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1 • 3/21/11




              Climate analogues

              Application for developing
                adaptation strategies
2 • 3/21/11
3 • 3/21/11


                           Analogues
        • Who we are?
               – Andy Jarvis (lead scientist)
                 a.jarvis@cgiar.org
               – David Arango (lead developer)
                 d.arango@cgiar.org
               – Flora Mer (FOTF-CIAT contact)
                 f.mer@cgiar.org
               – Julian Ramirez (co-developer)
                 j.r.villegas@cgiar.org
Please contact us if you have problems with using it, if
you want support, or if you want additional information
4 • 3/21/11


    Guiding principles and final
    aims
              • Facilitate farmer-to-farmer exchange of
                knowledge
              • Permit validation of computational
                models and trialing of new technologies
                and techniques
              • Learning from history
              • Ground climate change impacts and
                adaptation studies
              • Quantify the real effects of uncertainty
                in the process of adaptation
5 • 3/21/11


                     The principle
       • Differences in agricultural systems are related
         to climates –hence we can transfer
         technologies that work if climates are similar
6 • 3/21/11




                         High yields




         Cassava yield
7 • 3/21/11




Temperature similarity




               Could we achieve
               high yields here?
8 • 3/21/11
9 • 3/21/11


                Possible analogues
        BACKWARD


                                  OTHER SITE (s)
               MY SITE              (current)
               (future)


• Where can I find the future climate of my site today?
10 • 3/21/11


                 Possible analogues
        FORWARD


                                  OTHER SITE (s)
                MY SITE              (future)
                (current)


• Where can I find the present climate of my site in the
  future?
11 • 3/21/11


                 Possible analogues
        NONE


                                  OTHER SITE (s)
                MY SITE             (current)
                (current)


• Where can I find the present climate of my site in the
  world currently?
12 • 3/21/11
13 • 3/21/11


    Farms of the future: Ghana
14 • 3/21/11


               Farms of the future: Ghana
15 • 3/21/11


               Ghana (Lawra-Jirapa)
16 • 3/21/11

Farms of the Future in Ghana




- Starting site:
Lawra Jirapa

- Take them to
Baazu
17 • 3/21/11

FOTF in Tanzania (Lushoto)
18 • 3/21/11
19 • 3/21/11
20 • 3/21/11
21 • 3/21/11
22 • 3/21/11


    FOTF: Nepal (Rupandehi)

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Julian R - Climate Analogues Dakar April 2012

  • 1. 1 • 3/21/11 Climate analogues Application for developing adaptation strategies
  • 3. 3 • 3/21/11 Analogues • Who we are? – Andy Jarvis (lead scientist) a.jarvis@cgiar.org – David Arango (lead developer) d.arango@cgiar.org – Flora Mer (FOTF-CIAT contact) f.mer@cgiar.org – Julian Ramirez (co-developer) j.r.villegas@cgiar.org Please contact us if you have problems with using it, if you want support, or if you want additional information
  • 4. 4 • 3/21/11 Guiding principles and final aims • Facilitate farmer-to-farmer exchange of knowledge • Permit validation of computational models and trialing of new technologies and techniques • Learning from history • Ground climate change impacts and adaptation studies • Quantify the real effects of uncertainty in the process of adaptation
  • 5. 5 • 3/21/11 The principle • Differences in agricultural systems are related to climates –hence we can transfer technologies that work if climates are similar
  • 6. 6 • 3/21/11 High yields Cassava yield
  • 7. 7 • 3/21/11 Temperature similarity Could we achieve high yields here?
  • 9. 9 • 3/21/11 Possible analogues BACKWARD OTHER SITE (s) MY SITE (current) (future) • Where can I find the future climate of my site today?
  • 10. 10 • 3/21/11 Possible analogues FORWARD OTHER SITE (s) MY SITE (future) (current) • Where can I find the present climate of my site in the future?
  • 11. 11 • 3/21/11 Possible analogues NONE OTHER SITE (s) MY SITE (current) (current) • Where can I find the present climate of my site in the world currently?
  • 13. 13 • 3/21/11 Farms of the future: Ghana
  • 14. 14 • 3/21/11 Farms of the future: Ghana
  • 15. 15 • 3/21/11 Ghana (Lawra-Jirapa)
  • 16. 16 • 3/21/11 Farms of the Future in Ghana - Starting site: Lawra Jirapa - Take them to Baazu
  • 17. 17 • 3/21/11 FOTF in Tanzania (Lushoto)
  • 22. 22 • 3/21/11 FOTF: Nepal (Rupandehi)

Editor's Notes

  1. Of course have to take in account socio-economic parameters, soil, agronomic parameters. We can not do the farmer exchange by doing only climate analogues