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May 2014 cd1 results
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May 2014 cd1 results

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  • 1. Page  1 First  Congressional  District  Democratic  Primary Sample:  First  Congressional  District  Registered  Voters  =  416 May  18  –  19,  2014 Margin  of  Error  =  +/-­‐    4.8% 70%  Landlines,  30%  Cell  Phones With  that  in  mind,  what  are  you  most  likely  to  do  in  August? Democratic 62% Republican 23% Other/None 2% Not  sure 13% In  the  upcoming  Republican  primary,  Cam  Cavasso  will  run  for  the  Republican  Senate  nomination,  Duke  Aiona  will  run  for   Governor,  and  Charles  Djou  will  run  for  Congress—each  with  at  least  one  other  Republican  primary  opponent. In  the  upcoming  Democratic  primary,  Brian  Schatz  and  Colleen  Hanabusa  will  face  each  other  for  the  U.S.  Senate  nomination,  Neil   Abercrombie  and  David  Ige  will  run  for  Governor,  and  a  number  of  Democrats  will  run  for  Congress. This  coming  August,  Hawaii  will  hold  its  political  primaries.  In  Hawaii,  if  you  decide  to  vote  in  a  primary,  you  may  choose  between   voting  in  either  the  Democratic  or  Republican  primary—but  not  in  both.
  • 2. Page  2 First  Congressional  District  Democratic  Primary Sample:  First  Congressional  Districut  Likely  Democratic  Primary  Voters  =  259 Margin  of  Error  =  +/-­‐    6.1% Overall Kim 30% Takai 24% Chang 9% Anderson 7% Espero 6% Manahan 1% Unsure 23% Male Female Kim 33% 26% Takai 27% 23% Chang 6% 11% Anderson 8% 5% Espero 8% 4% Manahan 1% 1% Unsure 16% 30% If  you  do  vote  in  the  Democratic  Congressional  primary,  what  would  you  do? The  Democratic  primary  in  August  will  also  include  a  contest  for  the  First  District  Congressional  seat  currently  held  by  Colleen   Hanabusa.  The  candidates  include  State  Senator  Will  Espero;  State  Senator  Donna  Mercado  Kim;  State  Representative  Mark  Takai,   Honolulu  Councilman  Ikaika  Anderson;  Honolulu  Councilman  Stanley  Chang,  and  Honolulu  Councilman  Joey  Manahan.
  • 3. Page  3 First  Congressional  District  Democratic  Primary Under  50 50+  yrs  old Kim 11% 35% Takai 24% 26% Chang 11% 8% Anderson 14% 4% Espero 8% 6% Manahan 0% 2% Unsure 31% 20% Democrat Republican Independent Unsure Kim 31% 7% 22% 0% Takai 27% 39% 14% 0% Chang 9% 9% 11% 0% Anderson 8% 0% 5% 0% Espero 4% 27% 11% 0% Manahan 1% 6% 1% 0% Unsure 20% 12% 35% 100% Military  Family Non-­‐Military  Family Refused Kim 31% 26% 8% Takai 25% 25% 34% Chang 5% 17% 0% Anderson 9% 4% 0% Espero 5% 8% 0% Manahan 1% 1% 0% Unsure 23% 19% 58%
  • 4. Page  4 First  Congressional  District  Democratic  Primary Union  Family Non-­‐Union  Family Refused Kim 26% 29% 48% Takai 32% 22% 2% Chang 10% 9% 0% Anderson 4% 9% 0% Espero 8% 4% 14% Manahan 0% 2% 0% Unsure 20% 24% 36% Liberal/Progressive Moderate Conservative Unusre Kim 29% 28% 27% 31% Takai 26% 24% 20% 33% Chang 16% 8% 3% 2% Anderson 0% 6% 25% 10% Espero 5% 6% 4% 10% Manahan 1% 1% 4% 0% Unsure 23% 27% 16% 13% Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese Hispanic Other/Mixed Kim 32% 18% 33% 41% 42% 0% 36% Takai 24% 33% 0% 11% 13% 0% 33% Chang 13% 11% 0% 0% 15% 0% 5% Anderson 15% 1% 0% 24% 0% 100% 6% Espero 7% 4% 24% 14% 0% 0% 1% Manahan 1% 1% 3% 3% 0% 0% 1% Unsure 8% 31% 40% 8% 30% 0% 18% $50,000  or  less $50,000  -­‐  $100,000 $100,000  or  more Refused Kim 38% 35% 16% 19% Takai 16% 16% 46% 29% Chang 3% 12% 11% 8% Anderson 10% 9% 2% 7% Espero 11% 1% 5% 14% Manahan 2% 1% 1% 0% Unsure 20% 27% 19% 23%
  • 5. Page  5 First  Congressional  District  Democratic  Primary First  District  Likely  Democratic  Primary  Voter  Demographics Gender Male 46% Female 54% Age Under  50 26% 50  or  older 74% Politics Liberal/Progressive 35% Moderate 39% Conservative 13% Unsure 13% Party Democrat 79% Republican 4% Independent 16% Unsure 1% Military  Family Yes 63% No 34% Refused 2% Union  Family Yes 39% No 57% Refused 3%
  • 6. Page  6 First  Congressional  District  Democratic  Primary Ethnicity Caucasian 25% Japanese 37% Filipino 9% Hawaiian 5% Chinese 6% Hispanic 0% Other/Mixed 17% Income Less  than  $50,000 20% $50,000  -­‐  $100,000 40% $100,000  or  more 27% Refused 13%