1st Congressional District, July 2014
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1st Congressional District, July 2014

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1st Congressional District, July 2014 1st Congressional District, July 2014 Presentation Transcript

  • 484 Likely Democratic Primary Voters in the First Congressional District; Margin of Error +/- 4.5% July 24 - July 28 70% Landlines; 30% Cellphones CD 1 Kim 23% Takai 30% Anderson 7% Espero 5% Chang 15% Manahan 6% Undecided 14% There is also a primary to select a Democratic nominee for the First District Congressional seat currently held by Colleen Hanabusa. The candidates include State Senator Will Espero; State Senator Donna Mercado Kim; State Representative Mark Takai; Honolulu Councilman Ikaika Anderson; Honolulu Councilman Stanley Chang, and Honolulu Councilman Joey Manahan. [name order rotated], Which candidate are you supporting?
  • Demographics GENDER Male 50% Female 50% ETHNICITY Caucasian 28% Japanese 36% Filipino 13% Hawaiian 8% Chinese 9% Hispanic_Latino 0% Other/Mixed 5% POLITICAL IDEOLOGY Liberal_Progressive 43% Moderate 41% Conservative 11% Unsure 5% PARTY I.D. Democrat 79% Republican 6% Independent 14% Unsure 1%
  • Yes 58% No 39% Refused 2% Yes 36% No 59% Refused 5% Annual Household Income Less than $50,000 17% $50,000 - $100,000 30% More than $100,000 27% Refused 25% Have you, or a member of your immediate family such as a spouse, sibling, parent, or child, served in the U.S. Military? Are you, or a member of your immediate family, a member of a labor union?
  • Crosstabs CD1 Male Female Kim 24% 21% Takai 31% 31% Anderson 9% 6% Espero 7% 4% Chang 11% 18% Manahan 7% 5% Undecided 12% 16% CD1 Under 50 50 and older Kim 23% 21% Takai 14% 37% Anderson 15% 5% Espero 8% 4% Chang 16% 14% Manahan 11% 4% Undecided 14% 14% CD1 Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese Hispanic Latino Other Mixed Kim 16% 26% 22% 16% 26% 72% 20% Takai 29% 40% 20% 22% 25% 0% 48% Anderson 2% 8% 1% 44% 0% 0% 13% Espero 9% 2% 7% 4% 10% 0% 0% Chang 19% 14% 5% 10% 28% 0% 15% Manahan 6% 0% 27% 0% 0% 28% 2% Undecided 19% 10% 18% 5% 11% 0% 3% CD1 Liberal progressive Moderate Conservative Unsure Kim 15% 21% 43% 32% Takai 29% 35% 30% 29% Anderson 11% 6% 0% 3% Espero 4% 8% 4% 2% Chang 16% 17% 8% 8% Manahan 9% 3% 3% 5% Undecided 16% 10% 12% 21%
  • CD1 Democrat Republican Independent Unsure Kim 20% 37% 22% 23% Takai 32% 23% 32% 54% Anderson 8% 12% 4% 3% Espero 5% 7% 6% 9% Chang 15% 2% 22% 9% Manahan 6% 3% 6% 0% Undecided 14% 17% 8% 2% CD1 Mil_Family Yes Mil_Family No Kim 23% 20% Takai 36% 24% Anderson 4% 13% Espero 4% 8% Chang 17% 13% Manahan 4% 9% Undecided 13% 13% QCD1 Union_Family Yes Union_Family No Kim 17% 24% Takai 27% 34% Anderson 13% 5% Espero 9% 2% Chang 11% 18% Manahan 10% 3% Undecided 12% 14% QCD1 <$50k $50-$100k $100k+ Kim 28% 20% 20% Takai 25% 33% 39% Anderson 6% 12% 5% Espero 4% 2% 7% Chang 21% 6% 18% Manahan 0% 12% 3% Undecided 16% 16% 8%
  • CD1 Abercrombie Positive Abercrombie Negative Unsure Kim 21% 22% 35% Takai 25% 37% 23% Anderson 8% 8% 3% Espero 7% 4% 3% Chang 17% 14% 5% Manahan 6% 6% 2% Undecided 15% 10% 29% CD1 Ige_Positive Ige_Negative Unsure Kim 24% 20% 21% Takai 39% 26% 15% Anderson 7% 30% 1% Espero 5% 3% 6% Chang 14% 6% 19% Manahan 4% 5% 10% Undecided 8% 11% 28%
  • CD1 Abercrombie Ige Unsure Kim 23% 22% 27% Takai 21% 40% 17% Anderson 8% 7% 4% Espero 6% 5% 5% Chang 17% 12% 18% Manahan 9% 4% 3% Undecided 15% 11% 27% CD1 Schatz Hanabusa Unsure Kim 18% 30% 13% Takai 31% 32% 20% Anderson 6% 10% 3% Espero 8% 3% 4% Chang 19% 11% 10% Manahan 5% 7% 3% Undecided 13% 8% 47% CD1 Tsutsui Hee Unsure Kim 23% 27% 13% Takai 35% 29% 24% Anderson 7% 12% 0% Espero 7% 4% 4% Chang 18% 15% 7% Manahan 3% 6% 11% Undecided 8% 6% 40%
  • GOVERNOR Kim Takai Anderson Espero Chang Manahan Undecided Abercrombie 41% 29% 46% 47% 48% 65% 44% Ige 50% 67% 50% 46% 43% 32% 41% Unsure 9% 4% 4% 7% 9% 4% 15% LTGOV Kim Takai Anderson Espero Chang Manahan Undecided Tsutsui 42% 48% 37% 53% 51% 22% 25% Hee 46% 36% 63% 32% 39% 39% 17% Unsure 12% 16% 0% 15% 10% 39% 57% SENATE Kim Takai Anderson Espero Chang Manahan Undecided Schatz 40% 51% 41% 73% 64% 46% 44% Hanabusa 55% 43% 56% 21% 30% 49% 25% Unsure 5% 6% 4% 7% 6% 5% 31%