Second Congressional District – Democratic Congressional Primary        1                             July 31 – August 2, ...
Second Congressional District – Democratic Congressional Primary   2                   July 31 – August 2, 2012         Sa...
Second Congressional District – Democratic Congressional Primary   3                   July 31 – August 2, 2012         Sa...
Second Congressional District – Democratic Congressional Primary   4                   July 31 – August 2, 2012         Sa...
Second Congressional District – Democratic Congressional Primary   5                   July 31 – August 2, 2012         Sa...
Second Congressional District – Democratic Congressional Primary         6                              July 31 – August 2...
Second Congressional District – Democratic Congressional Primary          7                              July 31 – August ...
Second Congressional District – Democratic Congressional Primary       8                              July 31 – August 2, ...
Second Congressional District – Democratic Congressional Primary           9                             July 31 – August ...
Second Congressional District – Democratic Congressional Primary        10                              July 31 – August 2...
Second Congressional District – Democratic Congressional Primary            11                              July 31 – Augu...
Second Congressional District – Democratic Congressional Primary                 12                                   July...
Second Congressional District – Democratic Congressional Primary         13                               July 31 – August...
Second Congressional District – Democratic Congressional Primary       14                              July 31 – August 2,...
Second Congressional District – Democratic Congressional Primary             15                              July 31 – Aug...
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Civil Beat August 2012 Hawaii 2nd Congressional District Primary

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Civil Beat August 2012 Hawaii 2nd Congressional District Primary

  1. 1. Second Congressional District – Democratic Congressional Primary 1 July 31 – August 2, 2012 Sample Size = 577; Margin of Error +/- 4.1% Vote_Screen Already voted 27% Definitely voting 71% Might vote 2% Total 100% Congress Hannemann 29% Gabbard 49% Kiaaina 8% Marx 7% None 1% Unsure 6% Total 100% Congress_Decide Two weeks 30% Past month 30% Month+ 39% Unsure 1% Total 100%(Kiaaina and Marx Supporters Only; Sample Size = 121; Margin of Error +/- 8.9%) Congress_Two_Way_Contest Hannemann 17% Gabbard 40% Neither 19% Unsure 24% Total 100%
  2. 2. Second Congressional District – Democratic Congressional Primary 2 July 31 – August 2, 2012 Sample Size = 577; Margin of Error +/- 4.1% AdsA lot 25%A little 41%None 31%Unsure 2%Total 100% DebatesA lot 45%A little 27%None 24%Unsure 5%Total 100% NewsA lot 38%A little 40%None 19%Unsure 3%Total 100% EndorsementsA lot 12%A little 30%None 55%Unsure 3%Total 100% Own_ResearchA lot 60%A little 29%None 7%Unsure 4%Total 100%
  3. 3. Second Congressional District – Democratic Congressional Primary 3 July 31 – August 2, 2012 Sample Size = 577; Margin of Error +/- 4.1% ObamaApprove strongly 56%Approve somewhat 20%Disapprove somewhat 9%Disapprove strongly 13%Unsure 2%Total 100% Obama_CondensedApprove 75%Disapprove 23%Unsure 2%Total 100% GenderMale 44%Female 56%Total 100% Age18-29 4%30-39 4%40-49 12%50-64 45%65+ 35%Total 100%
  4. 4. Second Congressional District – Democratic Congressional Primary 4 July 31 – August 2, 2012 Sample Size = 577; Margin of Error +/- 4.1% EthnicityCaucasian 51%Japanese 17%Filipino 5%Hawaiian 10%Chinese 3%Hispanic/Latino 1%Other/Mixed 13%Total 100% PoliticsLiberal/Progressive 32%Moderate 38%Conservative 15%Unsure 15%Total 100% PartyDemocrat 58%Republican 6%Independent 30%Unsure 6%Total 100% EducationNo degree 4%High School Degree 32%College Degree 37%Graduate Degree 27%Total 100% ReligionCatholic 26%Evangelical 10%Mormon 5%Other Christian 19%Buddhist 9%Other 9%None 23%Total 100%
  5. 5. Second Congressional District – Democratic Congressional Primary 5 July 31 – August 2, 2012 Sample Size = 577; Margin of Error +/- 4.1% Military_FamilyYes 16%No 84%Total 100% Union_HousehodYes 33%No 67%Total 100% Relationship_StatusMarried 67%Civil Partnership 6%Single 10%Divorced/Separated 8%Widowed 9%Total 100% Income_Household$50,000 or less 33%$50,000-$100,000 44%$100,000 or more 23%Total 100% County_CDOahu 2 44%Hawaii 27%Maui 20%Kauai 9%Total 100%
