Cb february 2014 honolulu pdf

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  • 1. 1 Oahu Registered Voter Sample = 685 Margin of Error = +/- 3.7% 29% Cell Phones, 71% Landlines --Do you generally have a positive or negative opinion of Honolulu Mayor Kirk Caldwell? Caldwell Positive Negative Unsure Total 52% 35% 13% 100% --Do you have a positive or negative opinion of former Honolulu Mayor Mufi Hannemann? Hannemann Positive Negative Unsure Total 32% 59% 9% 100% --If Mufi Hannemann were to run for a political office in the 2014 election, how likely would you be to vote for him? VoteHannemann Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely Unsure Total 20% 23% 20% 28% 9% 100%
  • 2. 2 Demographics (Registered Voters, Oahu) Sex Male Female Refused Total 46% 53% 0% 100% Age Under 50 Fifty and over Total 31% 69% 100% Race_Ethnicity Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese Hispanic Other/Mixed Refused Total 30% 30% 12% 7% 7% 1% 13% 0% 100% County_CD Oahu_CD1 Oahu_CD2 Total 73% 27% 100%
  • 3. 3 Politics Liberal/progressive Moderate Conservative Unsure Total 26% 34% 25% 15% 100% Party Democrat Republican Independent Unsure Total 52% 21% 21% 6% 100% Education No degree HS graduate College Graduate Some/Assoc/Voc Grad Degree Refused Total 2% 12% 24% 28% 29% 3% 100% Military_Family Yes No Refused Total 63% 34% 3% 100% Union_Family Yes No Refused Total 34% 61% 5% 100%
  • 4. 4 Income Under $50,000 $50,000 $99,999 $100,000 or more Refused Total 20% 33% 24% 24% 100% Opinion Crosstabs Hannemann * Caldwell Crosstabulation % within Caldwell Caldwell Positive Negative Unsure Hannemann Positive 43% 18% 23% Negative 52% 79% 38% Unsure 5% 3% 38% Total 100% 100% 100% VoteHannemann * Caldwell Crosstabulation % within Caldwell Caldwell Positive Negative Unsure VoteHannemann Very likely 24% 16% 13% Somewhat 25% 20% 20% likely Somewhat 21% 19% 22% unlikely Very unlikely 21% 41% 21% Unsure 9% 4% 23% Total 100% 100% 100%
  • 5. 5 Caldwell * Hannemann Crosstabulation % within Hannemann Hannemann Positive Negative Unsure Caldwell Positive 71% 46% 31% Negative 19% 46% 13% Unsure 10% 9% 56% Total 100% 100% 100% VoteHannemann * Hannemann Crosstabulation % within Hannemann Hannemann Positive Negative Unsure VoteHannemann Very likely 57% 2% 3% Somewhat 30% 18% 29% likely Somewhat 3% 30% 17% unlikely Very unlikely 0% 46% 6% Unsure 9% 4% 44% Total 100% 100% 100% Caldwell * VoteHannemann Crosstabulation % within VoteHannemann VoteHannemann Very Somewhat Somewhat Very likely likely unlikely unlikely Unsure Caldwell Positive 64% 57% 53% 40% 52% Negative 27% 31% 33% 51% 14% Unsure 9% 12% 14% 10% 33% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Hannemann * VoteHannemann Crosstabulation % within VoteHannemann VoteHannemann Very Somewhat Somewhat Very likely likely unlikely unlikely Unsure Hannemann Positive 91% 42% 5% 1% 30% Negative 7% 46% 87% 97% 25% Unsure 1% 12% 8% 2% 44% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
  • 6. 6 Demographic Crosstabs Caldwell * Sex Crosstabulation % within Sex Caldwell Positive Negative Unsure Total Male 50% 37% 13% 100% Sex Female Refused 55% 31% 67% 13% 33% 100% 100% Caldwell * Age Crosstabulation % within Age Age Under Fifty and 50 over Caldwell Positive 47% 55% Negative 43% 30% Unsure 10% 14% Total 100% 100% Caldwell * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation % within Race_Ethnicity Race_Ethnicity Caucasia Japanes n e Filipino Hawaiian Chinese Hispanic CaldwellPositive Caldwell 49% 64% 43% 59% 49% 33% Negative 38% 25% 43% 35% 33% 67% Unsure 13% 11% 13% 7% 18% 0% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Caldwell * County_CD Crosstabulation % within County_CD County_CD Caldwell Positive Negative Unsure Total Oahu_CD1 Oahu_CD2 55% 45% 33% 39% 12% 16% 100% 100% Other/ Mixed 45% 35% 20% 100%
