Civil beat january 2012 u.s. senate primary toplines and crosstabs
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Civil beat january 2012 u.s. senate primary toplines and crosstabs

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Civil Beat Poll conduct

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Civil beat january 2012 u.s. senate primary toplines and crosstabs Document Transcript

  • 1. HI Senate, Primary Election Sample = 1,358 Likely Voters Weighted for Likelihood of Voting Order of Candidate Names Randomized Sampling Margin of Error = 2.7%If the candidates were Congresswoman Mazie Hirono and former Congressman EdCase, who would you vote for? Hirono_Case Hirono 39% Case 41% Neither 8% Unsure 12% Total 100%
  • 2. Hirono_Case * Gender Crosstabulation% within Gender Gender Male Female Hirono_Case Hirono 36% 41% Case 46% 38% Neither 8% 7% Unsure 10% 14% Total 100% 100%* Gender * Hirono_Case Crosstabulation% within Hirono_Case Hirono_Case Hirono Case Neither Unsure Gender Male 41% 48% 48% 35% Female 59% 52% 52% 65% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Hirono_Case * Age Crosstabulation% within Age Age 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Hirono_Case Hirono 26% 35% 41% 42% Case 54% 42% 38% 42% Neither 10% 9% 8% 6% Unsure 10% 14% 13% 10% Total 100% 100% 100% 100%* Age * Hirono_Case Crosstabulation% within Hirono_Case Hirono_Case Hirono Case Neither Unsure Age 18-34 6% 11% 11% 7% 35-49 14% 16% 20% 19% 50-64 40% 35% 39% 42% 65+ 39% 37% 30% 32% Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
  • 3. Hirono_Case * Party Crosstabulation% within Party Party Democrat Republican Independent Unsure Hirono_Case Hirono 51% 19% 36% 27% Case 34% 55% 47% 31% Neither 3% 16% 7% 16% Unsure 12% 10% 9% 27% Total 100% 100% 100% 100%* Party * Hirono_Case Crosstabulation% within Hirono_Case Hirono_Case Hirono Case Neither Unsure Party Democrat 54% 33% 14% 42% Republican 8% 20% 32% 12% Independent 33% 40% 35% 26% Unsure 6% 7% 19% 20% Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
  • 4. Hirono_Case * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation% within Race_Ethnicity Race_Ethnicity Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese Other/Mixed Hirono_Case Hirono 34% 47% 44% 54% 20% 33% Case 48% 36% 29% 30% 63% 38% Neither 8% 5% 9% 6% 8% 12% Unsure 10% 13% 17% 10% 9% 17% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%* Race_Ethnicity * Hirono_Case Crosstabulation% within Hirono_Case Hirono_Case Hirono Case Neither Unsure Race_Ethnicity Caucasian 35% 47% 41% 34% Japanese 28% 20% 14% 24% Filipino 9% 5% 9% 11% Hawaiian 14% 7% 8% 8% Chinese 3% 9% 6% 4% Other/Mixed 11% 12% 21% 19% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Hirono_Case * Public_Employee Crosstabulation% within Public_Employee Public_Employee Yes No Hirono_Case Hirono 49% 37% Case 34% 43% Neither 4% 8% Unsure 12% 12% Total 100% 100%