  6. 6. Second Congressional District – Democratic Congressional Primary 6 July 31 – August 2, 2012 Sample Size = 577; Margin of Error +/- 4.1% Congress * Vote_Screen Crosstabulation% within Vote_Screen Vote_Screen Already Definitely voted voting Might voteCongress Hannemann 35% 27% 33% Gabbard 50% 48% 42% Kiaaina 4% 10% 8% Marx 8% 6% None 1% 1% 8% Unsure 1% 8% 8%Total 100% 100% 100% Congress * Congress_Decide Crosstabulation% within Congress_Decide Congress_Decide Two weeks Past month Month+ UnsureCongress Hannemann 26% 21% 44% 33% Gabbard 52% 63% 45% 33% Kiaaina 13% 7% 7% 17% Marx 9% 9% 4% 17%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Congress_Decide * Congress Crosstabulation% within Congress Congress Hannemann Gabbard Kiaaina MarxCongress_Decide Two weeks 24% 29% 43% 38% Past month 20% 36% 23% 38% Month+ 55% 34% 32% 21% Unsure 1% 1% 2% 3%Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
  7. 7. Second Congressional District – Democratic Congressional Primary 7 July 31 – August 2, 2012 Sample Size = 577; Margin of Error +/- 4.1% Congress_Two_Way * Congress Crosstabulation% within Congress Congress Kiaaina Marx UnsureCongress_Two_Way Hannemann 23% 23% 3% Gabbard 36% 55% 29% Neither 28% 20% 6% Unsure 13% 3% 62%Total 100% 100% 100% Congress * Ads Crosstabulation% within Ads Ads A lot A little None UnsureCongress Hannemann 30% 28% 32% 8% Gabbard 58% 52% 39% 23% Kiaaina 4% 7% 12% 31% Marx 4% 6% 10% None 1% 1% 2% 8% Unsure 4% 5% 6% 31%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Congress * Debates Crosstabulation% within Debates Debates A lot A little None UnsureCongress Hannemann 30% 33% 25% 19% Gabbard 47% 54% 49% 33% Kiaaina 12% 5% 6% 4% Marx 6% 5% 9% 11% None 1% 4% 4% Unsure 5% 3% 8% 30%Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
  8. 8. Second Congressional District – Democratic Congressional Primary 8 July 31 – August 2, 2012 Sample Size = 577; Margin of Error +/- 4.1% Congress * News Crosstabulation% within News News A lot A little None UnsureCongress Hannemann 30% 30% 28% 15% Gabbard 54% 49% 40% 15% Kiaaina 6% 9% 14% 5% Marx 5% 7% 12% None 1% 0% 1% 15% Unsure 4% 5% 6% 50%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Congress * Endorsements Crosstabulation% within Endorsements Endorsements A lot A little None UnsureCongress Hannemann 42% 30% 26% 25% Gabbard 46% 49% 50% 25% Kiaaina 3% 7% 10% 10% Marx 3% 7% 8% None 1% 1% 15% Unsure 6% 6% 4% 25%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Congress * Own_Research Crosstabulation% within Own_Research Own_Research A lot A little None UnsureCongress Hannemann 28% 33% 28% 25% Gabbard 51% 48% 45% 29% Kiaaina 10% 7% 3% 4% Marx 7% 8% 8% None 1% 1% 5% 4% Unsure 4% 4% 13% 38%Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
  9. 9. Second Congressional District – Democratic Congressional Primary 9 July 31 – August 2, 2012 Sample Size = 577; Margin of Error +/- 4.1% Congress * Obama Crosstabulation% within Obama Obama Approve Approve Disapprove Disapprove strongly somewhat somewhat strongly UnsureCongress Hannemann 33% 18% 32% 27% 18% Gabbard 46% 56% 51% 49% 27% Kiaaina 9% 10% 9% 4% Marx 6% 8% 2% 14% None 2% 2% 9% Unsure 4% 8% 4% 6% 45%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Obama * Congress Crosstabulation% within Congress Congress Hannemann Gabbard Kiaaina Marx None UnsureObama Approve strongly 64% 53% 60% 48% 71% 38% Approve somewhat 13% 23% 23% 23% 26% Disapprove somewhat 10% 10% 11% 3% 14% 6% Disapprove strongly 13% 14% 6% 28% 15% Unsure 1% 1% 14% 15%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
  10. 10. Second Congressional District – Democratic Congressional Primary 10 July 31 – August 2, 2012 Sample Size = 577; Margin of Error +/- 4.1% Congress * Obama_Condensed Crosstabulation% within Obama_Condensed Obama_Condensed Approve Disapprove UnsureCongress Hannemann 29% 29% 18% Gabbard 49% 50% 27% Kiaaina 9% 6% Marx 6% 8% None 1% 1% 9% Unsure 5% 5% 45%Total 100% 100% 100% Obama_Condensed * Congress Crosstabulation% within Congress Congress Hannemann Gabbard Kiaaina Marx None UnsureObama_Condense Approve 76% 75% 83% 72% 71% 65%d Disapprove 23% 24% 17% 28% 14% 21% Unsure 1% 1% 14% 15%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
