1   •   751 Likely General Election Voters in Hawaii’s 2nd Congressional District   •   Sampling Margin of Error +/-3.6%  ...
2In terms of raising taxes, what strategy do you think the country needs to help fix the economy? Dowe need to raise every...
3In your mind, how good an education do Hawaiis public school students receive—excellent, good,fair, or poor?             ...
4Demographics:                Gender       Male                   42%       Female                 58%       Total        ...
5           Party_IDDemocrat                   55%Republican                 18%Independent                22%Unsure      ...
6Crosstabs:                      CD2 * Gender Crosstabulation% within Gender                                              ...
7                           CD2 * Party_ID Crosstabulation% within Party_ID                                             Pa...
8                     CD2 * Economy Crosstabulation% within Economy                                           Economy     ...
9                           CD2 * Tax_Increases Crosstabulation% within Tax_Increases                                     ...
10                              CD2 * Educ_Quality Crosstabulation% within Educ_Quality                                   ...
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Civil Beat Poll September 2012 2nd Congressional District

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Civil Beat Poll September 2012 2nd Congressional District

  1. 1. 1 • 751 Likely General Election Voters in Hawaii’s 2nd Congressional District • Sampling Margin of Error +/-3.6% • September 26-28, 2012Who would you vote for in the race for U.S. House of Representatives—Tea Party activist KawikaCrowley, or former Honolulu City Councilwoman Tulsi Gabbard? [name order randomized] CD2 Gabbard 70% Crowley 18% Unsure 12% Total 100%How do you currently feel about the country’s economy? Economy Positive 56% Negative 42% Unsure 3% Total 100%Many economists believe that making the U.S. economy healthy again will require some mix ofgovernment spending cuts and tax increases. In the next two questions, I will first ask you how youfeel about government spending cuts, and then ask how you feel about tax increases….In terms of cutting government spending, what strategy do you think the country needs to help fixthe economy? Do we need cuts across the board, including to programs ranging from social securityto the military? Do we need targeted cuts to programs like the military and corporate subsidies, butnot to programs like social security or healthcare? Or do we not need any major cuts to governmentspending? Spending_Cuts "Tough" cuts 26% "Easy" cuts 54% No cuts 6% Unsure 13% Total 100%
  2. 2. 2In terms of raising taxes, what strategy do you think the country needs to help fix the economy? Dowe need to raise everyone’s taxes to some degree? Do we need to raise taxes only on individualswith income above $250,000? Or do we not need any tax increases? Tax_Increases "Tough" taxes 16% "Easy" taxes 54% No taxes 24% Unsure 5% Total 100%Which of the following do you think is the best way to solve our national deficit and budgetproblems? Is it to focus most on cutting government spending? To focus most on raising revenuesby increasing taxes and closing tax loopholes? Or is it to focus about equally on spending cuts andtax increases? Solution Cut spending 33% Increase taxes 8% Both 47% Unsure 11% Total 100%
  3. 3. 3In your mind, how good an education do Hawaiis public school students receive—excellent, good,fair, or poor? Educ_Quality Excellent 6% Good 31% Fair 43% Poor 18% Unsure 2% Total 100%Oahu, 2nd Congressional District Only:How do you feel about the Honolulu Rail project – do you generally support or oppose it? Rail Support 35% Oppose 57% Unsure 9% Total 100%
  4. 4. 4Demographics: Gender Male 42% Female 58% Total 100% Age 18-29 8% 30-39 4% 40-49 12% 50-64 38% 65+ 38% Total 100% Race_Ethnicity Caucasian 49% Japanese 29% Filipino 6% Hawaiian 6% Chinese 5% Hispanic/Latino 1% Other/Mixed 4% Total 100% Politics Liberal/Progressive 28% Moderate 35% Conservative 23% Unsure 14% Total 100%
  5. 5. 5 Party_IDDemocrat 55%Republican 18%Independent 22%Unsure 5%Total 100% EducationNo degree 3%High School Degree 31%College Degree 43%Graduate Degree 24%Total 100% Military_FamilyYes 14%No 86%Total 100% IncomeLess than $50,000 46%$50,000-$100,000 35%$100,000 or more 19%Total 100%
