Cb february 2014 posted pdf

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  • 1. 1 Sample: Statewide Registered Voters = 1,003 Margin of Error = +/- 3.1% February 12 – 15, 2014 29% Cell Phones, 71% Landlines All voters 1) First, how do you feel things are going in Hawaii—are they generally going in the right direction or the wrong direction? Direction Right Wrong Unsure Total 38% 48% 14% 100% Likely Democratic Primary voters = 643 Margin of Error = +/- 3.9% 2) Now I would like to ask your opinion of several political figures in Hawaii…First, do you generally have a positive or negative opinion of Governor Neil Abercrombie? Abercrombie     42% 46% 12% Positive Negative Unsure Likely Democratic Primary voters [Qs 3 & 4 order randomized] 3) Do you generally have a positive or negative opinion of Senator Brian Schatz? Schatz   Positive Negative Unsure 51% 27% 22%
  • 2. 2 Likely Democratic Primary voters 4) Do you generally have a positive or negative opinion of First District Congresswoman Colleen Hanabusa? Hanabusa   Positive Negative Unsure 58% 29% 13% Likely Democratic Primary voters 5) And do you generally have a positive or negative opinion of State Senator David Ige? Ige   Positive Negative Unsure   31% 13% 56%
  • 3. 3 Oahu registered voters = 685 Margin of Error = +/- 3.7% 6) Do you generally have a positive or negative opinion of Honolulu Mayor Kirk Caldwell? Caldwell Positive Negative Unsure Total 52% 35% 13% 100% Oahu registered voters 7) And do you have a positive or negative opinion of former Honolulu Mayor Mufi Hannemann? Hannemann Positive Negative Unsure Total 32% 59% 9% 100% Oahu registered voters 8) If Mufi Hannemann were to run for a political office in the 2014 election, how likely would you be to vote for him? VoteHannemann Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely Unsure Total 20% 23% 20% 28% 9% 100%
  • 4. 4 All voters 9) This upcoming August, Brian Schatz and Colleen Hanabusa [candidate name order randomized] will face each other in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate, and Neil Abercrombie and David Ige [candidate name order randomized] will run in the Democratic primary for Governor. In Hawaii, you can only vote in one party’s primary— you must choose between voting in the Democratic Primary, the Republican primary, or another party’s primary. What are you most likely to do on primary day in August? DemScreen Democratic GOP Other/None Unsure   64% 19% 7% 10% Likely Democratic Primary voters 10) And if you do vote in the Democratic Senate primary between Brian Schatz and Colleen Hanabusa [candidate name order randomized], what would you do? Senate   Schatz Hanabusa Unsure 40% 40% 20% Likely Democratic Primary voters 11) And if you vote in the Democratic primary for Governor between Neil Abercrombie and David Ige [candidate name order randomized], what would you do? Governor   Abercrombie Ige Unsure   37% 37% 26%
  • 5. 5 Likely CD 1 Democratic Congressional Primary Voters = 323 Margin of Error = +/- 5.4% 12) The Democratic primary in August will also include a contest for the First District Congressional seat currently held by Colleen Hanabusa. The announced candidates include State Senator Will Espero; State Senator Donna Mercado Kim; State Representative Mark Takai; Honolulu Councilman Ikaika Anderson; and Honolulu Councilman Stanley Chang [candidate names presented in different orders]. If you vote in this primary, what would you do? CD1Rep Chang Anderson Takai Kim Espero Unsure Total 7% 5% 20% 25% 8% 36% 100%
  • 6. 6 All voters 13) Now I have a few quick questions about some important issues in Hawaii…The Hawaii Legislature is considering allowing marijuana dispensaries to open in order to supply medical marijuana patients. However, marijuana is still an illegal drug under federal law. What do you think – do you think Hawaii should allow medical marijuana dispensaries to open? MedMarijuana Yes No Unsure Total 45% 47% 9% 100% All voters 14) In Colorado and Washington State, they have gone a step further, legalizing marijuana not just for medical use, but also for recreational use. Do you think Hawaii should do the same, and legalize recreational marijuana use? RecreationalMarijuana Yes No Unsure Total 33% 59% 8% 100%
  • 7. 7 All voters 15) Hawaii lawmakers are also considering increasing the state’s minimum wage, from $7.25 an hour to at least $9.25 an hour, and perhaps over $10 by 2017. What do you think about raising the minimum wage in Hawaii? MinimumWage Yes No Unsure Total 68% 23% 8% 100% All voters 16) And if Hawaii does raise the minimum wage, what effect do you think it would have on the state’s economy – overall, would it be good for the economy, or bad for the economy? MinWageEconomy Good Bad Unsure Total 62% 25% 13% 100% All voters 17) And what effect do you think raising the minimum wage have on business owners in Hawaii – overall, would it be good for business owners, or bad for business owners? MinWageBusiness Good Bad Unsure Total 41% 40% 19% 100%
  • 8. 8 All voters 18) How do you feel about Barack Obama’s job performance as President? Obama Approve Disapprove Unsure Total 59 36 5 100 Demographics—all voters Sex Male Female Refused Total 48% 52% 0% 100% Age Under 50 Fifty and over Total 29% 71% 100% Race_Ethnicity Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese Hispanic Other/Mixed Refused Total 35% 26% 10% 9% 5% 1% 14% 0% 100%
  • 9. 9 County_CD Oahu_CD1 Oahu_CD2 Hawaii Maui Kauai Total 50% 19% 14% 11% 6% 100% Politics Liberal/progressive Moderate Conservative Unsure Total 29% 34% 22% 15% 100% Party Democrat Republican Independent Unsure Total 55% 20% 20% 6% 100% Education No degree HS graduate College Graduate Some/Assoc/Voc Grad Degree Refused Total 3% 13% 24% 32% 26% 3% 100% Military_Family Yes No Refused Total 62% 34% 4% 100%
  • 10. 10 Union_Family Yes No Refused Total 33% 61% 6% 100% Income Under $50,000 $50,000 $99,999 $100,000 or more Refused Total 24% 32% 21% 23% 100%