  11. 11. Second Congressional District – Democratic Congressional Primary 11 July 31 – August 2, 2012 Sample Size = 577; Margin of Error +/- 4.1% Congress * Gender Crosstabulation% within Gender Gender Male FemaleCongress Hannemann 24% 33% Gabbard 54% 44% Kiaaina 8% 8% Marx 8% 6% None 1% 2% Unsure 4% 7%Total 100% 100% Congress * Age Crosstabulation% within Age Age 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+Congress Hannemann 21% 36% 25% 28% 33% Gabbard 33% 27% 59% 49% 48% Kiaaina 13% 9% 10% 8% 7% Marx 9% 3% 9% 5% None 8% 0% 2% Unsure 25% 18% 3% 5% 4%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
  12. 12. Second Congressional District – Democratic Congressional Primary 12 July 31 – August 2, 2012 Sample Size = 577; Margin of Error +/- 4.1% Congress * Ethnicity Crosstabulation% within Ethnicity Ethnicity Hispanic/ Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese Latino Other/MixedCongress Hannemann 25% 40% 42% 28% 28% 50% 27% Gabbard 55% 44% 48% 43% 44% 33% 39% Kiaaina 8% 3% 10% 16% 11% 8% Marx 7% 6% 9% 6% 7% None 1% 17% 6% Unsure 4% 6% 5% 11% 13%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Congress * Religion Crosstabulation% within Religion Religion Other Catholic Evangelical Mormon Christian Buddhist Other NoneCongress Hannemann 29% 37% 50% 30% 38% 19% 18% Gabbard 52% 42% 38% 51% 42% 47% 54% Kiaaina 6% 9% 12% 7% 6% 13% 13% Marx 5% 5% 7% 13% 13% 7% None 1% 1% 2% 2% Unsure 7% 7% 5% 2% 6% 6%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
  13. 13. Second Congressional District – Democratic Congressional Primary 13 July 31 – August 2, 2012 Sample Size = 577; Margin of Error +/- 4.1% Congress * Politics Crosstabulation% within Politics Politics Liberal/Progressive Moderate Conservative UnsureCongress Hannemann 27% 30% 39% 20% Gabbard 46% 54% 36% 55% Kiaaina 15% 6% 6% 2% Marx 9% 6% 6% 5% None 1% 0% 5% Unsure 2% 3% 13% 13%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Congress * Party Crosstabulation% within Party Party Democrat Republican Independent UnsureCongress Hannemann 30% 46% 25% 18% Gabbard 49% 46% 54% 24% Kiaaina 10% 3% 4% 24% Marx 6% 3% 10% 3% None 2% 1% 3% Unsure 3% 3% 7% 27%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Party * Congress Crosstabulation% within Congress Congress Hannemann Gabbard Kiaaina Marx None UnsureParty Democrat 61% 58% 68% 53% 71% 33% Republican 10% 6% 2% 3% 3% Independent 25% 33% 13% 42% 14% 36% Unsure 4% 3% 17% 3% 14% 27%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
  14. 14. Second Congressional District – Democratic Congressional Primary 14 July 31 – August 2, 2012 Sample Size = 577; Margin of Error +/- 4.1% Congress * Education Crosstabulation% within Education Education High School College Graduate No degree Degree Degree DegreeCongress Hannemann 45% 31% 32% 19% Gabbard 27% 50% 47% 54% Kiaaina 9% 8% 8% 10% Marx 5% 6% 5% 10% None 5% 1% 1% 1% Unsure 9% 4% 6% 6%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Congress * Military_Family Crosstabulation% within Military_Family Military_Family Yes NoCongress Hannemann 28% 29% Gabbard 56% 48% Kiaaina 6% 9% Marx 3% 7% None 2% 1% Unsure 5% 6%Total 100% 100% Congress * Union_Househod Crosstabulation% within Union_Househod Union_Househod Yes NoCongress Hannemann 30% 28% Gabbard 48% 50% Kiaaina 9% 9% Marx 7% 7% None 1% 2% Unsure 5% 6%Total 100% 100%
  15. 15. Second Congressional District – Democratic Congressional Primary 15 July 31 – August 2, 2012 Sample Size = 577; Margin of Error +/- 4.1% Congress * Relationship_Status Crosstabulation% within Relationship_Status Relationship_Status Civil Married Partnership Single Divorced/Separated WidowedCongress Hannemann 30% 29% 20% 15% 39% Gabbard 49% 45% 59% 52% 41% Kiaaina 9% 13% 6% 9% 4% Marx 6% 10% 7% 11% 8% None 1% 6% 2% 2% Unsure 5% 3% 2% 11% 6%Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Congress * Income_Household Crosstabulation% within Income_Household Income_Household $50,000 or $50,000- $100,000 less $100,000 or moreCongress Hannemann 24% 31% 32% Gabbard 51% 51% 45% Kiaaina 8% 7% 14% Marx 8% 5% 4% None 1% 1% Unsure 7% 5% 4%Total 100% 100% 100% Congress * County_CD Crosstabulation% within County_CD County_CD Oahu 2 Hawaii Maui KauaiCongress Hannemann 29% 27% 31% 32% Gabbard 52% 44% 48% 49% Kiaaina 7% 10% 12% 4% Marx 5% 13% 3% 6% None 1% 1% 1% 2% Unsure 7% 4% 6% 8%Total 100% 100% 100% 100%

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