  6. 6. 6Crosstabs: CD2 * Gender Crosstabulation% within Gender Gender Male FemaleCD2 Gabbard 68% 72% Crowley 24% 14% Unsure 8% 14%Total 100% 100% CD2 * Age Crosstabulation% within Age Age 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+CD2 Gabbard 64% 63% 66% 77% 67% Crowley 22% 33% 23% 15% 17% Unsure 14% 3% 11% 8% 16%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% CD2 * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation% within Race_Ethnicity Race_Ethnicity Japanes Hispanic/Latin Caucasian e Filipino Hawaiian Chinese o Other/MixedCD2 Gabbard 69% 69% 84% 73% 78% 60% 71% Crowley 23% 13% 7% 22% 13% 10% 17% Unsure 8% 18% 9% 5% 9% 30% 13%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% CD2 * Politics Crosstabulation% within Politics Politics Liberal/Progressiv Conservativ e Moderate e UnsureCD2 Gabbard 82% 75% 45% 78% Crowley 7% 16% 41% 6% Unsure 11% 8% 14% 16%Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
  7. 7. 7 CD2 * Party_ID Crosstabulation% within Party_ID Party_ID Republica Independen Democrat n t UnsureCD2 Gabbard 83% 39% 63% 77% Crowley 8% 44% 23% 4% Unsure 8% 17% 15% 19%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% CD2 * Education Crosstabulation% within Education Education High No School College Graduate degree Degree Degree DegreeCD2 Gabbard 60% 72% 68% 72% Crowley 27% 13% 23% 15% Unsure 13% 14% 9% 13%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% CD2 * Military_Family Crosstabulation% within Military_Family Military_Family Yes NoCD2 Gabbard 60% 72% Crowley 34% 16% Unsure 6% 12%Total 100% 100% CD2 * Income Crosstabulation% within Income Income Less $50,000- than $100,00 $100,000 $50,000 0 or moreCD2 Gabbard 69% 71% 73% Crowley 17% 20% 20% Unsure 14% 8% 7%Total 100% 100% 100%
  8. 8. 8 CD2 * Economy Crosstabulation% within Economy Economy Positive Negative UnsureCD2 Gabbard 85% 50% 38% Crowley 7% 35% 10% Unsure 8% 15% 52%Total 100% 100% 100% Economy * CD2 Crosstabulation% within CD2 CD2 Gabbard Crowley UnsureEconomy Positive 69% 22% 36% Negative 30% 77% 51% Unsure 2% 1% 13%Total 100% 100% 100% CD2 * Spending_Cuts Crosstabulation% within Spending_Cuts Spending_Cuts "Tough" "Easy" cuts cuts No cuts UnsureCD2 Gabbard 46% 82% 85% 58% Crowley 40% 9% 4% 22% Unsure 14% 9% 11% 19%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Spending_Cuts * CD2 Crosstabulation% within CD2 CD2 Gabbard Crowley UnsureSpending_Cut "Tough" cuts 17% 57% 31%s "Easy" cuts 65% 26% 42% No cuts 8% 2% 6% Unsure 10% 15% 20%Total 100% 100% 100%
  9. 9. 9 CD2 * Tax_Increases Crosstabulation% within Tax_Increases Tax_Increases "Tough" "Easy" taxes taxes No taxes UnsureCD2 Gabbard 65% 84% 43% 71% Crowley 18% 8% 44% 5% Unsure 17% 8% 13% 24%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Tax_Increases * CD2 Crosstabulation% within CD2 CD2 Gabbard Crowley UnsureTax_Increases "Tough" taxes 14% 15% 23% "Easy" taxes 65% 24% 40% No taxes 15% 60% 27% Unsure 5% 2% 11%Total 100% 100% 100% CD2 * Solution Crosstabulation% within Solution Solution Cut Increase spending taxes Both UnsureCD2 Gabbard 51% 88% 81% 72% Crowley 37% 9% 8% 11% Unsure 12% 4% 11% 17%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Solution * CD2 Crosstabulation% within CD2 CD2 Gabbard Crowley UnsureSolution Cut spending 24% 69% 36% Increase taxes 10% 4% 2% Both 55% 20% 46% Unsure 11% 6% 16%Total 100% 100% 100%
  10. 10. 10 CD2 * Educ_Quality Crosstabulation% within Educ_Quality Educ_Quality Excellent Good Fair Poor UnsureCD2 Gabbard 91% 75% 71% 57% 62% Crowley 9% 13% 18% 29% 23% Unsure 0% 13% 11% 14% 15%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Educ_Quality * CD2 Crosstabulation% within CD2 CD2 Gabbard Crowley UnsureEduc_Quality Excellent 6% 2% 0% Good 33% 21% 34% Fair 44% 44% 41% Poor 15% 30% 22% Unsure 2% 2% 2%Total 100% 100% 100% CD2 * Rail Crosstabulation% within Rail Rail Support Oppose UnsureCD2 Gabbard 81% 69% 50% Crowley 15% 26% 17% Unsure 3% 5% 33%Total 100% 100% 100% Rail * CD2 Crosstabulation% within CD2 CD2 Gabbard Crowley UnsureRail Support 40% 25% 18% Oppose 55% 69% 45% Unsure 5% 6% 36%Total 100% 100% 100%

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