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The Civil Beat Poll June 2012 — Issues and Demographics
 

The Civil Beat Poll June 2012 — Issues and Demographics

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Dig into results of survey on Hawaii's U.S. Senate and Congress primaries and the Honolulu mayor's race.

Dig into results of survey on Hawaii's U.S. Senate and Congress primaries and the Honolulu mayor's race.

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    The Civil Beat Poll June 2012 — Issues and Demographics The Civil Beat Poll June 2012 — Issues and Demographics Document Transcript

    • Civil Beat Poll, June 5-7, 2012 1 1,105 Likely August Voters – Margin of Error +/- 2.9%RESULTS OF UESTIONS ASKED OF EVERY POLL PARTICIPANT--How would you say things are going in the United States right now—are theygenerally going in the right direction or the wrong direction? US Right 43% Wrong 47% Unsure 10% Total 100%--And how about in Hawaii? Would you say that things in Hawaii are generallygoing in the right direction or the wrong direction? Hawaii Right 41% Wrong 51% Unsure 8% Total 100%
    • Civil Beat Poll, June 5-7, 2012 2 1,105 Likely August Voters – Margin of Error +/- 2.9%--This August there will be primaries to determine the Democratic and RepublicanParty nominees for Hawaiiʼs open U.S. Senate seat. [IN THE SECONDCONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT ONLY--In addition, the Democratic primary willselect a nominee for U.S. Congress]. As you know, every Hawaii voter can choosebetween voting in the Democratic or Republican primary.As you know, everyHawaii voter can choose between voting in the Democratic or Republicanprimary….are you likely to vote in the Democratic Senate primary, the RepublicanSenate primary, or neither primary? PrimaryScreen Democratic 66% Republican 22% Neither 6% Unsure 6% Total 100% PrimaryScreen * PartyID Crosstabulation % within PartyID PartyID Democrat Republican Independent Unsure PrimaryScreen Democratic 92% 30% 60% 42% Republican 3% 64% 24% 16% Neither 2% 3% 9% 16% Unsure 2% 3% 7% 25% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% PartyID * PrimaryScreen Crosstabulation % within PrimaryScreen PrimaryScreen Democratic Republican Neither Unsure PartyID Democrat 62% 6% 20% 20% Republican 9% 59% 13% 11% Independent 24% 30% 46% 38% Unsure 4% 5% 21% 32% Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
    • Civil Beat Poll, June 5-7, 2012 31,105 Likely August Voters – Margin of Error +/- 2.9%
    • Civil Beat Poll, June 5-7, 2012 4 1,105 Likely August Voters – Margin of Error +/- 2.9%--How do you feel about the Honolulu rail project—do you support or oppose it?Statewide: Rail Support 41% Oppose 48% Unsure 11% Total 100%Oahu contrasted with other counties: Rail * County Crosstabulation % within County County Oahu Hawaii Maui Kauai Total Rail Support 39% 45% 47% 54% 41% Oppose 52% 41% 31% 36% 48% Unsure 9% 14% 22% 10% 11% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%--Do you believe that same-sex couples should or should not have the legal right toget married? Marriage Should 41% Should Not 47% Unsure 12% Total 100%
    • Civil Beat Poll, June 5-7, 2012 5 1,105 Likely August Voters – Margin of Error +/- 2.9%--When it comes to economic issues, would you be more likely to vote for acandidate who would focus most on fixing the economy and creating jobs rightnow, or for a candidate who would focus most on solving the countrys long-termproblems with debt, social security, and Medicare? [Order of two alternativesrandomized]. Economy Jobs/Economy 37% Debt/SS/Medi 49% Unsure 13% Total 100%--Do you generally approve or disapprove of Barack Obamaʼs job performance aspresident? Obama Approve strongly 45% Approve somewhat 17% Disapprove somewhat 9% Disapprove strongly 25% Unsure 4% Total 100% Obama_Condensed Approve 62% Disapprove 34% Unsure 4% Total 100%
    • Civil Beat Poll, June 5-7, 2012 6 1,105 Likely August Voters – Margin of Error +/- 2.9%WEIGHTED SAMPLE DEMOGRAPHICS Congressional_District 1 50% 2 50% Total 100% County Oahu 69% Hawaii 15% Maui 10% Kauai 6% Total 100% County_CD Oahu 1 50% Oahu 2 19% Hawaii 15% Maui 10% Kauai 6% Total 100% Gender Male 46% Female 54% Total 100% Age 18-29 6% 30-39 8% 40-49 12% 50-64 34% 65+ 40% Total 100%
    • Civil Beat Poll, June 5-7, 2012 7 1,105 Likely August Voters – Margin of Error +/- 2.9% PoliticsLiberal/Progressive 24%Moderate 35%Conservative 27%Unsure 14%Total 100% Party I.D.Democrat 46%Republican 20%Independent 27%Unsure 7%Total 100% Race/EthnicityCaucasian 40%Japanese 22%Filipino 10%Hawaiian 8%Chinese 7%Hispanic/Latino 1%Other/Mixed 13%Total 100% EducationNo Degree 5%High School Degree 29%College Degree 40%Graduate Degree 26%Total 100%
    • Civil Beat Poll, June 5-7, 2012 8 1,105 Likely August Voters – Margin of Error +/- 2.9% Religion Catholic 28% Evangelical/Born Again/Pentecostal 12% Mormon 5% Other Christian 21% Buddhist 10% Shinto 1% Jewish 1% Other 5% None 19% Total 100%--Have you, or a member of your immediate family such as a spouse, sibling,parent, or child served active military duty in Iraq or Afghanistan at any time in thepast ten years? Military Family Yes 16% No 84% Total 100% Annual Household Income $50,000 or less 38% $50,000-$100,000 39% $100,000 or More 23% Total 100%