  • 5. Hirono_Case * Education Crosstabulation% within Education Education HS College Grad No degree graduate Graduate Degree Hirono_Case Hirono 30% 39% 36% 44% Case 37% 38% 43% 47% Neither 12% 10% 8% 3% Unsure 21% 13% 13% 6% Total 100% 100% 100% 100%* Education * Hirono_Case Crosstabulation% within Hirono_Case Hirono_Case Hirono Case Neither Unsure Education No degree 3% 3% 5% 6% HS graduate 36% 33% 49% 39% College Graduate 35% 38% 38% 43% Grad Degree 26% 26% 8% 13% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Hirono_Case * Income Crosstabulation% within Income Income 50k or less 50-100k 100k+ Hirono_Case Hirono 42% 35% 38% Case 36% 43% 54% Neither 9% 8% 3% Unsure 13% 13% 6% Total 100% 100% 100%* Income * Hirono_Case Crosstabulation% within Hirono_Case Hirono_Case Hirono Case Neither Unsure Income 50k or less 45% 35% 48% 45% 50-100k 35% 39% 44% 44% 100k+ 20% 26% 8% 10% Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
  • 6. Hirono_Case * County Crosstabulation% within County County Oahu Maui Hawaii Kauai Hirono_Case Hirono 35% 46% 49% 42% Case 46% 30% 31% 30% Neither 7% 5% 10% 6% Unsure 11% 19% 10% 22% Total 100% 100% 100% 100%* County * Hirono_Case Crosstabulation% within Hirono_Case Hirono_Case Hirono Case Neither Unsure County Oahu 63% 78% 69% 62% Maui 11% 7% 6% 15% Hawaii 19% 11% 21% 13% Kauai 6% 4% 5% 10% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Hirono_Case * Congressional District Crosstabulation% within Congressional District Congressional District 1 2 Hirono_Case Hirono 34% 43% Case 46% 38% Neither 8% 7% Unsure 13% 12% Total 100% 100%* Congressional District * Hirono_Case Crosstabulation% within Hirono_Case Hirono_Case Hirono Case Neither Unsure Congressional 1 37% 47% 46% 45% District 2 63% 53% 54% 55% Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
  • 7. Hirono_Case * County_CD Crosstabulation% within County_CD County_CD Oahu CD1 Oahu CD2 Maui Hawaii Kauai Hirono_Case Hirono 34% 39% 46% 49% 42% Case 46% 47% 30% 31% 30% Neither 8% 6% 5% 10% 6% Unsure 13% 8% 19% 10% 22% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%* County_CD * Hirono_Case Crosstabulation% within Hirono_Case Hirono_Case Hirono Case Neither Unsure County_CD Oahu CD1 37% 47% 46% 45% Oahu CD2 26% 31% 23% 17% Maui 11% 7% 6% 15% Hawaii 19% 11% 21% 13% Kauai 6% 4% 5% 10% Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
  • 8. Hirono_Case * Obama Crosstabulation% within Obama Obama Approve Approve Disapprove Disapprove strongly somewhat somewhat strongly UnsureHirono_Case Hirono 54% 42% 21% 6% 27% Case 33% 39% 50% 72% 7% Neither 3% 6% 14% 19% 7% Unsure 11% 13% 15% 3% 58%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Obama * Hirono_Case Crosstabulation% within Hirono_Case Hirono_Case Hirono Case Neither UnsureObama Approve strongly 61% 35% 15% 38% Approve somewhat 29% 25% 22% 28% Disapprove somewhat 5% 11% 17% 11% Disapprove strongly 3% 28% 42% 4% Unsure 3% 1% 4% 19%Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
  • 9. Lingle_Case * Hirono_Case Crosstabulation% within Hirono_Case Hirono_Case Hirono Case Neither UnsureLingle_Case Case 53% 58% 3% 43% Lingle 20% 40% 81% 13% Neither 23% 1% 15% 2% Unsure 5% 2% 1% 42%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Lingle_Hirono * Hirono_Case Crosstabulation% within Hirono_Case Hirono_Case Hirono Case Neither UnsureLingle_Hirono Hirono 86% 27% 6% 44% Lingle 12% 59% 82% 14% Neither 1% 9% 9% 2% Unsure 1% 4% 3% 40%Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
  • 10. * Party * Age Crosstabulation% within Age Age 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Party Democrat 51% 35% 39% 41% Republican 13% 16% 14% 17% Independent 22% 39% 38% 34% Unsure 13% 10% 9% 7% Total 100% 100% 100% 100%