 32,000 secondary school teachers and 3,000 supervisors have been trained N as part of effort to upgrade the quality of education. T • Nearly 2,500 schools have been rehabilitated to date and an additional 1,200 are expected to be complete by the end of the year. O F – In Basrah governorate, USAID is working with the MOE to inventory the number of schools and assess immediate rehabilitation needs. S T A T E N/P UNCLASSIFIED
  • 11. UNCLASSIFIED 4 August 2004 WORKING PAPERS Project and Contracting Office (PCO) Developments D • To date, the PCO has issued 201 task orders, out of a total of 250 (83%) E P – These task orders cover 2,083 projects nationwide, out of a total 2,300 A (90%) R – Nearly 37% of the $18.4 billion supplemental is contractually obligated T M – Over 61% of apportioned funds is contractually obligated E • The AIRP is meeting urgent local needs across Iraq: N T – Projects cover: water and sanitation, health, education, building, roads, power, telecommunications, and various other O F – 196 projects are underway out of 369 – Over 16,300 Iraqis have been directly employed on AIRP projects S T – Sadr City projects continue to employ over 3,000 Iraqi workers A T E UNCLASSIFIED N/P 11
  • 12. UNCLASSIFIED 4 August 2004 WORKING PAPERS Project and Contracting Office (PCO) Obligate Apportioned Committed Expenditure 2207 d Report $M $M $M $M Sector D 3,235 2,976 2,636 1,701 272 Security and Law Enforcement E 5,465 2,538 2,446 1,896 184 Electricity Sector P 1,701 1,701 1,598 975 25 Oil Infrastructure A Justice, Public Safety, and Civil Society (less R 1,033 825 714 386 23 Democracy) T 451 451 420 309 13 Democracy M 259 259 238 118 14 Education, Refugees, Human Rights, Governance E 368 270 255 124 1 Roads, Bridges, and Construction N 786 577 560 376 0 Health Care T 500 467 418 180 4 Transportation and Telecommunications O 4,247 892 842 632 5 Water Resources and Sanitation F 183 135 100 47 16 Private Sector Development 213 29 63* 60* 39* Admin Expense (USAID, CPA Successor) S 18,439 11,120 10,290 6,804 596 TOTAL T 12,406 5,815 5,815 4,334 CONSTRUCTION A 5,582 4,854 4,055 2,161 NON-CONSTRUCTION T 451 451 420 309 DEMOCRACY E 18,439 11,120 10,290 6,804 596 Total N/P 12 Data as of 27 Jul UNCLASSIFIED
  • 13. UNCLASSIFIED 4 August 2004 WORKING PAPERS Economy D • On 21 Jul, estimated crude oil export revenue was approximately $9.2 billion for E 2004. P A • At the New Iraqi Dinar (NID) auction on July 29, the settlement price was 1,460 R dinars per dollar, the same as the previous day and unchanged since June 16. T • The Ministry of Finance offered ID 50 billion (about USD 34 million) in government M securities in their second bond auction on Sunday, August 1. E N • The ISX retreated during the past two sessions by roughly 16%, however, the T overall market’s value has increased by 51% since trading commenced a month ago. O • Nearly 3,000 micro-credit loans totaling over $6 million have been made to Iraqi F businesses. – Provides credit to financially viable micro and small businesses. S T A T E N/P UNCLASSIFIED 13
  • 14. UNCLASSIFIED 4 August 2004 WORKING PAPERS Economy (Cont) D • Since the Iraq Stock Exchange opened on 24 Jun, trading volume has grown E significantly. P A – The exchange is open two days a week for two hours per day. R – There are now 27 listed companies traded and officials are hoping this T number will grow to 120 in the next 45 days. M E • USAID is assisting the Iraqi Ministry of Labor and Social Affairs (MOLSA) to N develop a vocational training program that will help the Iraqi government address T Iraq’s high unemployment rate. • USAID is currently supporting the development of business skills among Iraq’s O small and medium sized businesses. F – By Fall 04, USAID will expand outreach and the number of existing Iraqi Business Centers, which provide training, consulting, and business S entrepreneurship services. T A T E N/P UNCLASSIFIED 14
