Civil Beat Poll September 2012 1st Congressional District

  • 2,055 views
Uploaded on

 

  • Full Name Full Name Comment goes here.
    Are you sure you want to
    Your message goes here
    Be the first to comment
    Be the first to like this
No Downloads

Views

Total Views
2,055
On Slideshare
0
From Embeds
0
Number of Embeds
2

Actions

Shares
Downloads
7
Comments
0
Likes
0

Embeds 0

No embeds

Report content

Flagged as inappropriate Flag as inappropriate
Flag as inappropriate

Select your reason for flagging this presentation as inappropriate.

Cancel
    No notes for slide

Transcript

  • 1. 1 • 856 Likely General Election Voters in the 1st Congressional District • Sampling Margin of Error +/-3.3% • September 26-28, 2012Who would you vote for in the race for U.S. House of Representatives—former CongressmanCharles Djou, or Congresswoman Colleen Hanabusa? [name order randomized] CD1 Hanabusa 49% Djou 44% Unsure 7% Total 100%How do you currently feel about the country’s economy? Economy Positive 58% Negative 39% Unsure 3% Total 100%Many economists believe that making the U.S. economy healthy again will require some mix ofgovernment spending cuts and tax increases. In the next two questions, I will first ask you how youfeel about government spending cuts, and then ask how you feel about tax increases….In terms of cutting government spending, what strategy do you think the country needs to help fixthe economy? Do we need cuts across the board, including to programs ranging from social securityto the military? Do we need targeted cuts to programs like the military and corporate subsidies, butnot to programs like social security or healthcare? Or do we not need any major cuts to governmentspending? Spending_Cuts "Tough" cuts 28% "Easy" cuts 58% No cuts 4% Unsure 10% Total 100%
  • 2. 2In terms of raising taxes, what strategy do you think the country needs to help fix the economy? Dowe need to raise everyone’s taxes to some degree? Do we need to raise taxes only on individualswith income above $250,000? Or do we not need any tax increases? Tax_Increases "Tough" taxes 20% "Easy" taxes 58% No taxes 18% Unsure 4% Total 100%Which of the following do you think is the best way to solve our national deficit and budgetproblems? Is it to focus most on cutting government spending? To focus most on raising revenuesby increasing taxes and closing tax loopholes? Or is it to focus about equally on spending cuts andtax increases? Solution Cut spending 31% Increase taxes 9% Both 50% Unsure 11% Total 100%
  • 3. 3How do you feel about the Honolulu Rail project – do you generally support or oppose it? Rail Support 39% Oppose 51% Unsure 10% Total 100%In your mind, how good an education do Hawaiis public school students receive—excellent, good,fair, or poor? Educ_Quality Excellent 4% Good 37% Fair 44% Poor 11% Unsure 3% Total 100%
  • 4. 4Demographics: Gender Male 46% Female 54% Total 100% Age 18-29 3% 30-39 9% 40-49 8% 50-64 32% 65+ 48% Total 100% Race_Ethnicity Caucasian 32% Japanese 41% Filipino 8% Hawaiian 2% Chinese 14% Hispanic/Latino 0% Other/Mixed 3% Total 100% Politics Liberal/Progressive 27% Moderate 40% Conservative 20% Unsure 14% Total 100% Party_ID Democrat 54% Republican 17% Independent 26% Unsure 3% Total 100%
  • 5. 5 EducationNo degree 2%High School Degree 25%College Degree 43%Graduate Degree 29%Total 100% Military_FamilyYes 10%No 90%Total 100% IncomeLess than $50,000 30%$50,000-$100,000 42%$100,000 or more 28%Total 100%
