1   •   1,648 Likely General Election Voters Statewide   •   Sampling Margin of Error +/-2.4%   •   September 26-28, 2012I...
2In terms of raising taxes, what strategy do you think the country needs to help fix the economy? Dowe need to raise every...
3Demographics:                Gender       Male                   44%       Female                 56%       Total        ...
4          EducationNo degree                   2%High School Degree         28%College Degree             43%Graduate Deg...
5Crosstabs:                   President * Gender Crosstabulation% within Gender                                           ...
6                      President * Politics Crosstabulation% within Politics                                              ...
7                President * Military_Family Crosstabulation% within Military_Family                                      ...
8                         President * Economy Crosstabulation% within Economy                                             ...
9                              President * Tax_Increases Crosstabulation% within Tax_Increases                            ...
10                            President * Rail Crosstabulation% within Rail                                               ...
11                    Economy * Gender Crosstabulation% within Gender                                                Gende...
12                               Economy * Party_ID Crosstabulation% within Party_ID                                      ...
13                    Spending_Cuts * Gender Crosstabulation% within Gender                                               ...
14                             Spending_Cuts * Party_ID Crosstabulation% within Party_ID                                  ...
15                    Tax_Increases * Gender Crosstabulation% within Gender                                               ...
16                            Tax_Increases * Party_ID Crosstabulation% within Party_ID                                   ...
17                    Solution * Gender Crosstabulation% within Gender                                                Gend...
18                                Solution * Party_ID Crosstabulation% within Party_ID                                    ...
19                           Economy * Spending_Cuts Crosstabulation% within Spending_Cuts                                ...
20                                   Economy * Solution Crosstabulation% within Solution                                  ...
21                          Tax_Increases * Spending_Cuts Crosstabulation% within Spending_Cuts                           ...
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Civil Beat Poll - September 2012 president and economy results

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Civil Beat Poll - September 2012 president and economy results

  1. 1. 1 • 1,648 Likely General Election Voters Statewide • Sampling Margin of Error +/-2.4% • September 26-28, 2012In the presidential election, would you vote for Barack Obama, or Mitt Romney? [name orderrandomized] President Obama 62% Romney 30% Other 3% Unsure 6% Total 100%How do you currently feel about the country’s economy? Economy Positive 57% Negative 40% Unsure 3% Total 100%Many economists believe that making the U.S. economy healthy again will require some mix ofgovernment spending cuts and tax increases. In the next two questions, I will first ask you how youfeel about government spending cuts, and then ask how you feel about tax increases….In terms of cutting government spending, what strategy do you think the country needs to help fixthe economy? Do we need cuts across the board, including to programs ranging from social securityto the military? Do we need targeted cuts to programs like the military and corporate subsidies, butnot to programs like social security or healthcare? Or do we not need any major cuts to governmentspending? Spending_Cuts "Tough" cuts 27% "Easy" cuts 56% No cuts 5% Unsure 11% Total 100%