  • 7. 7 Caldwell * Politics Crosstabulation % within Politics Politics Caldwell Positive Negative Unsure Total Liberal/progressive Moderate Conservative Unsure 60% 57% 43% 45% 27% 32% 48% 28% 13% 10% 9% 26% 100% 100% 100% 100% Caldwell * Party Crosstabulation % within Party Party Caldwell Positive Negative Unsure Total Democrat Republican Independent Unsure 65% 38% 45% 22% 23% 50% 45% 39% 13% 11% 10% 39% 100% 100% 100% 100% Caldwell * Education Crosstabulation % within Education Education Caldwell Positive Negative Unsure Total No HS College Grad degree graduate Graduate Some/Assoc/Voc Degree Refused 63% 50% 50% 58% 51% 52% 19% 31% 35% 29% 40% 24% 19% 19% 14% 13% 8% 24% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Caldwell * Military_Family Crosstabulation % within Military_Family Military_Family Yes No Refused Caldwell Positive 54% 53% 48% Negative 36% 31% 24% Unsure 10% 17% 29% Total 100% 100% 100%
  • 8. 8 Caldwell * Union_Family Crosstabulation % within Union_Family Union_Family Yes No Refused Caldwell Positive 54% 54% 32% Negative 36% 34% 19% Unsure 10% 12% 48% Total 100% 100% 100% Caldwell * Income Crosstabulation % within Income Caldwell Positive Negative Unsure Total Income Under $50,000 - $100,000 $50,000 $99,999 or more Refused 50% 59% 52% 48% 39% 30% 41% 26% 11% 11% 7% 26% 100% 100% 100% 100% Hannemann * Sex Crosstabulation % within Sex Hannemann Positive Negative Unsure Total Sex Male Female Refused 27% 36% 33% 63% 56% 67% 10% 8% 100% 100% 100% Hannemann * Age Crosstabulation % within Age Age Under Fifty and 50 over Hannemann Positive 35% 30% Negative 55% 62% Unsure 11% 8% Total 100% 100%
  • 9. 9 Hannemann * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation % within Race_Ethnicity Race_Ethnicity Caucasia Japanes Hawaiia Chines Hispani Other/ n e Filipino n e c Mixed Hanneman Positive 23% 39% 33% 46% 25% 33% 21% n Negativ 71% 56% 51% 54% 57% 50% 61% e Unsure 6% 5% 16% 0% 18% 17% 18% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Hannemann * County_CD Crosstabulation % within County_CD County_CD Hannemann Positive Negative Unsure Total Oahu_CD1 Oahu_CD2 31% 34% 60% 59% 10% 7% 100% 100% Hannemann * Politics Crosstabulation % within Politics Politics Hannemann Positive Negative Unsure Total Liberal/progressive Moderate Conservative Unsure 23% 32% 35% 34% 71% 63% 55% 45% 6% 5% 10% 20% 100% 100% 100% 100% Hannemann * Party Crosstabulation % within Party Party Hannemann Positive Negative Unsure Total Democrat Republican Independent Unsure 34% 30% 24% 25% 60% 60% 66% 44% 6% 10% 10% 31% 100% 100% 100% 100%