  • 6. 6Crosstabs: CD1 * Gender Crosstabulation% within Gender Gender Male FemaleCD1 Hanabusa 44% 54% Djou 48% 40% Unsure 8% 5%Total 100% 100% CD1 * Age Crosstabulation% within Age Age 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+CD1 Hanabusa 65% 64% 34% 48% 50% Djou 35% 17% 60% 45% 46% Unsure 19% 5% 7% 4%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% CD1 * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation% within Race_Ethnicity Race_Ethnicity Japanes Hispanic/Latin Caucasian e Filipino Hawaiian Chinese o Other/MixedCD1 Hanabusa 42% 62% 43% 50% 33% 50% 46% Djou 53% 32% 46% 50% 57% 50% 42% Unsure 5% 6% 11% 0% 10% 13%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% CD1 * Politics Crosstabulation% within Politics Politics Liberal/Progressiv Conservativ e Moderate e UnsureCD1 Hanabusa 79% 57% 8% 42% Djou 11% 41% 88% 46% Unsure 11% 3% 4% 12%Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
  • 7. 7 CD1 * Party_ID Crosstabulation% within Party_ID Party_ID Republica Independen Democrat n t UnsureCD1 Hanabusa 75% 5% 28% 38% Djou 19% 95% 63% 29% Unsure 6% 8% 33%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% CD1 * Education Crosstabulation% within Education Education High No School College Graduate degree Degree Degree DegreeCD1 Hanabusa 50% 47% 46% 58% Djou 36% 47% 47% 37% Unsure 14% 6% 7% 6%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% CD1 * Military_Family Crosstabulation% within Military_Family Military_Family Yes NoCD1 Hanabusa 55% 49% Djou 39% 44% Unsure 5% 7%Total 100% 100% CD1 * Income Crosstabulation% within Income Income Less $50,000- than $100,00 $100,000 $50,000 0 or moreCD1 Hanabusa 53% 51% 49% Djou 39% 45% 44% Unsure 8% 5% 7%Total 100% 100% 100%
  • 8. 8 CD1 * Economy Crosstabulation% within Economy Economy Positive Negative UnsureCD1 Hanabusa 71% 19% 20% Djou 23% 77% 10% Unsure 6% 4% 70%Total 100% 100% 100% Economy * CD1 Crosstabulation% within CD1 CD1 Hanabus a Djou UnsureEconomy Positive 84% 30% 53% Negative 15% 69% 23% Unsure 1% 1% 25%Total 100% 100% 100% CD1 * Spending_Cuts Crosstabulation% within Spending_Cuts Spending_Cuts "Tough" "Easy" cuts cuts No cuts UnsureCD1 Hanabusa 24% 68% 47% 17% Djou 72% 27% 44% 64% Unsure 5% 5% 9% 19%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Spending_Cuts * CD1 Crosstabulation% within CD1 CD1 Hanabus a Djou UnsureSpending_Cut "Tough" cuts 13% 46% 20%s "Easy" cuts 79% 35% 47% No cuts 4% 4% 5% Unsure 3% 14% 27%Total 100% 100% 100%
  • 9. 9 CD1 * Tax_Increases Crosstabulation% within Tax_Increases Tax_Increases "Tough" "Easy" taxes taxes No taxes UnsureCD1 Hanabusa 29% 69% 15% 13% Djou 65% 24% 82% 56% Unsure 6% 6% 3% 31%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Tax_Increases * CD1 Crosstabulation% within CD1 CD1 Hanabus a Djou UnsureTax_Increases "Tough" taxes 11% 28% 17% "Easy" taxes 82% 33% 57% No taxes 6% 34% 7% Unsure 1% 5% 19%Total 100% 100% 100% CD1 * Solution Crosstabulation% within Solution Solution Cut Increase spending taxes Both UnsureCD1 Hanabusa 22% 80% 61% 55% Djou 74% 18% 32% 31% Unsure 4% 2% 7% 14%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Solution * CD1 Crosstabulation% within CD1 CD1 Hanabus a Djou UnsureSolution Cut spending 14% 53% 19% Increase taxes 12% 3% 2% Both 61% 36% 55% Unsure 13% 8% 25%Total 100% 100% 100%
  • 10. 10 CD1 * Rail Crosstabulation% within Rail Rail Support Oppose UnsureCD1 Hanabusa 64% 39% 49% Djou 32% 55% 31% Unsure 4% 6% 20%Total 100% 100% 100% Rail * CD1 Crosstabulation% within CD1 CD1 Hanabus a Djou UnsureRail Support 48% 27% 22% Oppose 42% 65% 47% Unsure 10% 7% 31%Total 100% 100% 100% CD1 * Educ_Quality Crosstabulation% within Educ_Quality Educ_Quality Excellent Good Fair Poor UnsureCD1 Hanabusa 31% 59% 52% 23% 24% Djou 58% 36% 41% 75% 45% Unsure 11% 5% 6% 2% 31%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Educ_Quality * CD1 Crosstabulation% within CD1 CD1 Hanabus a Djou UnsureEduc_Quality Excellent 3% 6% 8% Good 43% 29% 28% Fair 46% 41% 43% Poor 6% 20% 4% Unsure 2% 4% 17%Total 100% 100% 100%