  2. 2. 2In terms of raising taxes, what strategy do you think the country needs to help fix the economy? Dowe need to raise everyone’s taxes to some degree? Do we need to raise taxes only on individualswith income above $250,000? Or do we not need any tax increases? Tax_Increases "Tough" taxes 18% "Easy" taxes 56% No taxes 21% Unsure 5% Total 100%Which of the following do you think is the best way to solve our national deficit and budgetproblems? Is it to focus most on cutting government spending? To focus most on raising revenuesby increasing taxes and closing tax loopholes? Or is it to focus about equally on spending cuts andtax increases? Solution Cut spending 32% Increase taxes 8% Both 49% Unsure 11% Total 100%
  3. 3. 3Demographics: Gender Male 44% Female 56% Total 100% Age 18-29 5% 30-39 7% 40-49 10% 50-64 34% 65+ 43% Total 100% Race_Ethnicity Caucasian 40% Japanese 36% Filipino 7% Hawaiian 3% Chinese 10% Hispanic/Latino 1% Other/Mixed 3% Total 100% Politics Liberal/Progressive 27% Moderate 37% Conservative 22% Unsure 14% Total 100% Party_ID Democrat 54% Republican 17% Independent 24% Unsure 4% Total 100%
  4. 4. 4 EducationNo degree 2%High School Degree 28%College Degree 43%Graduate Degree 27%Total 100% Military_FamilyYes 12%No 88%Total 100% IncomeLess than $50,000 37%$50,000-$100,000 39%$100,000 or more 24%Total 100%
  5. 5. 5Crosstabs: President * Gender Crosstabulation% within Gender Gender Male FemalePresident Obama 60% 65% Romney 32% 28% Other 3% 2% Unsure 5% 6%Total 100% 100% President * Age Crosstabulation% within Age Age 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+President Obama 62% 62% 61% 64% 62% Romney 26% 20% 34% 29% 31% Other 7% 3% 3% 2% 2% Unsure 5% 15% 2% 5% 5%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% President * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation% within Race_Ethnicity Race_Ethnicity Japanes Hispanic/Latin Caucasian e Filipino Hawaiian Chinese o Other/MixedPresident Obama 58% 75% 49% 62% 45% 54% 63% Romney 38% 18% 30% 28% 38% 38% 27% Other 2% 2% 10% 6% 2% Unsure 2% 5% 12% 4% 17% 8% 8%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
  6. 6. 6 President * Politics Crosstabulation% within Politics Politics Liberal/Progressiv Conservativ e Moderate e UnsurePresident Obama 93% 69% 18% 56% Romney 5% 26% 74% 21% Other 2% 2% 2% 4% Unsure 1% 3% 7% 19%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% President * Party_ID Crosstabulation% within Party_ID Party_ID Republica Independen Democrat n t UnsurePresident Obama 90% 9% 44% 38% Romney 8% 85% 41% 12% Other 1% 1% 6% 2% Unsure 1% 5% 9% 48%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% President * Education Crosstabulation% within Education Education High No School College Graduate degree Degree Degree DegreePresident Obama 72% 61% 60% 69% Romney 25% 30% 33% 25% Other 2% 2% 1% Unsure 3% 6% 5% 5%Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
  7. 7. 7 President * Military_Family Crosstabulation% within Military_Family Military_Family Yes NoPresident Obama 57% 64% Romney 35% 29% Other 4% 2% Unsure 4% 6%Total 100% 100% President * Income Crosstabulation% within Income Income Less $50,000- than $100,00 $100,000 $50,000 0 or morePresident Obama 67% 60% 64% Romney 24% 34% 30% Other 3% 1% 2% Unsure 6% 5% 4%Total 100% 100% 100%
  8. 8. 8 President * Economy Crosstabulation% within Economy Economy Positive Negative UnsurePresident Obama 87% 28% 42% Romney 7% 64% 7% Other 2% 4% 5% Unsure 4% 4% 47%Total 100% 100% 100% Economy * President Crosstabulation% within President President Obama Romney Other UnsureEconomy Positive 80% 14% 42% 46% Negative 18% 86% 53% 32% Unsure 2% 1% 5% 22%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% President * Spending_Cuts Crosstabulation% within Spending_Cuts Spending_Cuts "Tough" "Easy" cuts cuts No cuts UnsurePresident Obama 28% 83% 73% 35% Romney 63% 11% 19% 47% Other 3% 2% 1% 5% Unsure 6% 4% 6% 13%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Spending_Cuts * President Crosstabulation% within President President Obama Romney Other UnsureSpending_Cut "Tough" cuts 12% 58% 33% 29%s "Easy" cuts 76% 22% 45% 40% No cuts 6% 3% 3% 6% Unsure 6% 17% 20% 25%Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
