Civil beat u.s. senate poll july 2014

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  • 1. 895 Likely Democratic Primary Voters; Margin of Error +/- 3.3% July 24 - July 28 77% Landlines; 23% Cellphones Schatz 49% Hanabusa 41% Unsure 10% Who are you supporting in the Democratic Primary for Senate, Brian Schatz or Colleen Hanabusa? [name order randomzed]
  • 2. DEMOGRAPHICS GENDER Male 48% Female 52% ETHNICITY/RACE Caucasian 43% Japanese 27% Filipino 9% Hawaiian 9% Chinese 6% Hispanic/Latino 1% Other/Mixed 6% POLITICAL ORIENTATION Liberal/Progressive 43% Moderate 40% Conservative 12% Unsure 5% PARTY I.D. Democrat 77% Republican 6% Independent 17% Unsure 1% Yes 60% No 38% Refused 2% Yes 30% No 66% Refused 5% Have you, or a member of your immediate family such as a spouse, sibling, parent, or child, served in the U.S. Military? Are you, or a member of your immediate family a member of a labor union?
  • 3. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Less than $50,000 37% $50,000 - $100,000 26% More than $100,000 21% Refused 15% COUNTY/CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT Oahu_CD1 54% Oahu_CD2 18% Hawaii 15% Maui 8% Kauai 6%
  • 4. CROSSTABS SENATE Male Female Schatz 49% 50% Hanabusa 40% 42% Unsure 11% 9% SENATE Under 50 50 and older Schatz 38% 53% Hanabusa 48% 39% Unsure 14% 8% SENATE Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese Hispanic Other_Mixed Schatz 64% 33% 50% 30% 53% 59% 35% Hanabusa 27% 57% 43% 66% 28% 11% 47% Unsure 9% 9% 7% 4% 19% 30% 18% SENATE Oahu_1 Oahu_2 Hawaii Maui Kauai Schatz 50% 42% 58% 50% 37% Hanabusa 41% 43% 32% 42% 58% Unsure 9% 14% 10% 9% 5% SENATE Liberal/ Progressive Moderate Conservative Unsure Schatz 62% 42% 32% 36% Hanabusa 32% 46% 58% 48% Unsure 6% 13% 10% 16% SENATE Democrat Republican Independent Unsure Schatz 51% 38% 42% 81% Hanabusa 40% 56% 42% 17% Unsure 9% 6% 16% 2% SENATE Military_Family _Yes Military_Family_ No Schatz 50% 49% Hanabusa 40% 43% Unsure 11% 8%
  • 5. SENATE Union_Family_ Yes Union_Family_N o Schatz 39% 56% Hanabusa 48% 37% Unsure 13% 8% SENATE <$50k $50-$100k $100k+ Schatz 46% 48% 56% Hanabusa 43% 43% 36% Unsure 11% 10% 8% SENATE Abercrombie_P ositive Abercrombie_ Negative Unsure Schatz 65% 35% 48% Hanabusa 26% 56% 36% Unsure 10% 9% 16% SENATE Ige_Positive Ige_Negative Unsure Schatz 42% 68% 55% Hanabusa 50% 26% 30% Unsure 8% 6% 15% SENATE Abercrombie Ige Unsure Schatz 67% 35% 45% Hanabusa 26% 58% 9% Unsure 7% 7% 46% SENATE Tsutsui Hee Unsure Schatz 56% 43% 42% Hanabusa 37% 50% 35% Unsure 7% 7% 23%