  • 15. UNCLASSIFIED 4 August 2004 WORKING PAPERS Electricity Overview Mega Watt Hour Production 140000 D E 120000 P 100000 A 80000 R 60000 June Goal MWH T MW Hrs Actual 40000 M MW Hrs 7 Day Av. 20000 E N 0 T ul 29 n ul un un 30 y 20 y ay 11 r 31 r 21 r 10 r 20 r 10 r pr a a a a u a a p p -J -J -M -M -M -M -J -M -J -M -M -J -A -A -A 19 09 19 09 01 30 O F • Summer maintenance program continues resulting in about 465 MW of generation capacity currently offline for scheduled and 603 MW for unscheduled S maintenance T A T E N/P Data as of 29 Jul 04 UNCLASSIFIED 15
  • 16. UNCLASSIFIED 4 August 2004 WORKING PAPERS Power Production Generation By Region North South Central Off Grid Gen Syria Turkey D E 6000 P 5000 A 4000 R MW Peak 3000 T M 2000 E 1000 N 0 T 10 10 10 11 11 12 12 01 01 02 02 03 03 03 04 04 05 05 06 06 07 07 /01 /29 /12 /10 /04 /17 /14 /12 /09 /07 /07 /03 /31 /15 /26 /24 /21 /18 /28 /26 /23 /21 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 03 03 03 03 04 04 04 04 04 04 04 04 04 03 03 03 04 04 04 04 04 04 O F • Record Production: 13 Jul reached Peak Generation of 5,063 MW or 109,177 MWH S T A T E N/P Data as of 29 Jul 04 UNCLASSIFIED 16
  • 17. UNCLASSIFIED 4 August 2004 WORKING PAPERS Hours of Power D E P A R T M E N T O F S T A T E N/P Data as of 29 Jul 04 UNCLASSIFIED 17
  • 18. UNCLASSIFIED 4 August 2004 WORKING PAPERS Crude Oil Production 3.00 MOO Goal: 2.5 MBPD D 2.50 E P 2.00 A Millions of Barrels Per Day R T 1.50 M E N 1.00 T 0.50 O F 0.00 4-10 June 11-17 June 18-24 June 25 June - 1 July 2-8 July 9-15 July 16-22 July 23-29 July S Production Target T • Weekly Average of 2.303 MBPD Is Below Target of 2.5 MBPD A • Long Term Ministry of Oil (MOO) Target (Dec 04): 2.8 - 3.0 MBPD (Pre-War Capacity) T • Pre-War Peak: 2.5 MBPD in Mar 03 E • Post-War Peak: 2.595 MBPD on 16 Apr 04 UNCLASSIFIED N/P 18
  • 19. UNCLASSIFIED 4 August 2004 WORKING PAPERS Monthly Export: Volume & Revenue Revenue ($B) Iraqi Export (MBPD) D E P 2.000 $2.00 1.825 1.804 A 1.800 $1.80 R 1.541 1.537 1.524 1.600 $1.60 T 1.403 1.380 M 1.400 $1.40 Millions of Barrels Per Day 1.382 Revenue ($Billions) E 1.149 1.200 $1.20 N 0.983 1.148 1.000 $1.00 T 0.800 $0.80 $1.61 $1.50 0.646 $1.36 O $1.28 $1.26 $1.26 0.600 $0.60 $1.21 $1.13 $1.10 F $0.89 0.322 0.400 $0.40 $0.73 0.200 $0.44 0.200 $0.20 S $0.36 $0.20 T 0.000 $0.00 Jun-03 Jul-03 Aug-03 Sep-03 Oct-03 Nov-03 Dec-03 Jan-04 Feb-04 Mar-04 Apr-04 May-04 Jun-04 Jul-04 A • Current Monthly Average: 1.403 MBPD T E • Current Monthly Revenue: $1.13B N/P UNCLASSIFIED 19
  • 20. UNCLASSIFIED 4 August 2004 WORKING PAPERS Diesel Production & Imports Production Import Target Stocks 25.0 20 D 18 E P 20.0 16 A 14 Days of Stocks (National) Millions of Liters Per Day R 15.0 T 12 Ministry of Oil (MOO) M Goal: 18.0 M Liters 10 E 10.0 8 N T 6 5.0 4 O 2 F 0.0 0 S 4-10 June 11-17 June 18-24 June 25 June - 1 July 2-8 July 9-15 July 16-22 July 23-29 July T • This week’s average production and imports are 110% of goal A T • National diesel stock is 18 days E UNCLASSIFIED N/P 20
  • 21. UNCLASSIFIED 4 August 2004 WORKING PAPERS Kerosene Production & Imports Production Import Target Stocks 9.0 40 D E 8.0 35 P 7.0 A 30 R 6.0 Millions of Liters Per Day Days of Stock (National) 25 T 5.0 M 20 E 4.0 N 15 3.0 T Ministry of Oil (MOO) 10 2.0 Goal: 5.0 M Liters O 5 F 1.0 0.0 0 S 4-10 June 11-17 June 18-24 June 25 June - 1 July 2-8 July 9-15 July 16-22 July 23-29 July T A • This week’s average production and imports are 168% of goal T • National kerosene stock is 33 days E UNCLASSIFIED N/P 21
  • 22. UNCLASSIFIED 4 August 2004 WORKING PAPERS Gasoline / Benzene Production & Imports Production Import Target Stocks 30.0 25 D E Ministry of Oil (MOO) Goal: P 25.0 22.0 M Liters 20 A R Millions of Liters Per Day 20.0 Days of Stock (National) T 15 M 15.0 E N 10 T 10.0 O 5 5.0 F S 0.0 0 4-10 June 11-17 June 18-24 June 25 June - 1 July 2-8 July 9-15 July 16-22 July 23-29 July T A • This week’s average production and imports are 111% of goal T • National benzene stock is 15 days E UNCLASSIFIED N/P 22