  9. 9. 9 President * Tax_Increases Crosstabulation% within Tax_Increases Tax_Increases "Tough" "Easy" taxes taxes No taxes UnsurePresident Obama 55% 83% 17% 35% Romney 38% 10% 76% 30% Other 3% 2% 2% 6% Unsure 4% 4% 5% 30%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Tax_Increases * President Crosstabulation% within President President Obama Romney Other UnsureTax_Increases "Tough" taxes 16% 23% 21% 14% "Easy" taxes 76% 20% 54% 43% No taxes 6% 53% 15% 19% Unsure 3% 4% 10% 24%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% President * Solution Crosstabulation% within Solution Solution Cut Increase spending taxes Both UnsurePresident Obama 29% 88% 79% 66% Romney 63% 3% 14% 20% Other 2% 6% 2% 3% Unsure 6% 3% 4% 11%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Solution * President Crosstabulation% within President President Obama Romney Other UnsureSolution Cut spending 15% 69% 28% 34% Increase taxes 12% 1% 20% 5% Both 62% 23% 40% 40% Unsure 12% 7% 13% 21%Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
  10. 10. 10 President * Rail Crosstabulation% within Rail Rail Support Oppose UnsurePresident Obama 76% 51% 51% Romney 18% 42% 20% Other 3% 2% 3% Unsure 3% 4% 26%Total 100% 100% 100% Rail * President Crosstabulation% within President President Obama Romney Other UnsureRail Support 47% 22% 43% 18% Oppose 45% 72% 47% 40% Unsure 8% 6% 10% 42%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% President * Educ_Quality Crosstabulation% within Educ_Quality Educ_Quality Excellent Good Fair Poor UnsurePresident Obama 65% 72% 63% 42% 38% Romney 25% 20% 31% 49% 33% Other 7% 2% 1% 6% 2% Unsure 3% 6% 5% 3% 26%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Educ_Quality * President Crosstabulation% within President President Obama Romney Other UnsureEduc_Quality Excellent 5% 4% 13% 2% Good 39% 23% 33% 37% Fair 44% 46% 20% 39% Poor 10% 24% 33% 8% Unsure 2% 3% 3% 13%Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
  11. 11. 11 Economy * Gender Crosstabulation% within Gender Gender Male FemaleEconomy Positive 55% 59% Negative 43% 38% Unsure 2% 3%Total 100% 100% Economy * Age Crosstabulation% within Age Age 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+Economy Positive 62% 54% 50% 53% 62% Negative 38% 40% 48% 46% 35% Unsure 6% 2% 1% 3%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Economy * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation% within Race_Ethnicity Race_Ethnicity Japanes Hispanic/Latin Caucasian e Filipino Hawaiian Chinese o Other/MixedEconomy Positive 51% 67% 54% 50% 50% 50% 58% Negative 48% 31% 38% 48% 44% 50% 40% Unsure 1% 3% 8% 2% 6% 2%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Economy * Politics Crosstabulation% within Politics Politics Liberal/Progressiv Conservativ e Moderate e UnsureEconomy Positive 76% 61% 26% 59% Negative 23% 37% 73% 31% Unsure 1% 2% 1% 10%Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
  12. 12. 12 Economy * Party_ID Crosstabulation% within Party_ID Party_ID Republica Independen Democrat n t UnsureEconomy Positive 76% 21% 42% 52% Negative 22% 78% 56% 24% Unsure 2% 1% 3% 24%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Economy * Education Crosstabulation% within Education Education High No School College Graduate degree Degree Degree DegreeEconomy Positive 67% 61% 52% 61% Negative 22% 34% 46% 39% Unsure 11% 5% 2% 0%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Economy * Military_Family Crosstabulation% within Military_Family Military_Family Yes NoEconomy Positive 58% 57% Negative 41% 40% Unsure 2% 3%Total 100% 100% Economy * Income Crosstabulation% within Income Income Less $50,000- than $100,00 $100,000 $50,000 0 or moreEconomy Positive 58% 57% 59% Negative 40% 40% 40% Unsure 3% 3% 1%Total 100% 100% 100%
  13. 13. 13 Spending_Cuts * Gender Crosstabulation% within Gender Gender Male FemaleSpending_Cut "Tough" cuts 31% 25%s "Easy" cuts 56% 58% No cuts 6% 4% Unsure 8% 14%Total 100% 100% Spending_Cuts * Age Crosstabulation% within Age Age 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+Spending_Cut "Tough" cuts 23% 32% 34% 28% 25%s "Easy" cuts 63% 54% 52% 58% 57% No cuts 13% 1% 1% 4% 6% Unsure 1% 13% 13% 10% 13%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Spending_Cuts * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation% within Race_Ethnicity Race_Ethnicity Japanes Hispanic/Latin Caucasian e Filipino Hawaiian Chinese o Other/MixedSpending_Cut "Tough" cuts 30% 25% 25% 24% 35% 17% 20%s "Easy" cuts 57% 61% 48% 55% 51% 42% 54% No cuts 3% 6% 5% 7% 3% 25% 8% Unsure 10% 8% 23% 15% 11% 17% 18%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%% within Politics Politics Liberal/Progressiv Conservativ e Moderate e UnsureSpending_Cut "Tough" cuts 11% 26% 54% 23%s "Easy" cuts 81% 64% 28% 36% No cuts 4% 3% 4% 13% Unsure 4% 8% 14% 29%Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