  • 10. 10 Hannemann * Education Crosstabulation % within Education Hannemann Positive Negative Unsure Total Education No HS College Grad degree graduate Graduate Some/Assoc/Voc Degree Refused 31% 41% 29% 32% 23% 59% 38% 50% 64% 56% 72% 23% 31% 9% 7% 12% 5% 18% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Hannemann * Military_Family Crosstabulation % within Military_Family Military_Family Yes No Refused Hannemann Positive 29% 32% 36% Negative 63% 57% 45% Unsure 8% 11% 18% Total 100% 100% 100% Hannemann * Union_Family Crosstabulation % within Union_Family Union_Family Yes No Refused Hannemann Positive 31% 30% 39% Negative 66% 59% 29% Unsure 3% 11% 32% Total 100% 100% 100% Hannemann * Income Crosstabulation % within Income Income Under $50,000 - $100,000 $50,000 $99,999 or more Refused Hannemann Positive 32% 27% 30% 33% Negative 62% 66% 67% 45% Unsure 6% 7% 3% 22% Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
  • 11. 11 VoteHannemann * Sex Crosstabulation % within Sex Sex Male Female Refused VoteHannemann Very likely 17% 22% 33% Somewhat 22% 23% likely Somewhat 22% 19% 33% unlikely Very unlikely 31% 26% 33% Unsure 8% 10% Total 100% 100% 100% VoteHannemann * Age Crosstabulation % within Age Age Fifty Under and 50 over VoteHannemann Very likely 22% 18% Somewhat 22% 23% likely Somewhat 22% 20% unlikely Very unlikely 24% 30% Unsure 10% 8% Total 100% 100% VoteHannemann * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation % within Race_Ethnicity Race_Ethnicity Other/ Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese Hispanic Mixed Vote Very likely 13% 22% 29% 31% 11% 0% 12% Hannemann Somewhat 21% 26% 16% 22% 25% 40% 22% likely Somewhat 26% 19% 17% 7% 25% 0% 26% unlikely Very 35% 24% 22% 33% 20% 20% 33% unlikely Unsure 6% 8% 16% 7% 18% 40% 7% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
  • 12. 12 VoteHannemann * County_CD Crosstabulation % within County_CD County_CD VoteHannemann Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely Unsure Total Oahu_CD1 Oahu_CD2 19% 22% 25% 17% 17% 28% 29% 27% 10% 100% 5% 100% VoteHannemann * Politics Crosstabulation % within Politics Politics VoteHannemann Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely Unsure Total Liberal/progressive Moderate Conservative Unsure 11% 25% 21% 15% 25% 20% 24% 19% 21% 22% 16% 27% 36% 26% 30% 20% 7% 100% 7% 100% 9% 100% 18% 100%
  • 13. 13 VoteHannemann * Party Crosstabulation % within Party Party VoteHannemann Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely Unsure Total Democrat Republican Independent Unsure 22% 17% 13% 9% 21% 25% 25% 20% 21% 20% 22% 26% 28% 31% 32% 17% 8% 100% 8% 100% 9% 100% 29% 100% VoteHannemann * Education Crosstabulation % within Education Education No HS College Some/Assoc/ Grad degree graduate Graduate Voc Degree Refused VoteHanneman Very likely 6% 26% 13% 18% 16% 52% n Somewhat 50% 19% 25% 27% 16% 10% likely Somewhat 19% 26% 24% 13% 25% 29% unlikely Very 6% 17% 34% 28% 36% unlikely Unsure 19% 13% 4% 13% 7% 10% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% VoteHannemann * Military_Family Crosstabulation % within Military_Family Military_Family Yes No Refused VoteHannemann Very likely 14% 25% 19% Somewhat 25% 18% 19% likely Somewhat 23% 18% 24% unlikely Very 29% 29% 24% unlikely Unsure 9% 10% 14% Total 100% 100% 100%
  • 14. 14 VoteHannemann * Union_Family Crosstabulation % within Union_Family Union_Family Yes No Refused VoteHannemann Very likely 19% 17% 25% Somewhat 23% 23% 19% likely Somewhat 23% 20% 16% unlikely Very 31% 29% 6% unlikely Unsure 4% 10% 34% Total 100% 100% 100% VoteHannemann * Income Crosstabulation % within Income VoteHannemann Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely Unsure Total Income Under $50,000 - $100,000 $50,000 $99,999 or more Refused 18% 16% 23% 18% 26% 23% 17% 24% 20% 26% 16% 21% 27% 29% 40% 18% 8% 100% 5% 100% 5% 100% 18% 100%