  • 23. UNCLASSIFIED 4 August 2004 WORKING PAPERS Liquefied Petroleum Gas Production & Imports Production Import Target Stocks 5000 50 D Ministry of Oil (MOO) E 4500 45 Goal: 4,000 Tons P 4000 40 A 3500 35 R Days of Stock (National) T 3000 30 Tons Per Day M 2500 25 E N 2000 20 T 1500 15 O 1000 10 F 500 5 S 0 0 4-10 June 11-17 June 18-24 June 25 June - 1 July 2-8 July 9-15 July 16-22 July 23-29 July T A • This week’s average production and imports are 117% of goal T • National LPG stock is 35 days E N/P UNCLASSIFIED 23
  • 24. UNCLASSIFIED 4 August 2004 WORKING PAPERS Security - Developments • The Iraqi National Guard (ING) and Iraqi Police Service conducted a number of successful operations last week including the discovery of large insurgent D weapons caches and a sophisticated terrorist safe house. E – One haul included MIG-21 engines, 120mm BM-21 rockets, 60mm mortar P rounds, land mines, 120mm artillery shells, mortar charges, a truck and A 5,000 boxes of 14.55mm rounds. R T – Another other haul yielded 10 type-63 107mm rockets, two 120mm mortar M rounds, a rocket propelled grenade launcher, two rocket propelled grenades, E various fuses and 26 improvised explosive devise switches. N • The Iraqi Intervention Forces’ 4th Battalion deployed to a southern Baghdad T base this week for stability and support operations as part of the Iraqi government’s continued effort to provide security to the nation. O F – This is one of three Iraqi battalions being employed in the Baghdad area of operations. S • Lead elements of the Iraqi army’s 5th Battalion deployed to a base in Western T Baghdad this week for force protection operations at the base as part of the A Iraqi government’s continued effort to provide security to the nation. T E UNCLASSIFIED N/P 24
  • 25. UNCLASSIFIED 4 August 2004 WORKING PAPERS Security - Developments (Cont.) • Chart below shows significant insurgent activities in Iraq to 24 July 2004. D • Includes attacks using improvised explosive devices (IED), vehicle-borne IED, E mortars, rocket propelled grenades (RPG), and improvised rockets. P A R Significant Acts T 70 M Fallujah 60 Operation Iron Transition to and al-Sadr E Hammer Interim Sedition Announced Government N 50 Total SIGACTS T 40 Anniversary of Invasion 30 O F 20 Interim Government 10 Announced S T 0 A 04 04 04 2/2 04 03 1/2 4 4 4 4 5/2 4 6/1 4 6/2 4 7/1 4 7/2 4 4 03 03 03 1/1 3 4 11 3 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 0 00 0 20 20 20 /20 20 /20 /20 /20 /20 /20 T 0/2 4/2 0/2 7/2 5/2 9/2 2/2 6/2 0/2 4/2 1/2 6/ 3/ 1/ /1/ 2/7 /15 /29 /13 /27 /18 3/ 4/ 5/ 3/2 4/1 5/1 11 11 12 12 10 Date E UNCLASSIFIED N/P 25
  • 26. UNCLASSIFIED 4 August 2004 WORKING PAPERS Stability Contributors - OIF Countries with forces in Iraq Countries committed to provide forces for Iraq D TOTAL ~23K 30 E P 1 Lithuania Albania A Macedonia Australia R Mongolia Azerbaijan T Netherlands Bulgaria M New Zealand Czech Rep E Norway Denmark 31 Countries N Poland El Salvador T Potentially Supporting Portugal Estonia Iraqi Stability and Romania Georgia O Humanitarian Relief Singapore Hungary F Slovakia Italy S Thailand Japan T Tonga Kazakhstan A Ukraine Korea T UK Latvia E Data as of 30 Jul 04 P UNCLASSIFIED 26
  • 27. UNCLASSIFIED 4 August 2004 WORKING PAPERS Iraq Weekly Status – General Information • Development, coordination and distribution responsibilities for the Iraq Weekly Status Report have been transferred from the Department of Defense to the D Department of State. E P • This brief draws from multiple sources. References are often cited in the A “Notes Page” section (View  Notes Page) of this brief. R • Please forward all inquiries to NEA-I-IPOG-DL@state.sgov.gov T M E N T O F S T A T E 27