  14. 14. 14 Spending_Cuts * Party_ID Crosstabulation% within Party_ID Party_ID Republica Independen Democrat n t UnsureSpending_Cut "Tough" cuts 14% 53% 39% 24%s "Easy" cuts 75% 25% 46% 16% No cuts 4% 5% 3% 22% Unsure 7% 17% 12% 38%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Spending_Cuts * Education Crosstabulation% within Education Education High No School College Graduate degree Degree Degree DegreeSpending_Cut "Tough" cuts 22% 27% 30% 24%s "Easy" cuts 42% 50% 57% 66% No cuts 11% 9% 2% 4% Unsure 25% 15% 11% 6%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Spending_Cuts * Military_Family Crosstabulation% within Military_Family Military_Family Yes NoSpending_Cut "Tough" cuts 31% 27%s "Easy" cuts 52% 58% No cuts 5% 5% Unsure 12% 11%Total 100% 100% Spending_Cuts * Income Crosstabulation% within Income Income Less $50,000- than $100,00 $100,000 $50,000 0 or moreSpending_Cut "Tough" cuts 24% 31% 29%s "Easy" cuts 59% 55% 59% No cuts 5% 4% 5% Unsure 13% 10% 7%Total 100% 100% 100%
  15. 15. 15 Tax_Increases * Gender Crosstabulation% within Gender Gender Male FemaleTax_Increases "Tough" taxes 23% 15% "Easy" taxes 52% 60% No taxes 24% 18% Unsure 2% 7%Total 100% 100% Tax_Increases * Age Crosstabulation% within Age Age 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+Tax_Increases "Tough" taxes 13% 15% 26% 15% 20% "Easy" taxes 52% 56% 47% 60% 57% No taxes 35% 22% 25% 21% 17% Unsure 8% 3% 4% 6%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Tax_Increases * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation% within Race_Ethnicity Race_Ethnicity Japanes Hispanic/Latin Caucasian e Filipino Hawaiian Chinese o Other/MixedTax_Increases "Tough" taxes 19% 19% 14% 17% 21% 18% "Easy" taxes 54% 60% 50% 56% 58% 67% 51% No taxes 25% 16% 27% 20% 15% 33% 24% Unsure 2% 5% 10% 7% 6% 8%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Tax_Increases * Politics Crosstabulation% within Politics Politics Liberal/Progressiv Conservativ e Moderate e UnsureTax_Increases "Tough" 15% 18% 25% 14% taxes "Easy" taxes 79% 62% 25% 48% No taxes 4% 17% 47% 22% Unsure 2% 3% 4% 15%Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
  16. 16. 16 Tax_Increases * Party_ID Crosstabulation% within Party_ID Party_ID Republica Independen Democrat n t UnsureTax_Increases "Tough" taxes 13% 24% 27% 5% "Easy" taxes 75% 23% 41% 43% No taxes 9% 47% 27% 33% Unsure 3% 5% 4% 19%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Tax_Increases * Education Crosstabulation% within Education Education High No School College Graduate degree Degree Degree DegreeTax_Increases "Tough" taxes 25% 18% 16% 21% "Easy" taxes 42% 54% 58% 59% No taxes 11% 22% 23% 16% Unsure 22% 6% 3% 3%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Tax_Increases * Military_Family Crosstabulation% within Military_Family Military_Family Yes NoTax_Increases "Tough" taxes 19% 18% "Easy" taxes 54% 57% No taxes 22% 20% Unsure 4% 4%Total 100% 100% Tax_Increases * Income Crosstabulation% within Income Income Less $50,000- than $100,00 $100,000 $50,000 0 or moreTax_Increases "Tough" taxes 17% 18% 21% "Easy" taxes 61% 54% 56% No taxes 17% 24% 20% Unsure 5% 3% 3%Total 100% 100% 100%
  17. 17. 17 Solution * Gender Crosstabulation% within Gender Gender Male FemaleSolution Cut spending 31% 32% Increase taxes 11% 6% Both 51% 47% Unsure 6% 15%Total 100% 100% Solution * Age Crosstabulation% within Age Age 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+Solution Cut spending 24% 28% 28% 34% 32% Increase taxes 26% 11% 5% 6% 8% Both 47% 40% 62% 52% 46% Unsure 4% 21% 5% 8% 14%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Solution * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation% within Race_Ethnicity Race_Ethnicity Japanes Hispanic/Latin Caucasian e Filipino Hawaiian Chinese o Other/MixedSolution Cut spending 34% 24% 39% 33% 38% 46% 36% Increase taxes 7% 9% 11% 7% 8% 15% 10% Both 51% 52% 34% 44% 45% 23% 44% Unsure 7% 15% 16% 15% 9% 15% 10%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Solution * Politics Crosstabulation% within Politics Politics Liberal/Progressiv Conservativ e Moderate e UnsureSolution Cut spending 12% 28% 64% 29% Increase taxes 17% 7% 2% 4% Both 63% 56% 27% 38% Unsure 7% 9% 8% 29%Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
  18. 18. 18 Solution * Party_ID Crosstabulation% within Party_ID Party_ID Republica Independen Democrat n t UnsureSolution Cut spending 19% 61% 39% 28% Increase taxes 12% 2% 5% 3% Both 57% 29% 48% 41% Unsure 12% 8% 9% 28%Total 100% 100% 100% 100%% within Education Education High No School College Graduate degree Degree Degree DegreeSolution Cut spending 19% 33% 34% 26% Increase taxes 31% 7% 7% 10% Both 19% 44% 53% 52% Unsure 31% 16% 6% 12%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Solution * Military_Family Crosstabulation% within Military_Family Military_Family Yes NoSolution Cut spending 35% 31% Increase taxes 8% 8% Both 40% 51% Unsure 17% 10%Total 100% 100% Solution * Income Crosstabulation% within Income Income Less $50,000- than $100,00 $100,000 $50,000 0 or moreSolution Cut spending 30% 34% 29% Increase taxes 10% 6% 10% Both 46% 52% 54% Unsure 14% 9% 8%Total 100% 100% 100%
  19. 19. 19 Economy * Spending_Cuts Crosstabulation% within Spending_Cuts Spending_Cuts "Tough" "Easy" cuts cuts No cuts UnsureEconomy Positive 31% 72% 79% 38% Negative 67% 27% 21% 50% Unsure 2% 1% 0% 12%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Spending_Cuts * Economy Crosstabulation% within Economy Economy Positive Negative UnsureSpending_Cut "Tough" cuts 15% 45% 21%s "Easy" cuts 71% 38% 28% No cuts 7% 3% 0% Unsure 8% 14% 51%Total 100% 100% 100% Economy * Tax_Increases Crosstabulation% within Tax_Increases Tax_Increases "Tough" "Easy" taxes taxes No taxes UnsureEconomy Positive 54% 73% 22% 34% Negative 45% 26% 75% 43% Unsure 1% 1% 2% 23%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Tax_Increases * Economy Crosstabulation% within Economy Economy Positive Negative UnsureTax_Increases "Tough" taxes 17% 20% 10% "Easy" taxes 72% 36% 29% No taxes 8% 39% 20% Unsure 3% 5% 41%Total 100% 100% 100%
  20. 20. 20 Economy * Solution Crosstabulation% within Solution Solution Cut Increase spending taxes Both UnsureEconomy Positive 30% 83% 70% 58% Negative 69% 17% 28% 31% Unsure 1% 2% 12%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Solution * Economy Crosstabulation% within Economy Economy Positive Negative UnsureSolution Cut spending 17% 55% 12% Increase taxes 12% 3% Both 60% 33% 38% Unsure 11% 9% 50%Total 100% 100% 100% Spending_Cuts * Solution Crosstabulation% within Solution Solution Cut spendin Increase g taxes Both UnsureSpending_Cut "Tough" cuts 53% 6% 19% 7%s "Easy" cuts 33% 86% 69% 49% No cuts 2% 3% 5% 12% Unsure 12% 5% 7% 32%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Solution * Spending_Cuts Crosstabulation% within Spending_Cuts Spending_Cuts "Tough" "Easy" cuts cuts No cuts UnsureSolution Cut spending 62% 18% 14% 34% Increase taxes 2% 13% 5% 4% Both 33% 59% 53% 29% Unsure 3% 10% 28% 32%Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
  21. 21. 21 Tax_Increases * Spending_Cuts Crosstabulation% within Spending_Cuts Spending_Cuts "Tough" "Easy" cuts cuts No cuts UnsureTax_Increases "Tough" taxes 29% 15% 13% 13% "Easy" taxes 28% 75% 44% 40% No taxes 41% 8% 31% 29% Unsure 2% 2% 13% 19%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Spending_Cuts * Tax_Increases Crosstabulation% within Tax_Increases Tax_Increases "Tough" "Easy" No taxes taxes taxes UnsureSpending_Cut "Tough" cuts 43% 13% 54% 15%s "Easy" cuts 45% 75% 23% 26% No cuts 3% 4% 7% 14% Unsure 8% 8% 15% 46%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Tax_Increases * Solution Crosstabulation% within Solution Solution Cut spendin Increase g taxes Both UnsureTax_Increases "Tough" taxes 18% 32% 20% 2% "Easy" taxes 31% 62% 72% 58% No taxes 49% 5% 7% 16% Unsure 2% 1% 2% 24%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Solution * Tax_Increases Crosstabulation% within Tax_Increases Tax_Increases "Tough" "Easy" taxes taxes No taxes UnsureSolution Cut spending 32% 18% 74% 13% Increase taxes 14% 9% 2% 1% Both 53% 62% 15% 24% Unsure 1% 12% 8% 61%Total 100% 100% 100% 100%

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